Two methods improve calibration of probabilistic classifiers, especially for multi-class problems.
problem Improving calibration of probabilistic classifiers, especially for multi-class problems.
method Two techniques: reduced calibration and class-wise calibration.
result Class-wise reduced calibration algorithms reduce prediction and per-class calibration errors.
This paper improves multi-class calibration methods using mutual information maximization-based binning.
problem Calibration of deep neural network predictions, especially for small prior classes.
method I-Max concept for binning, shared class-wise calibration strategy.
result Improves multi-class ranking and calibration performance using a small calibration set.
New framework for evaluating multiclass classifier calibration.
problem Ensuring classifiers are well-calibrated for trustworthy predictions.
method Utility Calibration framework that measures calibration error relative to a utility function.
result Unified and robust interpretation of existing calibration metrics.
Proposes top-label calibration and M2B framework for multiclass to binary calibration.
problem Multiclass calibration and interpretation issues.
method Top-label calibration and M2B reduction framework.
result M2B + HB achieves lower calibration error than other methods.
This paper rethinks confidence calibration under covariate shifts.
problem Calibration methods struggle with covariate shifts and unstable importance weighting.
method Derives Expectation consistency condition and proposes Expectation consistency loss (ECL).
result ECL loss is compatible with various types of calibration and has the same sample complexity as ECE.
New method regularizes deep networks by distilling self-knowledge.
problem Overfitting in deep neural networks.
method Self-knowledge distillation to regularize class-wise predictions.
result Significant improvement in generalization and calibration.
ART adapts class-wise resampling to improve imbalanced classification performance.
problem Class imbalance in classification tasks limits model performance.
method ART uses adaptive resampling based on class-wise performance metrics.
result ART consistently outperforms other methods on diverse benchmarks.
Hidden cost: Smoothing shrinks decision boundaries, affecting class-wise accuracy.
problem The fragility of machine learning models and the need for robustness verification.
method Randomized smoothing approach to achieve statistical robustness.
result Smoothed classifiers' decision boundaries shrink, leading to class-wise accuracy disparity.
Speech emotion recognition plays an important role in building more intelligent and human-like agents. Due to the difficulty of collecting speech emotional data, an increasingly popular solution is leveraging a related and rich source corpus to help address the target corpus. However, domain shift between the corpora p…
Statistical characteristics of deep network representations, such as sparsity and correlation, are known to be relevant to the performance and interpretability of deep learning. When a statistical characteristic is desired, often an adequate regularizer can be designed and applied during the training phase. Typically, …
Training deep neural networks is known to require a large number of training samples. However, in many applications only few training samples are available. In this work, we tackle the issue of training neural networks for classification task when few training samples are available. We attempt to solve this issue by pr…
New adversarial attack method based on deep feature distributions.
problem Adversarial attacks on CNN classifiers using output layer information.
method Modeling and exploiting class-wise and layer-wise deep feature distributions.
result Achieves state-of-the-art transfer-based attack results for undefended ImageNet models.
This paper tackles negative transfer in multi-task learning by introducing class-wise weights.
problem Negative transfer hampers function from achieving optimality in multi-task learning.
method Introduces class-wise weights to drive positive transfer and suppress negative transfer.
result Demonstrates improved performance in multi-task learning by reducing negative transfer.
Toy model study shows resampling/reweighting can improve feature learning in imbalanced classification.
problem Improving feature learning in imbalanced classification problems.
method High-dimensional toy model with replica method, class-wise resampling/reweighting, and simplified model.
result No resampling/reweighting can sometimes give best feature learning performance.
In this paper we propose the use of multiple local binary patterns(LBPs) to effectively classify land use images. We use the UC Merced 21 class land use image dataset. Task is challenging for classification as the dataset contains intra class variability and inter class similarities. Our proposed method of using multi-…
FAML addresses biased evidence learning in multi-view learning, improving fairness and prediction reliability.
problem Biased evidence learning in multi-view learning, leading to unreliable uncertainty estimation.
method FAML introduces an adaptive prior and fairness constraint to balance evidence allocation across views.
result FAML enhances fairness and improves prediction reliability compared to state-of-the-art methods.
