Simplified identification methods for causal inference with arbitrary interventional distributions.
problem Estimating cause-effect relationships from data with experimental interventions.
method Using Single World Intervention Graphs and nested model factorization, we provide algorithms for identifying causal parameters from mixed observational and interventional distributions.
result Our algorithms are complete for certain types of interventional marginal distributions.
New method identifies causal parameters in tree-shaped linear models using cycles.
problem Identifying causal parameters from correlations in tree-shaped linear models.
method Investigates tree-shaped linear models, uses missing cycles to identify causal parameters, solves quadratic equations.
result Shows how missing cycles can be combined to obtain a unique solution for causal parameters.
New approach uses negative controls to estimate causal parameters without completeness conditions.
problem Estimating causal parameters when not all confounders are observed.
method Identification strategy based on minimax learning formulations for general function classes.
result Avoids completeness conditions and uniqueness assumptions on bridge functions.
Study identifies parameters in causal models with latent confounding.
problem Parameter identification in linear non-Gaussian causal models with latent confounding.
method Graphical criterion for necessary and sufficient identifiability of direct causal effects, with polynomial-time algorithm.
result Developed a graphical criterion for identifying direct causal effects in latent variable models with arbitrary non-linear confounding.
Computational identifiability is a new framework for identifying causal effects.
problem Identifying causal effects in complex scenarios.
method A computational search procedure for empirical estimators.
result Fine-grained identification questions can be answered.
The aim of this comment (set to appear in a formal discussion in JASA) is to draw out some conclusions from an extended back-and-forth I have had with Wang and Blei regarding the deconfounder method proposed in "The Blessings of Multiple Causes" [arXiv:1805.06826]. I will make three points here. First, in my role as th…
Combines causal learning with dynamical systems for practical model identification.
problem Lack of practical, identifiable models for causal inference in dynamical systems.
method Draws connection between causal representation learning and dynamical systems, applying identifiable methods to scalable differentiable solvers.
result Learned explicitly controllable models for trajectory-specific parameters.
New neural network approach for optimizing latent variable models.
problem Stability issues in marginalizing Gaussian Bayesian networks.
method Developed a new graphical structure and a neural network algorithm.
result Established a duality between parameter optimization and neural network training.
Consistent partial identification of causal effects proved for neural models.
problem Consistency of neural causal partial identification methods.
method Proving consistency for neural models with continuous and categorical variables, considering architecture design and Lipschitz regularization.
result Proven consistency of partial identification via neural causal models in a general setting.
Quantum oracles help identify counterfactuals better than classical ones.
problem Identifying unknown causal parameters in causal models.
method Using quantum oracles to query and identify all causal parameters and counterfactuals.
result Quantum oracles enable identification of all two-way joint counterfactuals and tighter bounds on higher-order counterfactuals.
New methods identify causal effects without needing complete proxy variables.
problem Identifying causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Partial identification methods that do not require completeness of proxy variables.
result Obtain bounds on causal effects using available proxy variables.
New method reduces bias in estimating causal effects from discretized variables.
problem Bias in estimating causal effects from discretized continuous variables.
method Proposes a bias-reduced functional that evaluates outcome regression at within-bin conditional means.
result Demonstrates substantial bias reduction and near-nominal confidence interval coverage.
Extends causal inference to hidden mediators with proxies.
problem Identifying causal effects with hidden mediators and error-prone proxies.
method Established causal hidden mediation analysis and hidden front-door criterion.
result Identification of population intervention indirect effect possible with hidden mediators.
Framework sharpens causal effect estimates without external assumptions.
problem Estimating causal effects under unmeasured confounding.
method Information-theoretic divergence bounds, Neyman orthogonality, machine learning.
result Sharp partial identification of conditional causal effects from observational data.
New bounds for causal effect identification in time series graphs with latent confounders.
problem Identifying causal effects in time series graphs with latent confounders over unbounded time intervals.
method Applying the Causal Identification algorithm to a constant-size segment of the time series graph.
result A bound on the number of past time steps needed for causal effect identification.
The paper explores how missing data problems are related to causal inference.
problem Missing data in experiments makes causal inference difficult.
method The paper reinterprets missing data as a form of causal inference by considering counterfactual variables.
result Identification assumptions in missing data can be encoded using graphical models of counterfactual and observed variables.
