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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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93186279372 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for causal order

Bayesian causal inference method improves accuracy over traditional approaches.

problem Bayesian marginalisation over causal models is computationally infeasible.
method Decomposes structure marginalisation into causal orders and DAGs, using Gaussian processes for mechanisms and ARCO for orders.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art in structure learning and inference.

New approach reveals causal and probabilistic relationships from equations.

problem Understanding causal and probabilistic relationships from sets of equations.
method Simon's causal ordering algorithm and Markov ordering graph construction.
result Implied conditional independences and causal relations without solving equations.

Paper proposes a new method to identify causal graphs with latent variables using higher-order cumulants.

problem Estimating causal directed acyclic graphs with latent confounders.
method Uses higher-order cumulants to identify causal structures among observed and latent variables.
result Validates the proposed algorithm through simulations and real-world data.

Flow models recover causal transformations from observational data and a valid ordering.

problem Causal inference with only observational data and a valid causal ordering.
method Flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformations of exogenous variables.
result Flow models outperform previous methods and deliver consistent performance across various structural causal models.

The paper identifies causal effects in latent variable models using higher-order cumulants.

problem Challenges in identifying causal effects in latent variable models with latent confounders.
method Using higher-order cumulants, the paper addresses two challenging setups: a single proxy variable and underspecified instrumental variables.
result Causal effects are identifiable with a single proxy or instrument.

Autoregressive flow models can perform causal discovery and inference tasks.

problem Causal inference tasks such as causal discovery and interventional predictions.
method Using autoregressive flow models to estimate causal directions and make predictions.
result Autoregressive flows can accurately perform causal inference tasks without restrictive assumptions.

New method identifies nonstationary causal structures in time series data.

problem Identifying causal relationships in time series data that change over time.
method High-order Markov Switching Models for regime-dependent causal discovery.
result Scalable approach for estimating high-order regime-dependent causal structures.

New method uses information theory to uncover causal relationships in complex systems.

problem Discovering causal relationships in multivariate systems, especially in Bayesian networks and hypergraphs.
method Partial Information Decomposition (PID) to explicitly model higher-order interactions.
result PID components reveal direct causal neighbors and collider relationships in Bayesian networks and multi-tail hyperedges in causal hypergraphs.

Estimates multiple related causal graphs with shared causal order.

problem Discovering multiple related Gaussian DAGs with shared causal order.
method Proposes a l1/l2l_1/l_2-regularized MLE for joint estimation of KK linear structural equation models.
result Joint estimator achieves better sample complexity and consistency in causal order recovery.

Causal autoregressive flows enable accurate causal inference and prediction.

problem Causal discovery and interventional predictions in machine learning.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows with fixed variable orderings.
result Causal models derived from autoregressive flows are identifiable and allow for accurate interventional and counterfactual predictions.

A new sorting method using R2R^2 values improves causal discovery from noisy data.

problem Improving causal discovery from noisy observational data.
method Introducing R2R^2-sortability and an algorithm, R2R^2-SortnRegress, to find causal order.
result Sorting variables by increasing R2R^2 yields a close-to-causal order.

Extends causal additive models to include higher-order interactions.

problem Inferring causal insights from data with higher-order mechanisms.
method Introduces directed acyclic hypergraphs to represent higher-order interactions in causal structure learning.
result Learning more complex hypergraphs can lead to better empirical results.

New pruning method for sparse additive models speeds up causal structure learning.

problem Efficiently prune spurious edges from fully-connected DAG induced by estimated topological order.
method Sparse additive models combined with randomized tree embedding and group-wise sparse regression.
result Significantly faster than existing pruning methods while maintaining comparable accuracy.

We consider learning a causal ordering of variables in a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model called LiNGAM. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate a causal ordering assuming that all the model assumptions are correct. But, the estimation results could be distorted if some assumptions actually a…

2013-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The causal assumptions, the study design and the data are the elements required for scientific inference in empirical research. The research is adequately communicated only if all of these elements and their relations are described precisely. Causal models with design describe the study design and the missing data mech…

2012-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm learns causal structures from low-order conditional independencies.

problem Estimating high-order conditional independencies from data is challenging.
method Proposes an algorithm to compute a faithful graphical representation from low-order conditional independencies.
result Algorithm successfully learns causal structures from zero- and first-order conditional independencies.

New method identifies causal structure in count data using cumulants and path analysis.

problem Challenges in discovering causal structure from count data, especially due to non-identifiability.
method Poisson Branching Structural Causal Model (PB-SCM) with path analysis using high-order cumulants.
result Causal order is identifiable under specific conditions in PB-SCM using cumulant information.

This paper presents a sequential method to identify the topological ordering of causal DAGs using likelihood ratio scores.

problem Identifying the causal relationships in a data mining scenario with ambiguity of causal directions.
method A general sequential sorting procedure that orders variables one at a time, starting at root nodes, followed by children of the root nodes, and so on until completion. Simple likelihood ratio scores are used to decide the next node to append to the current partial ordering.
result The population version of the procedure provably identifies a true ordering of the underlying DAG under mild assumptions.

New method identifies latent variables with causal dependencies from observed data.

problem Identify latent variables with causal relationships from observed data.
method Linear causal disentanglement via higher-order cumulants, with perfect and soft interventions.
result Recovery of parameters via coupled tensor decomposition and polynomial equations.

The paper tackles causal disentanglement with linear models and interventions.

problem Identify latent variables in a causal model from observed data.
method Use linear transformations and interventions to uniquely identify latent variables.
result A single intervention on each latent variable is sufficient for identifying the latent causal model.

A framework uses proxies to prioritize treatment without estimating causal effects.

problem Prioritizing treatment when causal effects are hard to estimate.
method Decision-focused framework identifying conditions for proxy usefulness.
result Proxies can recover correct effect ordering under specific conditions.

We show that order-invariant injective maps on the noncompactly causal symmetric space SO0(1,n)/SO0(1,n1)SO_0 (1,n)/SO_0 (1,n-1) belong to O(1,n)+O(1,n)^+.

2013-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method detects causal relationships from noisy measurements.

problem Discover causal relationships from noisy, imperfect measurements.
method Transformed Independent Noise (TIN) condition and ordered group decomposition.
result Identifies causal graph structure without over-complete ICA.

Proposes a new method to better understand complex system interactions.

problem Current methods like Granger causality and transfer entropy fail to capture higher-order interactions.
method Introduces a generalized approach to capture multivariate causal interactions.
result The method can distinguish causal roles in synergetic interactions.

Discovering causal relationships is a hard task, often hindered by the need for intervention, and often requiring large amounts of data to resolve statistical uncertainty. However, humans quickly arrive at useful causal relationships. One possible reason is that humans extrapolate from past experience to new, unseen si…

2011-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