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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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133267400533 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for class membership probabilities

In the present paper, we studied a Dynamic Stochastic Block Model (DSBM) under the assumptions that the connection probabilities, as functions of time, are smooth and that at most ss nodes can switch their class memberships between two consecutive time points. We estimate the edge probability tensor by a kernel-type p…

2017-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Work in the classification literature has shown that in computing a classification function, one need not know the class membership of all observations in the training set; the unlabeled observations still provide information on the marginal distribution of the feature set, and can thus contribute to increased classifi…

2015-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper develops methods to infer membership probabilities and rank network nodes using the DCMM model.

problem Understanding the latent structure of network data, especially in mixed-membership models.
method Degree-Corrected Mixed Membership (DCMM) model, novel finite-sample expansion, asymptotic distributions, confidence intervals, multiplier bootstrap method.
result Valid inference on membership probabilities and node rankings, quantifying uncertainty.

We use partial class memberships in soft classification to model uncertain labelling and mixtures of classes. Partial class memberships are not restricted to predictions, but may also occur in reference labels (ground truth, gold standard diagnosis) for training and validation data. Classifier performance is usually ex…

2013-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Most classification methods provide either a prediction of class membership or an assessment of class membership probability. In the case of two-group classification the predicted probability can be described as "risk" of belonging to a "special" class . When the required output is a set of ordinal-risk groups, a discr…

2010-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method bounds membership inference attack success using mutual information.

problem Vulnerability of deep neural networks to membership inference attacks.
method Extended Fano's inequality to measure mutual information between inputs and activations.
result Empirical evaluation shows strong correlation between mutual information and model susceptibility.

A new model estimates mixed memberships for categorical data with weighted responses.

problem Limited applicability of existing GoM model to weighted categorical data.
method Proposes Weighted Grade of Membership (WGoM) model, relaxing distribution constraints.
result WGoM can describe any response matrix with finite distinct elements.

Logistic regression can handle noisy labels effectively when labels are imperfectly assigned by multiple experts.

problem Label noise in supervised classification due to manual labelling by multiple experts.
method Using approximate posterior probabilities of class membership from multiple experts to train logistic regression models.
result Logistic regression can be robust to label noise when classification difficulty is the only source of errors.

The group membership prediction (GMP) problem involves predicting whether or not a collection of instances share a certain semantic property. For instance, in kinship verification given a collection of images, the goal is to predict whether or not they share a {\it familial} relationship. In this context we propose a n…

2015-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Evidential clustering is an approach to clustering in which cluster-membership uncertainty is represented by a collection of Dempster-Shafer mass functions forming an evidential partition. In this paper, we propose to construct these mass functions by bootstrapping finite mixture models. In the first step, we compute b…

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Many networks are complex dynamical systems, where both attributes of nodes and topology of the network (link structure) can change with time. We propose a model of co-evolving networks where both node at- tributes and network structure evolve under mutual influence. Specifically, we consider a mixed membership stochas…

2011-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper revisits set membership estimation for linear systems with relaxed disturbance bounds.

problem Set membership estimation for linear systems with disturbances bounded by convex sets.
method Adopted block-martingale small-ball condition and random perturbed control policies to establish convergence rates.
result Established convergence rates for disturbances bounded by general convex sets.

We address the problem of graph classification based only on structural information. Inspired by natural language processing techniques (NLP), our model sequentially embeds information to estimate class membership probabilities. Besides, we experiment with NLP-like variational regularization techniques, making the mode…

2019-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles MIAs vulnerability by controlling FDR, providing guarantees on false discoveries.

problem Vulnerability of deep learning models to membership inference attacks (MIAs).
method Designs a novel membership inference attack method that provides FDR guarantees.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the method in various settings.

Quantile regression attacks outperform shadow models in unseen class membership inference attacks.

problem Failure of shadow model attacks on unseen classes due to limited data access.
method Quantile regression attacks that learn features of member examples.
result Quantile regression attacks achieve up to 11x higher TPR than shadow model-based approaches.

New algorithm achieves faster multicalibration in online settings.

problem Achieving fair predictions in online settings with limited interaction.
method Generalized multicalibration to arbitrary bounded hypothesis classes and introduced swap multicalibration. Proposed an oracle-efficient algorithm achieving faster multicalibration error.
result Oracle-efficient algorithm achieves T1/(r+1)T^{1/(r+1)} r\ell_r-swap multicalibration error with high probability, improving on previous bounds.

