Reinterprets Granger causality with causal Bayesian networks and Reichenbach's principles.
problem Lack of a rigorous causal foundation in Granger causality.
method Reinterpreting Granger causality through Reichenbach's principles and causal Bayesian networks, implementing as c-GC.
result c-GC provides a more principled framework for causal discovery in observational datasets.
Proposes DCNAR for dynamic causal inference from neural time series.
problem Uncertainty and evolution of causal structure in real-world domains.
method Two-stage neural causal modeling integrating discovery and inference.
result Dynamic causal inferences are more stable and meaningful than alternatives.
New method quantifies intrinsic causal contributions in neural networks.
problem Measuring the causal influence of input features in deep neural networks.
method Proposes an identifiable generative post-hoc framework to quantify intrinsic causal contributions (ICC) as structural causal models.
result ICC generates more intuitive and reliable explanations compared to existing global explanation techniques.
Graph neural networks help infer causal effects from partially observable data.
problem Inferring causal effects from partially observable data.
method Theoretical analysis of GNN and SCM connections.
result Established a new model class for GNN-based causal inference.
CRN learns causal models using neural networks, scaling with variables and leveraging prior knowledge.
problem Challenges in learning causal models, especially scalability and leveraging prior knowledge.
method Causal Relational Networks (CRN) using continuous representations and previously learned information.
result CRN achieves high accuracy and quick adaptation to new causal models on synthetic data.
CgNN uses network structure as IVs to estimate causal effects in networks.
problem Hidden confounders complicate causal effect estimation in network data.
method CgNN combines GNNs and attention mechanisms to leverage network structure as IVs.
result CgNN effectively mitigates hidden confounder bias and improves causal effect estimation.
Blog post comparing neural network methods for causal inference.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal inference.
method Developed and compared a fully connected neural network implementation of Bayesian Causal Forest.
result Improvements in performance in simulation settings.
Causal deep learning tackles causal inference using tensor factor analysis.
problem Addressing causal questions in data using neural networks.
method Tensor factor analysis and neural network architectures (causal capsules, tensor transformer, multilinear projection algorithm).
result Derives deep neural networks for causal inference with tensor factor analysis.
Interpretable model for Granger causality using neural networks.
problem Inferring Granger causality in complex dynamical systems.
method Extension of self-explaining neural networks for multivariate Granger causality.
result Framework performs on par with baseline methods and better at inferring interaction signs.
New neural network approach for optimizing latent variable models.
problem Stability issues in marginalizing Gaussian Bayesian networks.
method Developed a new graphical structure and a neural network algorithm.
result Established a duality between parameter optimization and neural network training.
Deep Causal Graphs model complex causal relationships using neural networks.
problem Limited applicability of parametric causal models to real-life datasets with non-linear relationships.
method Deep Causal Graphs, an abstract specification for neural networks to model causal distributions.
result Demonstrates expressive power in modelling complex interactions and provides true causal counterfactuals.
A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.
problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.
New method uses entropy to generate multiple plausible causal maps.
problem Learning causal relationships from noisy data can lead to artifacts in DAGs.
method Entropy-based inference to generate an ensemble of plausible causal graphs.
result Multiple causal maps consistent with underlying data variability.
A new algorithm infers causal networks from data using topological thresholds.
problem Inferring causal networks from data.
method Two methods for determining topological thresholds: one to leave no disconnected nodes, the other to find a causal large connected component.
result The novel algorithm is faster and more accurate than the PC algorithm.
Paper develops a method to learn causal networks with non-invertible functions.
problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data with non-invertible functional relationships.
method Proposes a test for non-invertible bivariate causal models and develops a method to incorporate this test in structure learning of DAGs.
result Our algorithms outperform existing DAG learning methods in identifying causal graphical structures.
BaMANI uses ensemble learning to improve Bayesian network inference.
problem Bayesian network inference's reliance on specific algorithms can obscure causal relationships.
method Developed an ensemble learning approach to marginalize algorithm impact.
result Improved accuracy and reliability of causal network predictions.
