In this article, we develop a general framework to study optimal execution and to price block trades. We prove existence of optimal liquidation strategies and we provide regularity results for optimal strategies under very general hypotheses. We exhibit a Hamiltonian characterization for the optimal strategy that can b…
Modeling fees impacts on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
problem Impact of trading fees on arbitrage profits and LP losses in AMMs.
method Extended model of AMMs with fees and Poisson block generation times, computed instantaneous rate of arbitrage profit.
result Fees scale down arbitrage profits, reducing LP losses with faster block rates and lower gas fees.
Paper introduces CLVR to reduce price volatility in AMM exchanges.
problem Intra-block price volatility in AMM exchanges.
method CLVR constructs an ordering to minimize price volatility with low computation cost.
result CLVR minimizes price volatility with a small computation cost and can be externally verified.
Study shows AMM liquidity providers lose more than they earn, with varying profitability across pairs.
problem Arbitrage losses by liquidity providers on AMMs exceed fees earned.
method Empirical study of losses and profitability across different AMM pools and block times.
result Uniswap v2 pools are more profitable for passive LPs than Uniswap v3.
A new SBM for non-negative zero-inflated edge weights in networks.
problem Modeling international trading networks with non-negative zero-inflated edge weights.
method Restricted Tweedie distribution and nodal information accounting.
result Efficient two-step algorithm for estimating covariate effects.
Study optimal execution in a transient price impact model with multiple traders.
problem Optimal execution among multiple traders with transient price impact.
method Analyzed N-player optimal execution games in an Obizhaeva--Wang model with and without regularization. Derived equilibrium solutions and explained their behavior. result Existence of equilibrium restored with a specific time-dependent cost on block trades, and equilibrium is tractable.
Blockchain MEV is unaffected by ordering changes.
problem Maximizing arbitrage opportunities on blockchain exchanges.
method Formalized MEV, proved invariance under certain conditions.
result Maximal extractable value is invariant under changes in ordering mechanism.
We outline what we believe are the prerequisites and building-blocks for successfully devising trading models and other financial applications based on a complex systems perspective.
This paper examines MEV attacks in dynamic AMMs and proposes new protections.
problem Dynamic AMMs introduce new MEV attack vectors due to inter-block weight changes.
method Analyzed inter-block weight changes as analogous to trades, conducted simulations.
result New inter-block protections are required to guard against multi-block MEV attacks.
A new method clusters data from multiple sources using a mixture of multilayer SBMs.
problem Aggregating multiple clustering results from different data sources.
method Uses a mixture of multilayer Stochastic Block Models (SBM) to group co-membership matrices.
result Identifies and clusters observations based on their specificities within components.
We show that wealth processes in the block-shaped order book model of Obizhaeva/Wang converge to their counterparts in the reduced-form model proposed by Almgren/Chriss, as the resilience of the order book tends to infinity. As an application of this limit theorem, we explain how to reduce portfolio choice in highly-re…
Study high-frequency trading game with price impact, finding unique equilibrium.
problem Optimal execution in a trading game with transient price impact.
method Analyzes high-frequency limit of an n-trader optimal execution game. result High-frequency limit converges to a continuous-time model with quadratic costs.
New formula calculates loss from arbitrage in blockchain liquidity pools.
problem Calculating loss from arbitrage in Automated Market Makers (AMMs) under varying block times.
method Derived a closed-form approximation for expected loss using random walk theory.
result The formula approximates the loss from arbitrage with high accuracy and shows that constant block intervals minimize this loss.
New AI governance framework tackles risks in finance.
problem Risks from evolving AI models in finance.
method Agent-based framework with modular governance architecture.
result Controls quarantine harmful behavior in real time.
Latent Block-Diffusion Temporal Point Processes (LBDTPP) is a semi-autoregressive framework for generating asynchronous event sequences.
problem Generating asynchronous event sequences
method Latent Block-Diffusion Temporal Point Processes
result Outperforms state-of-the-art TPP baselines in both unconditional and conditional generation tasks
THieF improves day-ahead electricity price prediction accuracy by reconciling hourly and block forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting day-ahead electricity prices.
method Temporal hierarchy forecasting (THieF) reconciling hourly and block forecasts.
result THieF significantly improves accuracy (up to 13%) at all levels of prediction.
