Reinterprets Granger causality with causal Bayesian networks and Reichenbach's principles.
problem Lack of a rigorous causal foundation in Granger causality.
method Reinterpreting Granger causality through Reichenbach's principles and causal Bayesian networks, implementing as c-GC.
result c-GC provides a more principled framework for causal discovery in observational datasets.
Geometric derivation of Einstein equations from causal fermion systems.
problem Deriving Einstein's equations from a new theoretical framework.
method Analysis of causal fermion systems and causal action principle.
result Einstein equations derived from causal action principle.
New mass inequalities and proofs for causal variational principles.
problem Proving new mass inequalities for causal variational principles.
method Proved a new inequality for minimizers of causal variational principles and applied it to prove the positive mass theorem.
result Introduced a positive quasilocal mass and proved new mass inequalities.
New causal versions of MaxEnt and PIR avoid paradoxical probability updates.
problem Paradoxical probability updates in causal MaxEnt and PIR.
method Separate constraints into cause-specific and mechanism-specific restrictions.
result Causal MaxEnt avoids paradoxical updates and aligns with Information Geometric Causal Inference.
Unified approach to causal representation learning using invariance principles.
problem Identifying latent causal variables from high-dimensional observations.
method Guiding identification of causal variables with invariance principles rather than causal hierarchies.
result Unified method that mixes causal and non-causal assumptions improves treatment effect estimation.
Optimizes portfolios by identifying causal drivers of diversification.
problem Achieving efficient portfolio optimization based on asset and diversification dynamics.
method Commonality Principle, Reichenbach Common Cause Principle, conformal maps, Bayesian networks, correlation-based algorithms, neural networks, SDEs.
result Optimal portfolio diversification achieved through causal methodologies and sensitivity forecasting.
Enhances optimization in multi-source settings with causal principles.
problem Optimizing functions with multiple sources of data and causal dependencies.
method Integrates Multi-Source Bayesian Optimization with Causal Bayesian Optimization principles.
result Improves optimization efficiency and reduces computational complexity.
Two environments are enough to infer causal graphs and counterfactuals.
problem Inferring causal relations from multiple environments, especially for nonlinear mechanisms.
method Using structural causal models and the invariance principle, the study shows that only two auxiliary environments are sufficient for causal graph inference and counterfactual inference.
result Two auxiliary environments are sufficient for identifying causal graphs and counterfactuals.
A method to approximate causal models using information theory.
problem Inferring causal direction and effect between discrete variables.
method Embedding distributions into a higher dimensional space and solving a linear optimization problem.
result Information-theoretic approximation (IACM) can be used for causal discovery in bivariate, discrete cases.
Paper reconciles RCM and SCM frameworks for causal inference.
problem Clarifying the relationship between RCM and SCM frameworks.
method Neutral logical perspective, previous work, and abstract representation.
result Every RCM emerges as an abstraction of some representable RCM.
New method falsifies causal graphs using outlier events.
problem Inferring causal relationships from data is hard.
method Falsify candidate causal graphs based on outlier propagation.
result Statistical tests control false positives and have power guarantees.
The MAXENT principle helps merge datasets to infer causal effects.
problem Inferring causal effects from unobserved variables.
method Using the maximum entropy principle with causal sufficiency and faithfulness assumptions.
result Identifies causal edges among variables from merged datasets.
Over the past two decades, several consistent procedures have been designed to infer causal conclusions from observational data. We prove that if the true causal network might be an arbitrary, linear Gaussian network or a discrete Bayes network, then every unambiguous causal conclusion produced by a consistent method f…
Based on conservation laws for surface layer integrals for critical points of causal variational principles, it is shown how jet spaces can be endowed with an almost-complex structure. We analyze under which conditions the almost-complex structure can be integrated to a canonical complex structure. Combined with the sc…
New framework improves model robustness by focusing on stable relations across environments.
problem Standard supervised learning fails under data distribution shift.
method Gradient-based learning framework derived from the principle of independent causal mechanisms (ICM).
result Models generalize well to unseen scenarios, ignoring unstable relations.
Framework improves CATE estimation by aligning active learning with causal objectives.
problem High cost of outcome measurements limits CATE estimation.
method Causal-EPIG framework, targeting unobservable causal quantities.
result Strategies outperform standard baselines, revealing context-dependent optimal approaches.