We consider testing and learning problems on causal Bayesian networks as defined by Pearl (Pearl, 2009). Given a causal Bayesian network M on a graph with n discrete variables and bounded in-degree and bounded `confounded components', we show that O(logn) interventions on an unknown causal Bayesian ne…
This work addresses causal inference challenges in networked interference and proposes GNN-based estimators for individual treatment effects.
problem Estimating individual treatment effects in randomized experiments with networked interference.
method Uses Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to capture network dependencies and derive causal effect estimators.
result Provides policy regret bounds and heuristic error bounds for GNN-based causal estimators under network interference and treatment capacity constraints.
Deep learning method infers causal interactions from data.
problem Causal inference from observational data.
method Transform input vectors to NEPDFs, train CNN on NEPDFs.
result Improves upon prior methods for causal inference.
Decomposes financial networks to reveal cause-effect hierarchies during crises.
problem Complex financial networks are hard to interpret due to Granger causality.
method Helmholtz-Hodge-Kodaira decomposition to separate networks into rotational and gradient components.
result Precious metals and pharmaceutical products are identified as causal drivers during crises.
Graph neural network explainer identifies causal subgraphs ensuring predictions.
problem Spurious correlations in GNN explainers.
method Proposes {
ame}, a GNN causal explainer via causal inference.
result Significantly outperforms existing GNN explainers in exact groundtruth explanation identification.
GO-CBED optimizes experiments for specific causal queries, improving efficiency.
problem Efficiently infer causal relationships with limited resources.
method Goal-oriented Bayesian framework that maximizes expected information gain on user-specified causal quantities.
result GO-CBED outperforms existing methods in various causal tasks, especially with limited budgets.
We propose a new attribution method for neural networks developed using first principles of causality (to the best of our knowledge, the first such). The neural network architecture is viewed as a Structural Causal Model, and a methodology to compute the causal effect of each feature on the output is presented. With re…
GC-KAN uses KANs to detect Granger causality in time series data.
problem Detecting causal relationships in nonlinear time series data.
method Developed GC-KAN framework using Kolmogorov-Arnold networks for Granger causality detection.
result KANs outperform MLPs in identifying sparse Granger causal relationships.
We introduce causal pieces to improve spiking neural networks.
problem Improving the expressiveness and trainability of spiking neural networks.
method We decompose the input domain of SNNs into causal regions, proving that the number of these regions is a measure of SNNs' approximation capabilities.
result Parameter initialisations yielding a high number of causal pieces correlate with SNN training success.
Deep neural networks are complex and opaque. As they enter application in a variety of important and safety critical domains, users seek methods to explain their output predictions. We develop an approach to explaining deep neural networks by constructing causal models on salient concepts contained in a CNN. We develop…
Bayesian method estimates causal effects with proxy networks.
problem Estimating causal effects with only proxy measurements of a latent interference network.
method Structural causal model with Block Gibbs sampler and Locally Informed Proposals.
result Accurately estimates causal effects even with noisy proxy networks.
CaT-GNN improves credit card fraud detection by integrating causal reasoning into GNNs.
problem Credit card fraud detection overlooks causal structure of transactions.
method CaT-GNN combines causal invariant learning and temporal graph neural networks.
result CaT-GNN outperforms existing methods on various datasets.
A very important topic in systems biology is developing statistical methods that automatically find causal relations in gene regulatory networks with no prior knowledge of causal connectivity. Many methods have been developed for time series data. However, discovery methods based on steady-state data are often necessar…
Casper uses causal graph neural networks to improve spatiotemporal time series imputation.
problem Imputing missing values in spatiotemporal time series with confounders and non-causal correlations.
method Casper introduces a novel Prompt Based Decoder (PBD) and Spatiotemporal Causal Attention (SCA) to block confounders and discover causal relationships.
result Casper outperforms baselines and effectively discovers causal relationships in spatiotemporal time series imputation.
Causal Bayesian networks interpret actions as interventions to connect models to real-world outcomes.
problem Connecting causal model predictions to real-world outcomes.
method Formal framework to interpret actions as interventions and prove impossibility results.
result No non-circular interpretation exists that satisfies natural desiderata without violating some.
CASTLE learns causal DAG to improve model generalization.
problem Improving model generalization to out-of-sample data.
method CASTLE learns causal relationships via adjacency matrix embedded in neural network input layers, reconstructing only causal features.
result CASTLE leads to better out-of-sample predictions compared to other regularizers.
