A new class of risk measures called cash sub-additive risk measures is introduced to assess the risk of future financial, nonfinancial and insurance positions. The debated cash additive axiom is relaxed into the cash sub additive axiom to preserve the original difference between the numeraire of the current reserve amo…
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48 results for “cash transfer”
Machine learning models outperform structural econometric models in cash transfer prediction tasks.
problem Evaluating conditional cash transfer policies using machine learning methods.
method Comparison of machine learning algorithms (CART, C4.5, LASSO, random forest, adaboost) with structural econometric models for cash transfer prediction.
result Random forest and adaboost models have the highest accuracy for individual subgroup outcomes in the out-of-sample forecast.
Study optimizes insurance liability cash flows with regulatory capital requirements.
problem Valuation of insurance liabilities under regulatory capital constraints.
method Multiple-prior optimal stopping theory applied to insurance liabilities, considering hypothetical transfer and repeated capital requirements.
result Proposes a valuation functional for non-replicable cash flows, incorporating a margin for regulatory capital considerations.
Variable annuities: A closer look at ratchet guarantees, hybrid contract designs, and taxationq-fin.PM
Investigates optimal withdrawal strategies in VA contracts with tax and ratchet mechanisms.
problem Optimizing withdrawal strategies and behavior of policyholders in VA contracts with tax and ratchet mechanisms.
method Solving a backward dynamic programming problem to optimize cash flows from VA contracts, considering hybrid products and taxation effects.
result Tax-shielding effect of the cash fund enhances contract attractiveness, ratchet mechanism discourages early surrender, and cash fund discourages active withdrawals.
Study optimizes CT and microinsurance for efficient social protection in low-income countries.
problem Efficient targeting of cash transfers to reduce social protection costs in low-income countries.
method Modelled household capital dynamics using piecewise-deterministic Markov process, derived HJB equation for optimal injection, used dynamic programming.
result Optimal level of capital injection above poverty threshold for cost-effective social protection.
Defines market-consistent value of insurance liabilities under capital requirements.
problem Value of insurance liabilities subject to repeated capital requirements.
method Optimal stopping problems and backward recursion to compute value.
result Defines the value of insurance liabilities as no-arbitrage price optimally stopped.
Quantum Financephysics.soc-ph
Quantum theory is used to model secondary financial markets. Contrary to stochastic descriptions, the formalism emphasizes the importance of trading in determining the value of a security. All possible realizations of investors holding securities and cash is taken as the basis of the Hilbert space of market states. The…
Study cash-subadditive risk measures without quasi-convexity.
problem Cash subadditivity without quasi-convexity.
method Represent cash-subadditive risk measures as lower envelopes of quasi-convex measures and introduce quasi-star-shapedness.
result General cash-subadditive risk measures can be represented as lower envelopes of quasi-convex measures.
The paper fits cash management models to data using stochastic and linear programming.
problem Cash flow probability distribution assumptions in cash management models are relaxed.
method Stochastic and linear programming to fit models to data.
result A small random sample of data is sufficient to fit bound-based models.
PyCaMa simplifies cash management with Python.
problem Optimal cash management with multiple bank accounts.
method Linear programming for multiobjective cash management.
result Derives optimal policies for cost and risk.
A Top-down Model for Cash CLOq-fin.PR
We propose a top-down model for cash CLO. This model can consistently price cash CLO tranches both within the same deal and across different deals. Meaningful risk measures for cash CLO tranches can also be defined and computed. This method is self-consistent, easy to implement and computationally efficient. It has the…
Cash Flow Entropyq-fin.GN
In this paper we aim to find a measure for the diversity of cash flows between agents in an economy. We argue that cash flows can be linked to probabilities of finding a currency unit in a given cash flow. We then use the information entropy as a natural measure of diversity. This leads to a hirarchical inequality meas…
Improved cash flow forecasts lead to significant cost savings.
problem The impact of forecast accuracy on cash management costs.
method Analysis of two real data sets from the textile industry.
result Predictive accuracy is highly correlated with cost savings.
A modular cash-overlay rule for allocating between a fixed growth-defensive risky sleeve and interest-bearing cash.
problem Drawdown control
method Continuous cash-overlay filters
result Earnings an 18.83% CAGR versus 16.62% for 100% R
ADMM solves constrained CASH problems by breaking them into smaller, manageable pieces.
problem Handling black-box constraints in CASH problems.
method Leverages ADMM optimization framework to decompose CASH problems.
result ADMM facilitates incorporation of black-box constraints.
Paper defines the payback period for nonconventional cash flows using axioms.
problem Defining the payback period for nonconventional cash flows is challenging.
method Used axiomatic approach to define the payback period.
result The last break-even point of the project balance is the only definition consistent with axioms.
