A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Detects BGP routing anomalies using bursty announcement patterns.
Paper proposes using CNN for stock trading with data normalization.
PRGDS models count tensors with sparsity and burstiness.
We investigate large changes, bursts, of the continuous stochastic signals, when the exponent of multiplicativity is higher than one. Earlier we have proposed a general nonlinear stochastic model which can be transformed into Bessel process with known first hitting (first passage) time statistics. Using these results w…
This paper uses cPF to build recommender systems from raw count data.
Paper proposes a new method to handle missing data in medical records using sequential variational autoencoders.
Improved error correction using neural networks and belief propagation.
The episodic, irregular and asynchronous nature of medical data render them difficult substrates for standard machine learning algorithms. We would like to abstract away this difficulty for the class of time-stamped categorical variables (or events) by modeling them as a renewal process and inferring a probability dens…
Hybrid model improves geopolitical conflict forecasting.
The problem to accurately and parsimoniously characterize random series of events (RSEs) present in the Web, such as e-mail conversations or Twitter hashtags, is not trivial. Reports found in the literature reveal two apparent conflicting visions of how RSEs should be modeled. From one side, the Poissonian processes, o…
Combustion reaction kinetics models are used for the description of a special class of bursty Financial Time Series. The small number of parameters they depend upon enable financial analysts to predict the time as well as the magnitude of the jump of the value of the portfolio. Several Financial Time Series are analyse…
We present a new, efficient method for automatically detecting severe conflicts `edit wars' in Wikipedia and evaluate this method on six different language WPs. We discuss how the number of edits, reverts, the length of discussions, the burstiness of edits and reverts deviate in such pages from those following the gene…
Paper proposes a new Markov model for efficient PLC system design.
A common approach to analyze a covariate-sample count matrix, an element of which represents how many times a covariate appears in a sample, is to factorize it under the Poisson likelihood. We show its limitation in capturing the tendency for a covariate present in a sample to both repeat itself and excite related ones…
Robust Bayesian models are appealing alternatives to standard models, providing protection from data that contains outliers or other departures from the model assumptions. Historically, robust models were mostly developed on a case-by-case basis; examples include robust linear regression, robust mixture models, and bur…
New method uses reinforcement learning to accurately estimate available network bandwidth.
We present a scalable and robust Bayesian inference method for linear state space models. The method is applied to demand forecasting in the context of a large e-commerce platform, paying special attention to intermittent and bursty target statistics. Inference is approximated by the Newton-Raphson algorithm, reduced t…
Proposes a new model to better handle overdispersed count time series.
Order cancellation process plays a crucial role in the dynamics of price formation in order-driven stock markets and is important in the construction and validation of computational finance models. Based on the order flow data of 18 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003, we investigate the empiric…
Deep learning models can take weeks to train on a single GPU-equipped machine, necessitating scaling out DL training to a GPU-cluster. However, current distributed DL implementations can scale poorly due to substantial parameter synchronization over the network, because the high throughput of GPUs allows more data batc…
Current state-of-the-art nonparametric Bayesian text clustering methods model documents through multinomial distribution on bags of words. Although these methods can effectively utilize the word burstiness representation of documents and achieve decent performance, they do not explore the sequential information of text…
How is popularity gained online? Is being successful strictly related to rapidly becoming viral in an online platform or is it possible to acquire popularity in a steady and disciplined fashion? What are other temporal characteristics that can unveil the popularity of online content? To answer these questions, we lever…
Paper proves EM algorithm convergence for mixtures of discrete and continuous parameters.
Study develops curvature for contact-sequence networks, revealing temporal dynamics.
ByteGen models LOB dynamics without tokenization, achieving realistic market metrics.
This study reveals statistical patterns in ERC20 token transactions on Ethereum blockchain.
A new metric, Weighted Regret, unifies FDR and power evaluation in online multiple testing.
In online social media systems users are not only posting, consuming, and resharing content, but also creating new and destroying existing connections in the underlying social network. While each of these two types of dynamics has individually been studied in the past, much less is known about the connection between th…
Exact asymptotic solutions found for nonlinear Hawkes processes.
Data preprocessing improves data quality for robust data mining.
Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent a big data set as a set of non-overlapping data subsets, called RSP data blocks,…
A new method for handling imbalanced big data using ensembles and smart data.
Prevents sensitive data generation in diffusion models using labeled and unlabeled data.
Study reveals Data Shapley's inconsistent performance in data selection tasks.
PRRO generates synthetic tabular data that improves SL performance and class distribution.
Defines data science as a natural ecosystem with challenges and missions.
Synthetic data enhances analytics but requires careful volume management.
This paper introduces C-DSL to improve data mining outcomes by considering context.
Proposes using probabilistic models for privacy-preserving synthetic data.
New test ensures quality of shared data in machine learning.
Paper creates fair synthetic data ensuring equal predictions across sensitive attributes.
A new method classifies multiple correlated data streams simultaneously.
DPA preserves data distribution in reduced dimensions.
Efficient synthetic data generation improves model performance on tabular data.
For most problems in science and engineering we can obtain data sets that describe the observed system from various perspectives and record the behavior of its individual components. Heterogeneous data sets can be collectively mined by data fusion. Fusion can focus on a specific target relation and exploit directly ass…
DAERNN models censored data using neural networks with data augmentation.
Data preprocessing techniques are devoted to correct or alleviate errors in data. Discretization and feature selection are two of the most extended data preprocessing techniques. Although we can find many proposals for static Big Data preprocessing, there is little research devoted to the continuous Big Data problem. A…
Data collection is a major bottleneck in machine learning and an active research topic in multiple communities. There are largely two reasons data collection has recently become a critical issue. First, as machine learning is becoming more widely-used, we are seeing new applications that do not necessarily have enough …