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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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22436586 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for clinical forecasting

Paper presents forecasting models for platelet demand.

problem Managing platelet demand and supply is challenging due to variability and short shelf life.
method Utilized ARIMA, Prophet, lasso regression, and LSTM networks on a clinical dataset.
result Multivariate approaches generally have higher accuracy, but simpler ARIMA can suffice with sufficient data.

Aims to integrate AI and modelling for patient health forecasting.

problem Personalized, precise treatment plans for patients.
method Graph neural network (GNNs) and generative adversarial network (GANs) for probabilistic simulations.
result Demonstrated integration of molecular data for predicting physiological state evolution.

Analyzes COVID-19 data to predict mortality, forecast spread, and optimize resource allocation.

problem Challenges in patient triage, treatment, and care management during the pandemic.
method Integrated four-step approach combining descriptive, predictive, and prescriptive analytics.
result Optimized resource allocation and informed policy decisions.

CASCADE improves uncertainty communication in Parkinson's disease medication management.

problem Uncertainty in clinical decision-making for Parkinson's disease patients.
method CASCADE uses a novel conformal prediction framework to adaptively scale prediction intervals based on classification uncertainty.
result CASCADE produces more efficient and robust prediction intervals for Parkinson's disease patients.

Health care is one of the most exciting frontiers in data mining and machine learning. Successful adoption of electronic health records (EHRs) created an explosion in digital clinical data available for analysis, but progress in machine learning for healthcare research has been difficult to measure because of the absen…

2017-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework improves clinical timeline reconstruction from text and tables.

problem Temporal precision and event timing in clinical narratives and EHRs.
method Retrieval-augmented multimodal alignment framework.
result Consistently improves absolute timestamp accuracy and temporal concordance.

Predicts stock price changes based on clinical trial announcements.

problem Forecasting the impact of clinical trial results on pharma stock prices.
method BERT for sentiment analysis, Temporal Fusion Transformer for forecasting, graph convolution network for event relationships, gradient boosting for price change prediction.
result Identifies two crucial factors: drug portfolio size and network effect of related events.

Study forecasts aortic pressure with deep learning models.

problem Forecasting noisy, non-stationary aortic pressure.
method Used deep learning models, specifically recurrent neural networks with Legendre Memory Unit, on 25 Hz time series data.
result Recurrent neural networks with Legendre Memory Unit achieved the best performance with an overall forecasting error of 1.8 mmHg.

Transformers improve Alzheimer's disease progression prediction by accounting for irregular biomarker histories.

problem Difficult prediction of medium-horizon Alzheimer's disease progression due to tied clinical scores and irregular biomarker observations.
method Developed a residual gap-aware transformer that combines statistical reference with transformer-based residual learning.
result The proposed model reduces mean error and improves prediction-observation correlation compared to baseline models.

Monitoring patients in ICU is a challenging and high-cost task. Hence, predicting the condition of patients during their ICU stay can help provide better acute care and plan the hospital's resources. There has been continuous progress in machine learning research for ICU management, and most of this work has focused on…

2019-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

With the emergence of the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services on October 1, 2012, forecasting unplanned patient readmission risk became crucial to the healthcare domain. There are tangible works in the literature emphasizing on developing readmission risk prediction m…

2018-12-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Self-supervised learning improves ECG classification performance.

problem Label scarcity in clinical 12-lead ECG data.
method Adapted self-supervised methods to ECG domain, focusing on contrastive representations and latent forecasting.
result Contrastive predictive coding adaptation yields linear evaluation performance only 0.5% below supervised performance.

RETAIN model improves glucose forecasting for diabetics, offering both accuracy and interpretability.

problem Inability of deep learning models to interpret their predictions in healthcare.
method Two-level attention mechanism in a recurrent neural network (RETAIN) architecture.
result RETAIN model achieves comparable accuracy to LSTM and FCN models while being highly interpretable.

Framework for joint learning of tasks on dementia data with missing values.

problem Lack of multi-task learning, handling time-dependent data, and missing values in dementia forecasting.
method Proposes SSHIBA model using Bayesian variational inference for imputation and combined information from different views.
result SSHIBA model outperforms baselines in predicting diagnosis, ventricle volume, and clinical scores in dementia.

HMRNN combines HMMs and neural networks for Alzheimer's disease forecasting.

problem Improving disease progression modeling with hidden states not fully known.
method Developed HMRNN combining HMMs and recurrent neural networks.
result HMRNN improves disease forecasting and offers novel clinical interpretation.

Neural SDEs model suicide risk with compact state space constraints.

problem Modeling suicide risk with irregular, noisy, and partially observed data.
method Developed neural SDEs confined to compact state spaces, addressing domain constraints and numerical stability.
result Improved forecasts and optimization dynamics over standard models on EMA datasets.

Clinical notes contain a large amount of clinically valuable information that is ignored in many clinical decision support systems due to the difficulty that comes with mining that information. Recent work has found success leveraging deep learning models for the prediction of clinical outcomes using clinical notes. Ho…

2019-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Critiques binary classification evaluation methods, advocating for proper scoring rules.

problem The dominance of top-K metrics and fixed-threshold evaluations in machine learning.
method Introduces a decision-theoretic framework mapping evaluation metrics to their use cases, and implements a clipped Brier score variant.
result Demonstrates the clinical utility of proper scoring rules through a Python package, exttt{briertools}.

New method corrects ML for informative sampling in time-series treatment outcomes.

problem Informative sampling in irregularly observed data hinders accurate treatment outcome forecasting.
method Formalized as covariate shift, proposed inverse intensity-weighting framework, TESAR-CDE.
result TESAR-CDE effectively learns treatment outcomes under informative sampling.

We introduce SparseVM, a method that registers clinical-quality 3D MR scans both faster and more accurately than previously possible. Deformable alignment, or registration, of clinical scans is a fundamental task for many clinical neuroscience studies. However, most registration algorithms are designed for high-resolut…

2018-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel metrics improve machine learning models for ICU patient care.

problem Predicting vital sign trajectories for early detection of adverse events.
method Developed novel performance metrics aligned with clinical contexts, validated on simulated and real datasets, and optimized neural networks using these metrics.
result Neural networks trained with these metrics excel in predicting clinically significant events.

AI predicts medical specialty diagnostic choices from EHR records.

problem Predicting timely medical specialty diagnostic workups for patients.
method Ensemble of feed-forward neural networks trained on EHR data.
result Significantly higher accuracy compared to traditional checklists.

With the maturation of metabolomics science and proliferation of biobanks, clinical metabolic profiling is an increasingly opportunistic frontier for advancing translational clinical research. Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) approaches provide exciting opportunity to guide feature selection in agnostic metabolic pr…

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel framework predicts brain biomarker trajectories with superior performance.

problem Challenges in estimating longitudinal brain biomarker trajectories due to variability, inconsistencies, and irregular measurements.
method Personalized deep kernel regression with Adaptive Shrinkage Estimation.
result Superior predictive performance compared to state-of-the-art models.

Study develops a new algorithm for assessing clinical trial abstracts.

problem Limited tools for assessing qualitative statements in clinical research.
method Developed a three-class sentiment classification algorithm using BERT model.
result Algorithm achieved 91.3% classification accuracy and 0.92 macro F1-Score.