Study finds many stocks in S&P 500 are inefficient, suggesting financial analysts outperform blindfolded monkeys.
arXiv research
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A blindfolded LLM trading framework validates market signals without ticker memorization.
In this study, we analyzed the activity of monkey V1 neurons responding to grating stimuli of different orientations using inference methods for a time-dependent Ising model. The method provides optimal estimation of time-dependent neural interactions with credible intervals according to the sequential Bayes estimation…
Bayesian model predicts iron deficiency from multi-source multi-way molecular data.
The edges of torn plastic sheets and growing leaves often display hierarchical buckling patterns. We show that this complex morphology (i) emerges even in zero strain configurations, and (ii) is driven by a competition between the two principal curvatures, rather than between bending and stretching. We identify the key…
In this paper, we study the classification problem in which we have access to easily obtainable surrogate for true labels, namely complementary labels, which specify classes that observations do \textbf{not} belong to. Let and be the true and complementary labels, respectively. We first model the annotati…
Random investment strategies outperform sensible ones, even with forecasts.
This paper presents a Bayesian approach to learning the connectivity structure of a group of neurons from data on configuration frequencies. A major objective of the research is to provide statistical tools for detecting changes in firing patterns with changing stimuli. Our framework is not restricted to the well-under…
New method visualizes brain activity changes over time.
Neurons in higher cortical areas, such as the prefrontal cortex, are known to be tuned to a variety of sensory and motor variables. The resulting diversity of neural tuning often obscures the represented information. Here we introduce a novel dimensionality reduction technique, demixed principal component analysis (dPC…
Unified framework models neural decision-making, improving accuracy.
A new method learns time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate time series.
Experiments that study neural encoding of stimuli at the level of individual neurons typically choose a small set of features present in the world --- contrast and luminance for vision, pitch and intensity for sound --- and assemble a stimulus set that systematically varies along these dimensions. Subsequent analysis o…
Tensor-EM method learns MoLDS from complex, noisy data.