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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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64128191255 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for causal matching

FMI uses matching to mimic interventions for causal feature learning.

problem Challenges in causal discovery from observational data.
method Feature Matching Intervention (FMI) using matching to emulate perfect interventions.
result FMI outperforms in identifying causal features from observational data.

The paper establishes bounds for score-matching in causal discovery and generative modeling.

problem Estimating causal relationships from data.
method Training a deep neural network to estimate the score function and applying it to causal discovery.
result Bounds on the error rate of causal discovery methods using score-matching.

Neural score matching improves high-dimensional causal inference by using neural networks for balancing scores.

problem Impracticality of traditional matching methods in high-dimensional datasets due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Develops neural networks to create non-trivial, multivariate balancing scores for high-dimensional causal inference.
result Neural score matching outperforms other methods in treatment effect estimation and reducing imbalance on high-dimensional datasets.

Novel framework combines tree-based discretization and ILP matching for causal inference.

problem Challenges in identifying causal relationships from observational data.
method Combines tree-based discretization and ILP matching for causal inference.
result Yields computational efficiency and less biased ATT estimates.

Matched Machine Learning combines machine learning and matching for causal inference.

problem Non-interpretable methods for causal inference.
method Combines machine learning and matching for interpretable causal inference.
result Performs as well as black-box machine learning methods and better than existing matching methods.

New method improves domain generalization by matching object representations.

problem Existing domain generalization methods fail to generalize to unseen domains.
method Proposes matching-based algorithms to match object representations across domains.
result MatchDG algorithm matches ground-truth object representations and improves out-of-domain accuracy.

The paper tackles matching a desired mean in causal systems through shift interventions.

problem Matching a desired mean in causal systems.
method Defining Markov equivalence classes, proposing active learning strategies, deriving lower bounds.
result Proposed active learning strategies require fewer interventions than previous approaches, especially for certain graph classes.

FMCIT accelerates CI tests for causal discovery, maintaining power and efficiency.

problem High computational complexity in CI tests limits practical applicability of causal discovery methods.
method Flow Matching-based Conditional Independence Test (FMCIT) that leverages flow matching for fast CI tests.
result FMCIT effectively controls type-I error and maintains high testing power under the alternative hypothesis.

New method uses optimal transport for better covariate matching in causal effect estimation.

problem Estimating causal effects in observational studies with high-dimensional covariates.
method Multimarginal unbalanced optimal transport for interpretable matching.
result Method provides interpretable weights and competitive performance with k-nearest neighbors.

New methods use vector search and nearest-neighbor matching for policy learning in causal inference.

problem Learning optimal policies in causal inference with limited data.
method RAG-based policy learning with vector search and nearest-neighbor matching.
result The methods bound the within-candidate choice regret and evaluate the one-step method directly as a policy.

Enhanced framework selects features for unbiased causal inference.

problem Unbiased estimation of causal quantities in causal inference.
method Three-stage computational framework balancing treatment and non-treatment variables.
result Significantly reduces bias and variance in estimating causal quantities.

Optimizes experiment design for causal structure learning in linear models with cycles.

problem Causal structure learning from combined observational and interventional data in linear non-Gaussian cyclic models.
method Combinatorial characterization of equivalence classes, adaptive stochastic optimization, greedy policy with near-optimal performance guarantee, sampling-based estimator for reward function.
result Optimal experiment design reduces the equivalence class of causal graphs to a single true graph with a small number of interventions.

Empirical Bayes improves causal representation learning across multiple domains.

problem Estimating causal representations from data across multiple domains.
method Developed an EB ff-modeling algorithm for linearly-mixed causal representations.
result Our method achieves more accurate estimation of causal variables than other methods.

Proposes a new method to estimate continuous treatment policies and match treatments effectively.

problem Current methods struggle with continuous treatment policies and complex matching.
method Formulates treatment effectiveness as a parametrizable model, using deep learning for optimization.
result Significant improvement in treatment effectiveness and matching efficiency.

GDT improves reinforcement learning by matching future state information efficiently.

problem Efficient learning of multi-task policies from trajectory data.
method Generalized Decision Transformer (GDT) for offline hindsight information matching.
result GDT enables effective offline multi-task state-marginal matching and imitation learning.

