Although portfolio management didn't change much during the 40 years after the seminal works of Markowitz and Sharpe, the development of risk budgeting techniques marked an important milestone in the deepening of the relationship between risk and asset management. Risk parity then became a popular financial model of in…
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48 results for “budget management”
EERO optimizes resource usage for efficient classification.
problem Managing computational resources in complex machine learning models.
method EERO uses multiple classifiers with a reject option to adaptively shorten processing paths.
result EERO effectively manages budget allocation and enhances accuracy in complex scenarios.
Optimal bidding strategy for multi-platform ad auctions under budget constraints.
problem Optimizing ad placements for budget-constrained advertisers across multiple platforms.
method Developed an optimal bidding strategy for non-incentive-compatible auctions with budget constraints.
result Maximized total utility across auctions while satisfying budget constraints in expectation.
The paper tackles budget allocation for multiple campaigns using a novel combinatorial bandit approach.
problem Maximizing cumulative returns with limited budgets across various ad lines.
method Formulated as a multi-task combinatorial bandit problem, integrates Bayesian hierarchical models, and uses Thompson sampling.
result Demonstrates robustness and adaptability in maximizing overall cumulative returns.
Novel Bayesian optimization framework improves portfolio management stability and efficiency.
problem Stable and sample-efficient optimization for black-box portfolio models under limited observation budgets.
method TPE-AS framework with adaptive scheduling and importance sampling.
result Demonstrated effectiveness across four backtest settings with three distinct models.
The paper introduces a new divergence for portfolio management to outperform a benchmark.
problem Maximizing expected utility of outperformance over a benchmark with constraints.
method Uses -Bregman-Wasserstein divergence to penalize underperformance more than overperformance.
result Proves existence and uniqueness of optimal portfolio strategy and conditions for constraints binding.
To date, pavement management software products and studies on optimizing the prioritization of pavement maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) have been mainly focused on three parameters; the pre-treatment pavement condition, the rehabilitation cost, and the available budget. Yet, the role of the candidate projects' spa…
Speeding Up Budgeted Stochastic Gradient Descent SVM Training with Precomputed Golden Section Searchcs.LG
Limiting the model size of a kernel support vector machine to a pre-defined budget is a well-established technique that allows to scale SVM learning and prediction to large-scale data. Its core addition to simple stochastic gradient training is budget maintenance through merging of support vectors. This requires solvin…
Paper introduces a framework for managing cyber risk with insurance and cybersecurity models.
problem Pervasive challenges in managing cyber risk, especially for capital allocation.
method Combines insurance frequency-severity models with cybersecurity cascade models for comprehensive cyber risk assessment. Facilitates informed capital allocation through a two-pillar framework.
result Demonstrates the necessity of comprehensive cost-benefit analysis for budget-constrained companies.
Georgia needs a new budget code to manage fiscal policies effectively.
problem Weak and incomplete law on Budget System hinders fiscal policy implementation.
method Develop and adopt a new Budget Code with equal force as the Tax Code.
result Effective correlation between state, regional, and local budgets is crucial for social-economic development.
Continuous-Time Risk Contribution of the Terminal Variance and its Related Risk Budgeting Problemq-fin.MF
This paper extends risk parity to continuous-time, solving risk budgeting problems.
problem Achieving robust risk across different assets in continuous-time.
method Characterizing risk contributions and solving risk budgeting problems using continuous-time terminal variance.
result Risk contributions and risk budgets can be represented as predictable processes in continuous-time.
A new approach to risk allocation balances asset and factor risks.
problem Challenges in estimating expected returns for portfolio optimization.
method Risk Budgeting framework that allocates risk at the factor level.
result Effective portfolios can be constructed by balancing asset and factor risks.
POCAII optimizes hyperparameters with a new approach, showing superior performance.
problem Hyperparameter optimization with limited resources.
method Explicitly separates search and evaluation phases, focusing on exploration and exploitation.
result POCAII outperforms state-of-the-art HPO algorithms in low-budget scenarios.
We develop an optimal currency hedging strategy for fund managers who own foreign assets to choose the hedge tenors that maximize their FX carry returns within a liquidity risk constraint. The strategy assumes that the offshore assets are fully hedged with FX forwards. The chosen liquidity risk metric is Cash Flow at R…
Deep Hedging to Manage Tail Riskq-fin.PM
Deep neural networks reduce portfolio tail-risk by 99% in crisis-era simulations.
problem Managing tail risk in financial portfolios.
method Parameterizing convex-risk minimization with deep neural networks.
result Significant reduction in one-day 99% CVaR.
