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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for causal continuity

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

Researchers examine various causal structures for spacetimes with continuous metrics.

problem Comparing causal structures for spacetimes with continuous but not necessarily smooth metrics.
method Examined three key properties: push-up lemma, openness of chronological futures, and existence of limit causal curves.
result Spacetimes with continuous metrics do not always satisfy all three key properties.

Study develops method for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.

problem Lack of methods for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.
method Develops a method independent of data generating models for continuous variable interventions.
result Preserves identifiability of data and applies to any generating models.

Paper identifies and estimates CAPCEs in continuous treatment settings.

problem Estimating heterogeneous causal effects of continuous treatments.
method Instrumental variable approach to identify CAPCEs under weaker conditions.
result Developed three families of CAPCE estimators with statistical properties analyzed.

Develops a mathematical framework for causal fermion systems in infinite dimensions.

problem Analysis of causal fermion systems in infinite-dimensional settings.
method Introduces Banach manifold structure and expedient differential calculus.
result Establishes Hölder continuity of causal Lagrangian and integrated causal Lagrangian.

Study improves sample complexity for distinguishing continuous distributions and causal relationships.

problem Distinguishing continuous distributions and causal relationships in the presence of unobserved confounding.
method Proposed an estimator of KL divergence based on von Mises expansion for closeness testing.
result Established sample complexity guarantees for causal discovery in non-linear models with continuous variables and unobserved confounding.

We present a systematic study of causality theory on Lorentzian manifolds with continuous metrics. Examples are given which show that some standard facts in smooth Lorentzian geometry, such as light-cones being hypersurfaces, are wrong when metrics which are merely continuous are considered. We show that existence of t…

2011-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Counterexample disproves Borde-Sorkin conjecture on causal continuity of Morse spacetimes.

problem Disproving the Borde-Sorkin conjecture on causal continuity of Morse spacetimes.
method Provided a counterexample with low regularity causal structure and causal bubbling.
result Borde-Sorkin conjecture does not hold for Morse spacetimes with large anisotropy.

New framework optimizes decisions under uncertainty considering causal and continuous data.

problem Optimizing decisions under uncertain distributions with causal and continuous data structures.
method Developed a framework using Causal Sinkhorn DRO with Soft Regression Forest decision rules.
result Framework provides interpretable and tractable decision rules for optimizing under uncertainty.

Continuous Lorentzian metrics yield infinitesimal Minkowskian spacetimes.

problem Understanding spacetime properties from continuous Lorentzian metrics.
method Proving infinitesimal Minkowskianity for causally simple metric measure spacetimes.
result Continuous Lorentzian metrics result in spacetimes that are infinitesimally Minkowskian.

We show that the definition of global hyperbolicity in terms of the compactness of the causal diamonds and non-total imprisonment can be extended to spacetimes with continuous metrics, while retaining all of the equivalences to other notions of global hyperbolicity. In fact, global hyperbolicity is equivalent to the co…

2014-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Method estimates causal effects from incremental data, overcoming missing data challenges.

problem Estimating causal effects from non-stationary, incrementally available observational data.
method Continual Causal Effect Representation Learning
result Method achieves continual causal effect estimation without compromising original data.

Method bounds continuous-valued treatment effects when confounding variables are hidden.

problem Inferring causal effects of continuous treatments when hidden confounders are present.
method Novel methodology to bound average and conditional average continuous-valued treatment effects.
result Method gives tighter coverage of true dose-response curve than existing methods.

Develops a new method to measure causal effects in continuous and discrete settings.

problem Measuring direct causal effects in complex scenarios with continuous and interventionally changing variables.
method Probabilistic Easy Variational Causal Effect (PEACE) method, developed for both continuous and discrete cases.
result PEACE can measure causal effects under various conditions and is stable under small changes.

CICME estimates common and domain-specific causal mechanisms from multi-sensor data.

problem Inferring causal mechanisms from heterogeneous multi-sensor data across multiple domains.
method Three-step approach using Causal Transfer Learning (CTL).
result CICME reliably detects domain-invariant causal mechanisms and guides individual domain causal mechanism estimation.

CRN learns causal models using neural networks, scaling with variables and leveraging prior knowledge.

problem Challenges in learning causal models, especially scalability and leveraging prior knowledge.
method Causal Relational Networks (CRN) using continuous representations and previously learned information.
result CRN achieves high accuracy and quick adaptation to new causal models on synthetic data.

TRAM-DAG models bridge interpretability and flexibility in causal modeling.

problem Modeling causal relationships in diverse data types while maintaining interpretability.
method Using transformation models (TRAMs) within structural causal models (SCMs) to handle various data types and maintain interpretability.
result TRAM-DAG models achieve equal or superior performance in causal queries across different levels of the causal hierarchy.

Method infers causal structure from system behaviors using RKHS and kernel εε-machines.

problem Discovering causal structure in systems with varying external and measurement noise.
method Combines causal states and RKHS for efficient representation and inference of causal structure.
result Robustly estimates causal structure in high-dimensional data with varying noise.

