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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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153306459612 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for class probability matching

New error bounds for flow matching methods using deterministic sampling.

problem Improving the accuracy of flow matching methods for generating probability distributions.
method Derived error bounds for flow matching methods under deterministic sampling conditions.
result Presented error bounds for flow matching methods using L2L^2 loss and regularity conditions.

Focal loss improves classification but not class-posterior probability estimation.

problem Improving class-posterior probability estimation from focal loss.
method Proved classification-calibration and derived a transformation to recover true class-posterior probabilities.
result A transformation of the confidence score from focal loss minimization allows recovery of true class-posterior probabilities.

New probability path model improves flow matching forecasting performance.

problem Impact of probability path model selection on flow matching forecasting performance.
method Proposed a novel probability path model designed to improve forecasting performance.
result Our model achieves faster convergence during training and improved predictive performance compared to existing models.

A new machine learning model uses score matching to estimate probability densities efficiently.

problem Estimating probability density functions is challenging.
method Introduced a product Jacobi-Theta Boltzmann machine (pJTBM) and used score matching for efficient fitting.
result The pJTBM can fit probability densities more efficiently than the RTBM using score matching.

Flow Matching enables robust training of CNFs with various probability paths.

problem Training Continuous Normalizing Flows (CNFs) at large scales.
method Flow Matching (FM) is a simulation-free approach for training CNFs by regressing vector fields of conditional probability paths.
result Flow Matching with diffusion paths yields more robust and stable training compared to diffusion-based methods.

Study shows refugee matching gains are robust to different evaluation methods.

problem Stability of refugee matching gains under various evaluation methods.
method Used multiple off-policy evaluation methods including IPW and AIPW.
result Impact estimates remain consistent in magnitude and statistically significant.

A common challenge in estimating parameters of probability density functions is the intractability of the normalizing constant. While in such cases maximum likelihood estimation may be implemented using numerical integration, the approach becomes computationally intensive. The score matching method of Hyvärinen [2005] …

2018-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently matches random graphs with inhomogeneous edge probabilities.

problem Matching latent vertex correspondence between two correlated random graphs with inhomogeneous edge probabilities.
method Inspired by Ding et al. (2021), an efficient matching algorithm is developed with conditions on minimal average degree and minimal correlation.
result An efficient matching algorithm is obtained as long as the minimal average degree is at least Ω(log2n)Ω(\log^{2} n) and the minimal correlation is at least 1O(log2n)1 - O(\log^{-2} n).

Sharp Lipschitz bounds for flow-matching and diffusion models with optimal sampling rates.

problem Establishing optimal Lipschitz regularity for flow-matching and diffusion models.
method Sharp Lipschitz regularity theory for flow-matching vector fields and diffusion-model scores.
result Achieves optimal sampling rate of d/N\sqrt{d}/N for Euler-type samplers in dimension dd.

Paper uses algebraic signatures to identify probabilistic structures in empirical data.

problem Identifying probabilistic structure from observed binomials in empirical probability tensors.
method Treating vanishing binomials as algebraic signatures, matching signatures to identify models without parameter estimation.
result The method successfully identified rank-one structures in real language data, revealing interpretable sets of words.

Algorithm identifies optimal stable matching in uncertain two-sided markets.

problem Sequential learning in two-sided markets with unknown preferences.
method Pure exploration approach with elimination-based algorithms exploiting partial preference information.
result Identification of pervasive stable matching for optimal stable matching identification.

Paper studies matching of samples from two distributions with a Gibbs probability weight.

problem Matching two independent i.i.d. samples from two distributions with a weighted cost.
method Uses chaos decomposition of polynomial functions of empirical distributions to derive asymptotics.
result Convergence of resulting random joint distribution to Schrödinger problem solution as N→∞.

Study minimax regret in sequential probability assignment with and without side information.

problem Minimax regret analysis in sequential probability assignment.
method Upper and lower bounds on minimax regret using square-root entropy.
result Lower bound matches upper bound for Donsker classes, up to log factors.

Estimates class prior for unlabeled data using kernel embedding.

problem Estimating class prior in PU learning scenario where only positive and full population samples are available.
method Direct estimator based on distribution matching and kernel embedding in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space.
result Asymptotic consistency and explicit deviation bound for the estimator.

New approach for testable learning using moment matching and Rademacher complexity.

problem Replacing hard-to-verify distributional assumptions with testable ones.
method Moment matching and metric distances in probability.
result Improved sample complexity bounds for various concept classes and distributions.