The paper uses deep learning to detect financial market regimes from correlation matrices.
problem Detecting financial market regimes from correlation dynamics.
method Representation learning on block hierarchical SPD correlation matrices using SPDNet, SPD-NetBN, and U-SPDNet models.
result Deep learning models overfit in financial market data, misleading performance metrics.
This paper tackles post-trade allocation inefficiencies and presents a uniform return allocation method.
problem Return divergence among accounts after trade allocation.
method Systematic treatment of trade allocation risk, presenting a uniform return allocation method.
result Uniform allocation of returns irrespective of the number of accounts and trade sizes.
Financial markets change their behaviours abruptly. The mean, variance and correlation patterns of stocks can vary dramatically, triggered by fundamental changes in macroeconomic variables, policies or regulations. A trader needs to adapt her trading style to make the best out of the different phases in the stock marke…
Blockchain markets with paid-priority trading can lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
problem Discrete clearing and paid-priority in blockchain markets lead to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
method Developed a model to evaluate the viability of blockchain markets under discrete clearing and paid-priority.
result Paid-priority ordering induces endogenous selection, leading to biased prices and reduced liquidity.
Unified pair trading approach using hierarchical reinforcement learning.
problem Decoupling pair selection and trading leads to limited performance.
method Hierarchical reinforcement learning framework for joint pair selection and trading.
result Unified approach outperforms existing methods on real-world stock data.
Optimal trading strategies in fluctuating financial markets are analyzed using complex mathematical models.
problem Optimal execution of trades in markets with fluctuating liquidity and order book depth.
method Continuous-time limit order book model with càdlàg semimartingale strategies, quadratic BSDEs.
result Characterization of minimal execution costs and existence of optimal strategies.
This paper improves robot traders' market impact sensitivity.
problem Market impact in automated trading systems.
method Critiqued existing methods, introduced MLOFI, and demonstrated new algorithms.
result New imbalance-sensitive trader-agents exhibit market impact effects.
Paper proposes efficient methods for high-order clustering in tensor block models.
problem High-order clustering of multiway datasets in neuroimaging, genomics, etc.
method Tensor block model and computationally efficient algorithms (HLloyd, HSC)
result Achieves high-order exact clustering with statistical optimality and computational efficiency.
MEI model improves knowledge graph completion by efficiently modeling interactions between embeddings.
problem Efficiently modeling interactions between knowledge graph embeddings to predict missing links.
method MEI divides embeddings into partitions and uses Tucker and block term formats to model interactions efficiently.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on link prediction tasks.
New approach for fair graph clustering using semidefinite relaxation.
problem Ensuring equitable representation in network analysis.
method Semidefinite relaxation approach for NP-hard optimization problem.
result Optimal accuracy-fairness trade-off achieved.
Cryptofinance generates yield through innovative decentralized finance.
problem Lack of intrinsic yield in crypto-assets.
method Analysis of yield-generating mechanisms in cryptofinance.
result Cryptofinance innovations enable yield generation through various decentralized and centralised mechanisms.
The paper models blockchain queues and trading dynamics, finding conditions for transaction priority and price impact.
problem Understanding and predicting price impacts in blockchain trading environments.
method Developed a probabilistic model for blockchain queues with adversarial scheduling, derived expressions for transaction priority and price impact.
result Conditions for transaction priority and statistical models for price impact in blockchain trading environments.
Two private algorithms estimate Jaccard similarity efficiently.
problem Estimating Jaccard similarity while preserving user privacy.
method Extends MinHash with Generalized Randomized Response and Laplace Mechanism.
result Achieves privacy-utility trade-off with theoretical bounds and experiments.
Study on efficiency of Dutch auctions on blockchains considering various parameters.
problem Efficiency and fairness in Dutch auctions on blockchains.
method Modeling Dutch auctions with Poisson process and geometric Brownian motion, computing expected losses and time-to-fill.
result Tradeoff between speed and quality in Dutch auctions, useful for setting parameters.
Proposes a new model for clustering multiplex networks with compositional data.
problem Clustering multiplex networks with multiple types of relations and compositional data.
method Multiplex Dirichlet stochastic block model for compositional networks.
result Validated through simulation and applied to international export data.