In this paper, we propose deep learning techniques for econometrics, specifically for causal inference and for estimating individual as well as average treatment effects. The contribution of this paper is twofold: 1. For generalized neighbor matching to estimate individual and average treatment effects, we analyze the …

2018-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop an encompassing framework for matching, covariate balancing, and doubly-robust methods for causal inference from observational data called generalized optimal matching (GOM). The framework is given by generalizing a new functional-analytical formulation of optimal matching, giving rise to the class of GOM me…

2016-12-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This work clarifies different transport map constructions and their causal interpretations.

problem Identifying distinct transport map constructions and their equivalence.
method Comparative analysis of three transport map constructions: cyclically monotone, quantile-preserving, and triangular monotone.
result Conditions for equivalence of different transport map constructions.

Proposes Exogenous Matching for efficient counterfactual estimation.

problem Efficient estimation of counterfactual expressions in general settings.
method Transforms variance minimization into conditional distribution learning.
result Outperforms other importance sampling methods in counterfactual estimation.

The paper examines how timing of observations affects causal discovery methods.

problem The sensitivity of causal discovery methods to mismatched observation timing.
method Empirical and theoretical analysis of classical and recent causal discovery methods.
result Causal discovery methods are sensitive to sampling rate and window length.

Method identifies unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from diverse data.

problem Identifying unknown intervention targets in structural causal models from heterogeneous data.
method Two-phase approach: first recovers exogenous noises, second matches with endogenous variables.
result Proposed method uniquely identifies intervention targets under causal sufficiency assumption.

Unified approach to causal representation learning using invariance principles.

problem Identifying latent causal variables from high-dimensional observations.
method Guiding identification of causal variables with invariance principles rather than causal hierarchies.
result Unified method that mixes causal and non-causal assumptions improves treatment effect estimation.

We use the score function for causal discovery, tackling challenges with hidden variables.

problem Causal discovery from observational data with hidden variables.
method Fine-tuning identifiability results, establishing conditions for inferring causal relations from the score, proposing a flexible algorithm.
result Empirical validation of the proposed algorithm for causal discovery on linear, nonlinear, and latent variable models.

KaCGM models provide transparent causal inference from tabular data.

problem Limited auditability in deep causal models for tabular data.
method KaCGM uses Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks to parameterize structural equations, enabling direct inspection and visualization of causal mechanisms.
result KaCGM achieves competitive performance and interpretable causal effects in real-world applications.

CInA method uses attention to improve causal inference.

problem Challenges in causal inference, especially in complex tasks.
method CInA method utilizes self-supervised causal learning with multiple unlabeled datasets and transformer-type architecture.
result CInA effectively generalizes to out-of-distribution datasets and various real-world datasets.

The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal inference studies may require unobserved high-level information which needs to be …

2017-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative models are reinterpreted in statistical terms, enabling better understanding and inference.

problem Insufficient interpretability of generative models in statistical terms.
method Flow matching and orthogonalization/cross-fitting in double/debiased machine learning.
result Generative models can be used to estimate nuisance components while maintaining inferential validity.

We aim to create the highest possible quality of treatment-control matches for categorical data in the potential outcomes framework. Matching methods are heavily used in the social sciences due to their interpretability, but most matching methods do not pass basic sanity checks: they fail when irrelevant variables are …

2018-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning individual-level causal effects from observational data, such as inferring the most effective medication for a specific patient, is a problem of growing importance for policy makers. The most important aspect of inferring causal effects from observational data is the handling of confounders, factors that affec…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New method recovers causal DAGs from general environments without strict assumptions.

problem Recovering causal DAGs from real-world data with varying distributions.
method Formalizes desiderata for causal representation learning in general environments, leveraging sufficient change conditions up to third-order derivatives.
result Fully recovers latent DAG and identifies latent variables up to minor indeterminacies under nonparametric mixing.

Study identifies 1,012 persistent wallet cohorts on Solana pump.fun, showing coordinated buying behavior.

problem Understanding coordinated buying behavior on Solana pump.fun.
method Two-stage detection pipeline: first-buyer-window extraction followed by persistent-cohort surfacing via graph co-occurrence.
result 1,012 persistent wallet cohorts identified, showing systematic co-buying across multiple launches.

Biased sampling and missing data complicates statistical problems ranging from causal inference to reinforcement learning. We often correct for biased sampling of summary statistics with matching methods and importance weighting. In this paper, we study nearest neighbor matching (NNM), which makes estimates of populati…

2019-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