The paper proposes a new method to learn choice functions using Pareto-embeddings.
problem Learning subset choices from feature vectors.
method Embedding choice alternatives into a higher-dimensional utility space and identifying choice sets with Pareto-optimal points. Minimizing a differentiable loss function.
result The feasibility of learning a Pareto-embedding demonstrated on benchmark datasets.
This paper uses Bayesian ARD to automatically determine utility functions for discrete choice models.
problem Challenging and time-consuming task in identifying optimal utility function specifications.
method Bayesian framework and automatic relevance determination (ARD) for data-driven utility function specification.
result The proposed DCM-ARD model accurately recovers true utility function specifications and outperforms previous methods.
Bayesian optimisation framework for multi-objective decision-making from choice data.
problem Optimizing multi-objective functions via choice judgements.
method Gaussian process prior and novel likelihood model for choice data.
result Proposes a novel Bayesian framework for learning latent functions from choice data.
The paper tackles context-dependent choice functions, proposing a model and neural network architectures.
problem Learning choice functions under context-dependent preferences.
method Context-dependent (latent) utility functions, two neural network architectures.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed models on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Decision maker's preferences are often captured by some choice functions which are used to rank prospects. In this paper, we consider ambiguity in choice functions over a multi-attribute prospect space. Our main result is a robust preference model where the optimal decision is based on the worst-case choice function fr…
Study binary choice with asymmetric loss, offering simple solutions.
problem Binary choice with asymmetric loss in data-rich environments.
method Loss-based reweighting of logistic regression or machine learning techniques.
result Valid decisions on binary outcomes with general loss functions.
Bayesian optimisation's mean function choice affects convergence speed.
problem The choice of mean function in Bayesian optimisation impacts convergence speed.
method Empirical investigation of 8 mean functions on 10 synthetic and 2 real-world problems.
result Using a constant mean function equal to the worst observed quality value promotes faster convergence.
Robo-advisor learns investor's risk preference through portfolio choices.
problem Learning investors' risk preferences without prior knowledge.
method Reinforcement learning framework with exploration-exploitation algorithm.
result Algorithm's value function converges to optimal over polynomial periods.
Note: Causality can be encoded without strict time function choice.
problem Global encoding of causality under natural conditions.
method Observation of weakening causality assumptions in existing results.
result Causality can be encoded without strict time function choice.
Random Machines improves SVM performance with free kernel choice.
problem Efficiency and accuracy in solving classification and regression problems.
method Bagged-weighted support vector model with free kernel choice.
result Improved accuracy and reduced computational time.
Paper introduces Functional Effects Models to account for individual heterogeneity in panel data.
problem Accounting for preference heterogeneity in panel data with machine learning.
method Functional Effects Models using gradient boosting decision trees and deep neural networks to learn individual-specific preference parameters.
result Functional Effects Models outperform traditional models in learning inter-individual heterogeneity and predictive performance.
Researchers develop a model to detect context effects in choice data.
problem Context affects individual choices and judgments, contrary to utility maximization models.
method Developed a context-dependent random utility model (CDM) to analyze choice data.
result The CDM can detect choice set effects and is interpretable.
Neural networks approximate random utility models for choice prediction.
problem Approximating random utility models with neural networks.
method RUMnets, a neural network-based model inspired by RUM framework.
result RUMnets can approximate any RUM model arbitrarily closely and vice versa.
Revealed preference theory studies the possibility of modeling an agent's revealed preferences and the construction of a consistent utility function. However, modeling agent's choices over preference orderings is not always practical and demands strong assumptions on human rationality and data-acquisition abilities. Th…
Analyzes new economic paradigm for non-independent consumer choices.
problem Non-independent consumer choices due to firm supply and consumer information.
method Develops a new mathematical framework for economic systems.
result New paradigm for economic system description is necessary.
Designs a DNN with alternative-specific utility functions for improved choice analysis.
problem Challenges in reconciling domain-specific knowledge with generic DNN.
method Integrates prior behavioral knowledge into DNN architecture with alternative-specific utility functions.
result 2-3% higher prediction accuracy than fully connected DNN over hyperparameter space.
Optimal payoff choice constrained by Bregman-Wasserstein divergence.
problem Maximizing utility under a deviation constraint from a benchmark.
method Solving the problem using Bregman-Wasserstein divergence with a convex function φ.
result Provided the optimal payoff choice in this setting.
