This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.
problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.
Developed moment estimators for affine stochastic volatility models.
problem Estimating parameters of affine stochastic volatility models.
method Introduced recursive equations for moments and proposed moment estimators.
result Established a central limit theorem and derived asymptotic covariance matrix.
The study of random walks on hyperbolic spaces and Teichmüller spaces, proving central limit theorems and geodesic tracking.
problem Analyzing random walks on hyperbolic and Teichmüller spaces.
method Proving central limit theorems and geodesic tracking using finite moments and logarithmic moments.
result Translation lengths of random isometries satisfy a central limit theorem if and only if the random walk has finite second moment.
We select n stocks traded in the New York Stock Exchange and we form a statistical ensemble of daily stock returns for each of the k trading days of our database from the stock price time series. We analyze each ensemble of stock returns by extracting its first four central moments. We observe that these moments are fl…
New method allocates capital based on tail central moments for financial risk assessment.
problem Inability of CTE-based capital allocation to reflect tail behavior of losses.
method Developed TCM-based capital allocation for normal mean-variance mixture distributions.
result TCM-based method captures tail risk contributions not detected by CTE.
Paper tackles stochastic control with mean and higher-order moments, finding Nash equilibria.
problem Time-inconsistent stochastic control problems with mean and higher-order moments.
method Developed closed-loop and open-loop Nash equilibrium controls using PDEs and maximum principles.
result Identical closed-loop and open-loop Nash equilibria controls, independent of state value and random path.
New bounds on generalization error using information density moments.
problem Bounding the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms.
method Derives bounds on average and tail probabilities of generalization error using mth central moments of the information density.
result Explicit bounds on generalization error are derived, showing better dependence on confidence level with higher-order information density moments.
In decision under risk, the primal moments of mean and variance play a central role to define the local index of absolute risk aversion. In this paper, we show that in canonical non-EU models dual moments have to be used instead of, or on par with, their primal counterparts to obtain an equivalent index of absolute ris…
The learning of domain-invariant representations in the context of domain adaptation with neural networks is considered. We propose a new regularization method that minimizes the discrepancy between domain-specific latent feature representations directly in the hidden activation space. Although some standard distributi…
We present and analyze a central cutting surface algorithm for general semi-infinite convex optimization problems, and use it to develop a novel algorithm for distributionally robust optimization problems in which the uncertainty set consists of probability distributions with given bounds on their moments. Moments of a…
Paper proposes an efficient algorithm to handle high-order portfolio moments.
problem Designing portfolios with high-order moments (skewness and kurtosis) is computationally challenging.
method Proposes a SCA algorithm framework for solving high-order portfolios efficiently.
result Demonstrates the efficiency of the proposed algorithm through numerical experiments.
Geometric approach to moment maps in complex geometry.
problem Constructing moment maps in complex geometry.
method Introducing universal families and equivariant differential forms.
result New geometric proofs and equations for moment maps.
We explain how the formal aspects of the theory of Kahler-Einstein metrics can be developed in the framework of moment maps. The central result we use is the Berndtsson convexity theorem, which is interpreted as defining a metric on the space of complex structures. We discuss some applications of these ideas to the Kah…
Study moment maps coupled with convex functions to find critical points.
problem Understanding critical points of moment maps coupled with convex functions.
method Develop a theory of moment maps coupled with an Ad_K-invariant convex function f on k*.
result Interpret Kähler-Ricci solitons as a special case of generalized extremal metrics.
Proposes Moment Exchange to use moments in image recognition models, improving generalization.
problem Discarding moments in image recognition models reduces stability and training time.
method Moment Exchange: replaces moments of learned features with another image's moments and interpolates labels.
result Improves generalization of recognition models across multiple datasets.
Let Phi : M --> g^* be a proper moment map associated to an action of a compact connected Lie group, G, on a connected symplectic manifold, (M,ω). A collective function is a pullback via Φof a smooth function on g^*. In this paper we present four new results about the relationship between the collective functions and t…
Study compares optimal vs. naive diversification in crypto markets, finds time-varying moments improve performance.
problem Optimizing portfolio construction in volatile crypto markets.
method Examines time-varying moments and transaction costs, incorporates turnover penalty.
result Time-varying moment estimators outperform conventional estimators in practical portfolio construction.
