A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study claims trading to rescue banks in distress.
The paper considers trading with proportional transaction costs. We give a necessary and sufficient condition for A, the cone of claims attainable from zero endowment, to be closed, and show, in general, how to represent its closure in such a way that it is the cone of claims attainable for zero endowment, for a differ…
We consider a general local-stochastic volatility model and an investor with exponential utility. For a European-style contingent claim, whose payoff may depend on either a traded or non-traded asset, we derive an explicit approximation for both the buyer's and seller's indifference price. For European calls on a trade…
In this paper, we provide a model-independent extension of the paradigm of dynamic hedging of derivative claims. We relate model-independent replication strategies to local martingales having a closed form which we can characterise via solutions of coupled PDEs. We provide a general framework and then apply it to a mar…
We consider trading in a financial market with proportional transaction costs. In the frictionless case, claims are maximal if and only if they are priced by a consistent price process--the equivalent of an equivalent martingale measure. This result fails in the presence of transaction costs. A properly maximal claim i…
We consider two risk-averse financial agents who negotiate the price of an illiquid indivisible contingent claim in an incomplete semimartingale market environment. Under the assumption that the agents are exponential utility maximizers with non-traded random endowments, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions f…
Investor maximizes utility from an unknown claim using robust optimization.
This paper studies convex duality in optimal investment and contingent claim valuation in markets where traded assets may be subject to nonlinear trading costs and portfolio constraints. Under fairly general conditions, the dual expressions decompose into tree terms, corresponding to the agent's risk preferences, tradi…
We shall provide in this paper good deal pricing bounds for contingent claims induced by the shortfall risk with some loss function. Assumptions we impose on loss functions and contingent claims are very mild. We prove that the upper and lower bounds of good deal pricing bounds are expressed by convex risk measures on …
New financial dataset and model detect claims affecting market returns.
Using a suitable change of probability measure, we obtain a novel Poisson series representation for the arbitrage- free price process of vulnerable contingent claims in a regime-switching market driven by an underlying continuous- time Markov process. As a result of this representation, along with a short-time asymptot…
Study on hedging and valuation of basis risk in incomplete markets with partial information.
LLM trading agents show risk feedback can improve alignment without fine-tuning.
VAE struggles with distribution class sharpness, which can be learned dynamically.
We study utility indifference prices and optimal purchasing quantities for a non-traded contingent claim in an incomplete semi-martingale market with vanishing hedging errors. We make connections with the theory of large deviations. We concentrate on sequences of semi-complete markets where in the market, the …
Unified methods for hedging impermanent loss in decentralized exchanges.
Game contingent claims (GCCs) generalize American contingent claims by allowing the writer to recall the option as long as it is not exercised, at the price of paying some penalty. In incomplete markets, an appealing approach is to analyze GCCs like their European and American counterparts by solving option holder's an…
In this paper, we propose an equilibrium pricing model in a dynamic multi-period stochastic framework with uncertain income streams. In an incomplete market, there exist two traded risky assets (e.g. stock/commodity and weather derivative) and a non-traded underlying (e.g. temperature). The risk preferences are of expo…
The VIX is used to enhance quantitative trading strategies.
In an incomplete market setting, we consider two financial agents, who wish to price and trade a non-replicable contingent claim. Assuming that the agents are utility maximizers, we propose a transaction price which is a result of the minimization of a convex combination of their utility differences. We call this price…
We study contingent claims in a discrete-time market model where trading costs are given by convex functions and portfolios are constrained by convex sets. In addition to classical frictionless markets and markets with transaction costs or bid-ask spreads, our framework covers markets with nonlinear illiquidity effects…
Consider a financial market in which an agent trades with utility-induced restrictions on wealth. By introducing a general convex-analytic framework which includes the class of umbrella wedges in certain Riesz spaces and faces of convex sets (consisting of probability measures), together with a duality theory for polar…
We consider indifference pricing of contingent claims consisting of payment flows in a discrete time model with proportional transaction costs and under exponential disutility. This setting covers utility maximisation as a special case. A dual representation is obtained for the associated disutility minimisation proble…
We develop a novel framework for computing the total valuation adjustment (XVA) of a European claim accounting for funding costs, counterparty credit risk, and collateralization. Based on no-arbitrage arguments, we derive the nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) associated with the replicating p…
This paper studies the optimal investment problem with random endowment in an inventory-based price impact model with competitive market makers. Our goal is to analyze how price impact affects optimal policies, as well as both pricing rules and demand schedules for contingent claims. For exponential market makers prefe…
Audit shows risk claims from distributional reinforcement learning agents are often false.