We investigate a class of binary choice models with social interactions. We propose a unifying perspective that integrates economic models using a utility function and psychological models using an impact function. A general approach for analyzing the equilibrium structure of these models within mean-field approximatio…
In this paper, we propose an active learning algorithm and models which can gradually learn individual's preference through pairwise comparisons. The active learning scheme aims at finding individual's most preferred choice with minimized number of pairwise comparisons. The pairwise comparisons are encoded into probabi…
Empirical model tackles decision problems without specifying states of the world.
problem Decision problems under uncertainty with inaccessible states of the world.
method Empirical approach using observed act--consequence pairs as model primitives.
result Optimality in empirical decision problems addressed using protocol-based empirical choice functions.
A new method reduces complexity in estimating dynamic choice models.
problem Estimating structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models using behavioral data.
method Two-stage approach: inverse reinforcement learning for Q-function estimation, state selection via clustering, and maximum likelihood estimation with nested fixed-point algorithm.
result The method mitigates the curse of dimensionality and provides finite-sample bounds on estimation error.
Intertemporal decision making involves choices among options whose effects occur at different moments. These choices are influenced not only by the effect of rewards value perception at different moments, but also by the time perception effect. One of the main difficulties that affect standard experiments involving int…
We introduce Neural Choice by Elimination, a new framework that integrates deep neural networks into probabilistic sequential choice models for learning to rank. Given a set of items to chose from, the elimination strategy starts with the whole item set and iteratively eliminates the least worthy item in the remaining …
Spectral risk measures are attractive risk measures as they allow the user to obtain risk measures that reflect their risk-aversion functions. To date there has been very little guidance on the choice of risk-aversion functions underlying spectral risk measures. This paper addresses this issue by examining two popular …
Many investment models in discrete or continuous-time settings boil down to maximizing an objective of the quantile function of the decision variable. This quantile optimization problem is known as the quantile formulation of the original investment problem. Under certain monotonicity assumptions, several schemes to so…
Novel risk matrix for optimal portfolio choice with tail risk considerations.
problem Optimal portfolio choice with tail risk events.
method Risk matrix with Value-at-Risk and Delta-CoVaR measures, derived conditions for closed-form solution, examination of portfolio risk and centrality, demonstration of asset centrality's impact on optimal weight allocation.
result Portfolio risk is not necessarily increasing with stock centrality and can be improved by high connectivity.
Enhances preference learning by incorporating response times into binary choices.
problem Limited information from binary choices about preference strength.
method Combines choices and response times using the EZ diffusion model.
result Response times improve utility estimation for strong preferences.
Paper tackles RLHF with DCPPO method, proving near-optimal suboptimality.
problem Challenges in offline RLHF with limited human feedback and bounded rationality.
method DCPPO method involving three stages: MLE, reward function recovery, and pessimistic value iteration.
result DCPPO's suboptimality almost matches classical pessimistic offline RL in terms of distribution shift and dimension.
A new model uses neural networks for consistent discrete choice analysis.
problem Difficulties in specifying utility functions in RUM models.
method Alternative-Specific and Shared weights Neural Network (ASS-NN) model.
result ASS-NN provides consistent outcomes without specifying utility form.
Paper optimizes estimation of quadratic functionals in nonparametric IV models.
problem Optimal estimation of a nonlinear functional in ill-posed inverse regression.
method Adaptive, minimax estimation using leave-one-out, sieve NPIV estimator with data-driven sieve dimension selection.
result Adaptive estimator achieves minimax optimal rate in various ill-posed cases.
A competing market model with a polyvariant profit function that assumes "zeitnot" stock behavior of clients is formulated within the banking portfolio medium and then analyzed from the perspective of devising optimal strategies. An associated Markov process method for finding an optimal choice strategy for monovariant…
Alt-GNNs improve travel mode choice modeling by integrating graph neural networks with GEV models.
problem Capturing alternative dependence in discrete choice models with predefined, symmetric, and uniform dependence.
method Introducing Alternative Graph Neural Networks (Alt-GNNs) that embed alternative dependence within a unified framework.
result Alt-GNNs significantly improve predictive performance over benchmark models in travel mode choice datasets.