Continuous time Bayesian networks are investigated with a special focus on their ability to express causality. A framework is presented for doing inference in these networks. The central contributions are a representation of the intensity matrices for the networks and the introduction of a causality measure. A new mode…
Graph Neural Network improves causal inference in dynamic systems.
problem Identifying causal relations among multi-variate time series.
method Graph Neural Network approach with score-based method.
result Graph Neural Network significantly outperformed other methods in dynamic Bayesian network inference.
We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal structures. CGNNs make no assumption regarding the lack of confounders, and learn a diffe…
Several methods exist to infer causal networks from massive volumes of observational data. However, almost all existing methods require a considerable length of time series data to capture cause and effect relationships. In contrast, memory-less transition networks or Markov Chain data, which refers to one-step transit…
Proposes a method for neural networks to learn causal relationships and humans to contest and modify them.
problem Neural networks learn relevant causal relationships unclearly and are black-box, making them hard to debug.
method Two-way interaction between neural networks and humans, allowing contestation and modification of causal graphs.
result Improves predictive performance up to 2.4x and produces smaller networks up to 7x compared to SOTA.
This paper introduces a new method to better understand financial market causality.
problem Lack of comprehensive understanding of distributional causality in financial markets.
method Combines piecewise quantile regression with a piecewise linear embedding scheme.
result Uncovered significant tail-tail causal effects and substantial causal asymmetry in cryptocurrency return series.
New algorithm learns causal structures by intersecting Markov blankets.
problem Learning causal relationships from data.
method Endogenous and Exogenous Markov Blankets Intersection (EEMBI) algorithm.
result EEMBI-PC integrates PC algorithm steps for improved accuracy.
Causal inference improves heterophilic graph learning.
problem Capturing asymmetric node dependencies in graph learning.
method Intervention-based causal inference for graph structure learning.
result CausalMP achieves superior link prediction performance.
New method infers causal factors from large-scale data without full graph reconstruction.
problem Inferring causal variables from large-scale systems without full causal graph reconstruction.
method Supervised learning on simulated data using a neural network and subsampled-ensemble inference.
result Efficiently identifies causal relationships in large-scale gene regulatory networks.
CaTs use DAGs with transformers to enforce causal constraints, improving neural network robustness.
problem Neural networks lack inherent causal structure respect, leading to reliability issues.
method Introducing Causal Transformers (CaTs) that operate under predefined causal constraints specified by DAGs.
result CaTs improve robustness and interpretability of neural networks under causal constraints.
Method estimates heterogeneous causal effects on networks using orthogonal learning.
problem Challenges in estimating causal effects on networks due to treatment effects on both treated and neighbors, and network homophily.
method Two-stage orthogonal learning framework: first stage uses graph neural networks for nuisance components, second stage residualizes and interpretable attention-based model for causal effects.
result Improves heterogeneous effect estimation and supports interpretable analyses.
New causal models for growing networks avoid node deletion constraints.
problem Statistical models based on node exchangeability are not suitable for growing networks.
method Enumerated and partitioned causal directed acyclic graph (DAG) models over pairs of nodes.
result Simple model exhibits flexible power-law degree distributions and emergent phase transitions.
New method improves causal structure discovery with Prior-Fitted Networks.
problem Errors in likelihood estimation limit proper causal structure discovery.
method Amortized causal discovery with Prior-Fitted Networks.
result Significant gains in structure recovery compared to baselines.
Improved neural network convergence with causal Bayesian modeling in retail performance.
problem Improving neural network convergence in retail performance models.
method Causal Bayesian neural network implementation, removal of weakest SEM path, Flipout layers, Vadam optimizer.
result Neural network convergence improved with removal of the weakest SEM path.
New method uses information theory to uncover causal relationships in complex systems.
problem Discovering causal relationships in multivariate systems, especially in Bayesian networks and hypergraphs.
method Partial Information Decomposition (PID) to explicitly model higher-order interactions.
result PID components reveal direct causal neighbors and collider relationships in Bayesian networks and multi-tail hyperedges in causal hypergraphs.
CAN learns conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.
problem Learning conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.
method CAN framework with LGN and CIGN architectures, equipped with an intervention mechanism.
result CAN generates both interventional and conditional samples without needing the causal graph.