New method identifies causal variables from partially observed data.
problem Learning from unpaired observations with instance-dependent partial observability.
method Proposes two methods enforcing sparsity in the inferred representation.
result Establishes two identifiability results for linear and piecewise linear mixing functions.
New method identifies causal graphs with limited data and noise.
problem Identifying causal graphs from observational data is generally impossible.
method Using additional data from two environments with different noise statistics, and assuming Gaussian noise.
result The entire causal graph can be uniquely identified with a constant number of environments.
New method identifies common cause in causal insufficiency, revealing complex phase transitions.
problem Identifying common cause in causal insufficiency with observed joint probability.
method Generalized maximum likelihood method, closely related to maximum entropy principle.
result Identifies consistent common cause that aligns with the common cause principle.
Inferring the causal structure that links n observables is usually based upon detecting statistical dependences and choosing simple graphs that make the joint measure Markovian. Here we argue why causal inference is also possible when only single observations are present. We develop a theory how to generate causal grap…
Synthetic experiments are crucial for assessing causal machine learning methods.
problem Current empirical evaluations of causal machine learning methods are insufficient and unreliable.
method Propose principles for conducting rigorous empirical analyses with synthetic data.
result Rigorous synthetic experiments are essential for building trust in causal machine learning methods.
Quantum theory challenges traditional cause-effect relations, showing causal influences even without Bell inequality violations.
problem Challenging traditional concepts of cause-effect relations in quantum mechanics.
method Introducing a general framework to estimate causal influences without interventions or classical/quantum assumptions.
result Every pure bipartite entangled state violates classical bounds on causal influence, negating the idea that Bell inequalities are the only signature of incompatibility.
Proposes MCBO for causal Bayesian optimization with model learning and regret bounds.
problem Maximizing downstream variables in unknown structural models.
method Model-based causal Bayesian optimization (MCBO) that learns full system models and trades off exploration and exploitation.
result First non-asymptotic bounds for CBO and practical implementation showing superior performance.
In this work, a version of Fermat's principle for causal curves with the same energy in time orientable Finsler spacetimes is proved. We calculate the secondvariation of the {\it time arrival functional} along a geodesic in terms of the index form associated with the Finsler spacetime Lagrangian. Then the character of …
Framework identifies causal direction from single data setting.
problem Identify causal direction from single observational data.
method VCEI framework based on ICM principle and artificial variation.
result VCEI is competitive to other frameworks in identifying causal direction.
CDFM aims to unify causal discovery across diverse datasets.
problem Fragmented, test-driven causal discovery approaches struggle with modern data heterogeneity.
method CDFM is a unified, general-purpose framework using a variational decomposition of causal mechanisms.
result CDFM outperforms traditional algorithms across diverse datasets.
A new method identifies causal direction using dense functional classes.
problem Determining causal direction between two univariate, continuous-valued variables.
method Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle applied to cubic regression splines.
result LCUBE method achieves superior precision in identifying causal direction.
New framework learns disentangled causal representations from observed labels.
problem Learning meaningful disentangled causal representations from observed data.
method ICM-VAE framework using flow-based diffeomorphic functions and causal disentanglement prior.
result Induces highly disentangled causal factors and improves robustness.
ActiveCQ improves causal quantity estimation with active learning and Gaussian Processes.
problem Estimating causal quantities requires large datasets, which are costly.
method Unified framework using Gaussian Processes and conditional mean embeddings for distribution estimation. Derived principled acquisition strategies based on information gain and total variance reduction.
result Framework significantly outperforms baselines in sample efficiency across various causal quantities.
New principle for disentangling latent factors using sparse regularization.
problem Disentangling latent factors from complex data.
method Sparse regularization of latent mechanisms to induce disentanglement.
result Recovery of latent variables up to permutation under certain conditions.
We derive a consistent differential representation for the dynamics of a self-financing portfolio for different hedging strategies. In the basis of the derivation there is the so called "retarded action principle", which represents the causality in the evolution of dependent stochastic variables. We demonstrate this pr…
New findings show invariance alone isn't enough to identify latent causal variables.
problem Lack of theoretical insights for identifying latent causal variables when variables are latent.
method Assessed the connection between invariance and causal representation learning using impossibility results.
result Invariance alone is insufficient to identify latent causal variables.
