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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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150301451601 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for coherence time

Coherent Multiplex analyzes real-time wavelet coherence among multiple signals.

problem Identifying and visualizing coherence among multiple time series.
method Fast spectral similarity based on cosine similarity metrics of Fourier-transformed signals and sparse time-frequency wavelet coherence.
result Scalable real-time system for low-latency inference and monitoring of inter-signal relationships.

End-to-end deep model for coherent probabilistic forecasts in hierarchical time series.

problem Hierarchical probabilistic forecasting for coherent predictions.
method Dirichlet proportions model for learning root and child distributions.
result Significant improvements over state-of-the-art baselines (up to 26%).

Enhances neural forecasting for hierarchically organized time series data.

problem Probabilistic coherent forecasting of time series data across different levels of aggregation.
method Proposes a coherent multivariate mixture output for neural forecasting architectures, optimizing with a composite likelihood objective.
result 13.2% average accuracy improvements on most datasets compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

The paper establishes a connection between different risk measures and their risk contributions.

problem Understanding the relationship between conditional coherent and deviation risk measures.
method Axiomatic framework and continuous-time risk contribution analysis.
result Risk contributions of time-consistent risk measures are also time-consistent.

We study coherent risk measures which are time-consistent for multiple filtrations. We show that a coherent risk measure is time-consistent for every filtration if and only if it is one of four main types. Furthermore, if the risk measure is strictly monotone it is linear, and if the reference probability space is not …

2010-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Representations of coherent state Lie algebras on coherent state manifolds as first order differential operators are presented. The explicit expressions of the differential action of the generators of semisimple Lie groups determine for linear Hamiltonians in the generators of the groups first order differential equati…

2004-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A group is coherent if all its finitely generated subgroups are finitely presented. In this article we provide a criterion for positively determining the coherence of a group. This criterion is based upon the notion of the perimeter of a map between two finite 2-complexes which is introduced here. In the groups to whic…

2002-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm optimizes functions without parameters, converging to global minima.

problem Optimizing functions without parameters.
method Follow The Regularized Leader with rescaled gradients and time-varying regularizers.
result Converges to global minimizer for variationally coherent functions.

Model criticism tool evaluates text coherence and structure in generated long-form text.

problem Evaluate the high-level structure of generated text for coherence, coreference, and topicality.
method Apply model criticism in latent space to compare real and generated data distributions.
result Transformer-based models struggle with maintaining structural coherence and coreference.

Proposes a new algorithm for efficient probabilistic reconciliation of forecasts.

problem Ensuring coherence in forecasts for hierarchical time series.
method Bottom-Up Importance Sampling algorithm for any type of forecast distribution.
result Significant improvement over base probabilistic forecasts in experiments.

Improved prediction of hierarchical time series using structured regularization.

problem Making coherent forecasts for hierarchical time series.
method Structured regularization method for bottom-level time series predictions.
result Superior prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to previous methods.

Equivalent characterizations of multiportfolio time consistency are deduced for closed convex and coherent set-valued risk measures on Lp(Ω,F,P;Rd)L^p(Ω,\mathcal F, P; R^d) with image space in the power set of Lp(Ω,Ft,P;Rd)L^p(Ω,\mathcal F_t,P;R^d). In the convex case, multiportfolio time consistency is equivalent to a cocycle condition on…

2012-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study dynamic risk measures and performance indices using distortion functions.

problem Investigate time consistency of dynamic risk measures and performance indices generated by distortion functions.
method Analyze dynamic coherent risk measures (DCRMs) and dynamic weighted value at risk measures, proving their equivalence. Establish properties of families of DCRMs generated by distortion functions and define corresponding dynamic coherent acceptability indices (DCAIs). Examine time consistency of DCRMs and DCAIs.
result DCRM generated by distortion functions are sub-martingale time consistent but not super-martingale time consistent and not weakly acceptance time consistent.

Study reveals benign overfitting in time series models with over-parameterization.

problem Analyzing over-parameterized linear models with dependent time-series data.
method Developed an estimator using interpolation and derived non-asymptotic risk bounds.
result Risk bound is influenced by the coherence of temporal covariance matrices at different time steps.

