A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Develops a Bayesian model to predict business revenue and demand.
For any business, planning is a continuous process, and typically business-owners focus on making both long-term planning aligned with a particular strategy as well as short-term planning that accommodates the dynamic market situations. An ability to perform an accurate financial forecast is crucial for effective plann…
Study on tax administration issues and their impact on Georgia's budget revenues.
The paper introduces revenue uplift modeling to maximize marketing profits.
A scalable model estimates revenue uncertainty for SMEs.
We have created a framework for analyzing subscription based businesses in terms of a unified metric which we call SCV (single customer value). The major advance in this paper is to model customer churn as an exponential decay variable, which directly follows from experimental data relating to subscription based busine…
Taobao, as the largest online retail platform in the world, provides billions of online display advertising impressions for millions of advertisers every day. For commercial purposes, the advertisers bid for specific spots and target crowds to compete for business traffic. The platform chooses the most suitable ads to …
Online advertisement is the main source of revenue for Internet business. Advertisers are typically ranked according to a score that takes into account their bids and potential click-through rates(eCTR). Generally, the likelihood that a user clicks on an ad is often modeled by optimizing for the click through rates rat…
Ancillaries have become a major source of revenue and profitability in the travel industry. Yet, conventional pricing strategies are based on business rules that are poorly optimized and do not respond to changing market conditions. This paper describes the dynamic pricing model developed by Deepair solutions, an AI te…
Optimizes BESS for cross-market energy arbitrage to boost revenues.
Two-sided marketplaces such as eBay, Etsy and Taobao have two distinct groups of customers: buyers who use the platform to seek the most relevant and interesting item to purchase and sellers who view the same platform as a tool to reach out to their audience and grow their business. Additionally, platforms have their o…
Contextual bandit framework improves revenue optimization in securities lending market.
Optimizes Airbnb pricing to increase revenue and reduce booking regret.
Proposes a variational autoencoder for long-term customer revenue forecasting.
Data analytics using machine learning (ML) has become ubiquitous in science, business intelligence, journalism and many other domains. While a lot of work focuses on reducing the training cost, inference runtime and storage cost of ML models, little work studies how to reduce the cost of data acquisition, which potenti…
Sponsored search in E-commerce platforms such as Amazon, Taobao and Tmall provides sellers an effective way to reach potential buyers with most relevant purpose. In this paper, we study the auction mechanism optimization problem in sponsored search on Alibaba's mobile E-commerce platform. Besides generating revenue, we…
Startups is a popular phenomenon that has a significant impact on global economy growth, innovation and society development. However, there is still insufficient understanding about startups, particularly, how to start a new business in the relation to consequent performance. Toward this knowledge, we have performed an…
Paper uses DRL for dynamic pricing on e-commerce platforms.
Shaped by structural forces of change, banking in emerging markets has recently experienced a decline in its traditional activities, leading banks to diversify into new business strategies. This paper examines whether the observed shift into non-interest based activities improves financial performance. Using a sample o…
The paper analyzes risks and revenue dynamics of a liquid restaking protocol in decentralized finance.
In E-commerce advertising, where product recommendations and product ads are presented to users simultaneously, the traditional setting is to display ads at fixed positions. However, under such a setting, the advertising system loses the flexibility to control the number and positions of ads, resulting in sub-optimal p…
PoDiRe learns long-term rewards in multi-task recommendations.
Online advertising is an important and huge industry. Having knowledge of the website attributes can contribute greatly to business strategies for ad-targeting, content display, inventory purchase or revenue prediction. Classical inferences on users and sites impose challenge, because the data is voluminous, sparse, hi…
This paper introduces a Bayesian framework for optimizing online experiments to maximize profit.
Optimizes user marketing campaigns to balance cost and effectiveness.
The paper proposes a policy learning framework for interpretable personalization.
A new model predicts fashion demand 6-12 months ahead, boosting retailer profits.
Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.
We analyze annual revenues and earnings data for the 500 largest-revenue U.S. companies during the period 1954-2007. We find that mean year profits are proportional to mean year revenues, exception made for few anomalous years, from which we postulate a linear relation between company expected mean profit and revenue. …
Personalized pricing analytics is becoming an essential tool in retailing. Upon observing the personalized information of each arriving customer, the firm needs to set a price accordingly based on the covariates such as income, education background, past purchasing history to extract more revenue. For new entrants of t…
Study shows local governments smooth fiscal shocks from property tax revenues.
This paper optimizes revenue and resource balance in network revenue management.
Before A/B testing online a new version of a recommender system, it is usual to perform some offline evaluations on historical data. We focus on evaluation methods that compute an estimator of the potential uplift in revenue that could generate this new technology. It helps to iterate faster and to avoid losing money b…
Paper forecasts tax revenues in Bulgaria during pandemic.
Detecting faults and SLA violations in a timely manner is critical for telecom providers, in order to avoid loss in business, revenue and reputation. At the same time predicting SLA violations for user services in telecom environments is difficult, due to time-varying user demands and infrastructure load conditions. In…
Nowadays, video game developers record every virtual action performed by their players. As each player can remain in the game for years, this results in an exceptionally rich dataset that can be used to understand and predict player behavior. In particular, this information may serve to identify the most valuable playe…
Solves the film scheduling and staggered showtimes problem for movie theaters.
Jointly tackles assortment and pricing in retail, using bandit models.
Germany's tax admin costs likely exceed 20% of total revenue, requiring system improvement.
Study finds tax avoidance and IT issues hinder revenue in Gombe state.
The paper proposes a new method for product recommendation that considers revenue contributions and user similarity.
Research analyzes Georgia's tax system and suggests improvements.
Model for dynamic pricing across multiple RE groups to maximize revenue.
'There is no terror in the bang, only is the anticipation of it' - Alfred Hitchcock. Yet there is everything in correctly anticipating the bang a movie would make in the box-office. Movies make a high profile, billion dollar industry and prediction of movie revenue can be very lucrative. Predicted revenues can be used …
This paper optimizes multi-channel sequential advertising to maximize cumulative revenue.
DeepCausalMMM models marketing impacts using deep learning and causal inference.
Auto dealerships receive thousands of calls daily from customers who are interested in sales, service, vendors and jobseekers. With so many calls, it is very important for auto dealers to understand the intent of these calls to provide positive customer experiences that ensure customer satisfaction, deep customer engag…
HL algorithms improve resource allocation in cloud environments.