A new method for clearing liability networks using sheaves on directed hypergraphs.
problem Clearing in liability networks using a novel mathematical approach.
method Associate a liability sheaf on a directed hypergraph to a liability network, identifying clearing configurations as global sections of this sheaf.
result Clearing configurations are precisely the global sections of the sheaf, and the sheaf construction is functorial under change of coefficient category.
Proofs show embedding conditions for complex joins and factors.
problem Embeddability conditions for complex joins and factors.
method Configuration spaces, equivariant suspension theorem, join and cone properties.
result Embeddability conditions for K∗[3] and K. We tackle the problem of constructive preference elicitation, that is the problem of learning user preferences over very large decision problems, involving a combinatorial space of possible outcomes. In this setting, the suggested configuration is synthesized on-the-fly by solving a constrained optimization problem, wh…
This paper investigates how network width and depth affect adversarially robust DNNs.
problem Understanding architectural configurations for adversarially robust DNNs.
method Comprehensive investigation on the impact of network width and depth on adversarial robustness.
result Optimal architectural configuration for adversarial robustness exists and can improve robustness.
Debt swaps improve financial networks by optimizing clearing payments and stability.
problem Improving financial network stability and efficiency through debt swaps.
method Analyzing computational complexity of debt swaps, focusing on semi-positive swaps and v-improving swaps.
result Polynomial length of sequences of semi-positive v-improving swaps for ranking-based clearing, but NP-hard for arbitrary v-improving swaps.
Computer experiments reveal complex knots that don't simplify.
problem Understanding the dynamics of complex knots under self-repulsion.
method Computer simulations of knot theory, focusing on rational knots and tangles.
result Discovered hard unknots and complexified knots that do not reduce to simpler forms under self-repulsion.
KineticSim accelerates financial market simulations 3406x over CPU.
problem Simulating financial markets at scale with multi-agent models is bottlenecked by sequential processing and GPU kernel overhead.
method Formalized and implemented a reusable parallel design pattern for iterative multi-agent reductions in thread-block shared memory.
result Achieved a peak throughput of over 54.7 billion agent-events per second, delivering 3406x speedup over CPU.
KineticSim: A lightweight, high-performance execution engine for real-time market simulators
problem Simulating financial markets at scale with multi-agent models
method Reusable parallel design pattern: persistent, state-carrying clearing for iterative multi-agent reductions
result Reduces per-step critical-path depth from Theta(L+A) to Theta(log L + ceil(A/L))
FinanceBench benchmarks LLMs on financial QA, revealing limitations.
problem Evaluating LLMs' performance on financial question answering.
method Developed a comprehensive test suite (FinanceBench) with 10,231 questions, tested 16 models, and manually reviewed answers.
result Existing LLMs have significant limitations for financial QA, especially GPT-4-Turbo.
We introduce an innovative theoretical framework to model derivative transactions between defaultable entities based on the principle of arbitrage freedom. Our framework extends the traditional formulations based on Credit and Debit Valuation Adjustments (CVA and DVA). Depending on how the default contingency is accoun…
We propose a model for the credit and liquidity risks faced by clearing members of Central Counterparty Clearing houses (CCPs). This model aims to capture the features of: gap risk; feedback between clearing member default, market volatility and margining requirements; the different risks faced by various types of mark…
Unified model for network risks, including bilateral and central clearing, with practical applications.
problem Managing risks in financial networks with multiple trading types.
method Developed a one-period XVA model with explicit formulas for various quantities.
result Illustrated practical uses for stress testing and portfolio optimization.
If Gamma is any finite graph, then the unlabelled configuration space of n points on Gamma, denoted UC^n(Gamma), is the space of n-element subsets of Gamma. The braid group of Gamma on n strands is the fundamental group of UC^n(Gamma). We apply a discrete version of Morse theory to these UC^n(Gamma), for any n and any …
Study compares nine deep learning architectures for multi-horizon financial forecasting.
problem Evaluating the performance of deep learning architectures for multi-horizon financial forecasting.
method Conducted 918 experiments across cryptocurrency, forex, and equity markets using nine architectures.
result ModernTCN achieves the best mean rank (1.333) with a 75 percent first-place rate.
Optimal control solves multi-period liability clearing problems.
problem Clearing liabilities among entities over multiple periods.
method Formulated as a convex optimal control problem, solved using convex costs and constraints.
result Solves the problem of clearing liabilities among entities over multiple periods.