We study the price dynamics of stocks traded in a financial market by considering the statistical properties both of a single time series and of an ensemble of stocks traded simultaneously. We use the n stocks traded in the New York Stock Exchange to form a statistical ensemble of daily stock returns. For each tradin…
The moment-angle complex Z_K is cell complex with a torus action constructed from a finite simplicial complex K. When this construction is applied to a triangulated sphere K or, in particular, to the boundary of a simplicial polytope, the result is a manifold. Moment-angle manifolds and complexes are central objects in…
The paper strengthens the classical result of MLE convergence to a Gaussian distribution.
problem The classical result of MLE convergence to a Gaussian distribution.
method Sub-Gaussian concentration and entropic normality of the normalized MLE.
result Entropic central limit theorem for a smoothed version of the estimator.
New SGMM algorithm for efficient estimation of moment restriction models.
problem Estimation and inference on overidentified moment restriction models.
method Stochastic Approximation to Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM).
result SGMM offers fast and scalable implementation with streaming dataset handling.
New method quantifies uncertainty in denoising models.
problem Uncertainty quantification in denoising models.
method Derives a relation between posterior moments and derivatives, uses it for efficient uncertainty quantification.
result Efficient computation of principal components and full marginal distributions of the posterior.
We study the price dynamics of stocks traded in the NASDAQ market by considering the statistical properties of an ensemble of stocks traded simultaneously. For each trading day of our database, we study the ensemble return distribution by extracting its first two central moments. According to previous results obtained …
GANs learn distributions by matching low-degree moments.
problem Understanding when GANs learn the target distribution efficiently.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical observation of GAN training process.
result GANs can learn notable distributions by matching polynomially many low-degree moments.
In this paper we introduce an efficient fat-tail measurement framework that is based on the conditional second moments. We construct a goodness-of-fit statistic that has a direct interpretation and can be used to assess the impact of fat-tails on central data conditional dispersion. Next, we show how to use this framew…
New algorithm solves mean-field control problems using actor-critic learning with moment neural networks.
problem Solving mean-field control problems in continuous time reinforcement learning.
method Gradient-based policy and value function learning with moment neural networks on the Wasserstein space.
result Effective solution for diverse mean-field control problems, including multi-dimensional and nonlinear settings.
TGNN combines GNN and SMM for better trading network predictions.
problem Predicting asset prices in trading networks with structural impact factors.
method Combines GNN and SMM for asset price prediction.
result TGNN outperforms existing methods in prediction accuracy.
A new filter reduces density fitting to a linear solve, improving performance on nonlinear systems.
problem Nonlinear Bayesian filtering challenges in representing belief distributions.
method Combines score matching with Stein's identity to avoid partition function evaluation.
result The Score Kalman Filter (SKF) outperforms existing methods on nonlinear systems.
Paper identifies tensor ranks via prior predictive matching, solving system of equations.
problem Determining the latent dimensions (ranks) in tensor factorization models.
method Prior predictive moment matching to transform moment matching conditions into a log-linear system of equations.
result Identifies which tensor models have identifiable ranks and derives rank estimators.
Adaptive gradient-based optimization methods such as \textsc{Adagrad}, \textsc{Rmsprop}, and \textsc{Adam} are widely used in solving large-scale machine learning problems including deep learning. A number of schemes have been proposed in the literature aiming at parallelizing them, based on communications of periphera…
Adaptive t-distribution estimates nonstationary time series using moving moments.
problem Nonstationary time series with varying dependence structure.
method Moving estimator optimizing a weighted log-likelihood, using exponential moving averages for moments.
result Evolution of ν parameter in Student's t-distribution, capturing tail behavior and extreme events.
New stability framework relaxes boundedness assumptions for generalization bounds.
problem Overly restrictive assumptions for modern learning settings with heavy-tailed or unbounded losses.
method Develops a stability-based framework requiring only finite Lp moment conditions. result Sharp generalization bounds derived for various learning paradigms.
Survey on random walks on mapping class groups and their properties.
problem Understanding random walks on mapping class groups.
method Analyzing actions on Teichmüller spaces and curve complexes.
result Laws of large numbers and central limit theorems for random walks.