Paper simplifies calculating causation probabilities and ranks root causes.
problem Computational challenges in assessing causal relationships.
method Algorithmic simplifications and novel methodological framework for Root Cause Analysis.
result Significantly reduces computational complexity for calculating causation probabilities.
MDL principle aids in learning neural network-based causal structures.
problem Learning causal relationships from observations with neural networks.
method Prequential minimum description length (MDL) principle.
result Competitive results on synthetic and real-world data, often recovering correct structure.
Graph neural networks help infer causal effects from partially observable data.
problem Inferring causal effects from partially observable data.
method Theoretical analysis of GNN and SCM connections.
result Established a new model class for GNN-based causal inference.
We propose a new attribution method for neural networks developed using first principles of causality (to the best of our knowledge, the first such). The neural network architecture is viewed as a Structural Causal Model, and a methodology to compute the causal effect of each feature on the output is presented. With re…
CICME estimates common and domain-specific causal mechanisms from multi-sensor data.
problem Inferring causal mechanisms from heterogeneous multi-sensor data across multiple domains.
method Three-step approach using Causal Transfer Learning (CTL).
result CICME reliably detects domain-invariant causal mechanisms and guides individual domain causal mechanism estimation.
Paper introduces v-CMC linking causality and utility.
problem Linking causality and utility for value theory.
method Developed a new causal independence principle (v-CMC) and proved its equivalence.
result Equivalence of local, global, and decomposition versions of v-CMC.
Summary statistics of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) teach causal relationship between millions of genetic markers and tens and thousands of phenotypes. However, underlying biological mechanisms are yet to be elucidated. We can achieve necessary interpretation of GWAS in a causal mediation framework, looking to…
Unified framework for causal inference with reliable uncertainty quantification.
problem Causal inference under unobserved confounding with unreliable uncertainty quantification.
method Deconditional Gaussian Process (DGP) framework for uncertainty-aware causal learning.
result Strong predictive performance and informative uncertainty quantification.
Asymptotically flat static causal fermion systems are introduced. Their total mass is defined as a limit of surface layer integrals which compare the measures describing the asymptotically flat spacetime and a vacuum spacetime near spatial infinity. Our definition does not involve any regularity assumptions; it even ap…
Dagma-DCE improves causal discovery with interpretable measures and open-source code.
problem Arbitrary proxy measures of causal strength in non-parametric causal discovery.
method Uses weighted adjacency matrices based on an interpretable measure of causal strength.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in simulated datasets.
Frengression models causal data flexibly and faithfully.
problem Challenges in robust benchmarking and evaluation of causal inference with real-world data.
method Introduces frengression, a deep generative model for joint distribution of covariates, treatments, and outcomes.
result Frengression provides accurate estimation and flexible simulation of multivariate, time-varying data.
New approach combines invariance and information bottleneck for OOD generalization.
problem OOD generalization failures in classification tasks.
method Revisit linear regression tasks, prove information bottleneck constraint necessary, propose combined approach.
result Combined invariance and information bottleneck approach improves OOD generalization.
This thesis tackles causality in machine learning, improving OOD generalization and robustness.
problem Machine learning struggles with OOD generalization and robustness due to lack of causality modeling.
method Exploits the principle of independent causal mechanisms (ICM) to ensure conditional distribution invariance under distribution shifts.
result Demonstrates how incorporating causality can enhance machine learning's OOD generalization, interpretability, and robustness.
Examines parallels between human subjects and texts for causal inference.
problem Ambiguity and fallacies in causal inference using textual data.
method Two strategies: shifting from traits to perceptions and from concepts to parts.
result Highlights the importance of clarifying fundamental concepts.
FLOP algorithm speeds up causal structure learning for linear models.
problem Efficiently learning causal structures from discrete data.
method FLOP algorithm combines fast parent selection and iterative score updates.
result FLOP finds highly accurate causal structures with near-perfect recovery.
BayesIMP combines multiple causal graphs to estimate average treatment effects with uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty quantification in causal inference from multiple datasets.
method Bayesian Interventional Mean Processes (BayesIMP) integrating probabilistic integration and kernel mean embeddings.
result Improvements in average treatment effect estimation over state-of-the-art methods.