New insights into Valiant's learnability model reveal classes learnable with membership queries.

problem Which classes are learnable in Valiant's original model?
method Characterization using poly-size adaptive query-compression schemes and techniques for arbitrary domains.
result Learnability in Valiant's model is sandwiched between PAC and query-less variants, with halfspaces learnable with queries.

BFPM improves machine learning accuracy by considering object types and memberships flexibly.

problem Inaccurate learning due to missing important parameters.
method BFPM relaxes fuzzy and possibilistic constraints, allowing arbitrary object memberships and movement analysis.
result BFPM enhances object movement analysis and provides flexible search space.

Paper extends Bayes Theorem for interval probability estimates.

problem Real-world input probabilities are often interval estimates, not precise.
method Developed IT2 version of Bayes Theorem and a novel algorithm for encoding intervals.
result Conservative method avoids invalid output results from inconsistent input.

New research limits how well attackers can guess if data points were in a model's training set.

problem Revealing membership of data points in machine learning models.
method Theoretical analysis of statistical limits for membership inference attacks.
result The effectiveness of membership inference attacks is limited by a constant that quantifies data distribution diversity.

The paper analyzes DeepWalk and node2vec for community detection in stochastic blockmodels.

problem Theoretical understanding of community detection in stochastic blockmodels.
method Matrix factorization perspective on DeepWalk and node2vec.
result Node2vec and DeepWalk can perfectly recover community memberships in sparse graphs.

We propose to formulate multi-label learning as a estimation of class distribution in a non-linear embedding space, where for each label, its positive data embeddings and negative data embeddings distribute compactly to form a positive component and negative component respectively, while the positive component and nega…

2019-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a new membership attack method called co-membership attacks against deep generative models including Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) and Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs). Specifically, membership attack aims to check whether a given instance x was used in the training data or not. A co-me…

2018-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper explores how poisoning data can increase privacy risks in machine learning models.

problem Increasing privacy risks of benign training samples through data poisoning attacks.
method Proposes generic and optimization-based attacks to amplify membership exposure.
result Demonstrates substantial increase in membership inference precision with minimal model performance degradation.

Develops new Markov processes with switching rates and past dependence.

problem Modeling processes with dynamic switching rates and path dependence.
method Introduces a new class of Markov jump processes with regime switching and path dependence. Derives distributional properties and maximum likelihood estimates.
result Maximum likelihood estimates of the process parameters are derived in closed form and have asymptotic normality.

The paper proposes a new model to analyze directed networks and accurately estimate community memberships.

problem Modeling and estimating community memberships in directed networks with heterogeneous degrees.
method Directed Degree Corrected Mixed Membership (DiDCMM) model and DiMSC algorithm.
result The proposed DiMSC algorithm is asymptotically consistent and provides error bounds for community membership vectors.

Paper evaluates membership inference attacks on transfer learning models.

problem Evaluating membership inference attacks on transfer learning models.
method Shadow model training strategy to derive data for membership inference classifier.
result Membership inference attacks can achieve effective performance against transfer learning models.

Flow based models such as Real NVP are an extremely powerful approach to density estimation. However, existing flow based models are restricted to transforming continuous densities over a continuous input space into similarly continuous distributions over continuous latent variables. This makes them poorly suited for m…

2019-03-18abs ↗pdf ↗

DiMMSB models directed mixed membership networks, identifying distinct community structures.

problem Modeling directed mixed membership networks with distinct community structures.
method Directed Mixed Membership Stochastic Blockmodel (DiMMSB) with DiSP algorithm.
result DiSP algorithm is asymptotically consistent and outperforms competitors.

Proposes a new privacy notion for membership inference attacks on machine learning models.

problem Membership inference attacks on machine learning models.
method Introduces ff-Membership Inference Privacy (ff-MIP) and μμ-Gaussian Membership Inference Privacy (μμ-GMIP) to quantify and mitigate privacy risks.
result Analyzes likelihood ratio-based attacks and derives μμ-GMIP guarantees for stochastic gradient descent (SGD) models.

Exploratory data analysis is crucial for developing and understanding classification models from high-dimensional datasets. We explore the utility of a new unsupervised tree ensemble called uncharted forest for visualizing class associations, sample-sample associations, class heterogeneity, and uninformative classes fo…

2018-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New attacks can infer model training membership using only label predictions, not confidence.

problem Inferring whether a data point was used to train a machine learning model.
method Evaluate model's predicted labels under perturbations to infer membership.
result Label-only attacks perform as well as confidence-based attacks and break defenses that rely on confidence masking.