The deep learning trend has recently impacted a variety of fields, including communication systems, where various approaches have explored the application of neural networks in place of traditional designs. Neural networks flexibly allow for data/simulation-driven optimization, but are often employed as black boxes det…

2019-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method for selecting the best hierarchical forecasting approach.

problem Selecting the best method for reconciling base forecasts in hierarchical time series.
method Conditional hierarchical forecasting using machine learning and time series features.
result Conditional hierarchical forecasting leads to significantly more accurate forecasts, especially at lower levels.

We illustrate relationships between classical kernel-based dimensionality reduction techniques and eigendecompositions of empirical estimates of reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) operators associated with dynamical systems. In particular, we show that kernel canonical correlation analysis (CCA) can be interpreted…

2019-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study of deep neural networks using finite-time Lyapunov exponents.

problem Understanding the geometric structures in input space formed by deep neural networks.
method Analogy with dynamical systems, computing finite-time Lyapunov exponents.
result Ridges of large positive exponents divide input space into regions associated with different classes.

Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.

problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.

The paper studies optimal investment using acceptability indices to maximize portfolio performance.

problem Optimal investment problem using coherent acceptability indices.
method Numerical algorithm approximating the original problem, dynamic coherent risk measures, set-valued Bellman's principle.
result Acceptability maximization problem reduces to a one-period problem under certain conditions.

The assessment of co-movement among metals is crucial to better understand the behaviors of the metal prices and the interactions with others that affect the changes in prices. In this study, both Wavelet Analysis and VARMA (Vector Autoregressive Moving Average) models are utilized. First, Multiple Wavelet Coherence (M…

2016-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The transition amplitudes between coherent states on a coherent state manifold are expressed in terms of the embedding of the coherent state manifold into a projective Hilbert space. Consequences for the dimension of projective Hilbert space and a simple geometric interpretation of Calabi's diastasis follows.

1997-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We examine the problem of dynamic reserving for risk in multiple currencies under a general coherent risk measure. The reserver requires to hedge risk in a time-consistent manner by trading in baskets of currencies. We show that reserving portfolios in multiple currencies V\mathbf{V} are time-consistent when (and only…

2017-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We provide a dual characterisation of the weak^*-closure of a finite sum of cones in LL^\infty adapted to a discrete time filtration Ft\mathcal{F}_t: the ttht^{th} cone in the sum contains bounded random variables that are Ft\mathcal{F}_t-measurable. Hence we obtain a generalisation of Delbaen's m-stability condition…

2017-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

In the Compressed Sensing community, it is well known that given a matrix XRn×pX \in \mathbb R^{n\times p} with 2\ell_2 normalized columns, the Restricted Isometry Property (RIP) implies the Null Space Property (NSP). It is also well known that a small Coherence μμ implies a weak RIP, i.e. the singular values of XTX_T l…

2016-06-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Sparse coding in learned dictionaries has been established as a successful approach for signal denoising, source separation and solving inverse problems in general. A dictionary learning method adapts an initial dictionary to a particular signal class by iteratively computing an approximate factorization of a training …

2012-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a new model DrNET that learns disentangled image representations from video. Our approach leverages the temporal coherence of video and a novel adversarial loss to learn a representation that factorizes each frame into a stationary part and a temporally varying component. The disentangled representation can …

2017-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops equivariant Chern characters for coherent sheaves with group actions.

problem Computing Chern characters for coherent sheaves on manifolds with group actions.
method Introduces equivariant Chern characters and proves Riemann-Roch-Grothendieck theorem in Bott-Chern cohomology.
result Establishes a Riemann-Roch-Grothendieck theorem for coherent sheaves with finite group actions.

New metric mm-coherence measures gradient alignment during training, revealing surprising memorization patterns.

problem Measuring and understanding the alignment of per-example gradients during training.
method Introducing mm-coherence as a metric to study gradient alignment, showing its advantages over existing metrics.
result Training with random labels leads to high mm-coherence, indicating common patterns even when generalization is not possible.