We derive caplet volatilities for quadratic models, providing an asymptotic approximation.
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This paper provides a practical method to extract caplet volatilities from quoted data.
Improved LV model for interest rate swaptions and caplets.
Study improves caplet calibration for 1Y maturity using different models.
Efficiently calibrates SABR/LIBOR models to real market caplets and swaptions data.
Improved model for SOFR, SONIA, and ESTR caplets pricing.
We consider an interest rate model with log-normally distributed rates in the terminal measure in discrete time. Such models are used in financial practice as parametric versions of the Markov functional model, or as approximations to the log-normal Libor market model. We show that the model has two distinct regimes, a…
Extends SABR model for pricing RFR caplets.
Study affine models for alternative risk-free rates and derive caplet pricing formulas.
Extends DML for parametric problems, improving accuracy and efficiency in pricing and calibration.
The class of affine LIBOR models is appealing since it satisfies three central requirements of interest rate modeling. It is arbitrage-free, interest rates are nonnegative and caplet and swaption prices can be calculated analytically. In order to guarantee nonnegative interest rates affine LIBOR models are driven by no…
In this short note, using our geometric method introduced in a previous paper \cite{phl} and initiated by \cite{ave}, we derive an asymptotic swaption implied volatility at the first-order for a general stochastic volatility Libor Market Model. This formula is useful to quickly calibrate a model to a full swaption matr…
In this paper, we establish a market model for the term structure of forward inflation rates based on the risk-neutral dynamics of nominal and real zero-coupon bonds. Under the market model, we can price inflation caplets as well as inflation swaptions with a formula similar to the Black's formula, thus justify the cur…
This paper improves SABR/LMM for better practical use in global banks.
We propose an affine extension of the Linear Gaussian term structure Model (LGM) such that the instantaneous covariation of the factors is given by an affine process on semidefinite positive matrices. First, we set up the model and present some important properties concerning the Laplace transform of the factors and th…
The paper introduces a new short rate model with memory components.
We provide a general and tractable framework under which all multiple yield curve modeling approaches based on affine processes, be it short rate, Libor market, or HJM modeling, can be consolidated. We model a numeraire process and multiplicative spreads between Libor rates and simply compounded OIS rates as functions …
Option pricing is the most elemental challenge of mathematical finance. Knowledge of the prices of options at every strike is equivalent to knowing the entire pricing distribution for a security, as derivatives contingent on the security can be replicated using options. The available data may be insufficient to determi…
Study uses weak transport for non-convex costs in fixed-income markets.
We discuss two numerical methods, based on a path integral approach described in a previous paper (I), for solving the stochastic equations underlying the financial markets: the Monte Carlo approach, and the Green function deterministic numerical method. Then, we apply the latter to some specific financial problems. In…
A heat kernel approach is proposed for the development of a general, flexible, and mathematically tractable asset pricing framework in finite time. The pricing kernel, giving rise to the price system in an incomplete market, is modelled by weighted heat kernels which are driven by multivariate Markov processes and whic…
New method prices interest rate derivatives without Monte Carlo, achieving high accuracy and speed.
We introduce a multiple curve framework that combines tractable dynamics and semi-analytic pricing formulas with positive interest rates and basis spreads. Negatives rates and positive spreads can also be accommodated in this framework. The dynamics of OIS and LIBOR rates are specified following the methodology of the …
We introduce efficient numerical methods for generic HJM equations of interest rate theory by means of high-order weak approximation schemes. These schemes allow for QMC implementations due to the relatively low dimensional integration space. The complexity of the resulting algorithm is considerably lower than the comp…
The aim of this work is to provide fast and accurate approximation schemes for the Monte-Carlo pricing of derivatives in the Lévy LIBOR model of Eberlein and Özkan (2005). Standard methods can be applied to solve the stochastic differential equations of the successive LIBOR rates but the methods are generally slow. We …
We demonstrate effectiveness of the first-order algorithm from [Milstein, Tretyakov. Theory Prob. Appl. 47 (2002), 53-68] in application to barrier option pricing. The algorithm uses the weak Euler approximation far from barriers and a special construction motivated by linear interpolation of the price near barriers. I…
GPU computing has become popular in computational finance and many financial institutions are moving their CPU based applications to the GPU platform. Since most Monte Carlo algorithms are embarrassingly parallel, they benefit greatly from parallel implementations, and consequently Monte Carlo has become a focal point …
The aim of this work is to provide fast and accurate approximation schemes for the Monte Carlo pricing of derivatives in LIBOR market models. Standard methods can be applied to solve the stochastic differential equations of the successive LIBOR rates but the methods are generally slow. Our contribution is twofold. Firs…
In this paper we consider the pricing of options on interest rates such as caplets and swaptions in the Lévy Libor model developed by Eberlein and Özkan (2005). This model is an extension to Lévy driving processes of the classical log-normal Libor market model (LMM) driven by a Brownian motion. Option pricing is signif…
Exact relationships found between ATM slope, volatility swap, and zero vanna.
Study local volatility from rough volatility models, finding new skew rule.
This work models overnight rates with jumps and discontinuities, extending classical short-rate models.
Enhanced volatility forecasting using options data and rough volatility model.
We consider an asset whose risk-neutral dynamics are described by a general class of local-stochastic volatility models and derive a family of asymptotic expansions for European-style option prices and implied volatilities. Our implied volatility expansions are explicit; they do not require any special functions nor do…
Volatility models must be rough to match market skew.
Study on estimating volatility of volatility using Fourier methods and provides insights into volatility dynamics.
Extends Heston model with local volatility for better fit to market volatilities.
The paper values perpetual callable American volatility options using a mean-reverting volatility model.
The stochastic volatility model is one of volatility models which infer latent volatility of asset returns. The Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model is performed by the hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm which is superior to other Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in sampling volatility variables. …
In this paper, Malliavin calculus is applied to arrive at exact formulas for the difference between the volatility swap strike and the zero vanna implied volatility for volatilities driven by fractional noise. To the best of our knowledge, our estimate is the first to derive the rigorous relationship between the zero v…
Develops a martingale expansion for stochastic volatility models.
Study large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.
Estimates volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency options data.
This study compares three volatility metrics for Bitcoin, highlighting high expected volatility.
Currency volatility shocks predict lower excess returns, and buying weak transmitters outperforms selling strong ones.
Paper generalizes pricing and hedging of volatility swaps in stochastic models.
The article reviews how to set stochastic volatility model parameters.
Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the origin. Another classic stylistic feature often assumed for the volatility is that it …