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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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3571106141 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for causal concepts

Bayesian approach learns causal concepts from diverse social surveys.

problem Inferring causal concepts from heterogeneous data with sparse changes.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model with sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Model infers meaningful causal concepts and plausible relations.

Examines parallels between human subjects and texts for causal inference.

problem Ambiguity and fallacies in causal inference using textual data.
method Two strategies: shifting from traits to perceptions and from concepts to parts.
result Highlights the importance of clarifying fundamental concepts.

Defines explanations for classifier outcomes using causal concepts.

problem Understanding classifier outcomes in a causal context.
method Proposes a new definition of explanation based on causality, compares it with existing notions, and evaluates it experimentally.
result Experimental evaluation shows the new definition's effectiveness on financial datasets.

Formalizes concepts as latent variables in hierarchical models for high-dimensional data.

problem Lack of formalization and theoretical insights for learning discrete concepts from high-dimensional data.
method Formalizes concepts as latent causal variables in a hierarchical model, formulates conditions for concept identification.
result Conditions for identifying latent hierarchical models in unsupervised data, handling complex structures and high-dimensional data.

How can we understand classification decisions made by deep neural networks? Many existing explainability methods rely solely on correlations and fail to account for confounding, which may result in potentially misleading explanations. To overcome this problem, we define the Causal Concept Effect (CaCE) as the causal e…

2019-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified approach to learn interpretable concepts from data.

problem Building interpretable machine learning models and highly-performing foundation models.
method Relating causal representation learning and foundation models, defining concepts and proving their recoverability.
result Provable recovery of human-interpretable concepts from diverse data.

Proposes a new method to better understand complex system interactions.

problem Current methods like Granger causality and transfer entropy fail to capture higher-order interactions.
method Introduces a generalized approach to capture multivariate causal interactions.
result The method can distinguish causal roles in synergetic interactions.

Framework learns interpretable concepts from data without interventions.

problem Learning spurious correlations between concepts in CBMs.
method Causal representation learning (CRL) to align latent variables with interpretable concepts using few labels.
result Framework provides theoretical guarantees on correctness and number of required labels without interventions.

In this work we define and study the relations between Lorentzian Manifolds given by the diffeomorphisms which map causal future directed vectors onto causal future directed vectors. This class of diffeomorphisms, called proper causal relations, contains as a subset the well-known group of conformal relations and are d…

2002-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal discovery algorithms can help generate legal arguments.

problem Leveraging causal discovery algorithms in legal decision-making.
method Prepared a legal dataset, annotated with 17 legal concepts, applied causal discovery algorithms, and quantified degrees of belief.
result Some causal relationships help generate viable legal arguments.

Generative Neuro-Symbolic model learns from raw data with rich conceptual representations.

problem Learning rich, general-purpose conceptual representations from raw perceptual inputs.
method Generative Neuro-Symbolic (GNS) model combining symbolic and neural network approaches.
result Model learns from raw data and generalizes to 4 unique tasks.

Causal graph aids observational study insights in aSAH patients.

problem Lack of clear objectives and tools for identifying necessary adjustments in observational studies.
method Uses causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) to provide insights mid-study and identify necessary data enhancements.
result Midway insights and necessary data enhancements identified for meaningful causal questions.

The concept of causality has a controversial history. The question of whether it is possible to represent and address causal problems with probability theory, or if fundamentally new mathematics such as the do-calculus is required has been hotly debated, In this paper we demonstrate that, while it is critical to explic…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach learns causally disentangled latent structures in generative models.

problem Fundamental tension between expressivity and structure in latent structure learning.
method Added a context module to an arbitrarily complex model to learn causally disentangled concepts.
result Causally disentangled representations can be composed for out-of-distribution generation.

