VC-PCR improves prediction by clustering correlated variables.
problem Decreased prediction accuracy due to cluster structure in predictor variables.
method Supervised variable selection and clustering to integrate cluster information into a sparse modeling process.
result VC-PCR achieves better prediction, variable selection, and clustering performance.
Paper clusters microstructure measures for better stock return prediction.
problem Finding the best microstructure measures for predicting stock returns.
method Clustering model of market microstructure features studied in 10-second time-frequency.
result Identifies the most effective microstructure measures for accurate stock return prediction.
SurvMixClust clusters survival data and predicts individual survival curves.
problem Integrating clustering into survival analysis for precision medicine.
method SurvMixClust learns latent representations for clustering and predicts survival functions using a mixture of non-parametric experts.
result SurvMixClust creates balanced clusters with distinct survival curves, outperforming clustering baselines and competing with non-clustering models in predictive accuracy.
This study addresses the issue of predicting the glaucomatous visual field loss from patient disease datasets. Our goal is to accurately predict the progress of the disease in individual patients. As very few measurements are available for each patient, it is difficult to produce good predictors for individuals. A rece…
A new method clusters time series based on model prediction accuracy.
problem Clustering time series data effectively.
method Iterative model fitting and assignment based on predictive accuracy.
result The method outperforms other techniques in clustering and predictive accuracy.
DGC clusters data with side-information for better prediction.
problem Improving clustering strategies through better prediction performance.
method Deep Goal-Oriented Clustering (DGC) framework that clusters data using supervision and unsupervised modeling.
result Achieves prediction accuracies comparable to state-of-the-art, while learning congruent clustering strategies.
Paper introduces NICc for fast cluster-based validation of prediction models.
problem Validation of prediction models on clustered data.
method Derived NICc to approximate leave-one-cluster-out deviance for standard regression models.
result NICc provides more accurate model size and variable selection, especially with strong clustering.
Mixture of multi-task GPs for clustering and prediction of functional data.
problem Handling multi-task learning, clustering, and prediction for functional data.
method A mixture of multi-task Gaussian processes with a variational EM algorithm for hyper-parameter optimization.
result Enhanced predictive performance for group-structured data.
Paper uses Shapley values to explain how clusters of training data affect predictions.
problem Explaining how training data clusters impact predictions from black-box models.
method Extends Shapley values to cluster importance, using coalitional game theory.
result Shows how different clusters of training data contribute to model predictions.
Develops a new random forest method for clustered data with improved prediction and inference.
problem Improving prediction and inference accuracy for clustered data with within-cluster dependence.
method Clustered Random Forests, using weighted least squares estimators for leaf predictions.
result Optimal prediction and inference weights vary under covariate shift, necessitating user-chosen weights.
New deep learning framework for tabular data clusters with interpretable features.
problem Need for reliable and interpretable clustering models for tabular data.
method Self-supervised feature selection and gate matrix for cluster-level feature selection.
result Model provides interpretable cluster assignments with driving features.
Proposes a method to improve class-conditional conformal prediction for many classes.
problem Weak guarantees for specific classes in classification problems.
method Clusters classes with similar conformal scores and performs conformal prediction at the cluster level.
result Clustered conformal typically outperforms existing methods in class-conditional coverage and set size metrics.
Machine learning predicts liquid water properties from cluster data.
problem Accuracy of bulk properties from machine-learned potentials is limited by training data.
method Local, atom-centred descriptors enable prediction of bulk properties from cluster data.
result Excellent agreement with experimental and theoretical counterparts of liquid water properties.
A new framework for predictive clustering and optimization.
problem Finding clusters of data that yield low error on a supervised target.
method Generalized optimization framework using MILP and MM for scalability.
result Models can uncover different interpretable discrete cluster structures.