New insights into RL efficiency from managing time discretization.
problem The impact of time discretization on RL methods in continuous-time systems.
method Analysis of Monte-Carlo policy evaluation for LQR systems.
result An optimal choice of temporal resolution for a given data budget improves policy evaluation efficiency.
A new algorithm reduces memory usage for deep learning models.
problem Training deep learning models requires significant memory.
method Dynamic Tensor Rematerialization (DTR) is a greedy online algorithm that dynamically plans recomputations.
result DTR achieves comparable performance to optimal static checkpointing with only a small memory budget.
Why are Megaprojects, Including Nuclear Power Plants, Delivered Overbudget and Late? Reasons and Remediesphysics.soc-ph
In the first section, this report analyses Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) in the context of megaprojects, explaining why they are often delivered over budget and late. In the second section, the report discusses how Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) might address these issues. Megaprojects are extremely risky and often implem…
Olympic Games consistently exceed budgets, leading to unpredictable costs.
problem High costs and unpredictability of the Olympic Games.
method Statistical analysis of historical data to explain cost risks.
result Olympic costs follow a power-law distribution with infinite mean and variance.
Real time bidding (RTB) enables demand side platforms (bidders) to scale ad campaigns across multiple publishers affiliated to an RTB ad exchange. While driving multiple campaigns for mobile app install ads via RTB, the bidder typically has to: (i) maintain each campaign's efficiency (i.e., meet advertiser's target cos…
Online Active Learning (OAL) aims to manage unlabeled datastream by selectively querying the label of data. OAL is applicable to many real-world problems, such as anomaly detection in health-care and finance. In these problems, there are two key challenges: the query budget is often limited; the ratio between classes i…
RL agents outperform baselines in asset allocation.
problem Optimizing asset allocation using reinforcement learning.
method Model-free deep RL agents trained on real-world stock prices.
result RL agents significantly outperformed random and uniform allocation.
Feed in tariff (FiT) is one of the most efficient ways that many governments throughout the world use to stimulate investment in renewable energies (REs) technology. For governments, financial management of the policy is very challenging as that it needs a considerable amount of budget to support RE producers during th…
Machine learning techniques based on neural networks are achieving remarkable results in a wide variety of domains. Often, the training of models requires large, representative datasets, which may be crowdsourced and contain sensitive information. The models should not expose private information in these datasets. Addr…
Assessing the effect of advertising expenditures upon sales: a Bayesian structural time series modelstat.ML
We propose a robust implementation of the Nerlove--Arrow model using a Bayesian structural time series model to explain the relationship between advertising expenditures of a country-wide fast-food franchise network with its weekly sales. Thanks to the flexibility and modularity of the model, it is well suited to gener…
This paper takes stock of megaproject management, an emerging and hugely costly field of study. First, it answers the question of how large megaprojects are by measuring them in the units mega, giga, and tera, concluding we are presently entering a new "tera era" of trillion-dollar projects. Second, total global megapr…
Implementing large-scale information and communication technology (IT) projects carries large risks and easily might disrupt operations, waste taxpayers' money, and create negative publicity. Because of the high risks it is important that government leaders manage the attendant risks. We analysed a sample of 1,355 publ…
Robo-advisors use MPC to create dynamic investment strategies.
problem Static allocation methods limit robo-advisors' effectiveness.
method Combines MPC with Hidden Markov Model and Black-Litterman for dynamic asset allocation.
result MPC-based strategies outperform static approaches in dynamic and risk-budgeting criteria.
This paper studies the impact of limited switches on resource-constrained dynamic pricing with demand learning. We focus on the classical price-based blind network revenue management problem and extend our results to the bandits with knapsacks problem. In both settings, a decision maker faces stochastic and distributio…
Financial portfolio management is one of the problems that are most frequently encountered in the investment industry. Nevertheless, it is not widely recognized that both Kelly Criterion and Risk Parity collapse into Mean Variance under some conditions, which implies that a universal solution to the portfolio optimizat…
MILLION: A General Multi-Objective Framework with Controllable Risk for Portfolio Managementq-fin.PM
MILLION framework optimizes portfolio risk and return efficiently.
problem Optimizing risk and return in AI for FinTech portfolio management.
method Two phases: return maximization with auxiliary objectives and risk control with portfolio interpolation and improvement.
result Framework achieves fine-grained risk control and improved return rates.
