We introduce overdispersed black-box variational inference, a method to reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator of the gradient in black-box variational inference. Instead of taking samples from the variational distribution, we use importance sampling to take samples from an overdispersed distribution in the s…
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New method reduces inference variance for faster optimization.
New guarantees for black-box variational inference methods.
Variational inference has become a widely used method to approximate posteriors in complex latent variables models. However, deriving a variational inference algorithm generally requires significant model-specific analysis, and these efforts can hinder and deter us from quickly developing and exploring a variety of mod…
Paper advances black-box VI using flows and Monte-Carlo methods.
Proposes a method to stabilize Black Box Variational Inference using the James-Stein estimator.
DDVI uses diffusion models for variational inference, improving latent variable model performance.
New framework for variational coresets simplifies Bayesian inference for complex models.
This paper shows equivalence between SVGD and BBVI using kernel gradient flows.
Improves reliability of BBVI optimization methods.
The paper introduces structured variational families to improve scalability in black-box variational inference.
VERA uses variational inference to jailbreak LLMs without manual optimization.
Guarantees convergence for black-box variational inference without modifications.
This work proposes a new method for variational inference using Wasserstein gradient descent.
Improved inference for models with continuous latent variables.
QBVI uses natural gradients for efficient Bayesian learning.
FlowVAT improves variational inference for multi-modal distributions.
Interpretable machine learning has gained much attention recently. Briefness and comprehensiveness are necessary in order to provide a large amount of information concisely when explaining a black-box decision system. However, existing interpretable machine learning methods fail to consider briefness and comprehensiven…
Continuous latent time series models are prevalent in Bayesian modeling; examples include the Kalman filter, dynamic collaborative filtering, or dynamic topic models. These models often benefit from structured, non mean field variational approximations that capture correlations between time steps. Black box variational…
BBVI with STL converges geometrically under perfect specification, with quadratic variance bound.
Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the parameters and the diffusion paths. We use a standard mean-field variational appr…
Improves scalability and efficiency of mixture models in black-box variational inference.
Recent variational inference methods use stochastic gradient estimators whose variance is not well understood. Theoretical guarantees for these estimators are important to understand when these methods will or will not work. This paper gives bounds for the common "reparameterization" estimators when the target is smoot…
We propose a black-box variational inference method to approximate intractable distributions with an increasingly rich approximating class. Our method, termed variational boosting, iteratively refines an existing variational approximation by solving a sequence of optimization problems, allowing the practitioner to trad…
In this work, we explore how probabilistic programs can be used to represent policies in sequential decision problems. In this formulation, a probabilistic program is a black-box stochastic simulator for both the problem domain and the agent. We relate classic policy gradient techniques to recently introduced black-box…
CO-BED optimizes experiments using Bayesian methods and information theory.
Learning models with discrete latent variables using stochastic gradient descent remains a challenge due to the high variance of gradient estimates. Modern variance reduction techniques mostly consider categorical distributions and have limited applicability when the number of possible outcomes becomes large. In this w…
Paper introduces CageBO for optimizing complex public policy problems.
Black box variational inference allows researchers to easily prototype and evaluate an array of models. Recent advances allow such algorithms to scale to high dimensions. However, a central question remains: How to specify an expressive variational distribution that maintains efficient computation? To address this, we …
We propose a black-box algorithm called {\it Adversarial Variational Inference and Learning} (AdVIL) to perform inference and learning on a general Markov random field (MRF). AdVIL employs two variational distributions to approximately infer the latent variables and estimate the partition function of an MRF, respective…
Many computationally-efficient methods for Bayesian deep learning rely on continuous optimization algorithms, but the implementation of these methods requires significant changes to existing code-bases. In this paper, we propose Vprop, a method for Gaussian variational inference that can be implemented with two minor c…
Unified framework for MCMC and machine learning problems.
Many probabilistic models of interest in scientific computing and machine learning have expensive, black-box likelihoods that prevent the application of standard techniques for Bayesian inference, such as MCMC, which would require access to the gradient or a large number of likelihood evaluations. We introduce here a n…
We introduce TrustVI, a fast second-order algorithm for black-box variational inference based on trust-region optimization and the reparameterization trick. At each iteration, TrustVI proposes and assesses a step based on minibatches of draws from the variational distribution. The algorithm provably converges to a stat…
DADVI improves ADVI by using deterministic approximation for faster, more accurate posterior estimation.
A new variational inference method using Gaussian score matching.
BaM improves BBVI by optimizing a score-based divergence, leading to faster convergence.
New bounds show BBVI's gradient variance matches SGD conditions, improving parameterization efficiency.
VBMC+VIQR outperforms noisy models in Bayesian inference.
Post-process Bayesian inference speeds up posterior approximation.
BBVI converges nearly dimensionally independent for log-concave targets.
We present the Variational Adaptive Newton (VAN) method which is a black-box optimization method especially suitable for explorative-learning tasks such as active learning and reinforcement learning. Similar to Bayesian methods, VAN estimates a distribution that can be used for exploration, but requires computations th…
AdvFlow generates imperceptible adversarial images using normalizing flows.
We investigate the optimization of two probabilistic generative models with binary latent variables using a novel variational EM approach. The approach distinguishes itself from previous variational approaches by using latent states as variational parameters. Here we use efficient and general purpose sampling procedure…
VES-Gamma adapts EI using information-theoretic principles.
While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key challenge in either setting is controlling the variance of gradient estimates: rec…
Black-box variational inference tries to approximate a complex target distribution though a gradient-based optimization of the parameters of a simpler distribution. Provable convergence guarantees require structural properties of the objective. This paper shows that for location-scale family approximations, if the targ…
Derives VMP for LDA, simplifying inference for topic modeling.