We introduce a new family of graphical models that consists of graphs with possibly directed, undirected and bidirected edges but without directed cycles. We show that these models are suitable for representing causal models with additive error terms. We provide a set of sufficient graphical criteria for the identifica…
A fundamental problem in geophysical modeling is related to the identification and approximation of causal structures among physical processes. However, resolving the bidirectional mappings between physical parameters and model state variables (i.e., solving the forward and inverse problems) is challenging, especially …
Relational Structural Causal Models enable causal reasoning about unseen object combinations.
problem Developing a model that can reason about causal and combinatorial aspects of unseen object combinations.
method Relational Structural Causal Models extend structural causal models to include relational variables and define identification criteria.
result Proposed relational neural causal models outperform non-relational baselines on simulated traffic scenes.
Identifies causal effects in partially directed acyclic graphs with observed variables.
problem Identifying conditional causal effects in graphs with background knowledge and observed variables.
method Three results: identification formula, do calculus generalization, and algorithm completeness.
result Complete algorithm for identifying conditional effects in MPDAGs.
Unified kernel-based methods improve nonlinear causal discovery.
problem Identifying nonlinear causal relationships between time series variables.
method Unified Kernel Principal Component Regression (KPCR) and Gaussian Process score-based model with Smooth Information Criterion.
result Improved performance in time series nonlinear causal discovery.
Develops a method to identify causal effects in linear models with latent variables.
problem Identifying causal effects in models with latent variables that are not independent.
method A novel graphical criterion and an integer linear program algorithm.
result Sufficient condition for identifying causal effects by rational formulas in the covariance matrix.
Researchers identify latent variables and causal structures from nonlinear hierarchical models.
problem Challenging task of identifying latent variables and causal structures from observational data, especially when relationships are nonlinear.
method Investigated nonlinear latent hierarchical causal models, developed identification criterion, and constructed an estimation procedure.
result Identifiability of causal structures and latent variables achieved under mild assumptions.
Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the possibility of utilizing causal relationships to refine diagnostic prediction. We focus…
New algorithm identifies causal relationships from graphs, even with selection bias.
problem Identifying causal relationships from graphs with selection bias.
method Developed a measure-theoretic version of Pearl's causal calculus and a sound, complete identification algorithm.
result General measure-theoretic version of causal calculus allows for identification of causal relationships under selection bias.
The paper identifies the best treatment to maximize NDPO, a key outcome in causal mediation analysis.
problem Identifying the treatment that maximizes the expected natural direct potential outcome (NDPO) in causal mediation analysis.
method Developed a fixed-confidence best-arm identification (BAI) algorithm based on the Track-and-Stop (TaS) framework, using a cutting-set method to solve a semi-infinite optimization problem.
result The proposed algorithm achieves sample-efficient identification with a high-probability correctness guarantee and asymptotic optimality.
IIC decouples causal identification into two phases, significantly reducing the HTC gap in linear SEMs.
problem Determining causal effect coefficients in linear SEMs with latent confounders using the Half-Trek Criterion (HTC) leaves a gap of inconclusive causal effects.
method Iterative Identification Closure (IIC) framework that decouples causal identification into two phases: a seed function S_0 and Reduced HTC propagation.
result IIC strictly subsumes both HTC and ancestor decomposition, reducing the HTC gap by over 80% with combined seeds.
Two proxy methods for causal identification are compared.
problem Identifying causal effects in the presence of unmeasured variables.
method Bridge equation methods vs. array decomposition methods.
result Model restrictions and implications of assumptions differ between methods.
LLM4Causal democratizes causal reasoning via fine-tuned LLMs.
problem Limited capability of LLMs in causal inference and interpretation.
method Fine-tuning an open-source LLM for causal tasks, proposing datasets for instruction tuning.
result LLM4Causal delivers end-to-end solutions for causal problems and interprets results easily.
We establish a foundation for multivariate counterfactual identification using dynamic optimal transport.
problem Addressing the open question of counterfactual identification for high-dimensional multivariate outcomes from observational data.
method Establish a foundation for multivariate counterfactual identification using continuous-time flows, including non-Markovian settings, with tools from dynamic optimal transport.
result Characterise the conditions under which flow matching yields a unique, monotone, and rank-preserving counterfactual transport map, ensuring consistent inference.
Polynomial-time methods count and sample DAGs from Markov classes.
problem Counting and sampling Markov equivalent DAGs.
method Polynomial-time algorithms for DAGs from Markov classes.
result Long-standing open problem solved, making practical infeasible strategies feasible.