We propose a new family of efficient and expressive deep generative models of graphs, called Graph Recurrent Attention Networks (GRANs). Our model generates graphs one block of nodes and associated edges at a time. The block size and sampling stride allow us to trade off sample quality for efficiency. Compared to previ…
A new sequencing rule prevents miners from front-running transactions in decentralized exchanges.
problem Miners exploit their privileged position to front-run transactions, leading to unfair profits.
method Introduce verifiable sequencing rules that constrain transaction execution order and are verifiable.
result A verifiable sequencing rule ensures users receive at least fair execution prices, preventing front-running.
Improved EXACT strategy reduces GNN memory consumption and runtime.
problem Efficiently training large-scale GNNs with reduced memory usage.
method Block-wise quantization of intermediate activation maps with improved variance minimization.
result Further reduction in memory consumption (>15%) and runtime speedup (5%) with similar performance trade-offs.
We consider the problem of estimating a regression function in the common situation where the number of features is small, where interpretability of the model is a high priority, and where simple linear or additive models fail to provide adequate performance. To address this problem, we present GapTV, an approach that …
Endogenous randomness emerges from adversarial market learning.
problem Market randomness
method Deterministic adversarial market model
result Out-of-sample profitability collapses to zero.
New algorithms solve convex optimization problems with limited memory.
problem Solving convex optimization problems with constrained memory.
method Recursive cutting-plane algorithms dividing variables into blocks.
result Achieves optimal memory usage and oracle complexity in certain regimes.
Although the computational and statistical trade-off for modeling single graphs, for instance, using block models is relatively well understood, extending such results to sequences of graphs has proven to be difficult. In this work, we take a step in this direction by proposing two models for graph sequences that captu…
We address the problem of estimating the inputs of a dynamical system from measurements of the system's outputs. To this end, we introduce a novel estimation algorithm that explicitly trades off bias and variance to optimally reduce the overall estimation error. This optimal trade-off is done efficiently and adaptively…
In recent years, state-of-the-art methods for supervised learning have exploited increasingly gradient boosting techniques, with mainstream efficient implementations such as xgboost or lightgbm. One of the key points in generating proficient methods is Feature Selection (FS). It consists in selecting the right valuable…
When executing their orders, investors are proposed different strategies by brokers and investment banks. Most orders are executed using VWAP algorithms. Other basic execution strategies include POV (also called PVol) -- for percentage of volume --, IS -- implementation shortfall -- or Target Close. In this article ded…
Traders are often faced with large block orders in markets with limited liquidity and varying volatility. Executing the entire order at once usually incurs a large trading cost because of this limited liquidity. In order to minimize this cost traders split up large orders over time. Varying volatility however implies t…
Neural estimator improves mutual information estimation in high dimensions.
problem Estimating mutual information in high dimensions is challenging.
method Parametrizing conditional densities with normalizing flows and using block autoregressive structure.
result Improved mutual information estimation on benchmark tasks.
This paper applies DRL to mean reversion trading problems.
problem Adopting DRL for financial trading problems.
method Integrates function properties into DRL for mean reversion trading.
result Demonstrates a highly-performant DRL solution for financial decision-making.
Deep latent-variable models learn representations of high-dimensional data in an unsupervised manner. A number of recent efforts have focused on learning representations that disentangle statistically independent axes of variation by introducing modifications to the standard objective function. These approaches general…
Quantum self-attention boosts automated market maker performance in crypto trading.
problem Improving automated market maker rebalancing in crypto trading.
method Quantum Adaptive Self-Attention (QASA) using variational quantum circuits and softmax attention.
result QASA-Sequence variant achieves best single-model risk-adjusted performance in crypto trading.
Synthetic augmentation improves financial machine learning performance in variance-dominant regimes.
problem Data scarcity in financial machine learning.
method Formalized synthetic augmentation, introduced size-matched null augmentation, and developed a non-parametric block permutation test.
result Synthetic augmentation is beneficial only in variance-dominant regimes, such as persistent volatility forecasting.
This work studies adversarial training in high dimensions, revealing key feature trade-offs.
problem Understanding adversarial robustness in high-dimensional settings.
method Introduces a tractable model to study the geometry of data and adversarial attacks.
result Characterizes directions in data associated with robustness vs. usefulness trade-offs.