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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3978117156 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for causal contrasts

Model identifies causal structure from paired observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.

problem Identifying causal structure from observational and interventional data with unknown soft interventions.
method Proposes a scalable causal discovery model that aggregates subset-level PDAGs and applies contrastive cross-regime orientation rules.
result The model asymptotically recovers the identifiable PDAG and can orient additional edges compared to non-contrastive subset-restricted methods.

New method learns unbiased treatment representations from structured high-dimensional data.

problem Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured treatments.
method Contrastive learning approach to learn unbiased treatment representations.
result The method identifies causal factors and discards non-causal ones, leading to unbiased causal effect estimates.

Paper presents a world model that learns invariant causal features using contrastive unsupervised learning.

problem Learning invariant causal features in unsupervised settings.
method Contrastive unsupervised learning with intervention invariant auxiliary task.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on out-of-distribution point navigation tasks.

New method identifies causal relationships from interventions in complex systems.

problem Learning causal representations from unknown, latent interventions with general nonlinear mixing.
method Strong identifiability results with unknown single-node interventions, using geometric structure of transformed data.
result First instance of causal identifiability from non-paired interventions for deep neural network embeddings.

Contrastive learning harms minority group representations, affecting downstream tasks.

problem Representation harm in contrastive learning, especially affecting minority groups.
method Causal mediation analysis and stochastic block model explanation.
result Representation harm in contrastive learning is partly responsible for allocation harm in downstream tasks.

Paper analyzes self-supervised learning using causal methods and proposes a new objective.

problem Lack of theoretical understanding of self-supervised learning success.
method Uses a causal framework to enforce invariance constraints on proxy classifiers.
result ReLIC objective improves generalization guarantees and outperforms existing methods.

A new method learns outcome-aware spectral features for causal effect estimation.

problem Estimation of causal effects in the presence of hidden confounders.
method Augmented Spectral Feature Learning framework that minimizes a contrastive loss derived from an augmented operator incorporating outcome information.
result Our method remains effective even under spectral misalignment.

DCMA uses generative models to analyze treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.

problem Traditional mediation analysis focuses on summary contrasts, missing complex distributional changes.
method DCMA learns conditional generative models for mediators and outcome, reconstructing interventional distributions via Monte Carlo simulation.
result DCMA captures both summary effects and rich distributional contrasts like energy distance and Wasserstein distance.

DCMA uses generative models to analyze complex treatment effects on outcome distributions.

problem Analyzing complex and nonlinear causal mechanisms through outcome-level summary contrasts.
method Generative learning framework for identifying and estimating treatment effects on entire outcome distributions.
result Reconstructs interventional outcome distributions via Monte Carlo forward simulation, capturing both summary and distributional contrasts.

New benchmark tests machine learning's ability to learn causal overhypotheses.

problem Machine learning's difficulty in understanding causal overhypotheses.
method Adapted blicket detector environment for machine learning agents to test causal overhypotheses.
result Many state-of-the-art methods struggle with causal overhypotheses in the new benchmark.

New method improves domain generalization by aligning causal mechanisms across domains.

problem Improving model's ability to generalize across different distributions.
method Introduces invariance of average causal effect of features to labels, regularizing training approach.
result Demonstrates superior performance on benchmark datasets compared to state-of-the-art methods.

We analyze disentangled representations under a causal generative process, proposing new metrics and datasets.

problem Addressing fairness and interpretability through disentangled representations with a causal perspective.
method Work under a causal generative process, proposing new metrics and datasets to study disentanglement.
result Proposed metrics capture the desiderata of disentangled causal process.

Bayesian causal inference method improves accuracy over traditional approaches.

problem Bayesian marginalisation over causal models is computationally infeasible.
method Decomposes structure marginalisation into causal orders and DAGs, using Gaussian processes for mechanisms and ARCO for orders.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art in structure learning and inference.

The problem of using observed correlations to infer causal relations is relevant to a wide variety of scientific disciplines. Yet given correlations between just two classical variables, it is impossible to determine whether they arose from a causal influence of one on the other or a common cause influencing both, unle…

2014-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Inferring causal interactions from observed data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of measurement noise. To alleviate the problem of spurious causality, Haufe et al. (2013) proposed to contrast measures of information flow obtained on the original data against the same measures obtained on time-rever…

2015-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates and optimizes policy differences using orthogonal learning.

problem Offline reinforcement learning with safety concerns and cost limitations.
method Dynamic R-learner for estimating and optimizing Qπ(s,1)Qπ(s,0)Q^π(s,1)-Q^π(s,0), leveraging orthogonal estimation.
result Consistent policy optimization with improved convergence rates.