Graphical causal inference as pioneered by Judea Pearl arose from research on artificial intelligence (AI), and for a long time had little connection to the field of machine learning. This article discusses where links have been and should be established, introducing key concepts along the way. It argues that the hard …

2019-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of function estimation in the case where an underlying causal model can be inferred. This has implications for popular scenarios such as covariate shift, concept drift, transfer learning and semi-supervised learning. We argue that causal knowledge may facilitate some approaches for a given probl…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The full causal ladder of spacetimes is constructed, and their updated main properties are developed. Old concepts and alternative definitions of each level of the ladder are revisited, with emphasis in minimum hypotheses. The implications of the recently solved ``folk questions on smoothability'', and alternative prop…

2006-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study extends null distance concept to Lorentzian length spaces for spacetime analysis.

problem Understanding spacetime convergence and topology in Lorentzian geometry.
method Extend null distance concept to Lorentzian length spaces, study Gromov-Hausdorff convergence.
result First results on compatibility of null distance with synthetic curvature bounds in warped product Lorentzian length spaces.

Deep learning aids causal inference in complex settings.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in non-linear, time-varying, and encoded confounders.
method Intuitive introduction to deep learning and causal inference, focusing on observational data.
result Maximizes accessibility to causal inference through deep learning.

Study defines new products for Lorentzian spaces and analyzes causal diamonds.

problem Understanding causal diamonds in Lorentzian spaces.
method Introduced taxicab and uniform products for Lorentzian pre-length spaces. Defined D(RimesTX)D(R imes_T X) space and analyzed its properties.
result The space D(RimesTX)D(R imes_T X) is geodesic and globally hyperbolic for complete XX.

Meta-causal states group equivalent qualitative causal dynamics, useful for analyzing system changes.

problem Qualitative changes in causal relationships due to agent actions or environmental tipping points.
method Propose meta-causal states to group causal models based on equivalent qualitative behavior and parameterize specific mechanisms.
result Meta-causal states can be inferred from observed agent behavior and disentangled from unlabeled data.

Shapley value improves model interpretation but not causal inference.

problem Improving model interpretability without losing predictive power.
method Analyzed Shapley value in Bayesian networks, linking it to conditional independence.
result Eliminating high Shapley value variables does not harm predictive performance, but low Shapley value variables can.

New mass inequalities and proofs for causal variational principles.

problem Proving new mass inequalities for causal variational principles.
method Proved a new inequality for minimizers of causal variational principles and applied it to prove the positive mass theorem.
result Introduced a positive quasilocal mass and proved new mass inequalities.

LLM4Causal democratizes causal reasoning via fine-tuned LLMs.

problem Limited capability of LLMs in causal inference and interpretation.
method Fine-tuning an open-source LLM for causal tasks, proposing datasets for instruction tuning.
result LLM4Causal delivers end-to-end solutions for causal problems and interprets results easily.

The concept of closed trapped surface is of paramount importance in General Relativity and other gravitational theories. However, it is a purely geometrical object. With the aim of bringing this concept to closer attention by the mathematical community, I introduce the generalized idea of trapped submanifold by using t…

2004-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes counterfactual explainability for causal attribution, extending variance analysis methods.

problem Lack of mechanistic understanding in existing tools for explaining complex models.
method Extends global sensitivity analysis methods to causal explanations using directed acyclic graphs.
result Developed methods to estimate counterfactual explainability and applied to income inequality analysis.

In Lorentzian manifolds of any dimension the concept of causal tensors is introduced. Causal tensors have positivity properties analogous to the so-called ``dominant energy condition''. Further, it is shown how to build, from ANY given tensor AA, a new tensor quadratic in AA and ``positive'', in the sense that it is …

2002-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships between the predictors and the actual prediction have not been considered. Here, we co…

2017-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explores causal analysis in machine learning for better interpretability.

problem The lack of causality in traditional interpretable machine learning models.
method An overview of causal approaches for interpretable machine learning.
result Causal analysis improves the interpretability of machine learning models.

Dynamic Structural Causal Models handle time-dependent systems with cycles and latent confounding.

problem Representing and analyzing systems of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with DSCMs.
method Define time-splitting and subsampling operations to analyze DSCMs of SDEs, and apply existing causal discovery algorithms to time-series data.
result DSCMs provide a graphical Markov property for SDEs and enable identification of time-dependent causal effects.

Develops a new causal model for path-dependent link prediction.

problem Existing causal models assume fixed node factors, but real-world links can depend on existing ones.
method Introduces causal lifting and structural pairwise embeddings for path-dependent link prediction.
result Validated on three scenarios, demonstrating improved accuracy for causal link prediction.