Patent lawsuits are costly and time-consuming. An ability to forecast a patent litigation and time to litigation allows companies to better allocate budget and time in managing their patent portfolios. We develop predictive models for estimating the likelihood of litigation for patents and the expected time to litigati…
Model predicts sponsorship ROI using renewal probability.
problem Difficulty in measuring return on investment from sponsorships.
method Survival analysis using sponsorship renewal as proxy.
result Predicted values for sponsor's renewal probability and duration.
How many inner simulations to compute conditional expectations with least-square Monte Carlo?math.ST
Optimizes K inner simulations for least-square Monte Carlo to reduce computational cost.
problem Computing conditional expectation E[f (Y)|X] with limited samples.
method Determines optimal number of Y samples (K) for given computational budget.
result Computational gain is maximized when sampling Y given X is inexpensive.
Predicting Length of Stay in the Intensive Care Unit with Temporal Pointwise Convolutional Networkscs.LG
New model predicts ICU patients' stay duration efficiently.
problem Efficient ICU bed allocation under resource constraints.
method Temporal Pointwise Convolution (TPC) model combining temporal and pointwise convolutions.
result Significant performance improvements over LSTM and Transformer models.
Deployment of emerging technologies and rapid change in industries has created a lot of risk for initiating the new projects. Many techniques and suggestions have been introduced but still lack the gap from various prospective. This paper proposes a reliable project scheduling approach. The objectives of project schedu…
Improved algorithms solve multi-period multi-class packing problems with bandit feedback.
problem Optimizing item packing under budget constraints with class-dependent rewards and bandit feedback.
method Developed a new estimator and a closed-form bandit policy for linear contextual multi-class multi-period packing problems.
result The proposed policy achieves sublinear regret in non-degenerate contexts, significantly outperforming benchmarks.
FR-LUX optimizes portfolio management by learning cost-aware policies robust to market conditions.
problem Transaction costs and regime shifts cause failure in live trading portfolios.
method Integrates three ingredients: microstructure-consistent execution model, trade-space trust region, and explicit regime conditioning.
result Achieves top average Sharpe ratio, maintains flat cost-performance slope, and superior risk-return efficiency.
A new method for active learning works well across all label budgets.
problem Active learning methods perform poorly in both low and high label budgets.
method Uncertainty Herding: a simple, computationally fast method that optimizes uncertainty coverage.
result Uncertainty Herding nearly optimizes distribution-level coverage and performs well across various active learning tasks.
AutoScale improves LLM pre-training by adjusting data mixtures at different scales.
problem Data mixtures that work well at small scales may not perform as well at larger scales.
method AutoScale uses a two-stage approach: fitting a model to predict loss under different compositions and extrapolating optimal compositions to larger scales.
result AutoScale accelerates convergence and improves downstream performance.
We present a dual subspace ascent algorithm for support vector machine training that respects a budget constraint limiting the number of support vectors. Budget methods are effective for reducing the training time of kernel SVM while retaining high accuracy. To date, budget training is available only for primal (SGD-ba…
Efficiently simulates risk budgeting portfolios using novel algorithms.
problem Estimating risk contributions in portfolios efficiently.
method Cutting planes algorithm, specialised SGD for Expected Shortfall, numerical simulations.
result Outperforms standard convex optimisation solvers in estimating risk budgeting portfolios.
Bridges uplift modeling and sequential decision-making with online budget allocation.
problem Treatment allocation under budget constraints in digital advertising.
method Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits (BCCB) integrates learning, exploration, and budget pacing.
result Data-efficiency crossover: BCCB operates effectively from the first user, 3-5x lower performance variance.
Automates phased release strategy to balance risk and speed.
problem Balancing risk and speed in phased product releases.
method Formalizes as constrained batched bandit problem, uses adaptive Bayesian approach.
result Proposes algorithm that determines optimal release percentages.
Locally private algorithm improves online federated learning with correlated noise.
problem Privacy-preserving online federated learning with non-IID data.
method Locally differentially private algorithm using temporally correlated noise.
result Established dynamic regret bound for nonconvex loss functions.
DSA efficiently allocates sparsity across layers for budgeted pruning.
problem Efficiently distributing resources (sparsity) across layers in pruning under resource constraints.
method DSA uses differentiable pruning to find continuous layer-wise pruning ratios via gradient-based optimization.
result DSA achieves superior performance and significantly reduces the time cost of pruning.
MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.
problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.
Ahpatron improves online kernel learning with tighter mistake bounds.
problem Improving mistake bounds in online kernel learning with budget constraints.
method Introducing Ahpatron, a new model that uses an aggressive updating rule and a budget maintenance mechanism to approximate AVP.
result Ahpatron achieves tighter mistake bounds compared to previous models.