Proposes a new estimator for causal mediation with continuous treatments.

problem Estimation of direct and indirect effects with continuous treatments.
method Kernel smoothing approach with cross-fitting for non-parametric estimation.
result Multiply robust and asymptotically normal estimator for continuous treatments.

Proposes a new model to identify unknown counterfactual outcomes for continuous variables.

problem Counterfactual inference for continuous outcomes with strong assumptions.
method Curvature Sensitivity Model to relax assumptions and provide informative bounds.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the Curvature Sensitivity Model in identifying counterfactual outcomes.

We provide a conceptual map to navigate causal analysis problems. Focusing on the case of discrete random variables, we consider the case of causal effect estimation from observational data. The presented approaches apply also to continuous variables, but the issue of estimation becomes more complex. We then introduce …

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new metric compares true and learned causal graphs considering data and graph structure.

problem Comparing true and learned causal graphs accurately.
method Continuous Structural Intervention Distance (CSID) using conditional mean embeddings and maximum mean discrepancy.
result Validated the CSID with synthetic data, showing its effectiveness in comparing causal graphs.

DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.

problem Inferring causal direction between continuous and discrete variables from observational data.
method Density Ratio-based Causal Discovery (DRCD) method.
result DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.

Paper extends causal inference to non-Euclidean data like images and distributions.

problem Causal inference for non-Euclidean data like images and distributions.
method Hilbert space embeddings, Fréchet mean estimation, nonparametric doubly-debiased causal inference.
result Validated approach for causal inference with continuous treatments on non-Euclidean data.

GCF estimates heterogeneous treatment effects for continuous treatments in online marketplaces.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects for continuous treatments in online marketplaces.
method Kernel-based doubly robust estimator and distance-based splitting criterion.
result GCF estimates heterogeneous treatment effects for continuous treatments effectively.

New criteria distinguish cause from effect in data, overcoming statistical limitations.

problem Determining causal direction from statistical dependence alone.
method Intuitive criteria based on simplicity of prediction, tested on synthetic data.
result Criteria accurately distinguish cause from effect in various scenarios.

CLOUD method detects causal relationships in various data types without latent variable assumptions.

problem Detecting causal relationships in the presence of unobserved common causes.
method CLOUD method using Normalized Maximum Likelihood (NML) Code for various data types (discrete, mixed, continuous).
result CLOUD method is more effective than existing methods in inferring causal relationships.

We introduce causal pieces to improve spiking neural networks.

problem Improving the expressiveness and trainability of spiking neural networks.
method We decompose the input domain of SNNs into causal regions, proving that the number of these regions is a measure of SNNs' approximation capabilities.
result Parameter initialisations yielding a high number of causal pieces correlate with SNN training success.

DCRL learns causal relationships from mixed-type discrete data.

problem Challenges in learning causal relationships from discrete, mixed-type data.
method Generative framework modeling directed acyclic graph and sparse bipartite graph, flexible measurement models for different types of data.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal structure from observed data distribution.

We solve continuous-time latent SDE identifiability using diffusion shifts.

problem Identifiability of latent SDEs in continuous-time time series.
method Environment-induced shifts in diffusion covariance for additive-noise latent SDEs.
result Two diagonal diffusion regimes with distinct variance ratios identify latent coordinates up to permutation and scaling.

Bayesian model selection improves multivariate causal discovery without restrictive assumptions.

problem Real-world causal discovery requires flexible assumptions to avoid restrictive model assumptions.
method Continuous relaxation of discrete model selection problem, using Causal Gaussian Process Conditional Density Estimator (CGP-CDE).
result Bayesian approach outperforms traditional methods in multivariate causal discovery.

New method uses neural networks to learn causal graphs from interventional data.

problem Challenges in learning causal directed acyclic graphs from data.
method Reformulates as continuous constrained optimization, uses neural networks, leverages interventional data.
result Method compares favorably to state of the art in various settings.

We establish causal semantics for SDEs and develop methods to reason about them.

problem Understanding causal relationships in systems modeled by stochastic differential equations.
method We introduce a causal graph framework, Markov properties, and do-calculus for SDEs.
result We prove the σσ-separation Markov property and do-calculus for causal SDEs.

New algorithms bound treatment effects with unmeasured confounding.

problem Estimating causal effects when confounding is unmeasured.
method Formulate causal effects as objective functions in optimization, using stochastic methods and Monte Carlo.
result Efficient algorithms for bounded treatment effects in complex settings.

CausalEGM estimates causal effects by encoding confounders, improving performance in high-dimensional settings.

problem Challenges in estimating causal effects with high-dimensional confounders.
method CausalEGM framework using generative modeling to decouple confounders and estimate causal effects.
result CausalEGM outperforms existing methods in binary and continuous treatment settings, especially with large sample sizes and high-dimensional confounders.

Study establishes time functions in Lorentzian spaces without requiring manifold structure.

problem Existence and properties of time functions in Lorentzian spaces.
method Characterization of time functions by K-causality, modified volume functions, and global hyperbolicity.
result No manifold structure is needed for suitable time functions in Lorentzian spaces.