Determining the number of clusters present in a dataset is an important problem in cluster analysis. Conventional clustering techniques generally assume this parameter to be provided up front. %user supplied. %Recently, robustness of any given clustering algorithm is analyzed to measure cluster stability/instability wh…
This paper applies conformal prediction techniques to compute simultaneous prediction bands and clustering trees for functional data. These tools can be used to detect outliers and clusters. Both our prediction bands and clustering trees provide prediction sets for the underlying stochastic process with a guaranteed fi…
Cluster stability selection improves feature selection in correlated data.
problem Feature selection stability in correlated data.
method Cluster stability selection exploiting known cluster structure.
result Better predictive performance than lasso alone and stability selection.
This study improves child welfare risk models using clustering methods.
problem Improving predictive risk models for child maltreatment.
method Integration of PCA and K-Means clustering.
result No significant difference in model performance across clusters, but better for younger children.
Proposes an MTL method with clustering to improve regression accuracy.
problem Improving regression accuracy by sharing information among related tasks.
method Centroid parameter for clustering tasks, separating regression and clustering parameters.
result Improves estimation and prediction accuracy for regression coefficient vectors.
We consider a collection of prediction experiments, which are clustered in the sense that groups of experiments ex- hibit similar relationship between the predictor and response variables. The experiment clusters as well as the regres- sion relationships are unknown. The regression relation- ships define the experiment…
Improved prediction of polymer morphology through machine learning and simulations.
problem Understanding and predicting the morphology of multi-component polymer blends.
method Modified Cahn-Hilliard model for simulations, machine learning for clustering and prediction.
result Machine learning achieved ≥ 90% accuracy in predicting polymer morphology. Gradient Boosted Mixed Models estimate mean and variance components for clustered data.
problem Limited flexibility in linear mixed models for complex settings.
method Gradient Boosting extended to mixed models with likelihood-based gradients and flexible base learners.
result Accurate recovery of variance components and improved predictive accuracy.
GBMixed boosts mixed models for clustered data, estimating mean and variance flexibly.
problem Flexible estimation of mean and variance components in clustered data.
method Gradient Boosting framework for linear mixed models with likelihood-based gradients.
result GBMixed accurately recovers complex nonlinear fixed effects and covariances.
Proposes oblique predictive clustering trees for faster, more efficient learning.
problem Learning time scales poorly with output space dimensionality and cannot exploit data sparsity.
method Design and implement oblique splits using linear combinations of features.
result Achieves performance on-par with state-of-the-art methods and is orders of magnitude faster.
Infinite hierarchical contrastive clustering identifies personal environments linked to health outcomes.
problem Identifying meaningful relationships between environmental features and health outcomes on an individual level.
method Contrastive clustering framework with stick-breaking prior and participant-specific prediction loss.
result Model effectively identifies distinct personal environments and groups them into meaningful types linked to health outcomes.
Cluster-based ZSL for multivariate data predicts unseen classes.
problem Predicting unseen classes in multivariate data without labeled training data.
method Cluster-based approach: classify data based on its distance from training clusters.
result The method outperforms existing ZSL methods for multivariate binary classification.
CW-EDMD improves prediction accuracy by learning local Koopman models for different state-space regions.
problem Inefficient global Koopman operator approximation for distinct local dynamics.
method Cluster-Weighted EDMD (CW-EDMD) learns a soft phase-space partition and per-cluster EDMD operators using EM objective.
result CW-EDMD significantly reduces prediction errors across various systems and configurations.
A system is presented that segments, clusters and predicts musical audio in an unsupervised manner, adjusting the number of (timbre) clusters instantaneously to the audio input. A sequence learning algorithm adapts its structure to a dynamically changing clustering tree. The flow of the system is as follows: 1) segment…
Machine learning systems increasingly depend on pipelines of multiple algorithms to provide high quality and well structured predictions. This paper argues interaction effects between clustering and prediction (e.g. classification, regression) algorithms can cause subtle adverse behaviors during cross-validation that m…
Paper uses ANFIS to predict cryptocurrency prices.
problem Predicting cryptocurrency prices for seven days.
method Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with hybrid and backpropagation algorithms.
result The method can predict cryptocurrency prices in a short time.
Framework achieves fairness in predictions using partially known causal graph over clusters of variables.
problem Achieving fairness in algorithmic decisions when causal graph knowledge is limited.
method Leverages a causal graph over clusters of variables to train a prediction model, reducing interventional distribution discrepancies.
result Framework strikes a better balance between fairness and accuracy than existing approaches under limited causal graph knowledge.
