We introduce overdispersed black-box variational inference, a method to reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator of the gradient in black-box variational inference. Instead of taking samples from the variational distribution, we use importance sampling to take samples from an overdispersed distribution in the s…
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New method reduces inference variance for faster optimization.
New guarantees for black-box variational inference methods.
Guarantees convergence for black-box variational inference without modifications.
DDVI uses diffusion models for variational inference, improving latent variable model performance.
The paper introduces structured variational families to improve scalability in black-box variational inference.
Variational inference has become a widely used method to approximate posteriors in complex latent variables models. However, deriving a variational inference algorithm generally requires significant model-specific analysis, and these efforts can hinder and deter us from quickly developing and exploring a variety of mod…
Proposes a method to stabilize Black Box Variational Inference using the James-Stein estimator.
New framework for variational coresets simplifies Bayesian inference for complex models.
Improves scalability and efficiency of mixture models in black-box variational inference.
This paper shows equivalence between SVGD and BBVI using kernel gradient flows.
QBVI uses natural gradients for efficient Bayesian learning.
Paper advances black-box VI using flows and Monte-Carlo methods.
VERA uses variational inference to jailbreak LLMs without manual optimization.
BBVI with STL converges geometrically under perfect specification, with quadratic variance bound.
Improved inference for models with continuous latent variables.
We introduce TrustVI, a fast second-order algorithm for black-box variational inference based on trust-region optimization and the reparameterization trick. At each iteration, TrustVI proposes and assesses a step based on minibatches of draws from the variational distribution. The algorithm provably converges to a stat…
Improves reliability of BBVI optimization methods.
BaM improves BBVI by optimizing a score-based divergence, leading to faster convergence.
This work proposes a new method for variational inference using Wasserstein gradient descent.
FlowVAT improves variational inference for multi-modal distributions.
New bounds show BBVI's gradient variance matches SGD conditions, improving parameterization efficiency.
Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the parameters and the diffusion paths. We use a standard mean-field variational appr…
Derives VMP for LDA, simplifying inference for topic modeling.
Post-process Bayesian inference speeds up posterior approximation.
BBVI converges nearly dimensionally independent for log-concave targets.
We propose a black-box algorithm called {\it Adversarial Variational Inference and Learning} (AdVIL) to perform inference and learning on a general Markov random field (MRF). AdVIL employs two variational distributions to approximately infer the latent variables and estimate the partition function of an MRF, respective…
Continuous latent time series models are prevalent in Bayesian modeling; examples include the Kalman filter, dynamic collaborative filtering, or dynamic topic models. These models often benefit from structured, non mean field variational approximations that capture correlations between time steps. Black box variational…
A new variational inference method using Gaussian score matching.
Black-box variational inference tries to approximate a complex target distribution though a gradient-based optimization of the parameters of a simpler distribution. Provable convergence guarantees require structural properties of the objective. This paper shows that for location-scale family approximations, if the targ…
Recent variational inference methods use stochastic gradient estimators whose variance is not well understood. Theoretical guarantees for these estimators are important to understand when these methods will or will not work. This paper gives bounds for the common "reparameterization" estimators when the target is smoot…
VBMC+VIQR outperforms noisy models in Bayesian inference.
Many probabilistic models of interest in scientific computing and machine learning have expensive, black-box likelihoods that prevent the application of standard techniques for Bayesian inference, such as MCMC, which would require access to the gradient or a large number of likelihood evaluations. We introduce here a n…
Variational inference is an umbrella term for algorithms which cast Bayesian inference as optimization. Classically, variational inference uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence to define the optimization. Though this divergence has been widely used, the resultant posterior approximation can suffer from undesirable stati…
Black box variational inference allows researchers to easily prototype and evaluate an array of models. Recent advances allow such algorithms to scale to high dimensions. However, a central question remains: How to specify an expressive variational distribution that maintains efficient computation? To address this, we …
Many computationally-efficient methods for Bayesian deep learning rely on continuous optimization algorithms, but the implementation of these methods requires significant changes to existing code-bases. In this paper, we propose Vprop, a method for Gaussian variational inference that can be implemented with two minor c…
We propose a black-box variational inference method to approximate intractable distributions with an increasingly rich approximating class. Our method, termed variational boosting, iteratively refines an existing variational approximation by solving a sequence of optimization problems, allowing the practitioner to trad…
VES-Gamma adapts EI using information-theoretic principles.
DADVI improves ADVI by using deterministic approximation for faster, more accurate posterior estimation.
Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering in the data, where it is assumed that meaningful correlation structure exists ac…
Unified framework for MCMC and machine learning problems.
Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric variational family, which adapts its shape to match complex posterior distributions. T…
A new optimization algorithm for Gaussian Variational Inference on precision matrices.
Black box variational inference (BBVI) with reparameterization gradients triggered the exploration of divergence measures other than the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, such as alpha divergences. In this paper, we view BBVI with generalized divergences as a form of estimating the marginal likelihood via biased import…
State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time-series data. Consequently, SSMs are ubiquitously applied in areas such as engineering, econometrics and epidemiology. In this paper we provide a fast approach for approximate Bayesian inference in SSMs using the tools of deep learning and variati…
In this work, we explore how probabilistic programs can be used to represent policies in sequential decision problems. In this formulation, a probabilistic program is a black-box stochastic simulator for both the problem domain and the agent. We relate classic policy gradient techniques to recently introduced black-box…
FairTrade uses variational inference to create fair predictions in causal models.
BBVI relies on adaptive stochastic optimization algorithms for posterior approximation, but these require extensive tuning.