Study tests five popular trading signal families and finds four refuted, one inconclusive, and one not refuted.
We respond to the issues discussed by Farmer and Lillo (FL) related to our proposed approach to understanding the origin of power-law distributions in stock price fluctuations. First, we extend our previous analysis to 1000 US stocks and perform a new estimation of market impact that accounts for splitting of large ord…
Study shows subordinated Cramér-Lundberg model increases ruin probability.
We study utility indifference prices and optimal purchasing quantities for a contingent claim, in an incomplete semi-martingale market, in the presence of vanishing hedging errors and/or risk aversion. Assuming that the average indifference price converges to a well defined limit, we prove that optimally taken position…
We study super-replication of contingent claims in an illiquid market with model uncertainty. Illiquidity is captured by nonlinear transaction costs in discrete time and model uncertainty arises as our only assumption on stock price returns is that they are in a range specified by fixed volatility bounds. We provide a …
EBM improves car insurance claim severity and frequency prediction while maintaining interpretability.
The paper solves a utility-based hedging problem with quadratic costs.
In this paper we investigate discrete time trading under integer constraints, that is, we assume that the offered goods or shares are traded in integer quantities instead of the usual real quantity assumption. For finite probability spaces and rational asset prices this has little effect on the core of the theory of no…
We develop a framework for computing the total valuation adjustment (XVA) of a European claim accounting for funding costs, counterparty credit risk, and collateralization. Based on no-arbitrage arguments, we derive backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) associated with the replicating portfolios of long an…
Consider a financial market in which an agent trades with utility-induced restrictions on wealth. For a utility function which satisfies the condition of reasonable asymptotic elasticity at we prove that the utility-based super-replication price of an unbounded (but sufficiently integrable) contingent claim i…
We study the pricing and the hedging of claim ψ which depends on the default times of two firms A and B. In fact, we assume that, in the market, we can not buy or sell any defaultable bond of the firm B but we can only trade defaultable bond of the firm A. Our aim is then to find the best price and hedging of ψ using o…
New model improves inference on asset market durations.
Unified comparison of gradient boosting algorithms for insurance claims.
Develops a hedging method for multi-asset derivatives with correlation risk.
The paper prices and replicates various financial contracts on a risky asset with stochastic volatility and jumps.
We study a continuous-time financial market with continuous price processes under model uncertainty, modeled via a family of possible physical measures. A robust notion of no-arbitrage of the first kind is introduced; it postulates that a nonnegative, nonvanishing claim cannot …
AnChain.AI detects NFT wash trading with 0.14% of transactions flagged.
With globalization, countries are more connected than before by trading flows, which currently amount to at least 36 trillion dollars. Interestingly, approximately 30-60 percent of global exports consist of intermediate products. Therefore, the trade flow network of a particular product with high added values can be re…
DPLTM uses private winners to improve privacy and utility.
We consider the problem of exponential utility indifference valuation under the simplified framework where traded and nontraded assets are uncorrelated but where the claim to be priced possibly depends on both. Traded asset prices follow a multivariate Black and Scholes model, while nontraded asset prices evolve as gen…
We propose a hedging approach for general contingent claims when liquidity is a concern and trading is subject to transaction cost. Multiple assets with different liquidity levels are available for hedging. Our risk criterion targets a tradeoff between minimizing the risk against fluctuations in the stock price and inc…
We study super--replication of European contingent claims in an illiquid market with insider information. Illiquidity is captured by quadratic transaction costs and insider information is modeled by an investor who can peek into the future. Our main result describes the scaling limit of the super--replication prices wh…