Paper introduces Cycles Protocol to integrate trade credit into market clearing.
problem Liquidity embedded in trade credit outside formal settlement infrastructures.
method Distributed, multilateral clearing mechanism based on double-entry accounting.
result Cycles Protocol maximizes balance sheet compression without redistributing counterparty risk.
We quantify the sensitivity of the Eisenberg-Noe clearing vector to estimation errors in the bilateral liabilities of a financial system in a stylized setting. The interbank liabilities matrix is a crucial input to the computation of the clearing vector. However, in practice central bankers and regulators must often es…
The problem of market clearing is to set a price for an item such that quantity demanded equals quantity supplied. In this work, we cast the problem of predicting clearing prices into a learning framework and use the resulting models to perform revenue optimization in auctions and markets with contextual information. T…
Recent innovations in Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) provide new opportunities and challenges for integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) into the energy supply system as active market players. By increasing integration of DERs, novel market platform should be designed for these new market …
The paper examines clearing payments in financial networks to prevent cascaded defaults.
problem Cascaded defaults in financial networks under the proportionality rule.
method Analysis of clearing model under pro-rated payments, derivation of necessary and sufficient conditions for clearing payments, convex optimization problems for computation.
result Clearing payments can be computed by solving convex optimization problems, reducing overall system loss by lifting the proportionality rule.
Algorithm tackles large-scale portfolio optimization with higher moments, improving computational efficiency.
problem Optimizing portfolios with higher moments (variance, skewness, kurtosis) for large asset universes is computationally infeasible.
method Developed a structure-exploiting algorithm based on Yau's affine-normal descent, working directly with return matrix.
result Algorithm avoids explicit higher-order tensors and exploits quartic structure for efficient computation.
Paper proposes a decentralized payment clearing system using blockchain and optimal bidding strategies.
problem Default contagion in a network of smart contracts cleared through blockchain.
method Constructs a decentralized clearing mechanism using blockchain and optimal bidding strategies.
result Proves existence and uniqueness of equilibrium clearing condition for terminal net worths.
A new model calculates optimal clearing payments in dynamic financial networks.
problem Determining fair clearing payments in networks with potential defaults.
method Extends Eisenberg-Noe model to multiple time periods, solving linear programs for optimal payments.
result Proves the model satisfies the priority of debt claims requirement and finds unique optimal payments.
CLEAR calibrates both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties for better predictive intervals.
problem Balanced uncertainty quantification for reliable predictive modeling.
method CLEAR uses two parameters, γ1 and γ2, to combine aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.
result Clear achieves significant improvements in interval width and coverage.
Proposes a model for clearing prices in financial markets due to margin calls.
problem Determining prices in financial markets following margin calls and short squeezes.
method Developed an explicit formulation for clearing prices after margin calls and short squeezes.
result Identified a threshold short interest ratio leading to discontinuity in clearing prices.
This paper develops an XVA (costs) analysis of centrally cleared trading, parallel to the one that has been developed in the last years for bilateral transactions. We introduce a dynamic framework that incorporates the sequence of cash-flows involved in the waterfall of resources of a clearing house. The total cost of …
Extracting an understanding of the underlying system from high dimensional data is a growing problem in science. Discovering informative and meaningful features is crucial for clustering, classification, and low dimensional data embedding. Here we propose to construct features based on their ability to discriminate bet…
Computes fundamental groups of restricted configuration spaces.
problem Understanding the structure of configuration spaces after removing hypersurfaces.
method Fibration over unordered configuration spaces of n−1 points, computation of fundamental groups. result Fundamental groups of restricted configuration spaces computed in small dimensions.
CLEAR learns causal graphs from attention in recommender systems to explain user behavior.
problem Understanding why specific recommendations are made in recommender systems.
method CLEAR learns session-specific causal graphs from attention in pre-trained neural recommenders, addressing latent confounders.
result CLEAR provides counterfactual explanations that are shorter and more effective than naive methods.
Unified framework for complex financial networks using lattice theory.
problem Complex financial networks with multiple currencies and dependencies.
method Recast classical financial clearing model into lattice liability networks.
result Lattice-valued clearing sections form a complete lattice, enabling tractable analysis.