The paper identifies causal effects in latent variable models using higher-order cumulants.
problem Challenges in identifying causal effects in latent variable models with latent confounders.
method Using higher-order cumulants, the paper addresses two challenging setups: a single proxy variable and underspecified instrumental variables.
result Causal effects are identifiable with a single proxy or instrument.
The paper bounds and identifies joint probabilities in causal inference with monotonicity assumptions.
problem Bounding and identifying joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables under monotonicity assumptions.
method Proposes new families of monotonicity assumptions, formulates bounding problem as linear programming, introduces new monotonicity assumption for identification.
result Validated methods through numerical experiments and applied to real-world datasets.
New assumptions help identify causal relationships in data.
problem Challenges in identifying causal relationships from observational data.
method Introduced typed directed acyclic graphs to constrain causal relationships.
result The proposed assumptions lead to significant gains in causal graph identification.
Proposes methods to identify and estimate counterfactual distributions with confounding.
problem Estimating counterfactual distributions in the presence of confounding.
method Nonparametric identification and semiparametric estimation using conditional copulas and machine learning.
result Valid inference for individual-level effects and nonparametric identifiability of latent confounding subspace.
Proposes a method to identify causal relationships using background knowledge.
problem Identifying causal relationships in the presence of background knowledge.
method Learning local structure using all types of causal background knowledge (direct, non-ancestral, ancestral). Criteria for identifying causal relationships based on local structure.
result Effective and efficient method for local structure learning and causal relationship identification.
New method identifies valid IVs for bi-directional MR with invalid instruments.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data with invalid instruments and unmeasured confounding.
method Theoretical investigation and cluster fusion-like method to discover valid IV sets.
result Theoretical demonstration and experimental validation of the method's effectiveness.
Interventional data helps identify latent factors without distributional assumptions.
problem Identifying latent factors from interventional data without distributional assumptions.
method Leveraging geometric signatures of latent factors' support from interventional data.
result Latent causal factors can be identified up to permutation and scaling given data from perfect do-interventions.
Develops a framework for distributional Granger causality
problem Identifying predictive dependence in time series beyond Gaussian settings
method Using finite collection of channel-specific restrictions
result Identifies distributional Granger non-causality through testable hypotheses
This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.
problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.
Proposes a new model to identify unknown counterfactual outcomes for continuous variables.
problem Counterfactual inference for continuous outcomes with strong assumptions.
method Curvature Sensitivity Model to relax assumptions and provide informative bounds.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the Curvature Sensitivity Model in identifying counterfactual outcomes.
New method estimates causal effects of multiple versions of treatment.
problem Ignoring multiple versions of treatment leads to biased causal effect estimates.
method Mixture-of-Experts framework for estimating version-specific causal effects.
result Effective method for estimating causal effects of latent versions.
Novel approach constructs differential causal networks from EEG data.
problem Difficulty in modeling interactions of thousands of neurons in group comparisons.
method Hierarchical differential dynamic causal nets based on Chen-Fliess expansions.
result Evidence of network functional disruptions in epileptic brains.
Sharp bounds on ATE with unmeasured confounders, valid even when misspecified.
problem Bounding average treatment effects with unmeasured confounders.
method Distributionally robust optimization, double sharpness, double validity.
result Proposes estimators with robustness properties for valid bounds.
Graph neural network explainer identifies causal subgraphs ensuring predictions.
problem Spurious correlations in GNN explainers.
method Proposes {
ame}, a GNN causal explainer via causal inference.
result Significantly outperforms existing GNN explainers in exact groundtruth explanation identification.
Paper relaxes faithfulness assumption for causal discovery using interventions.
problem Violation of faithfulness assumption in natural systems leads to incorrect causal structure identification.
method Use intervention-immediacy faithfulness assumption to identify causal structures with hard interventions.
result Interventions contain information about causal structure that can identify causal structures when faithfulness is violated.
Hierarchical causal models help understand cause and effect in nested data.
problem Learning cause and effect from nested hierarchical data.
method Extend structural causal models and causal graphical models with inner plates, develop graphical identification technique and estimation methods.
result Hierarchical data can enable causal identification even when non-hierarchical data cannot.
Caus-Modens uses deep ensembles to better predict causal outcomes in hidden confounding scenarios.
problem Predicting causal outcomes in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Caus-Modens employs a modulated ensemble approach to improve prediction intervals for causal outcomes using sensitivity models.
result Caus-Modens provides tighter prediction intervals for causal outcomes compared to existing methods.