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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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109218327436 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for black-box variational inference

We introduce overdispersed black-box variational inference, a method to reduce the variance of the Monte Carlo estimator of the gradient in black-box variational inference. Instead of taking samples from the variational distribution, we use importance sampling to take samples from an overdispersed distribution in the s…

2016-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New guarantees for black-box variational inference methods.

problem Insufficient theoretical guarantees for black-box variational inference.
method Novel convergence guarantees for stochastic optimization of variational inference.
result Provable convergence of proximal and projected stochastic gradient descent for variational inference.

Guarantees convergence for black-box variational inference without modifications.

problem Convergence guarantees for black-box variational inference.
method Analysis of log-smooth posterior densities, location-scale variational family, and convergence rates of algorithm design choices.
result Proximal stochastic gradient descent fixes suboptimal convergence rates and achieves strongest known guarantees.

DDVI uses diffusion models for variational inference, improving latent variable model performance.

problem Improving variational inference in latent variable models.
method Introduces diffusion-based variational posteriors trained with a regularized ELBO.
result Outperforms alternative variational posteriors on various benchmarks and a biology task.

The paper introduces structured variational families to improve scalability in black-box variational inference.

problem Scalability issues in black-box variational inference, especially for large datasets and hierarchical models.
method Developed structured variational families that achieve better iteration complexity of O(N) compared to full-rank families.
result Structured variational families can achieve better scaling with respect to dataset size N, improving iteration complexity from O(N^2) to O(N).

Variational inference has become a widely used method to approximate posteriors in complex latent variables models. However, deriving a variational inference algorithm generally requires significant model-specific analysis, and these efforts can hinder and deter us from quickly developing and exploring a variety of mod…

2013-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to stabilize Black Box Variational Inference using the James-Stein estimator.

problem Stability issues and fine-tuning required in basic Black Box Variational Inference.
method Reframe stochastic gradient ascent as multivariate estimation problem using James-Stein estimator.
result Provides a simpler method with consistent performance in terms of model fit and convergence time.

Improves scalability and efficiency of mixture models in black-box variational inference.

problem Scaling mixture models in black-box variational inference leads to high parameter and time costs.
method Introduces MISVAE for amortized mixture parameter space and new ELBO estimators.
result Achieves superior estimation performance with fewer parameters and shorter inference time.

This paper shows equivalence between SVGD and BBVI using kernel gradient flows.

problem Bayesian inference methods and their equivalence.
method Formalizes equivalence between SVGD and BBVI using kernel gradient flows.
result BBVI corresponds precisely to SVGD when using the neural tangent kernel.

QBVI uses natural gradients for efficient Bayesian learning.

problem Efficient Bayesian learning in complex models.
method Natural gradient updates in a black-box framework for exponential-family distributions.
result QBVI framework is effective for a wide range of Bayesian inference problems.

VERA uses variational inference to jailbreak LLMs without manual optimization.

problem Lack of principled objective for gradient-based optimization in jailbreaking LLMs.
method VERA casts black-box jailbreak prompting as a variational inference problem, training a small attacker LLM to approximate the target LLM's posterior over adversarial prompts.
result VERA achieves strong performance across various target LLMs, demonstrating the value of probabilistic inference for adversarial prompt generation.

BBVI with STL converges geometrically under perfect specification, with quadratic variance bound.

problem Convergence rate of BBVI with STL estimator.
method Proved geometric convergence rate with quadratic variance bound for BBVI with STL estimator.
result BBVI with STL converges geometrically under perfect variational family specification.

Improved inference for models with continuous latent variables.

problem Inference accuracy with traditional variational methods is limited.
method Reparameterized Variational Rejection Sampling (RVRS) using a proposal distribution with a reparameterized gradient estimator.
result RVRS offers a better trade-off between computational cost and inference fidelity.

Improves reliability of BBVI optimization methods.

problem Reliability issues and expertise required for BBVI optimization.
method RABVI framework with automated learning rate adjustment and KL divergence estimation.
result RABVI detects inaccurate variational approximations and optimizes reliability.

BaM improves BBVI by optimizing a score-based divergence, leading to faster convergence.

problem Slow convergence of black-box variational inference methods.
method Batch and match (BaM) approach based on a score-based divergence.
result BaM converges exponentially quickly to the target mean and covariance.

This work proposes a new method for variational inference using Wasserstein gradient descent.

problem Optimizing variational parameters to match a true posterior distribution.
method Reinterpreting VI as an optimization problem over a variational parameter space, using Wasserstein gradient descent.
result The proposed Wasserstein gradient descent can be seen as a generalization of existing optimization techniques in VI.

FlowVAT improves variational inference for multi-modal distributions.

problem Mode-seeking behavior and collapse in variational inference for complex posteriors.
method Conditional tempering approach for normalizing flow variational inference.
result FlowVAT outperforms traditional and adaptive annealing methods in multi-modal distributions, finding more modes and achieving better ELBO values.

