As relational datasets modeled as graphs keep increasing in size and their data-acquisition is permeated by uncertainty, graph-based analysis techniques can become computationally and conceptually challenging. In particular, node centrality measures rely on the assumption that the graph is perfectly known -- a premise …
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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I show that the solution of a standard clearing model commonly used in contagion analyses for financial systems can be expressed as a specific form of a generalized Katz centrality measure under conditions that correspond to a system-wide shock. This result provides a formal explanation for earlier empirical results wh…
Decentralized learning achieves centralized performance via Gibbs measures.
Study shows central limit theorem for counting measures in non-smooth spaces.
The paper validates a centrality measure for financial networks during financial distress.
Central limit theorem for Green metrics on hyperbolic groups.
FUSE neural centrality framework improves data point measurement in high dimensions.
This study analyzes how cryptocurrency networks adapt to financial disruptions.
Vertex centrality measures are a multi-purpose analysis tool, commonly used in many application environments to retrieve information and unveil knowledge from the graphs and network structural properties. However, the algorithms of such metrics are expensive in terms of computational resources when running real-time ap…
Using data from 92 indices of stock exchanges worldwide, I analize the cluster formation and evolution from 2007 to 2010, which includes the Subprime Mortgage Crisis of 2008, using asset graphs based on distance thresholds. I also study the survivability of connections and of clusters through time and the influence of …
Paper proves a Central Limit Theorem for Random Forest Permutation Importance Measure.
The uncertainty or the variability of the data may be treated by considering, rather than a single value for each data, the interval of values in which it may fall. This paper studies the derivation of basic description statistics for interval-valued datasets. We propose a geometrical approach in the determination of s…
Estimate arrival times in random recursive trees using iterated Jordan centralities.
The application of deep learning to symbolic domains remains an active research endeavour. Graph neural networks (GNN), consisting of trained neural modules which can be arranged in different topologies at run time, are sound alternatives to tackle relational problems which lend themselves to graph representations. In …
Study improves accuracy of risk measures using advanced algorithms.
This paper compares various graph centrality methods for portfolio optimization.
Generalizes k-means to graphs using PageRank.
Paper estimates the order of vertices in random recursive trees.
We prove several fundamental statistical bounds for entropic OT with the squared Euclidean cost between subgaussian probability measures in arbitrary dimension. First, through a new sample complexity result we establish the rate of convergence of entropic OT for empirical measures. Our analysis improves exponentially o…
A new method selects important variables for clustering from dependency networks.
Develops thermodynamic formalism for quasimorphisms on negatively curved spaces.
Novel risk matrix for optimal portfolio choice with tail risk considerations.
MakerDAO's governance is centralized despite its decentralized claim.
The paper studies billiards in symmetric tables and finds a measure bound for maximizing orbits.
Embedding graph nodes into a vector space can allow the use of machine learning to e.g. predict node classes, but the study of node embedding algorithms is immature compared to the natural language processing field because of a diverse nature of graphs. We examine the performance of node embedding algorithms with respe…
Many modern datasets can be represented as graphs and hence spectral decompositions such as graph principal component analysis (PCA) can be useful. Distinct from previous graph decomposition approaches based on subspace projection of a single topological feature, e.g., the Fiedler vector of centered graph adjacency mat…
This paper reviews incompatibilities of comonotonic risk measures.
Improved nested simulation for financial risk measurement.
Extends Milnor's invariants to 3-manifolds, solving an open problem.
Network theory assesses systemic risk in the insurance sector.
Transformer models improve financial sentiment measurement.
In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tappin…
In 1978 Brakke introduced the mean curvature flow in the setting of geometric measure theory. There exist multiple variants of the original definition. Here we prove that most of them are indeed equal. One central point is to correct the proof of Brakke's §3.5, where he develops an estimate for the evolution of the mea…
We show that any objective risk measurement algorithm mandated by central banks for regulated financial entities will result in more risk being taken on by those financial entities than would otherwise be the case. Furthermore, the risks taken on by the regulated financial entities are far more systemically concentrate…
The paper examines how loss aversion impacts multi-armed bandit decisions over long periods.
SM-netFusion estimates brain network atlas by considering multiple topological measures.
Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced not only by the variation of the topology of the system but also as a consequen…
Measuring comodules are defined and shown to provide a useful generalization of the set of maps between modules with a broad range of applications. Three applications are described. Connections on bundles are described in terms of measuring comodules, enabling curvature to be defined under general algebraic circumstanc…
Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network framework to characterize the time-evolving correlation-based networks of stock…
Network metrics form a fundamental part of the network analysis toolbox. Used to quantitatively measure different aspects of the network, these metrics can give insights into the underlying network structure and function. In this work, we connect network metrics to modern probabilistic machine learning. We focus on the…
Study measures invariant under horospherical subgroups for finitely generated Kleinian groups.
This paper was presented and written for two seminars: a national UK University Risk Conference and a Risk Management industry workshop. The target audience is therefore a cross section of Academics and industry professionals. The current ongoing global credit crunch has highlighted the importance of risk measurement i…
Discovering associations is of central importance in scientific practices. Currently, most researches consider only linear association measured by correlation coefficient, which has its theoretical limitations. In this paper, we propose a new method for discovering association with copula entropy -- a universal applica…
The paper studies empirical processes from nearest neighbors in regression.
We study non-abelian differentiable gerbes over stacks using the theory of Lie groupoids. More precisely, we develop the theory of connections on Lie groupoid -extensions, which we call "connections on gerbes", and study the induced connections on various associated bundles. We also prove analogues of the Bianchi id…
We describe a general framework for measuring risks, where the risk measure takes values in an abstract cone. It is shown that this approach naturally includes the classical risk measures and set-valued risk measures and yields a natural definition of vector-valued risk measures. Several main constructions of risk meas…
Continuous time Bayesian networks are investigated with a special focus on their ability to express causality. A framework is presented for doing inference in these networks. The central contributions are a representation of the intensity matrices for the networks and the introduction of a causality measure. A new mode…
Study financial markets using synchronization measures and clustering algorithms.