Paper develops models to forecast private equity fund cash flows.
problem Limited literature on illiquid alternative asset cash flow forecasting.
method Develops benchmark model and two novel approaches (direct vs. indirect) using LSTM/GRU models and macroeconomic indicators.
result Direct model performs better and aligns with actual cash flows, but indirect model's performance is less clear.
Study reveals cash flow data is non-linear, impacting forecasting methods.
problem Assumptions of normality, correlation, and stationarity for daily cash flows are inaccurate.
method Comprehensive empirical analysis of real-world cash flow data from small and medium companies.
result Non-linearity is crucial for forecasting cash flows, challenging traditional methods.
Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.
problem Understanding cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms and its impact on profitability and size.
method Empirical study of 30 manufacturing firms in Dhaka Stock Exchanges, categorizing them into six industries, analyzing industry averages and relationships with size and profitability.
result Negative relationship between cash conversion cycle and profitability, especially ROE; negative relationship with firm size in terms of net sales.
Planning Optimal From the Firm Value Creation Perspective Levels of Operating Cash Investmentsq-fin.RM
The basic financial purpose of corporation is creation of its value. Liquidity management should also contribute to realization of this fundamental aim. Many of the current asset management models that are found in financial management literature assume book profit maximization as the basic financial purpose. These boo…
Analyzes how long-term cash flows react to changes in underlying processes.
problem Understanding how long-term cash flows change with process perturbations.
method Combines Fournie et al. method with martingale extraction to simplify sensitivity analysis.
result Sensitivity of long-term cash flows can be represented in a simple form.
Investigates time-consistency of cash-subadditive risk measures.
problem Investigates conditions for time-consistency of cash-subadditive convex dynamic risk measures.
method Uses dual representation and generalized cocycle condition to provide sufficient conditions for strong time-consistency.
result Provides sufficient condition for strong time-consistency in cash-subadditive convex dynamic risk measures.
Auto-CASH uses Deep Q-Network to automatically select machine learning algorithms.
problem Automatic selection of machine learning algorithms and hyperparameters.
method Pre-trained model based on meta-learning using Deep Q-Network.
result Auto-CASH achieves better performance with shorter time compared to classical and state-of-the-art methods.
Model cash management under ambiguity using maxmin preferences and diffusion.
problem Optimizing cash reserves in the presence of ambiguity.
method Singular control model with maxmin preferences, verified using Dynkin games.
result Higher expected costs and narrower inaction region under increased ambiguity.
A new framework tackles CASH problem with alternating optimization and Rising Bandits.
problem Efficiently solving the Combined Algorithm Selection and Hyperparameter optimization (CASH) problem.
method Alternating optimization framework using BO for HPO and Rising Bandits for algorithm selection.
result Demonstrated superiority over competitive baselines in extensive experiments.
Cash Accumulation Strategy based on Optimal Replication of Random Claims with Ordinary Integralsq-fin.MF
Model predicts cash accumulation for assets with unknown prices.
problem Cash accumulation for assets with unpredictable future prices.
method Discretized Wiener Process matched using ordinary integrals.
result Model efficiently predicts cash accumulation for various asset scenarios.
The study finds cash productivity predicts stock performance in a specific subset of firms.
problem Predicting future stock performance using cash productivity.
method Using financial and market data, calculated cash returns as a proxy for operational efficiency, and tested a long-only strategy on Nasdaq-listed non-financial firms.
result Cash productivity has significant predictive power in a handpicked portfolio but limited across the broader Nasdaq universe.
Study cash-flow forecasting for derivatives, aligning with replication strategy and addressing timing frictions.
problem Inconsistencies in cash-flow forecasting under different measures and stochastic payment times.
method Use discounting sensitivities (funding-curve hedge ratios) for replication and propose a liquidity valuation adjustment.
result Aligns forecasting with replication strategy and avoids measure-mixing issues.
We discuss risk measures representing the minimum amount of capital a financial institution needs to raise and invest in a pre-specified eligible asset to ensure it is adequately capitalized. Most of the literature has focused on cash-additive risk measures, for which the eligible asset is a risk-free bond, on the grou…
Paper presents new expansions for option pricing with cash dividends.
problem No exact formula for European options with cash dividends.
method Uses Etore and Gobet's technique for piecewise lognormal process with jumps.
result Provides more robust first, second, and third-order expansions.
Expands Thiele equation for non-Markovian life insurance cash flows.
problem Circular dependency in life insurance cash flows and reserves.
method Expands Thiele equation to non-Markovian frameworks and presents a recursive scheme.
result Calculates multiple contract modifications in non-Markovian life insurance.
A new method for valuing insurance liabilities using cost-of-capital approach.
problem Valuation of insurance liabilities with market-consistency and cost considerations.
method Two-stage valuation: replicate liability cash flow first, then manage residual cash flow with capital constraints.
result Explicit formulas and properties of the cost-of-capital margin under specific assumptions.