This work proposes a new method to match distributions across different spaces using cycle-consistent maps.

problem Matching distributions across different spaces with consistent bidirectional maps.
method A novel unbalanced Monge optimal transport formulation for matching distributions on different spaces, employing cycle-consistent maps.
result The proposed discrepancy captures the cycle-consistent GAN framework and provides theoretical support.

We introduce new families of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM) for training Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN). Our IPMs are based on matching statistics of distributions embedded in a finite dimensional feature space. Mean and covariance feature matching IPMs allow for stable training of GANs, which we will call M…

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper analyzes convergence of ODE samplers in Wasserstein distances.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of convergence properties of probability flow ODEs.
method Convergence analysis for general probability flow ODEs in 2-Wasserstein distance.
result First non-asymptotic convergence analysis for probability flow ODE samplers.

We introduce a technique to compute probably approximately correct (PAC) bounds on precision and recall for matching algorithms. The bounds require some verified matches, but those matches may be used to develop the algorithms. The bounds can be applied to network reconciliation or entity resolution algorithms, which i…

2014-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes DWMD for better matching of hidden representations across domains.

problem Measuring data distribution discrepancy between semantically related domains for feature representation matching.
method DWMD, a moment-based probability distribution metric that explicitly orders and weights higher-order moments.
result DWMD is error-free and can strictly reflect distribution differences without feature distribution assumptions.

Study best arm identification with contextual info, achieving optimal misidentification probability.

problem Identify the best treatment arm with minimal misidentification probability in a small gap scenario.
method Developed RS-AIPW strategy that matches lower bound of misidentification probability in the small-gap regime.
result RS-AIPW strategy is asymptotically optimal for best arm identification.

The study evaluates different probability models for uncertainty visualization using entropy calculations.

problem Choosing the right probability model affects memory use, run time, and accuracy in uncertainty visualization.
method Entropy calculation on ensemble data to compare various probability models (uniform, Gaussian, histogram, quantile).
result Models matching the ensemble data distribution have the lowest entropy, indicating better accuracy.

PPM improves graph matching for correlated Gaussian Wigner models with high probability.

problem Graph matching in the Correlated Gaussian Wigner model with edge correlations.
method Seeded projected power method (PPM) for iterative improvement of initial partial matches.
result PPM recovers ground-truth matching with high probability in O(log n) iterations if seed is close enough.

New method improves domain generalization by matching object representations.

problem Existing domain generalization methods fail to generalize to unseen domains.
method Proposes matching-based algorithms to match object representations across domains.
result MatchDG algorithm matches ground-truth object representations and improves out-of-domain accuracy.

Naive Bayes can be used as a discriminative classifier, matching the definition of logistic regression.

problem The definition of generative and discriminative classifiers.
method Comparing Naive Bayes and logistic regression, showing they can be used in either generative or discriminative ways.
result Naive Bayes can be used as a discriminative classifier.

Unified framework for continuous-state discrete flow matching models.

problem Discrete generative modeling with continuous probabilities.
method Introducing αα-Flow, a family of CS-DFM models based on information geometry.
result Optimal flow matching loss for αα-flow minimizes generalized kinetic energy.

Paper tackles distribution matching by partially matching distributions, achieving robust results.

problem Robustly aligning two probability distributions.
method Developed a partial Wasserstein adversarial network (PWAN) to efficiently approximate the partial Wasserstein-1 (PW) discrepancy.
result The PWAN effectively produces highly robust matching results, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

Experimentally, it has been observed that humans and animals often make decisions that do not maximize their expected utility, but rather choose outcomes randomly, with probability proportional to expected utility. Probability matching, as this strategy is called, is equivalent to maximum entropy reinforcement learning…

2019-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

With the increasingly widespread deployment of generative models, there is a mounting need for a deeper understanding of their behaviors and limitations. In this paper, we expose the limitations of Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), which consistently fail to learn marginal distributions in both latent and visible spaces…

2018-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In real supervised learning scenarios, it is not uncommon that the training and test sample follow different probability distributions, thus rendering the necessity to correct the sampling bias. Focusing on a particular covariate shift problem, we derive high probability confidence bounds for the kernel mean matching (…

2012-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Increasing availability of vehicle GPS data has created potentially transformative opportunities for traffic management, route planning and other location-based services. Critical to the utility of the data is their accuracy. Map-matching is the process of improving the accuracy by aligning GPS data with the road netwo…

2016-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