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On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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127254381508 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for closed-loop prediction

Data-efficient learning in continuous state-action spaces using very high-dimensional observations remains a key challenge in developing fully autonomous systems. In this paper, we consider one instance of this challenge, the pixels to torques problem, where an agent must learn a closed-loop control policy from pixel i…

2015-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework learns robust control policies from expert demonstrations.

problem Adversarial robustness and closed-loop generalization in feedback control policies.
method Lipschitz-constrained loss minimization for certified robustness and generalization.
result Finite sample bound on policy learning error and robust closed-loop stability.

The paper tackles performative risk optimization under weak convexity assumptions.

problem Optimizing performative risk in a closed-loop prediction system with weak convexity.
method Relaxing convexity assumptions to maintain optimization feasibility.
result Iterative optimization methods remain applicable even with weakened convexity conditions.

We utilize Wi-Fi communications from smartphones to predict their mobility mode, i.e. walking, biking and driving. Wi-Fi sensors were deployed at four strategic locations in a closed loop on streets in downtown Toronto. Deep neural network (Multilayer Perceptron) along with three decision tree based classifiers (Decisi…

2018-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Combines Gaussian processes and polynomial chaos for stochastic control.

problem Uncertainties in dynamic models lead to performance issues in predictive control.
method Combines Gaussian processes with polynomial chaos expansions to estimate probability distributions of nonlinear functions.
result Demonstrates accurate approximation and closed-loop performance in stochastic nonlinear model predictive control.

Paper predicts recycling bin full events to reduce RVM downtime.

problem Predicting bin full events to increase RVM uptime.
method Hybrid approach combining machine learning and statistical approximation.
result Forecasting leads to less downtime and costs compared to emptying strategies.

Study on parameter dynamics in exponential families under closed-loop learning.

problem Understanding and preventing convergence to biased absorbing states in model parameter estimation.
method Derived equations of motion for parameter dynamics in exponential families. Showed convergence to biased states under maximum likelihood estimation and proposed solutions.
result Closed-loop learning can lead to biased parameter estimates, but can be mitigated by using maximum a posteriori estimation or regularisation.

Analyzes how learning algorithms affect and are affected by data manipulation.

problem Characterizing the closed-loop behavior of learning algorithms in the presence of decision-dependent data.
method Analyzes repeated risk minimization as perturbed gradient flows of performative risk minimization, considering multiple local minimizers.
result Characterizes the region of attraction for various equilibria and introduces performative alignment.

Bubblewrap predicts neural dynamics online, scaling to thousands of neurons.

problem Direct testing of neural population hypotheses requires online inference of neural state.
method Soft tiling of neural manifold with fast, stable dimensionality reduction.
result Bubblewrap model outperforms existing methods in noisy conditions.

Geometrically characterizes virtual nonlinear nonholonomic constraints using symplectic methods.

problem Characterizing virtual nonlinear nonholonomic constraints geometrically.
method Geometric characterization using symplectic structures and Chetaev equations.
result A unique control law exists to satisfy virtual constraints, and closed-loop dynamics are projections of uncontrolled dynamics.

Formula adjusts steady-state models for control confounding.

problem Learning steady-state models from operational data can be flawed due to control confounding.
method Derives a formula to adjust for control confounding using structural dynamical causal models.
result Estimates a causal steady-state model from closed-loop operational data.

New budget quantifies drift in closed-loop learning, improving reproducibility.

problem Characterizing statistical learning under distributional drift in closed-loop settings.
method Introduces an intrinsic drift budget CTC_T quantifying cumulative information-geometric motion of the data distribution.
result Proves a drift-feedback bound of order T1/2+CT/TT^{-1/2}+C_T/T for prequential reproducibility, up to controlled second-order remainder terms.

MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.

problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.

End-to-end learnable network for safer self-driving with interpretable intermediate representations.

problem Safe motion planning for self-driving vehicles.
method Differentiable semantic occupancy representation for cost calculation in motion planning.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art planners in imitating human behaviors and producing safer trajectories.

A new approach optimizes weights in DLP for better risk-adjusted performance.

problem Optimizing time-varying weights in Double Linear Policy (DLP) for better risk-adjusted performance.
method Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework to maximize risk-adjusted returns while enforcing constraints.
result Empirical results show improved risk-adjusted performance and drawdown control.