We introduce Z-critical connections for holomorphic vector bundles and prove their existence under stability conditions.
problem Existence of Z-critical connections for holomorphic vector bundles. method Associated geometric PDEs to Bridgeland stability conditions and used infinite dimensional moment maps.
result In the large volume limit, a sufficiently smooth holomorphic vector bundle admits a Z-critical connection if and only if it is asymptotically Z-stable. Develops a graphical calculus for stable curvature invariants.
problem Calculating stable curvature invariants of Riemannian manifolds.
method Graphical calculus based on trivalent graphs with colored edges.
result Derives a curvature identity for compact Einstein manifolds.
We prove central limit theorems for the random walks on either the mapping class group of a closed, connected, orientable, hyperbolic surface, or on Out(FN), each time under a finite second moment condition on the measure (either with respect to the Teichmüller metric, or with respect to the Lipschitz metric …
New method detects changes in high-dimensional data from small samples.
problem Detecting changes in high-dimensional data with limited samples.
method Angular kernel scan framework for detecting marginal distributional shifts.
result Exact population mean factorization and asymptotically distribution-free test.
New geometric quantisation scheme for hyper-Kähler manifolds.
problem Quantising hyper-Kähler manifolds with Sp(1) symmetry. method Constructing unitary quantum representations of isometries.
result Decomposition of quantum representations into irreducibles.
Associated to any manifold equipped with a closed form of degree >1 is an `L-infinity algebra of observables' which acts as a higher/homotopy analog of the Poisson algebra of functions on a symplectic manifold. In order to study Lie group actions on these manifolds, we introduce a theory of homotopy moment maps. Such a…
Affine jump-diffusions constitute a large class of continuous-time stochastic models that are particularly popular in finance and economics due to their analytical tractability. Methods for parameter estimation for such processes require ergodicity in order establish consistency and asymptotic normality of the associat…
Many pattern recognition methods rely on statistical information from centered data, with the eigenanalysis of an empirical central moment, such as the covariance matrix in principal component analysis (PCA), as well as partial least squares regression, canonical-correlation analysis and Fisher discriminant analysis. R…
The paper optimizes estimating high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures without separation conditions.
problem Estimating the mixing distribution in high-dimensional Gaussian mixtures without separation conditions.
method The method of moments and careful application of moment tensors.
result The minimax rate of estimating the mixing distribution in Wasserstein distance is Θ((d/n)1/4+n−1/(4k−2)). The paper analyzes Q-learning convergence rates with asynchronous updates.
problem Analyzing convergence rates of asynchronous Q-learning algorithms.
method Derives rates of convergence using high-dimensional central limit theorems.
result Establishes a rate of order up to n−1/6log4(nSA) for hyper-rectangles. A novel approach for unsupervised domain adaptation for neural networks is proposed. It relies on metric-based regularization of the learning process. The metric-based regularization aims at domain-invariant latent feature representations by means of maximizing the similarity between domain-specific activation distribu…
Paper introduces a new robust method for estimating Pareto tail index from grouped data.
problem Limited robust methods for estimating Pareto tail index from grouped data.
method Method of Truncated Moments (MTuM)
result Inferential justification and validation of MTuM through simulation study.
New GP-based method improves uncertainty quantification for causal functions.
problem Challenges in quantifying uncertainty for causal effects, especially for entire functions.
method GP-based approach using inner-product of observational functions in RKHS, with tractable posterior moments and calibration.
result Improves uncertainty quantification while maintaining causal effect estimation performance.
MuML models predict molecular dipole moments using atomic partial charges and dipoles.
problem Predicting molecular dipole moments accurately and efficiently.
method Combining atomic partial charges and atomic dipoles within a physically inspired ML model.
result MuML models achieve excellent transferability and accuracy, approaching DFT results at a fraction of the computational cost.
The contact graph of a CAT(0) cubical complex has unbounded structure and a Gaussian CLT for random walks.
problem Understanding the structure and behavior of random walks on CAT(0) cubical complexes.
method Proved the contact graph is unbounded and homeomorphic to the boundary. Reformulated Caprace-Sageev's theorem. Proved a Central Limit Theorem for random walks.
result A Central Limit Theorem for random walks on CAT(0) cubical complexes, with a non-degenerate Gaussian distribution.