Improved hardness results for clearing payments in financial networks with CDSs.
problem Determining clearing payments in financial networks with CDSs after financial shocks.
method Analyzing computational complexity of clearing problems, showing PPAD-hardness and FIXP-completeness improvements.
result PPAD-hardness of clearing problem significantly improved to ε ≈ 0.101.
We study the configuration space of equilateral and equiangular spatial hexagons for any bond angle by giving explicit expressions of all the possible shapes. We show that the chair configuration is isolated, whereas the boat configuration allows one-dimensional deformations which form a circle in the configuration spa…
Study shows configuration spaces' homological dimension increases monotonically.
problem Understanding the homological properties of configuration spaces of manifolds.
method Analyzing the homological monotonicity of unordered configuration spaces of manifolds.
result Homological dimension of configuration spaces increases monotonically in each degree.
Researchers create a model for surface point configurations.
problem No existing models for surface configuration spaces.
method Constructed a discrete combinatorial model for an oriented surface.
result Homotopy equivalence between configuration space and subcomplex of cube complex.
Tripod configurations of plane curves, formed by certain triples of normal lines coinciding at a point, were introduced by Tabachnikov, who showed that C2 closed convex curves possess at least two tripod configurations. Later, Kao and Wang established the existence of tripod configurations for C2 closed locally c…
We study the Orchard relation for generic configurations of points in the plane (also called order types). We introduce infinitesimally-close points and analyse the relation of this notion with the Orchard relation. The second part of the paper deals with monochromatic configurations (for the Orchard relation). We give…
This paper extends homological stability results for configuration spaces of manifolds.
problem Homological stability of configuration spaces of manifolds.
method Analyzing the cohomology of configuration spaces of manifolds, focusing on stability in odd and even degrees.
result The stable range for homology groups of configuration spaces depends on the dimension of the manifold and the number of configuration points.
Quantum groups created from disk configuration space homologies.
problem Creating quantum groups from algebraic structures.
method Reconstructing quantum groups from homologies of configuration spaces of disks.
result New combinatorics and actual submanifolds of configuration spaces.
We study configurations of immersed curves in surfaces and surfaces in 3-manifolds. Among other results, we show that primitive curves have only finitely many configurations which minimize the number of double points. We give examples of minimal configurations not realized by geodesics in any hyperbolic metric.
A machine learning configuration refers to a combination of preprocessor, learner, and hyperparameters. Given a set of configurations and a large dataset randomly split into training and testing set, we study how to efficiently select the best configuration with approximately the highest testing accuracy when trained f…
Study orders of canonical bundles over graph configuration spaces.
problem Determining bundle orders for planar and nonplanar graphs.
method Analyzing configuration spaces of graphs to find bundle orders.
result Bundle orders are 2 for planar and 4 for nonplanar graphs.
Blockchain markets with paid-priority trading can lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
problem Discrete clearing and paid-priority in blockchain markets lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
method Developed a model to evaluate the viability of blockchain markets under discrete clearing and paid-priority.
result Paid-priority ordering induces endogenous selection, leading to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
Solves Plateau-Douglas problem for singular configurations in general metric spaces.
problem Existence of minimal surfaces for singular configurations.
method Generalized approach via minimal sequences in metric spaces.
result Existence of minimal surfaces for singular configurations in general metric spaces.
We consider a dynamic market model where buyers and sellers submit limit orders. If at a given moment in time, the buyer is unable to complete his entire order due to the shortage of sell orders at the required limit price, the unmatched part of the order is recorded in the order book. Subsequently these buy unmatched …
I show that the solution of a standard clearing model commonly used in contagion analyses for financial systems can be expressed as a specific form of a generalized Katz centrality measure under conditions that correspond to a system-wide shock. This result provides a formal explanation for earlier empirical results wh…
Ensuring that all supposedly valid configurations of a software product line (SPL) lead to well-formed and acceptable products is challenging since it is most of the time impractical to enumerate and test all individual products of an SPL. Machine learning classifiers have been recently used to predict the acceptabilit…
Study on disk configurations in strips shows stability patterns.
problem Understanding stability patterns in disk configurations in strips.
method Finite presentation of rational homology groups, representation stability.
result Disk configuration space exhibits first-order representation stability.
Study maps surface configurations to Heisenberg homologies for mapping class groups.
problem Understanding Mapping Class Groups of punctured surfaces.
method Action of mapping classes on Heisenberg homologies of surface configurations.
result Representations of Mapping Class Groups derived from Heisenberg homologies.