In a recent paper, Eichmair, Galloway and Pollack have proved a Gannon-Lee-type singularity theorem based on the existence of marginally outer trapped surfaces (MOTS) on noncompact initial data sets for globally hyperbolic spacetimes. However, one might wonder whether the corresponding incomplete geodesics could still …
Causal classification of three Misner-type spacetimes.
problem Causal structure and isocausality of three spacetimes.
method Formal proof of pairwise isocausality on covers and compactified spacetimes.
result Explicit causal bijections and deck-equivariance criterion for isocausality.
Chronological Causal Bandits (CCB) tackles dynamic causal decision-making.
problem Dynamic causal decision-making in a system where rewards depend on past interventions.
method Introduces a new MAB problem (Chronological Causal Bandit) where rewards are influenced by a dynamic causal model.
result Early findings show the CCB can transfer information between sequential MABs.
IMPaCT improves node classification in chronological split temporal graphs.
problem Domain adaptation challenges in graph data due to chronological splits.
method IMPaCT proposes a method to impose invariant properties based on realistic assumptions derived from temporal graph structures.
result IMPaCT achieves a 3.8% performance improvement over current SOTA method on the ogbn-mag graph dataset.
Chronologically consistent models maintain accuracy with time-restricted data.
problem Training data introduces lookahead bias and training leakage in large language models.
method ChronoBERT and ChronoGPT trained with only available data at each time point.
result Models achieve strong performance and competitive with larger models, mitigating lookahead bias.
Defines doubling conditions for Lorentzian spaces linked to curvature bounds.
problem Relating doubling conditions to curvature bounds in Lorentzian geometry.
method Defines doubling conditions using chronological diamonds and proves implications with timelike curvature bounds.
result Relates doubling to curvature bounds in Lorentzian geometry.
The paper extends Hawking--Page solutions to various spacetimes with singularities.
problem Understanding the extensions of Hawking--Page solutions with different types of singularities.
method Kaluza--Klein reduction and Christodoulou's methods.
result Extensions of Lorentzian Hawking--Page solutions with null, spacelike singularities, and Cauchy horizons of Taub--NUT type are proven.
New models avoid lookahead bias by training on past data only.
problem Lookahead bias in language models.
method Chronologically consistent training on data before a knowledge-cutoff date.
result Elimination of lookahead bias in predictions.
Probabilistic programming aids in automatically dating ice cores, reducing manual error and uncertainty.
problem Automatically dating ice cores with high accuracy and capturing uncertainty.
method Probabilistic models and probabilistic programming for automatic inference.
result Demonstrated the use of probabilistic programming for ice core dating, showcasing its benefits and limitations.
Study shows nonextendibility of warped spacelike singularities in specific spacetimes.
problem Nonextendibility of warped spacelike singularities in specific spacetimes.
method Establishes a local obstruction through integrability conditions and radial compression.
result Imply C0-inextendibility for the one-horizon Birmingham-Kottler family. We solve a lifecycle model in which the consumer's chronological age does not move in lockstep with calendar time. Instead, biological age increases at a stochastic non-linear rate in time like a broken clock that might occasionally move backwards. In other words, biological age could actually decline. Our paper is ins…
A new method extracts features from time series data using iterated sums and improves classification accuracy.
problem Time series classification challenges.
method Feature extraction using iterated-sums signature (ISS) followed by a linear classifier.
result Competitive with state-of-the-art methods on UCR archive.
Chronnet models spatiotemporal data using chronological networks.
problem Handling large spatiotemporal datasets efficiently.
method Chronnet: Grid-based network model representing events chronologically.
result Chronnet captures frequent patterns, spatial changes, outliers, and clusters.
Recently, the intervention calculus when the DAG is absent (IDA) method was developed to estimate lower bounds of causal effects from observational high-dimensional data. Originally it was introduced to assess the effect of baseline biomarkers which do not vary over time. However, in many clinical settings, measurement…
Recently ({\em Class. Quant. Grav.} {\bf 20} 625-664) the concept of {\em causal mapping} between spacetimes --essentially equivalent in this context to the {\em chronological map} one in abstract chronological spaces--, and the related notion of {\em causal structure}, have been introduced as new tools to study causal…
We create a framework for odd Khovanov homology in the spirit of Bar-Natan's construction for the ordinary Khovanov homology. Namely, we express the cube of resolutions of a link diagram as a diagram in a certain 2-category of chronological cobordisms and show that it is 2-commutative: the composition of 2-morphisms al…
Reconstruct spacetime from order and number of points.
problem Reconstruct spacetime from chronological relations and i.i.d. samples.
method Relaxing hypotheses of Gromov reconstruction theorem, using random adjacency matrices and chronological relations.
result Spacetime can be recovered by only knowing 'order' and 'number' of its points.