MMDCP improves outlier detection and classification with adaptive prediction sets.
problem Label shift and distribution differences in multi-class settings.
method Combines distance measures with full conformal prediction for adaptive prediction sets.
result Valid coverage and effective control of class-wise false discovery rate (CW-FDR).
S-GAI initializes MLPs using spectral geometry from data, improving performance.
problem Lack of guidance on initial weights encoding data geometry.
method S-GAI uses SVD to estimate spectral class geometry, initializing MLPs from training data.
result S-GAI-initialized MLPs start from a more informative hidden state and achieve comparable accuracy.
Paper explains learning property of logistic and softmax losses for balanced and imbalanced class data.
problem Understanding and optimizing loss functions for deep neural networks with class imbalances.
method Analyzing necessary conditions for convergence of logistic and softmax losses in CNNs.
result Proposes a novel reweighted logistic loss function that improves performance over softmax loss.
Conditional generative adversarial networks (cGANs) have gained a considerable attention in recent years due to its class-wise controllability and superior quality for complex generation tasks. We introduce a simple yet effective approach to improving cGANs by measuring the discrepancy between the data distribution and…
We present an algorithm for computing class-specific universal adversarial perturbations for deep neural networks. Such perturbations can induce misclassification in a large fraction of images of a specific class. Unlike previous methods that use iterative optimization for computing a universal perturbation, the propos…
LAVA values data without needing a specific learning algorithm.
problem Valuing data without knowing the learning algorithm beforehand.
method Develops a proxy for validation performance using Wasserstein distance and a novel method to value individual data points.
result Significant improvement in performance over state-of-the-art methods, with orders of magnitude faster computation.
We consider the problem of estimating the class prior in an unlabeled dataset. Under the assumption that an additional labeled dataset is available, the class prior can be estimated by fitting a mixture of class-wise data distributions to the unlabeled data distribution. However, in practice, such an additional labeled…
We present a probabilistic model for Sketch-Based Image Retrieval (SBIR) where, at retrieval time, we are given sketches from novel classes, that were not present at training time. Existing SBIR methods, most of which rely on learning class-wise correspondences between sketches and images, typically work well only for …
Proposes new method for calibrating treatment effect predictors.
problem Calibrating predictors of heterogeneous treatment effects.
method Causal isotonic calibration and cross-calibration.
result Achieves fast calibration rates under weak conditions.
Study explores calibration properties in neural architectures.
problem Calibration issues in deep neural networks despite improved accuracy.
method Leverages Neural Architecture Search (NAS) to evaluate 117,702 neural networks.
result Identifies key architectural designs beneficial for calibration.
A new perfectly truthful calibration measure improves prediction reliability.
problem Improving the reliability of predictions by ensuring they are conditionally unbiased.
method Designing a simple, perfectly truthful calibration measure called ATB.
result ATB is the first perfectly truthful calibration measure in the batch setting.
New truthful calibration errors improve model ranking in multiclass prediction.
problem Non-truthful calibration errors can mislead model comparisons.
method Introduced perfectly truthful calibration errors for multiclass predictions.
result Truthful calibration errors preserve decision-theoretic dominance and stabilize model rankings.
We propose a new framework to improve the calibration of neural networks.
problem Improving the accuracy of model confidence predictions.
method Introducing a differentiable surrogate for expected calibration error (DECE) and a meta-learning framework to optimise model hyper-parameters for validation set calibration.
result Achieved competitive performance with existing calibration approaches.
Certified calibration methods protect model confidence from adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial attacks degrade model calibration, reducing confidence in predictions.
method Developed certified calibration methods to provide worst-case bounds on calibration under adversarial perturbations.
result Certified calibration methods produce analytic and approximate bounds for the Brier score and expected calibration error.
Meta-Cal improves post-hoc calibration of neural networks.
problem Improving the accuracy of uncalibrated neural network predictions.
method Meta-Cal uses a base calibrator and a ranking model with constraints to provide high-probability bounds.
result Meta-Cal significantly outperforms existing methods in post-hoc multi-class classification calibration.
Post-processing predictors reduces calibration errors for decision-making.
problem Predictors with low calibration error for machine learning may have high error for decision-making.
method Post-processing with ε distance to calibration adds noise to make predictions differentially private.
result Post-processing achieves O(√ε) ECE and CDL, asymptotically optimal.