New index for evaluating cash flow processes over a fixed horizon.
problem Evaluating performance of cash flow processes over a fixed investment horizon.
method Extended acceptability indices to càdlàg processes, providing a new index based on Average Value-at-Risk and running minimum.
result Suggested index represents a RAROC-type model for performance evaluation.
Elastic Cashq-fin.GN
Elastic Cash adjusts money supply to stabilize interest rates.
problem Stabilizing interest rates in a decentralized system.
method Modifies supply to keep interest rate fixed by public market.
result Improves elasticity of US Dollar and new cryptocurrencies.
This paper offers a mathematical framework to manage inventory risk in FX cash markets.
problem Inventory risk in FX cash markets due to flow uncertainty and volatility.
method Mathematical framework and approximation techniques for scalability.
result Maximizing expected profit while controlling inventory risk.
Study approximates cash-constrained firm value with investment opportunities.
problem Optimal investment decisions for cash-constrained firms.
method Singular control problem with regime switching, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, numerical approximation.
result Numerical approximation converges to the value function, describing investment and dividend policies.
Optimizes loan recovery timing by forecasting cash flows.
problem Minimizing overall credit loss in loan portfolios.
method Forecast future cash flows using probabilistic and Markov chain models.
result Empirical illustration of loss-optimal recovery timing.
Research of an optimization model for servicing a network of ATMs and information payment terminalscs.LG
Optimizes cash management in ATM networks to reduce costs and increase revenue.
problem Minimizing cash costs while ensuring adequate funds in a network of ATMs.
method Developed a discrete optimal control model using forecasting techniques and control theory.
result The proposed model outperforms classical inventory management models, earning 30% more revenue.
In a market of deterministic cash flows, given as an additive, symmetric relation of exchangeability on the finite signed Borel measures on the non-negative real time axis, it is shown that the only arbitrage-free price functional that fulfills some additional mild requirements is the integral of the unit zero-coupon b…
Constant Proportion Debt Obligations, Zeno's Paradox, and the Spectacular Financial Crisis of 2008q-fin.MF
CPDOs can't achieve a Cash-In event in finite tosses, mirroring Zeno's Paradox.
problem The impossibility of achieving a Cash-In event in CPDOs, mirroring Zeno's Paradox.
method Coin-tossing model and analysis of infinite geometric series.
result CPDOs can't achieve a Cash-In event in a finite lifetime, mirroring Zeno's Paradox.
Research improves LGD approximation using XGBoost for cash-flow-limited data.
problem Accurate LGD calculation with limited cash-flow data.
method Enhanced delta outstanding approach with XGBoost machine learning.
result XGBoost model enhances realized LGD estimation accuracy.
Haircutting Non-cash Collateralq-fin.PR
Develops a haircut model for non-cash collateral.
problem Addressing the need for accurate non-cash collateral valuation in shadow banking and OTC derivatives markets.
method Expands haircut definitions, uses a double-exponential jump-diffusion model, and solves for credit risk measurements.
result Computational results show potential for collateral agreements and regulatory capital calculations.
Observation of the workings of productive organizations shows that the characteristics of a trade, backed by nature given to a technological environment, determine the productive combination implemented by the decision maker, and the structure of the operating cycle which is related. The choice of the production functi…
The paper analyzes sensitivities of cash flows using PDEs and Hansen-Scheinkman decomposition.
problem Large-time sensitivities of cash flows in quantitative finance.
method PDE representation of pricing operator with Hansen-Scheinkman decomposition.
result Detailed convergence rates of sensitivities are provided.
A new method prices time-to-event cash flows using survival analysis.
problem Pricing insurance investment portfolios with time-to-event cash flows.
method Discrete-time survival analysis framework, hazard rate estimators, asymptotic multivariate normality.
result Pricing model yields estimates closer to actual cash flows than non-random models.
The paper models ATM cash withdrawal chaos and forecasts using deep learning.
problem Forecasting ATM cash withdrawals in an Indian bank.
method Chaos modeling of ATM cash withdrawal time series, deep learning methods (ARIMA, RF, SVR, MLP, GMDH, GRNN, LSTM, 1D CNN).
result Deep learning models show similar performance to random forest in forecasting ATM cash withdrawals.
This paper closely examines theoretical and practical aspects of the widely used discounted cash flows (DCF) valuation method. It assesses its potentials as well as several weaknesses. A special emphasize is being put on the valuation of companies using the DCF method. The paper finds that the discounted cash flow meth…
Research quantifies financial exclusion risks in UK, focusing on cash infrastructure and socio-economic factors.
problem Localised financial exclusion in the UK as cash infrastructure declines.
method Developed a composite indicator using various input variables.
result Financial exclusion is more prevalent in deprived communities and affluent areas.