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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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67133200266 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for causal type

CAUSE learns Granger causality from event sequences, outperforming existing methods.

problem Learning Granger causality from complex, interdependent event sequences.
method CAUSE uses a neural point process to capture interdependency and an attribution method to extract Granger causality.
result CAUSE outperforms state-of-the-art methods in inferring inter-type Granger causality.

ISAHP discovers instance-level causal structures in event sequences.

problem Discovering fine-grained causal relationships in asynchronous, interdependent event sequences.
method ISAHP, a novel deep learning framework using self-attention mechanism.
result ISAHP meets Granger causality requirements and discovers complex causal structures.

CausalMix generates synthetic data with causal controls for mixed-type tables.

problem Synthetic data for causal inference with mixed-type and multimodal tabular data.
method CausalMix combines Gaussian latent priors with data-type-specific decoders for control over overlap, confounding, and treatment effect heterogeneity.
result CausalMix achieves state-of-the-art distributional metrics and stable causal control.

In this paper, we aim to develop a unified view of causal and non-causal feature selection methods. The unified view will fill in the gap in the research of the relation between the two types of methods. Based on the Bayesian network framework and information theory, we first show that causal and non-causal feature sel…

2018-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper investigates causal relationships in heart failure prediction using machine learning.

problem Understanding the causal relationships between clinical variables and heart failure.
method Proposes a new computational framework for causal structure discovery (CSD) of mixed-type clinical variables for binary disease outcomes.
result Feature importance from nonlinear classifiers strongly correlates with causal strength of variables, but not differentiating cause and effect.

DCRL learns causal relationships from mixed-type discrete data.

problem Challenges in learning causal relationships from discrete, mixed-type data.
method Generative framework modeling directed acyclic graph and sparse bipartite graph, flexible measurement models for different types of data.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal structure from observed data distribution.

Study causal effects on humans in mixed human-AI systems with unobserved unit types.

problem Estimating causal effects on humans in systems with unobserved unit types and interaction networks.
method Assumed human-AI prior, causal message passing (CMP) framework, subpopulation analysis.
result Consistently recover human-specific causal effects using subpopulations with varying expected human composition and treatment exposure.

Paper characterizes and represents pairwise causal background knowledge for improved causal inference.

problem Improving causal inference by handling pairwise causal constraints.
method Graphical characterization, direct causal clause (DCC), unified representation, MPDAG, polynomial-time algorithms.
result Pairwise causal background knowledge uniquely decomposes into MPDAG and DCCs, improving causal effect identification.

The gold standard for discovering causal relations is by means of experimentation. Over the last decades, alternative methods have been proposed that can infer causal relations between variables from certain statistical patterns in purely observational data. We introduce Joint Causal Inference (JCI), a novel approach t…

2016-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We define a new type of transformation for Lorentzian manifolds characterized by mapping every causal future-directed vector onto a causal future-directed vector. The set of all such transformations, which we call causal symmetries, has the structure of a submonoid. Some of their properties are investigated and we give…

2002-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

KEEL improves causal discovery with fuzzy knowledge and complex data.

problem Challenges in causal discovery due to prior knowledge, domain inconsistencies, and small sample sizes.
method Weakly-supervised fuzzy knowledge and data co-driven causal discovery method (KEEL).
result KEEL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy, robustness, and computational efficiency.

We study the problem of using causal models to improve the rate at which good interventions can be learned online in a stochastic environment. Our formalism combines multi-arm bandits and causal inference to model a novel type of bandit feedback that is not exploited by existing approaches. We propose a new algorithm t…

2016-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning Granger causality for general point processes is a very challenging task. In this paper, we propose an effective method, learning Granger causality, for a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. We reveal the relationship between Hawkes process's impact function and its Granger caus…

2016-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

A flat complete causal Lorentzian manifold is called {\it strictly causal} if the past and the future of each its point are closed near this point. We consider strictly causal manifolds with unipotent holonomy groups and assign to a manifold of this type four nonnegative integers (a signature) and a parabola in the con…

2005-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses machine learning to estimate how different types of crashes affect highway traffic.

problem Estimating the heterogeneous causal effects of crashes on highway traffic.
method Neyman-Rubin Causal Model, Conditional Shapley Value Index, Structural Causal Model, Doubly Robust Learning.
result Different types of crashes have varying impacts on traffic, with rear-end crashes causing the most severe congestion.

Graphical causal models are an important tool for knowledge discovery because they can represent both the causal relations between variables and the multivariate probability distributions over the data. Once learned, causal graphs can be used for classification, feature selection and hypothesis generation, while reveal…

2017-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm discovers causal factors between T2DM and bone mineral density.

problem Discovering causal factors between T2DM and bone mineral density from clinical data.
method Prior-Knowledge-driven local Causal structure Learning (PKCL) algorithm.
result PKCL achieves more reliable results without long-standing medical experiments.