The paper examines how timing of observations affects causal discovery methods.
problem The sensitivity of causal discovery methods to mismatched observation timing.
method Empirical and theoretical analysis of classical and recent causal discovery methods.
result Causal discovery methods are sensitive to sampling rate and window length.
This is not in any way meant to be a complete survey on positive curvature. Rather it is a short essay on the fascinating changes in the landscape surrounding positive curvature. In particular, details and many results and references are not included, and things are not presented in chronological order.
The study proves timelike Ricci bounds for low regularity spacetimes using optimal transport.
problem Proving timelike Ricci bounds for spacetimes with low regularity.
method Using optimal transport to prove timelike measure-contraction property.
result Timelike curvature-dimension condition holds for C1,1 metrics. There are two categorifications of the Jones polynomial: "even" discovered by M.Khovanov in 1999 and "odd" dicovered by P.Ozsvath, J.Rasmussen and Z.Szabo in 2007. The first one can be fully constructed in the category of cobordisms (strictly: in the additive closure of that category), where we can build a complex for …
Comparing data defined over space and time is notoriously hard, because it involves quantifying both spatial and temporal variability, while at the same time taking into account the chronological structure of data. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) computes an optimal alignment between time series in agreement with the chrono…
Researchers examine various causal structures for spacetimes with continuous metrics.
problem Comparing causal structures for spacetimes with continuous but not necessarily smooth metrics.
method Examined three key properties: push-up lemma, openness of chronological futures, and existence of limit causal curves.
result Spacetimes with continuous metrics do not always satisfy all three key properties.
There are various algorithms and methodologies used for automated screening of cervical cancer by segmenting and classifying cervical cancer cells into different categories. This study presents a critical review of different research papers published that integrated AI methods in screening cervical cancer via different…
MELO predicts electricity loads by adapting to shifts without external indicators.
problem Adapting to non-stationary prediction challenges in online settings.
method MELO combines multiple forgetting factors and aggregation rules to adaptively predict.
result MELO reduces RMSE by 34.7% compared to base predictors and external covariates.
Irrespective of local conditions imposed on the metric, any extendible spacetime U has a maximal extension containing no closed causal curves outside the chronological past of U. We prove this fact and interpret it as impossibility (in classical general relativity) of the time machines, insofar as the latter are define…
Estimates financial market impacts of COVID-19 using time-varying kernel density.
problem Estimating the impact of COVID-19 on financial markets over time.
method Time-varying kernel density estimation with Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.
result Determines the chronology and regional disparities of financial market impacts.
Blockchain is a distributed database that keeps a chronologically-growing list (chain) of records (blocks) secure from tampering and revision. While computerisation has changed the nature of a ledger from clay tables in the old days to digital records in modern days, blockchain technology is the first true innovation i…
Study causal structure of warped spacetimes using novel pre-length spaces.
problem Understanding the causal structure of warped spacetimes.
method Novel notion of Lorentzian pre-length spaces and proof of causal completion as globally hyperbolic pre-length space.
result Causal completion of GRW spacetime is a globally hyperbolic pre-length space under Hausdorff chronological topology.
Study introduces new curvature conditions for Lorentzian spaces using Rényi entropy.
problem Developing synthetic curvature conditions for Lorentzian spaces.
method Introducing timelike curvature-dimension conditions and measure-contraction properties using Rényi entropy.
result Equivalence of new curvature conditions to entropic counterparts.
The paper establishes criteria for spacetime inextendibility using asymptotic volume-distance-ratio analysis.
problem Determining inextendibility of spacetimes near singularities.
method Asymptotic analysis of volume-distance-ratio (VDR) to prove inextendibility criteria.
result Failure of VDR convergence to the Minkowski value implies inextendibility of spacetime.