We show how to reduce the problem of computing VaR and CVaR with Student T return distributions to evaluation of analytical functions of the moments. This allows an analysis of the risk properties of systems to be carefully attributed between choices of risk function (e.g. VaR vs CVaR); choice of return distribution (p…
This work examines aggregation functions in Deep Set learning.
problem The sensitivity of Deep Set networks to aggregation function choices.
method Investigation of alternative aggregation functions, including learnable recurrent ones.
result Learnable aggregations improve performance, reduce hyper-parameter sensitivity, and generalize better.
A new method reduces high-dimensional state space for dynamic choice models.
problem Estimation of dynamic discrete choice models is computationally intensive and infeasible in high-dimensional settings.
method Recursive partitioning algorithm to reduce dimensionality of high-dimensional state space.
result Our method reduces estimation bias and makes estimation feasible.
New risk measures for financial and ESG risks using utility functions.
problem Assessing financial and ESG risks using traditional risk measures.
method Developed new risk measures based on utility functions.
result Properties of utility functions translate into properties of risk measures.
Let us assume that f is a continuous function defined on the unit ball of Rd, of the form f(x)=g(Ax), where A is a k×d matrix and g is a function of k variables for k≪d. We are given a budget m∈N of possible point evaluations f(xi), i=1,...,m, of f, which we …
Observation of the workings of productive organizations shows that the characteristics of a trade, backed by nature given to a technological environment, determine the productive combination implemented by the decision maker, and the structure of the operating cycle which is related. The choice of the production functi…
NVGD uses neural networks to infer distributions without kernel choices.
problem Challenges in choosing kernel functions for SVGD.
method NVGD parameterizes the witness function of the Stein discrepancy with a neural network.
result NVGD achieves good performance on various inference problems.
Gaussians as noise in NCE lead to exponentially bad conditioning, hindering its efficiency.
problem Exponential conditioning of Hessian in NCE with Gaussian noise.
method Using Gaussian as the noise distribution in NCE.
result Gaussian noise in NCE leads to exponentially bad conditioning of the loss Hessian.
Unlike the case of surfaces of topologically finite type, there are several different Teichmüller spaces that are associated to a surface of topological infinite type. These Teichmüller spaces first depend (set-theoretically) on whether we work in the hyperbolic category or in the conformal category. They also depend, …
Signature Isolation Forest removes constraints from FIF by using rough path theory's signature transform.
problem Challenges in FIF's linear inner product and dictionary choices leading to unreliable results.
method Introduces Signature Isolation Forest using rough path theory's signature transform to remove linearity constraints.
result Demonstrates relevance of methods through numerical experiments and real-world applications.
Study optimal portfolio choice with risk control for log-returns.
problem Optimal portfolio choice with risk management in continuous-time markets.
method Characterized optimal terminal wealth using concave envelope, derived analytical expressions for optimal wealth and policy, found efficient frontier.
result Efficient frontier is concave curve connecting minimum-risk to growth-optimal portfolios, not a vertical line.
Abstract: A possibilistic portfolio choice problem using expected utility operators.
problem A possibilistic portfolio choice problem in the framework of expected utility operators.
method Using expected utility operators, the paper formulates a possibilistic choice problem and derives two approximate calculation formulas for optimization.
result Two approximate calculation formulas for optimization of possibilistic portfolio choice problem.
An analogue of the Riemannian Geometry for an ultrametric Cantor set (C, d) is described using the tools of Noncommutative Geometry. Associated with (C, d) is a weighted rooted tree, its Michon tree. This tree allows to define a family of spectral triples giving the Cantor set the structure of a noncommutative Riemanni…
Bayesian Optimization (BO) has become a core method for solving expensive black-box optimization problems. While much research focussed on the choice of the acquisition function, we focus on online length-scale adaption and the choice of kernel function. Instead of choosing hyperparameters in view of maximum likelihood…
New method uses DC functions for piecewise linear regression.
problem Regression with piecewise linear constraints.
method Estimates piecewise linear convex functions using a difference of convex functions.
result Method achieves close to minimax statistical risk and comparable performance to existing methods.
Optimal portfolio choice with cross-impact propagators, solving complex equations.
problem Maximizing revenue-risk in a continuous-time portfolio choice problem with cross-impact.
method Formulated as a maximization problem, solved explicitly using operator resolvents and stochastic Fredholm equations.
result Sufficient conditions for the absence of price manipulation, providing financial insights.