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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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21426384 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for causal polytree

Local approach learns causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.

problem Learning causal structure of linear Gaussian polytree models from interventional data.
method First learns the skeleton and then orients edges of the polytree using second order statistics and low-dimensional marginal distributions.
result Consistent and scalable approach that handles problems with thousands of nodes.

Researchers study learning polytree graphs from linear SEMs with exact recovery conditions.

problem Learning polytree graphs from linear SEMs with exact recovery conditions.
method Study Gaussian polytree models, derive sufficient and necessary conditions for sample sizes, and establish estimation error bounds.
result Sharp characterization of difficulty with matching sufficient and necessary conditions.

Efficiently learns polytrees with known skeleton in polynomial time and sample complexity.

problem Learning polytrees with known skeleton structure.
method Proposes an efficient algorithm for learning dd-polytrees in polynomial time and sample complexity when the skeleton is known.
result Establishes finite-sample guarantees for efficient learning of dd-polytrees.

We present a graphical criterion for reading dependencies from the minimal directed independence map G of a graphoid p when G is a polytree and p satisfies composition and weak transitivity. We prove that the criterion is sound and complete. We argue that assuming composition and weak transitivity is not too restrictiv…

2012-06-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on learning sparse fixed-structure Gaussian Bayesian networks with near-optimal sample complexity.

problem Learning a fixed-structure Gaussian Bayesian network up to a bounded error in total variation distance.
method Analysis of node-wise least squares regression and introduction of BatchAvgLeastSquares and CauchyEst algorithms.
result BatchAvgLeastSquares and CauchyEstTree have near-optimal sample complexity.

Algorithm learns Bayesian network structure efficiently from data.

problem Learning directed acyclic graphical models from observational data.
method Local Markov boundary search procedure to recursively construct ancestral sets.
result Simple greedy search algorithm learns Markov boundary of each node efficiently.

SOLBP extends efficient inference to uncertain Bayesian networks.

problem Inference in uncertain Bayesian networks with second-order probabilities.
method Extends Loopy Belief Propagation to second-order Bayesian networks.
result Generates inferences consistent with sum-product networks, more efficient and scalable.

This paper presents new results for the (partial) maximum a posteriori (MAP) problem in Bayesian networks, which is the problem of querying the most probable state configuration of some of the network variables given evidence. First, it is demonstrated that the problem remains hard even in networks with very simple top…

2010-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework learns disentangled causal representations from observed labels.

problem Learning meaningful disentangled causal representations from observed data.
method ICM-VAE framework using flow-based diffeomorphic functions and causal disentanglement prior.
result Induces highly disentangled causal factors and improves robustness.

Reinterprets Granger causality with causal Bayesian networks and Reichenbach's principles.

problem Lack of a rigorous causal foundation in Granger causality.
method Reinterpreting Granger causality through Reichenbach's principles and causal Bayesian networks, implementing as c-GC.
result c-GC provides a more principled framework for causal discovery in observational datasets.

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

Improved Granger causality method for dynamic time series data.

problem Traditional Granger causality method assumes constant causalities, failing to model dynamic causalities.
method Dynamic window-level Granger causality (DWGC) method with causality indexing.
result Improved DWGC method better detects window-level causalities.

The study examines causal razors and their logical relations, highlighting a dilemma in causal discovery.

problem Selecting a reasonable scoring criterion for causal discovery algorithms.
method Review and logical comparison of numerous causal razors, focusing on parameter minimality in multinomial models.
result Parameter minimality poses a dilemma in selecting a reasonable scoring criterion for causal discovery algorithms.

CIB compresses variables causally, preserving key causal interactions.

problem Constructing causal variable abstractions in complex systems.
method Causal Information Bottleneck (CIB) method, extending IB to include causal structures.
result CIB produces causally interpretable abstractions that accurately capture causal relations.

Paper characterizes and represents pairwise causal background knowledge for improved causal inference.

problem Improving causal inference by handling pairwise causal constraints.
method Graphical characterization, direct causal clause (DCC), unified representation, MPDAG, polynomial-time algorithms.
result Pairwise causal background knowledge uniquely decomposes into MPDAG and DCCs, improving causal effect identification.

