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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for business process evolution

Current economic theories miss most of economic dynamics.

problem Accuracy of economic theories and policies depend on economic variables and processes.
method Identify and analyze overlooked economic variables and processes.
result Many economic variables and processes not accounted for in current theories.

Most of the analytical techniques used in the business cycle synchronisation literature rely upon the estimation of an empirical correlation matrix of time series data of macroeconomic aggregates, real GDP usually being the key variable. But the small number of available observations and small number of economies mean …

2008-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, based on theories of complex adaptive systems, I argue that the main case for antitrust policy should be extended to include the criteria of "evolvability." To date, the main case focuses on economizing, including market power as a key filter for identifying suspect cases. Both production and transaction…

2012-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A microscopic approach to macroeconomic features is intended. A model for macroeconomic behavior under heterogeneous spatial economic conditions is reviewed. A birth-death lattice gas model taking into account the influence of an economic environment on the fitness and concentration evolution of economic entities is nu…

2004-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Development of efficient business process models and determination of their characteristic properties are subject of intense interdisciplinary research. Here, we consider a business process model as a directed graph. Its nodes correspond to the units identified by the modeler and the link direction indicates the causal…

2010-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Predicting business process behaviour is an important aspect of business process management. Motivated by research in natural language processing, this paper describes an application of deep learning with recurrent neural networks to the problem of predicting the next event in a business process. This is both a novel m…

2016-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

With the network methods and random matrix theory, we investigate the interaction structure of communities in financial markets. In particular, based on the random matrix decomposition, we clarify that the local interactions between the business sectors (subsectors) are mainly contained in the sector mode. In the secto…

2014-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.

problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.

Graph neural networks detect anomalies in object-centric business processes.

problem Detecting anomalies in graph-like business processes.
method Graph convolutional autoencoder architecture for anomaly detection.
result Promising performance in detecting anomalies at the activity type and attributes level.

This paper studies business cycle patterns in UK sectoral output. It analyzes the distinction between white noise processes and their non-white noise counterparts in the frequency domain and further examines the associated features and patterns for the process where white noise conditions are violated. The characterist…

2010-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new method for learning business process representations.

problem Challenges in capturing all useful information in business process data.
method Combines Gramian Angular Fields and Convolutional Neural Networks for representation learning.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the approach through visualization and multiple process prediction tasks.

An analytic model is presented that considers the evolution of a market of durable goods. The model suggests that after introduction goods spread always according to a Bass diffusion. However, this phase will be followed by a diffusion process for durable consumer goods governed by a variation-selection-reproduction me…

2013-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves prediction accuracy in business process mining by handling concept drift.

problem Improving prediction quality in business process mining affected by concept drift.
method Systematically analyzed and compared different data selection strategies for retraining machine learning models.
result Improved accuracy from 0.5400 to 0.7010 with concept drift handling.

The aim of process discovery, originating from the area of process mining, is to discover a process model based on business process execution data. A majority of process discovery techniques relies on an event log as an input. An event log is a static source of historical data capturing the execution of a business proc…

2017-04-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts time evolution of supply chain networks under varying costs.

problem Regulating downstream relationships for sustainable SMEs.
method Time varying SCN model based on Lagrangian mechanics, incorporating EDES cost kernels.
result Model predicts bankruptcy and break-even states under different cost scenarios.

We study the dynamic evolution of cross-correlations in the Chinese stock market mainly based on the random matrix theory (RMT). The correlation matrices constructed from the return series of 367 A-share stocks traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange from January 4, 1999 to December 30, 2011 are calculated over a moving …

2013-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative AI agents improve ERP systems by automating complex financial tasks.

problem Static, rule-based workflows limit adaptability and intelligence in ERP systems.
method Introducing Generative Business Process AI Agents (GBPAs) that integrate generative AI with business process modeling and multi-agent orchestration.
result GBPAs achieve up to 40% reduction in processing time and 94% drop in error rate.

Study proposes a novel local explanation method for deep learning classifiers in process mining.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for process mining.
method Defines local regions using latent space representations and visualizes explanations.
result Deep learning classifier achieves high performance and local explanations increase user trust.