New bounds show BBVI's gradient variance matches SGD conditions, improving parameterization efficiency.

problem Understanding and improving the convergence of black-box variational inference (BBVI).
method Showed BBVI satisfies matching gradient variance bounds corresponding to the ABC condition for smooth and quadratically-growing log-likelihoods.
result Proven BBVI's gradient variance matches SGD conditions, with superior dimensional dependence for mean-field parameterization.

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the parameters and the diffusion paths. We use a standard mean-field variational appr…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Post-process Bayesian inference speeds up posterior approximation.

problem Leveraging pre-existing model evaluations for quick posterior approximation.
method Variational Sparse Bayesian Quadrature (VSBQ) using sparse Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.
result VSBQ builds high-quality posterior approximations from existing optimization traces.

BBVI converges nearly dimensionally independent for log-concave targets.

problem Efficiently optimizing variational parameters in high-dimensional spaces.
method Proved convergence rate of BBVI with reparametrization gradient for log-concave targets.
result BBVI converges with nearly independent dimension dependence for log-concave targets.

We propose a black-box algorithm called {\it Adversarial Variational Inference and Learning} (AdVIL) to perform inference and learning on a general Markov random field (MRF). AdVIL employs two variational distributions to approximately infer the latent variables and estimate the partition function of an MRF, respective…

2019-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Black-box variational inference tries to approximate a complex target distribution though a gradient-based optimization of the parameters of a simpler distribution. Provable convergence guarantees require structural properties of the objective. This paper shows that for location-scale family approximations, if the targ…

2019-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Many probabilistic models of interest in scientific computing and machine learning have expensive, black-box likelihoods that prevent the application of standard techniques for Bayesian inference, such as MCMC, which would require access to the gradient or a large number of likelihood evaluations. We introduce here a n…

2018-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference is an umbrella term for algorithms which cast Bayesian inference as optimization. Classically, variational inference uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence to define the optimization. Though this divergence has been widely used, the resultant posterior approximation can suffer from undesirable stati…

2016-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Black box variational inference allows researchers to easily prototype and evaluate an array of models. Recent advances allow such algorithms to scale to high dimensions. However, a central question remains: How to specify an expressive variational distribution that maintains efficient computation? To address this, we …

2015-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Many computationally-efficient methods for Bayesian deep learning rely on continuous optimization algorithms, but the implementation of these methods requires significant changes to existing code-bases. In this paper, we propose Vprop, a method for Gaussian variational inference that can be implemented with two minor c…

2017-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a black-box variational inference method to approximate intractable distributions with an increasingly rich approximating class. Our method, termed variational boosting, iteratively refines an existing variational approximation by solving a sequence of optimization problems, allowing the practitioner to trad…

2016-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

DADVI improves ADVI by using deterministic approximation for faster, more accurate posterior estimation.

problem Intractable posterior uncertainty estimates and lack of clear convergence criteria in ADVI.
method Replaces stochastic MFVB objective with deterministic Monte Carlo approximation (SAA) and uses second-order optimization.
result DADVI provides faster and more accurate posterior estimates with default settings.

Latent variable time-series models are among the most heavily used tools from machine learning and applied statistics. These models have the advantage of learning latent structure both from noisy observations and from the temporal ordering in the data, where it is assumed that meaningful correlation structure exists ac…

2015-11-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric variational family, which adapts its shape to match complex posterior distributions. T…

2015-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A new optimization algorithm for Gaussian Variational Inference on precision matrices.

problem Complex models with positive definite constraints on covariance matrices.
method Manifold Gaussian Variational Bayes (MGVBP) with natural gradient updates.
result Empirically validated as a feasible and efficient solution for VI in complex models.

Black box variational inference (BBVI) with reparameterization gradients triggered the exploration of divergence measures other than the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, such as alpha divergences. In this paper, we view BBVI with generalized divergences as a form of estimating the marginal likelihood via biased import…

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time-series data. Consequently, SSMs are ubiquitously applied in areas such as engineering, econometrics and epidemiology. In this paper we provide a fast approach for approximate Bayesian inference in SSMs using the tools of deep learning and variati…

2018-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we explore how probabilistic programs can be used to represent policies in sequential decision problems. In this formulation, a probabilistic program is a black-box stochastic simulator for both the problem domain and the agent. We relate classic policy gradient techniques to recently introduced black-box…

2015-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

FairTrade uses variational inference to create fair predictions in causal models.

problem Creating fair predictions in machine learning models with causal reasoning.
method FairTrade uses variational inference to account for unobserved confounders and integrates fairness constraints on causal paths.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of FairTrade in creating fair predictions in both simulated and real-world datasets.