On the Geroch-Kronheimer-Penrose future completion IP(X) of a spacetime X, there are two frequently used topologies. We systematically examine τ+, the stronger (metrizable) of them, which is the coarsest causally continuous topology, obtaining a variety of novel results, among them a complete characterization of…
Recently, a new viewpoint on the classical c-boundary in Mathematical Relativity has been developed, the relations of this boundary with the conformal one and other classical boundaries have been analyzed, and its computation in some classes of spacetimes, as the standard stationary ones, has been carried out. In the p…
The paper characterizes global hyperbolicity in Lorentzian manifolds without relying on manifold topology.
problem Characterizing global hyperbolicity in smooth Lorentzian manifolds without assuming manifold topology.
method Two formulations of global hyperbolicity: one using chronological diamonds and the other using properties of the Lorentzian distance function.
result The second formulation is equivalent to the definition of `Lorentzian metric space' and introduces the concept of d-reflectivity. We demonstrate the breakdown of several fundamentals of Lorentzian causality theory in low regularity. Most notably, chronological futures (defined naturally using locally Lipschitz curves) may be non-open, and may differ from the corresponding sets defined via piecewise C1-curves. By refining the notion of a causal…
LOBRM model recreates limit order books from trade and quote data.
problem Lack of LOB data and limitations in LOBRM model.
method Extended LOBRM with time-weighted z-score standardization and exponential decay kernel, conducted in chronological order.
result LOBRM with decay kernel outperforms traditional models and module ensembling is effective.
Proves rigidity of extremal Kerr-Newman horizons.
problem Classifying near-horizon geometries of extremal Kerr-Newman horizons.
method Proves intrinsic geometry constraints leading to rigidity.
result Proves extremal Kerr-Newman horizons are unique.
Develops a formalism for studying general horizons and derives a near-horizon equation.
problem Analyzes the geometry of general horizons in spacetime.
method Introduces a formalism based on encoding the zeroth and first transverse derivatives of the deformation tensor on null hypersurfaces.
result Derives a generalized near-horizon equation that holds on any horizon.
The price of financial assets are, since Bachelier, considered to be described by a (discrete or continuous) time sequence of random variables, i.e a stochastic process. Sharp scaling exponents or unifractal behavior of such processes has been reported in several works. In this letter we investigate the question of sca…
We consider axisymmetric stationary dirty black holes with regular non-extremal or extremal horizons, and compute their on-horizon Petrov types. The Petrov type (PT) in the frame of the observer crossing the horizon can be different from that formally obtained in the usual (but singular in the horizon limit) frame of a…
New insights into black hole horizons from asymptotic expansions.
problem Understanding the geometry of black hole horizons.
method Proving the asymptotic expansion of spacetime metrics at non-degenerate Killing horizons.
result The full asymptotic expansion of smooth vacuum metrics at non-degenerate Killing horizons is determined by the horizon geometry.
The study reveals distinct patterns in retail investors' holding periods affecting stock returns.
problem Understanding the impact of retail investors' investment horizons on stock returns.
method Using self-reported holding periods from StockTwits, the study categorizes retail investors into long-horizon and short-horizon groups and analyzes their return patterns.
result Long-horizon retail investors exhibit underreaction to earnings announcements, while short-horizon investors show overreaction.
Paper studies apparent horizon dynamics and introduces a null comparison principle.
problem Global dynamics of apparent horizon and local achronality.
method Constructing apparent horizon by solving MOTS along null hypersurfaces, using Klainerman-Szeftel estimates and null comparison principle.
result Smooth, asymptotically null, and converging apparent horizon proven.
The article discusses new horizons in black hole physics.
problem Conceptual limitations of event horizons in black hole studies.
method Use of quasi-local horizons to generalize mechanics of black holes.
result Laws governing quasi-local horizons generalize those for event horizons.
Study examines Wang-Yau quasi-local energy in strong fields near apparent horizons.
problem Examining the behavior of Wang-Yau quasi-local energy near apparent horizons in strong fields.
method Analyzing the limit of the Wang-Yau quasi-local energy as a spacelike surface approaches an apparent horizon, considering bounded coordinate functions and spacelike mean curvature.
result The limit of the Wang-Yau quasi-local energy falls into two cases: it blows up or remains finite, depending on whether the horizon can be isometrically embedded into R3. This paper studies the utility maximization problem with changing time horizons in the incomplete Brownian setting. We first show that the primal value function and the optimal terminal wealth are continuous with respect to the time horizon T. Secondly, we exemplify that the expected utility stemming from applying th…
Proves symmetries of extremal horizons in spacetimes.
problem Proving symmetries of extremal horizons in arbitrary dimensions.
method Analyzes Killing vector fields and near-horizon geometry.
result Enhanced isometry groups and shifted Aretakis instability.
Bayesian CNN estimates uncertainty in bone age prediction.
problem Uncertainty quantification in age estimation models.
method Variational Inference for Bayesian CNNs.
result Model uncertainty distinguished from data uncertainty.