A new calibration metric bridges testability and actionability.
problem Combining testability and actionable insights for forecast probabilities.
method Cutoff Calibration Error (CCE) that assesses calibration over intervals of forecasted probabilities.
result Cutoff Calibration Error is both testable and actionable.
New study on neural network calibration, linking it to generalization gap.
problem Neural networks lack strong guarantees on calibration.
method Decomposed calibration error into train set and generalization gap.
result Models with small generalization gap are well-calibrated.
A new method for selective classification trades off accuracy for coverage.
problem Selective classification allows a classifier to abstain from predicting some instances.
method Optimizes a collection of class-wise decoupled one-sided empirical risks.
result The method achieves near-optimal coverage in high target accuracy regimes.
A new method for multiclass calibration using vector quantization.
problem Challenges in multiclass calibration, especially in high-stakes settings.
method Compositional approach via Vector Quantization (VQ) to learn region-specific calibration maps.
result Significant improvements in local calibration with competitive global calibration and predictive performance.
This post introduces model calibration and evaluation measures, highlighting issues with a common measure.
problem Ensuring model confidence accurately reflects true outcomes.
method Explains common calibration definition, ECE, and its drawbacks.
result New evaluation measures needed for comprehensive model calibration.
Unified calibration metrics improve forecast sharpness and accuracy.
problem Improving the sharpness of probabilistic forecasts while maintaining calibration.
method Kernel-based calibration metrics that unify and generalize existing methods for classification and regression.
result Enhanced calibration, sharpness, and decision-making across various tasks.
New decision-theoretic calibration error metric improves prediction reliability.
problem Improving the reliability of predictions for decision-making.
method Proposed Calibration Decision Loss (CDL) and an efficient algorithm to achieve near-optimal CDL.
result Near-optimal CDL guarantees vanishing payoff loss from miscalibration.
Cone structures over minimal products can't be calibrated smoothly.
problem Calibrating cones over minimal products with smooth calibrations.
method Extending a key result from [Zha26], showing obstruction.
result Cone structures over minimal products cannot be calibrated by smooth calibrations.
Post-hoc calibration improves uncertainty under domain shift.
problem Improving uncertainty calibration under domain shift.
method Apply perturbations to validation set before post-hoc calibration.
result Perturbation step results in better calibration under domain shift.
Smooth calibration improves forecast reliability even with leaked information.
problem Improving forecast reliability with leaked information.
method Combining nearby forecasts to ensure smooth calibration, which can be guaranteed by deterministic procedures.
result Smooth calibration can be guaranteed by deterministic procedures even with leaked forecasts, and it yields uncoupled finite-memory dynamics in games.
Planes are the only calibrated submanifolds with flat normal bundles.
problem Characterizing submanifolds with specific geometric properties.
method Using constant-coefficient differential forms and parallel calibrations.
result Calibrated submanifolds with flat normal bundles are planes.
We describe a family of calibrations arising naturally on a hyperkähler manifold M. These calibrations calibrate the holomorphic Lagrangian, holomorphic isotropic and holomorphic coisotropic subvarieties. When M is an HKT (hyperkaehler with torsion) manifold with holonomy SL(n,H), we construct another fam…
Simple proof shows forecasts can be calibrated in a few periods.
problem Ensuring forecasts are calibrated over multiple periods.
method Uses minimax theorem to prove existence and guarantees calibration error.
result Calibration can be achieved in N3 periods with error at most 1/N. Survey of methods to calibrate neural network predictions.
problem Ensuring neural networks provide accurate confidence levels.
method Empirical comparison of calibration methods.
result Various techniques for calibrating neural networks.
New method calibrates neural network predictions for better reliability.
problem Improper probability estimates from deep networks leading to unreliable predictions.
method Proposes a constrained optimization approach for a monotonic calibration map.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance across various datasets and models.
New conditions for calibrated submanifolds in Riemannian geometry.
problem Characterizing calibrated submanifolds with extrinsic geometry.
method Introducing compliancy condition and analyzing extrinsic geometry.
result Conditions for extrinsic geometry of calibrated submanifolds.