Consumer Demand Response (DR) is an important research and industry problem, which seeks to categorize, predict and modify consumer's energy consumption. Unfortunately, traditional clustering methods have resulted in many hundreds of clusters, with a given consumer often associated with several clusters, making it diff…
In this work we present a clustering technique called \textit{multi-level conformal clustering (MLCC)}. The technique is hierarchical in nature because it can be performed at multiple significance levels which yields greater insight into the data than performing it at just one level. We describe the theoretical underpi…
In this paper an approach based on expectation maximization (EM) clustering to find the climate regions and a support vector machine to build a predictive model for each of these regions is proposed. To minimize the biases in the estimations a ten cross fold validation is adopted both for obtaining clusters and buildin…
Due to the significance of transportation planning, traffic management, and dispatch optimization, predicting passenger origin-destination has emerged as a crucial requirement for intelligent transportation systems management. In this study, we present a model designed to forecast the origin and destination of travels …
New method optimizes mixed integer optimization for hierarchical modeling of clustered and longitudinal data.
problem Optimizing subset selection in hierarchical models with clustered and longitudinal data.
method Distribution-free mixed-integer optimization approach for cluster-aware regression.
result The method efficiently solves problems within minutes and outperforms traditional models in generating sparse solutions with high predictive power.
Deep learning autoencoder model clusters unlabeled time series data.
problem Clustering unlabeled time series data.
method Two-stage approach: create labels from time series characteristics, then use autoencoder for clustering.
result 87.5% accuracy in clustering unseen time series data.
In this paper we propose a new method to predict the final destination of vehicle trips based on their initial partial trajectories. We first review how we obtained clustering of trajectories that describes user behaviour. Then, we explain how we model main traffic flow patterns by a mixture of 2d Gaussian distribution…
Learning from electronic medical records (EMR) is challenging due to their relational nature and the uncertain dependence between a patient's past and future health status. Statistical relational learning is a natural fit for analyzing EMRs but is less adept at handling their inherent latent structure, such as connecti…
We formulate weighted graph clustering as a prediction problem: given a subset of edge weights we analyze the ability of graph clustering to predict the remaining edge weights. This formulation enables practical and theoretical comparison of different approaches to graph clustering as well as comparison of graph cluste…
New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.
problem Inefficient and computationally intensive wind energy resource assessment.
method Unsupervised clustering of ERA5 data on wind velocity, WRF simulations at cluster centers, and post-processing.
result Accurate long-term predictions of power and wakes with reduced computational time.
We present a method for a wine recommendation system that employs multidimensional clustering and unsupervised learning methods. Our algorithm first performs clustering on a large corpus of wine reviews. It then uses the resulting wine clusters as an approximation of the most common flavor palates, recommending a user …
SPINEX improves clustering with explainable neighbors, outperforming other methods.
problem Improving clustering performance and explainability.
method Leverages similarity and higher-order interactions for clustering.
result SPINEX outperforms 13 clustering algorithms across various datasets.
A recent trend in machine learning has been to enrich learned models with the ability to explain their own predictions. The emerging field of Explainable AI (XAI) has so far mainly focused on supervised learning, in particular, deep neural network classifiers. In many practical problems however, label information is no…
Method selects the best deep learner for time-series prediction using Bayesian networks.
problem Selecting the most effective deep learning model for time-series prediction.
method Bayesian network selects deep learners based on input variables and cluster training data.
result Threshold value determines which deep learners predict time-series data robustly.
Bayesian approach clusters survival data for better risk prediction.
problem Identifying subpopulations with distinct risk profiles in survival analysis.
method Bayesian nonparametric approach in a clustered latent space.
result Consistent improvements in predictive performance and interpretability.
Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g., whether a series of blood tests are completed at once or in rapid succession should n…
In several application domains, high-dimensional observations are collected and then analysed in search for naturally occurring data clusters which might provide further insights about the nature of the problem. In this paper we describe a new approach for partitioning such high-dimensional data. Our assumption is that…