Proposes DCNAR for dynamic causal inference from neural time series.

problem Uncertainty and evolution of causal structure in real-world domains.
method Two-stage neural causal modeling integrating discovery and inference.
result Dynamic causal inferences are more stable and meaningful than alternatives.

New algorithms for causal bandits without knowing the graph structure.

problem Causal bandit problems with unknown graph structure.
method Developed novel causal bandit algorithms for causal trees, forests, and general graphs without prior knowledge of the causal graph.
result Regret guarantees significantly improved over standard MAB algorithms under mild conditions.

DoWhy-GCM extends causal inference in graphical models for diverse queries.

problem Addressing diverse causal queries in graphical causal models.
method Specify cause-effect relations via a causal graph, fit causal mechanisms, pose causal queries.
result Identification of root causes, attribution of causal influences, diagnosis of causal structures.

ABCI infers causal models and queries simultaneously using Bayesian active learning.

problem Inference of causal models and effects in a two-stage process is inefficient and unnatural.
method Active Bayesian Causal Inference (ABCI) using Gaussian processes for sequentially designing experiments.
result ABCI is more data-efficient and accurate in learning causal queries from fewer samples.

Optimizes causal effects on unknown graphs using Causal Entropy Optimization.

problem Optimizing causal effects in unknown causal graphs.
method Causal Entropy Optimization (CEO) framework that generalizes Causal Bayesian Optimization (CBO). Incorporates causal structure uncertainty in surrogate models and intervention selection.
result CEO achieves faster convergence to global optimum compared to CBO and improves upon sequential structure learning.

Proposes Causal Loss to improve machine learning models' causal inference.

problem Machine learning algorithms often fail to capture causal relationships when data is inconsistent.
method Introduces Causal Loss, a model-agnostic loss function that enhances interventional capabilities.
result Causal Loss improves non-causal associative models to have interventional capabilities.

iCITRIS learns causal variables from interactive systems with instantaneous effects.

problem Identifying causal variables from temporal sequences with instantaneous effects.
method iCITRIS method for causal representation learning that handles instantaneous effects in intervened temporal sequences.
result iCITRIS accurately identifies causal variables and their causal graph from three interactive system datasets.

Paper constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.

problem Unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
method Constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
result Examples of unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.

Meta-causal states group equivalent qualitative causal dynamics, useful for analyzing system changes.

problem Qualitative changes in causal relationships due to agent actions or environmental tipping points.
method Propose meta-causal states to group causal models based on equivalent qualitative behavior and parameterize specific mechanisms.
result Meta-causal states can be inferred from observed agent behavior and disentangled from unlabeled data.

RealCause provides a realistic benchmark for causal inference.

problem Lack of a reliable benchmark for comparing causal effect estimators.
method Flexible generative models to create a benchmark that is both ground-truth and realistic.
result Evaluation of over 1500 causal estimators provides evidence for choosing hyperparameters using predictive metrics.

Amortized Causal Discovery learns to infer causal graphs from time-series data, improving performance.

problem Inference of causal graphs from time-series data is inefficient due to fitting new models for each sample.
method Proposes Amortized Causal Discovery, a variational model that leverages shared dynamics across samples with different causal graphs.
result Significant improvements in causal discovery performance demonstrated experimentally.

We give an up-to-date perspective with a general overview of the theory of causal properties, the derived causal structures, their classification and applications, and the definition and construction of causal boundaries and of causal symmetries, mostly for Lorentzian manifolds but also in more abstract settings.

2005-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

FMI uses matching to mimic interventions for causal feature learning.

problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational data.
method Feature Matching Intervention (FMI) using matching to emulate perfect interventions.
result FMI outperforms in identifying causal features from observational data.

In this work we define and study the relations between Lorentzian Manifolds given by the diffeomorphisms which map causal future directed vectors onto causal future directed vectors. This class of diffeomorphisms, called proper causal relations, contains as a subset the well-known group of conformal relations and are d…

2002-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