A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Improved bounds for discrete probability distribution estimation under the ℓ∞ norm.
problem Estimating discrete probability distributions under the ℓ∞ norm with improved bounds.
method Minimax bounds in expectation and high-probability tail bounds.
result Resolved open questions posed in Kontorovich and Painsky (JMLR, 2025), including a fully empirical tightest risk bound and identifying the worst-case extremal distribution.
The distributional category bounds manifold invariants and imposes constraints.
problem Bounding manifold invariants and understanding constraints.
method Using geometric conditions like non-negative Ricci curvature, the distributional category bounds invariants such as the first Betti number and macroscopic dimension.
result Equality of bounds imposes specific constraints on the manifold.
Concentration inequalities are indispensable tools for studying the generalization capacity of learning models. Hoeffding's and McDiarmid's inequalities are commonly used, giving bounds independent of the data distribution. Although this makes them widely applicable, a drawback is that the bounds can be too loose in so…
In this paper, we study the risk bounds for samples independently drawn from an infinitely divisible (ID) distribution. In particular, based on a martingale method, we develop two deviation inequalities for a sequence of random variables of an ID distribution with zero Gaussian component. By applying the deviation ineq…
We consider the stochastic multi-armed bandit problem with a prior distribution on the reward distributions. We are interested in studying prior-free and prior-dependent regret bounds, very much in the same spirit as the usual distribution-free and distribution-dependent bounds for the non-Bayesian stochastic bandit. B…
Whereas subriemannian geometry usually deals with smooth horizontal distributions, partially hyperbolic dynamical systems provide many examples of subriemannian geometries defined by non-smooth (namely, Hölder continuous) distributions. These distributions are of great significance for the behavior of the parent dynami…
We consider K-armed stochastic bandits and consider cumulative regret bounds up to time T. We are interested in strategies achieving simultaneously a distribution-free regret bound of optimal order KT and a distribution-dependent regret that is asymptotically optimal, that is, matching the κlnT lower b…
The Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) Bayes framework (McAllester, 1999) can incorporate knowledge about the learning algorithm and (data) distribution through the use of distribution-dependent priors, yielding tighter generalization bounds on data-dependent posteriors. Using this flexibility, however, is difficult,…
We obtain a tight distribution-specific characterization of the sample complexity of large-margin classification with L2 regularization: We introduce the margin-adapted dimension, which is a simple function of the second order statistics of the data distribution, and show distribution-specific upper and lower bounds on…
New bounds on generalization error for distributed learning using rate-distortion theory.
problem Establishing upper bounds on generalization error for distributed learning algorithms.
method Using rate-distortion theory, the paper introduces new bounds that depend on the compressibility of each client's algorithm.
result The bounds suggest that the generalization error of the distributed setting decays faster than that of the centralized one with a factor of O(log(K)/K).
We study distributed estimation methods under communication constraints in a distributed version of the nonparametric random design regression model. We derive minimax lower bounds and exhibit methods that attain those bounds. Moreover, we show that adaptive estimation is possible in this setting.
Unified learning bound for covariate and concept shifts.
problem Generalization under distribution shift in machine learning.
method Support-agnostic definitions of covariate and concept shifts using entropic optimal transport, leading to a unified error bound applicable to various loss functions and label spaces.
result Development of estimators for shifts with concentration guarantees and the DataShifts algorithm for quantifying and estimating the error bound.
We study the spherical cap packing problem with a probabilistic approach. Such probabilistic considerations result in an asymptotic sharp universal uniform bound on the maximal inner product between any set of unit vectors and a stochastically independent uniformly distributed unit vector. When the set of unit vectors …
In this work, we consider the sample complexity required for testing the monotonicity of distributions over partial orders. A distribution p over a poset is monotone if, for any pair of domain elements x and y such that x⪯y, p(x)≤p(y). To understand the sample complexity of this problem, we intro…
Local asymptotic minimax risk bounds in a locally asymptotically mixture of normal family of distributions have been investigated under asymmetric loss functions and the asymptotic distribution of the optimal estimator that attains the bound has been obtained.
The standard interpretation of importance-weighted autoencoders is that they maximize a tighter lower bound on the marginal likelihood than the standard evidence lower bound. We give an alternate interpretation of this procedure: that it optimizes the standard variational lower bound, but using a more complex distribut…