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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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19375674 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for boosted forests

Excellent ranking power along with well calibrated probability estimates are needed in many classification tasks. In this paper, we introduce a technique, Calibrated Boosting-Forest that captures both. This novel technique is an ensemble of gradient boosting machines that can support both continuous and binary labels. …

2017-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

RFpredInterval package builds prediction intervals for random forests and boosted forests.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in random forest and boosted forest point predictions.
method 16 methods to build prediction intervals with random forests and boosted forests.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in building prediction intervals.

New methods improve prediction performance and reduce computation time in boosting and random forest models.

problem Improving prediction performance and reducing computation time in boosting and random forest models.
method Random tree depth injection approach for Boosting and Random Forests.
result The new methods can improve prediction performance and reduce computation time by up to 40%.

We consider the problem of learning a forest of nonlinear decision rules with general loss functions. The standard methods employ boosted decision trees such as Adaboost for exponential loss and Friedman's gradient boosting for general loss. In contrast to these traditional boosting algorithms that treat a tree learner…

2011-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced Random Forests outperform XGBoost across binary classification datasets.

problem Improving performance of Random Forests in binary classification.
method Adaptive sample and model weighting, iterative algorithm for sample weights, personalized tree weighting schemes.
result Significantly outperforms XGBoost across 15 binary classification datasets.

Forest tree species mapped with high accuracy using satellite data.

problem Classifying dominant tree species in Swedish forests.
method Extreme gradient boosting model with Bayesian optimization, combining Sentinel-1/2 satellite data and field observations.
result Overall accuracy of 85%, F1 score of 0.82, Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.81.

Boosting algorithms improve delivery time prediction in postal services.

problem Challenges in long-term travel time prediction for postal services.
method Investigated linear regression models, tree-based ensembles (random forest, bagging, boosting), and compared their performance.
result Boosting algorithms, especially light gradient boosting and catboost, outperform other methods in accuracy and runtime efficiency.

Random forest is widely exploited as an ensemble learning method. In many practical applications, however, there is still a significant challenge to learn from imbalanced data. To alleviate this limitation, we propose a deep dynamic boosted forest (DDBF), a novel ensemble algorithm that incorporates the notion of hard …

2018-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new ensemble learning method called Residual Likelihood Forests improves performance and reduces model size.

problem Improving machine learning classification performance with compact models.
method Sequential optimization of conditional likelihoods in a boosting-like framework, combining multiplicatively.
result Significant performance improvements and reduced model size compared to other ensemble methods.

Decision forests, including Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Trees, have recently demonstrated state-of-the-art performance in a variety of machine learning settings. Decision forests are typically ensembles of axis-aligned decision trees; that is, trees that split only along feature dimensions. In contrast, many r…

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Classifier evasion consists in finding for a given instance xx the nearest instance xx' such that the classifier predictions of xx and xx' are different. We present two novel algorithms for systematically computing evasions for tree ensembles such as boosted trees and random forests. Our first algorithm uses a Mixe…

2015-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Tree ensembles such as random forests and boosted trees are accurate but difficult to understand, debug and deploy. In this work, we provide the inTrees (interpretable trees) framework that extracts, measures, prunes and selects rules from a tree ensemble, and calculates frequent variable interactions. An rule-based le…

2014-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we reformulate the forest representation learning approach as an additive model which boosts the augmented feature instead of the prediction. We substantially improve the upper bound of generalization gap from O(lnmm)\mathcal{O}(\sqrt\frac{\ln m}{m}) to O(lnmm)\mathcal{O}(\frac{\ln m}{m}), while λλ - the margin r…

2019-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Tree ensembles are flexible predictive models that can capture relevant variables and to some extent their interactions in a compact and interpretable manner. Most algorithms for obtaining tree ensembles are based on versions of boosting or Random Forest. Previous work showed that boosting algorithms exhibit a cyclic b…

2017-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper combines LSTM and Random Forest for better stock market predictions.

problem Improving stock market trading predictions by integrating technical and fundamental data.
method Integrates LSTM networks with Random Forest algorithms using financial and microeconomic data.
result Hybrid approach outperforms traditional methods combining both technical and fundamental variables.

We present a new way of constructing an ensemble classifier, named the Guided Random Forest (GRAF) in the sequel. GRAF extends the idea of building oblique decision trees with localized partitioning to obtain a global partitioning. We show that global partitioning bridges the gap between decision trees and boosting alg…

2019-09-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for statistical inference in gradient boosting regression.

problem Challenges in statistical inference and uncertainty quantification for gradient boosting.
method Integrates dropout or parallel training with regularization for CLT in boosting.
result Increasing dropout rate and parallel trees enhances signal recovery and performance.

New methods improve tree ensemble models by compressing them while maintaining accuracy.

problem Theoretical understanding and practical compression of tree ensembles like random forests and gradient boosting machines.
method Spectral perspective on tree ensembles, deriving minimax rates and developing compression schemes.
result Leading eigenfunctions/singular vectors capture dominant predictive directions, leading to smaller, competitive models.

WildWood improves Random Forest predictions using bootstrap out-of-bag samples.

problem Improving Random Forest predictions for supervised learning.
method Uses bootstrap out-of-bag samples to compute improved predictions by aggregating all possible subtrees with exponential weights.
result WildWood produces faster and more competitive predictions compared to other ensemble methods.

GAM(L)A model improves interpretability of machine learning models.

problem Interpretable machine learning models for high predictive performance.
method Combines partial linear models with variable selection for accurate prediction and interpretability.
result GAM(L)A outperforms parametric models and is comparable to black-box models like random forest and gradient boosting.

Study compares machine learning algorithms for predicting SST in the Great Barrier Reef.

problem Predicting sea surface temperature in the Great Barrier Reef region.
method Ridge regression, LASSO, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms were evaluated.
result XGBoost significantly outperforms other algorithms in terms of predictive accuracy and Kullback-Leibler Divergence.

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested ifthenelseif-then-else questions, the testing nodes, leading to a set of predictions, th…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Hyperboost uses gradient boosting for hyperparameter optimization, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

problem Hyperparameter tuning for machine learning algorithms
method Gradient boosting surrogate model with quantile regression and distance metric
result Hyperboost outperforms state-of-the-art techniques in empirical tests