This work discusses a closed-loop control strategy for complex systems utilizing scarce and streaming data. A discrete embedding space is first built using hash functions applied to the sensor measurements from which a Markov process model is derived, approximating the complex system's dynamics. A control strategy is t…

2016-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a recursive MPC scheme with probabilistic safety guarantees for uncertain dynamic systems.

problem Probabilistic safety guarantees for MPC in dynamic environments with unknown stochastic agents.
method Uses conformal prediction to derive high-confidence prediction regions and gradually relax safety constraints online.
result Ensures recursive feasibility of MPC schemes by relaxing safety constraints over time.

Researchers develop a method to control nonlinear systems with Koopman operator regression.

problem Controlling nonlinear systems with finite action spaces.
method Koopman operator regression for dynamics estimation and model predictive control for control.
result The method yields a linear switching predictive model for control.

This paper uses NLDT to find interpretable control rules from complex DRL policies.

problem Complex, non-interpretable policies from black-box AI methods.
method Evolutionary optimization of NLDT for hierarchical control rules.
result Interpretable control rules with similar performance to black-box DRL.

New framework optimizes forecasting and decision-making in dynamic systems.

problem Optimizing forecasting and decision-making processes in dynamic systems.
method Closed-loop framework using bilevel optimization.
result The proposed methodology yields consistently better performance than the standard open-loop approach.

CLQT benchmarks LLM portfolio managers by evaluating their decision-making process, not just returns.

problem Most benchmarks rank LLMs by returns, ignoring their decision-making process and potential for look-ahead leakage.
method CLQT reframes evaluation as diagnosis, using a closed-loop, cost-aware, strategy-consistent environment with a five-stage cycle.
result CLQT provides a durable map of agent competencies and limitations, separating outcome from process.

Deep RL improves blood glucose control for T1D patients.

problem Managing blood glucose levels for people with type 1 diabetes.
method Developed deep reinforcement learning techniques for automated blood glucose control.
result Deep RL approach outperforms baseline control algorithms, reducing glycemic risk and hypoglycemia.

TIE framework detects out-of-distribution samples and estimates uncertainty without external datasets.

problem Detecting and estimating uncertainty for out-of-distribution samples in neural networks.
method TIE framework extends a classifier to an (n+1)-class model, iteratively refining through training, inversion, and exclusion.
result Unified and interpretable framework for robust anomaly detection and calibrated uncertainty estimation.

DQN outperforms static policies in a dynamic fee environment for automated market makers.

problem How automated market makers (AMMs) perform under dynamic fees is unknown.
method Constructed a closed-loop simulator with dynamic fees, noise flow, and arbitrage.
result A small DQN policy outperforms static policies in a dynamic fee environment.

Paper tackles stochastic control with mean and higher-order moments, finding Nash equilibria.

problem Time-inconsistent stochastic control problems with mean and higher-order moments.
method Developed closed-loop and open-loop Nash equilibrium controls using PDEs and maximum principles.
result Identical closed-loop and open-loop Nash equilibria controls, independent of state value and random path.

A geometric approach to differential game theory is illustrated. The parallel pursuit is considered as a two-player zero-sum differential game. The optimal strategies of each player is designed based on Riemann-Finsler geometry. Our approach incorporates a closed loop optimal control and the presentation is familiar wi…

2011-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Model-free Reinforcement Learning (RL) works well when experience can be collected cheaply and model-based RL is effective when system dynamics can be modeled accurately. However, both assumptions can be violated in real world problems such as robotics, where querying the system can be expensive and real-world dynamics…

2019-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper identifies tensor ranks via prior predictive matching, solving system of equations.

problem Determining the latent dimensions (ranks) in tensor factorization models.
method Prior predictive moment matching to transform moment matching conditions into a log-linear system of equations.
result Identifies which tensor models have identifiable ranks and derives rank estimators.

Motivated by vision-based control of autonomous vehicles, we consider the problem of controlling a known linear dynamical system for which partial state information, such as vehicle position, is extracted from complex and nonlinear data, such as a camera image. Our approach is to use a learned perception map that predi…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We present an alternative local definition of the writhe of a self-avoiding closed loop which differs from the traditional non-local definition by an integer. When studying dynamics this difference is immaterial. We employ a formula due to Aldinger, Klapper and Tabor for the change in writhe and propose a set of local,…

1997-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