Causal Component Analysis aims to recover latent variables with causal relationships.

problem Recover latent variables with causal relationships from observed mixtures.
method Introduces a likelihood-based approach using normalizing flows to estimate unmixing function and causal mechanisms.
result Demonstrates effectiveness through synthetic experiments in CauCA and ICA settings.

Improves algorithmic recourse to guide towards both acceptance and improvement.

problem Algorithmic recourse recommendations may not lead to improvement.
method Improvement-Focused Causal Recourse (ICR) requires recommendations to guide towards improvement and leverages causal knowledge to design accurate decision systems.
result ICR guides towards both acceptance and improvement given correct causal knowledge.

Testing whether a probability distribution is compatible with a given Bayesian network is a fundamental task in the field of causal inference, where Bayesian networks model causal relations. Here we consider the class of causal structures where all correlations between observed quantities are solely due to the influenc…

2017-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Several methods exist to infer causal networks from massive volumes of observational data. However, almost all existing methods require a considerable length of time series data to capture cause and effect relationships. In contrast, memory-less transition networks or Markov Chain data, which refers to one-step transit…

2016-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

IntDC framework uncovers causal relationships from non-interventional data.

problem Detecting causal relationships in non-interventional complex systems.
method Interventional Embedding Entropy (IEE) for causal strength measurement.
result IEE accurately finds causal edges and quantifies causal strength robustly.

CausalCOMRL improves RL task representations by integrating causal relationships, enhancing generalizability.

problem Spurious correlations in context-based offline meta-reinforcement learning.
method CausalCOMRL integrates causal representation learning to uncover and incorporate causal relationships among task components.
result CausalCOMRL achieves better performance on meta-reinforcement learning benchmarks.

Study estimates heterogeneous principal causal effects with binary treatments and intermediate variables.

problem Estimating subgroup effects within strata defined by potential values of an intermediate variable.
method Proposes a framework for estimating and forming confidence intervals for heterogeneous principal causal effects under principal ignorability assumption. Develops several estimators with varying robustness properties.
result Established large-sample theory and analyzed bias contributions of each approach.

Method identifies causal interactions between time series using extreme eigenvalue variability.

problem Detecting causal interactions between time series.
method Largest eigenvalue of lagged correlation matrices, measuring causal interactions through variability.
result The method outperforms traditional Granger causality tests in detecting structural changes.

Neural score matching improves high-dimensional causal inference by using neural networks for balancing scores.

problem Impracticality of traditional matching methods in high-dimensional datasets due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Develops neural networks to create non-trivial, multivariate balancing scores for high-dimensional causal inference.
result Neural score matching outperforms other methods in treatment effect estimation and reducing imbalance on high-dimensional datasets.

CAN learns conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.

problem Learning conditional and interventional distributions from unlabeled data.
method CAN framework with LGN and CIGN architectures, equipped with an intervention mechanism.
result CAN generates both interventional and conditional samples without needing the causal graph.

Paper proposes mechanism learning to reverse causal inference in ML.

problem Machine learning models learn associational, not causal, relationships.
method Causally weighted Gaussian mixture models (CW-GMMs).
result CW-GMMs can deconfound observational data for reverse causal inference.

New findings link causal models to strategic classification, improving robustness and alignment.

problem Strategic adaptation by users in classification tasks.
method Causal models to bound worst-case out-of-distribution risk.
result Causal classification optimizes classification error after adaptation under certain noise conditions.

SLEM uses machine learning to improve causal inference from observational data.

problem Improving causal inference from observational data using non-linear relationships.
method Super Learner Equation Modeling integrating machine learning ensembles.
result SLEM provides consistent and unbiased estimates of causal effects.

Develops a method to identify causal effects in linear models with latent variables.

problem Identifying causal effects in models with latent variables that are not independent.
method A novel graphical criterion and an integer linear program algorithm.
result Sufficient condition for identifying causal effects by rational formulas in the covariance matrix.

This thesis relaxes assumptions for causal discovery, making methods applicable to more complex systems.

problem Learning causal structures from observational data with latent variables.
method Alternative definition of k-Triangle Faithfulness for non-Gaussian distributions and uniform consistency proof.
result Uniform consistency of causal discovery algorithm under modified faithfulness assumption.

Contrastive examples improve fairness in face recognition by balancing minority and majority groups.

problem Face recognition algorithms favor majority groups in training data.
method Create contrastive examples by swapping group memberships in the training dataset.
result Contrastive examples improve fairness metrics like equalized odds.

New methods use vector search and nearest-neighbor matching for policy learning in causal inference.

problem Learning optimal policies in causal inference with limited data.
method RAG-based policy learning with vector search and nearest-neighbor matching.
result The methods bound the within-candidate choice regret and evaluate the one-step method directly as a policy.