We show a general theorem of existence of temporal foliations in a general causal set, under mild constraints. Then we study automorphisms of infinite causal sets (which satisfy further requirements) and show that they fall under one of two types: 1) Automorphims that induce automorphisms of spacelike hypersurfaces in …

2015-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

dcFCI discovers causal relationships robustly under latent confounding and mixed data.

problem Causal discovery under latent confounding and unfaithfulness.
method dcFCI integrates a new score to assess PAG compatibility, guided by FCI search.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in small and heterogeneous datasets.

Given data over the joint distribution of two random variables XX and YY, we consider the problem of inferring the most likely causal direction between XX and YY. In particular, we consider the general case where both XX and YY may be univariate or multivariate, and of the same or mixed data types. We take an inf…

2017-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines causal properties of Finsler spacetimes with cone Killing vectors.

problem Characterize causality in Finsler spacetimes with specific Killing vectors.
method Explores the relationship between wind Riemannian structures and spacetimes with cone Killing vectors, focusing on Finsler-Kropina metrics.
result Characterizes causality properties using metric-type properties of Finslerian structures.

New method for identifying causal relationships in financial time series data.

problem Identifying causal relationships in nonstationary financial time series data.
method Refined constraint-based causal discovery algorithm (CD-NOTS) for nonstationary time series data.
result CD-NOTS effectively identifies causal connections in financial applications.

Based on the recent work \cite{PII} we put forward a new type of transformation for Lorentzian manifolds characterized by mapping every causal future-directed vector onto a causal future-directed vector. The set of all such transformations, which we call causal symmetries, has the structure of a submonoid which contain…

2003-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

FMCIT accelerates CI tests for causal discovery, maintaining power and efficiency.

problem High computational complexity in CI tests limits practical applicability of causal discovery methods.
method Flow Matching-based Conditional Independence Test (FMCIT) that leverages flow matching for fast CI tests.
result FMCIT effectively controls type-I error and maintains high testing power under the alternative hypothesis.

Pattern recognition in neuroimaging distinguishes between two types of models: encoding- and decoding models. This distinction is based on the insight that brain state features, that are found to be relevant in an experimental paradigm, carry a different meaning in encoding- than in decoding models. In this paper, we a…

2015-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Symplectic quandles can detect causality in spacetimes, improving on existing methods.

problem Detecting causality in (2+1)-dimensional spacetimes using existing methods.
method Combining Alexander-Conway polynomial with symplectic quandles.
result Symplectic quandles can distinguish between different types of links, suggesting their ability to detect causality.

The paper presents efficient methods for identifying causal graphs with latent variables.

problem Recovering causal graphs with latent variables while minimizing intervention costs.
method Two intervention cost models (linear and identity) are considered. Algorithms are provided for both models.
result Upper bounds on the number of interventions needed for recovery, and approximation factors for the linear cost model.

Proposes a method to identify causal relationships using background knowledge.

problem Identifying causal relationships in the presence of background knowledge.
method Learning local structure using all types of causal background knowledge (direct, non-ancestral, ancestral). Criteria for identifying causal relationships based on local structure.
result Effective and efficient method for local structure learning and causal relationship identification.

New method targets relative risk heterogeneity in clinical trials.

problem Identifying treatment effects across subgroups with absolute risk differences.
method Modified causal forests using a novel node-splitting procedure based on relative risk.
result Relative risk causal forests can capture heterogeneity not detected by absolute risk methods.

This paper explores what causal structures can be distinguished by observational and interventional probing schemes.

problem Identifying causal structures with latent variables using observational and interventional data.
method Investigates the power of different probing schemes (observation vs. intervention) to distinguish causal structures.
result Two causal structures are indistinguishable if they share the same mDAG structure.

Causal trees struggle with accuracy in estimating treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous causal treatment effects using recursive decision trees.
method Adaptive recursive partitioning with and without sample splitting.
result Causal tree estimators can have uniform-norm errors decreasing more slowly than any power of the sample size.

New algorithm identifies causal relationships from graphs, even with selection bias.

problem Identifying causal relationships from graphs with selection bias.
method Developed a measure-theoretic version of Pearl's causal calculus and a sound, complete identification algorithm.
result General measure-theoretic version of causal calculus allows for identification of causal relationships under selection bias.

We provide theoretical and empirical evidence for a type of asymmetry between causes and effects that is present when these are related via linear models contaminated with additive non-Gaussian noise. Assuming that the causes and the effects have the same distribution, we show that the distribution of the residuals of …

2014-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes an efficient causal discovery method with linear computational complexity.

problem Identifying causal relationships efficiently in large datasets.
method Approximate kernel-based generalized score function with low-rank technique and sampling algorithms.
result Significantly reduces computational costs while maintaining comparable accuracy.