Modeling business cycles via collective risk fluctuations in economic agents' risk space.

problem Understanding and predicting business cycles through economic agents' risk dynamics.
method Continuous numerical risk grades for economic agents, modeling collective economic variables and flows as functions of risk coordinates, deriving equations for their evolution.
result Business and credit cycles are explained as fluctuations of collective economic variables and their mean risks in the risk space of economic agents.

Develops a new GLM framework for claims reserving with adaptive estimation.

problem Accurate assessment of claims reserves with dynamic and dependent claim activity.
method Multivariate evolutionary GLM framework with adaptive particle filtering algorithm.
result Adaptive estimation of evolving factors improves claims reserve accuracy.

Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.

problem Evaluating economic impact of extreme shocks on businesses.
method Bayesian structural time series model with mobile phone data.
result Estimates business resilience after hurricanes, revealing key characteristics.

Regulatory compliance is an organization's adherence to laws, regulations, guidelines and specifications relevant to its business. Compliance officers responsible for maintaining adherence constantly struggle to keep up with the large amount of changes in regulatory requirements. Keeping up with the changes entail two …

2019-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves document processing in banking with multimodal analytics.

problem Raising operational efficiency in banking through document-intensive processes.
method Comparative analysis of text classifiers and multimodal model (LayoutXLM) on company register extracts.
result Incorporating layout information in a model substantially increases performance.

The paper analyzes optimal dividend strategies for risky businesses, considering both periodic and extraordinary payments.

problem Maximizing dividends paid until ruin, net of transaction costs.
method Modeling cash surplus as Brownian motion, considering different types of dividends with transaction costs.
result Optimal strategies depend on business profitability and transaction costs, sometimes including liquidation.

The study detects deceptive language in business communication using AI.

problem Deceptive language in business communication.
method Combining classical rhetoric, communication psychology, and linguistic theory with computational textual analysis and transformer models.
result Detection accuracies of over 99% achieved in controlled settings.

Understanding cities is central to addressing major global challenges from climate and health to economic resilience. Although increasingly perceived as fundamental socio-economic units, the detailed fabric of urban economic activities is only now accessible to comprehensive analyses with the availability of large data…

2014-05-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes GANs for generating business process suffixes and remaining times.

problem Generating accurate suffixes and remaining times for business process models.
method Encoder-decoder GAN architecture with Gumbel-Softmax distribution for categorical sequences.
result The approach outperforms baselines in suffix and remaining time prediction accuracy.

Study shows activist board representation improves Japanese companies' performance.

problem Lack of innovation and improvement in Japanese companies.
method Examined two Japanese companies with activist board representation, analyzing performance metrics.
result Companies with activist board representation experienced significant improvements in stock returns and operational metrics.

Study shows institutional investments significantly impact cryptocurrency market evolution.

problem Limited understanding of institutional investments' role in cryptocurrency market evolution.
method Quantitative analysis of 1324 cryptocurrencies' investments from 2014-2022.
result Institutional investments correlate with cryptocurrency market capitalization.

The study optimizes supply chain management through a dice-based model to predict cleaner production.

problem Uncertainty in supply chain management and economic predictions.
method A 4-component SC module (environmental, demand, economic, social uncertainties) ranked by weight, using Analytical Hierarchical Process and optimization of a weighted cost function.
result Identifies conditions validating the sustainability of a business venture and optimizes market uncertainty.

Paper proposes a GAN-based method for better next event prediction in business processes.

problem Insufficient training data and sub-optimal network configuration limit deep learning approaches to next event prediction.
method Adversarial training framework using Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) for sequential temporal data.
result The proposed approach achieves at least as good accuracy as non-adversarial methods and outperforms them in accuracy and prediction earliness.

User intended actions are widely seen in many areas. Forecasting these actions and taking proactive measures to optimize business outcome is a crucial step towards sustaining the steady business growth. In this work, we focus on pre- dicting attrition, which is one of typical user intended actions. Conventional attriti…

2018-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