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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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306089119 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for bivariate causal discovery

New method improves bivariate causal discovery by accurately estimating cause variable complexity.

problem Improper estimation of cause variable complexity in current MDL-based methods.
method Rate-distortion MDL (RDMDL) using information dimension for cause variable complexity estimation.
result RDMDL achieves competitive performance on Tübingen dataset.

Gradient-based methods can be biased by distributional asymmetries in bivariate categorical data.

problem Gradient-based causal discovery methods can be biased by distributional asymmetries in bivariate categorical data.
method Identified and examined two distributional biases: Marginal Distribution Asymmetry and Marginal Distribution Shift Asymmetry. Employed two simple models to demonstrate and control these biases.
result Gradient-based methods can be biased by distributional asymmetries, and these biases can be controlled.

Method estimates bivariate causal models using normalising flows and variational Gaussian process regression.

problem Lack of explainability in AI models, especially in causal mechanisms.
method Combination of normalising flows for density estimation and variational Gaussian process regression for post-nonlinear models.
result Method better explains cause-effect pairs than simple additive noise models.

This study examines how noise levels affect causal discovery methods.

problem Impact of noise levels on causal discovery methods.
method Empirical study using Regression with Subsequent Independence Test and Identification using Conditional Variances on ANMs with varying noise levels.
result Causal discovery methods can fail for certain noise levels.

New method distinguishes cause from effect using causal velocity.

problem Inferring causal direction from bivariate data.
method Parametrization of bivariate SCMs in terms of causal velocity, using tools from measure transport.
result Method extends beyond known model classes and requires no assumptions on noise distributions.

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal structures. CGNNs make no assumption regarding the lack of confounders, and learn a diffe…

2017-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based on the assumption that all variables have been jointly measured in a single dat…

2019-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian model selection improves causal discovery in complex datasets.

problem Identifying causal direction in Markov equivalence classes with realistic assumptions.
method Incorporating causal assumptions within Bayesian framework for model selection.
result Bayesian model selection outperforms previous methods on various datasets.

Bayesian model selection improves multivariate causal discovery without restrictive assumptions.

problem Real-world causal discovery requires flexible assumptions to avoid restrictive model assumptions.
method Continuous relaxation of discrete model selection problem, using Causal Gaussian Process Conditional Density Estimator (CGP-CDE).
result Bayesian approach outperforms traditional methods in multivariate causal discovery.

Study evaluates how noise affects ANMs' ability to identify causal directions.

problem Challenges in identifying causal relationships in bivariate cases with noise.
method Empirical study using Regression with Subsequent Independence Test (RESIT) on various ANM models.
result ANMs can fail to identify true causal directions for certain noise levels.

Autoregressive flow models can perform causal discovery and inference tasks.

problem Causal inference tasks such as causal discovery and interventional predictions.
method Using autoregressive flow models to estimate causal directions and make predictions.
result Autoregressive flows can accurately perform causal inference tasks without restrictive assumptions.

GaussDetect-LiNGAM eliminates Gaussianity tests for causal discovery.

problem Causal direction identification without Gaussianity assumptions.
method Leverages the equivalence between noise Gaussianity and residual independence in reverse regression.
result Gaussianity tests replaced with robust kernel-based independence tests.

Causal autoregressive flows enable accurate causal inference and prediction.

problem Causal discovery and interventional predictions in machine learning.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows with fixed variable orderings.
result Causal models derived from autoregressive flows are identifiable and allow for accurate interventional and counterfactual predictions.

New protocol identifies impossible edge orientations in causal graphs.

problem Causal-discovery algorithms cannot distinguish edge directions without assumptions.
method Discrete impossibility certificates and oracle queries.
result Upper bound of 1+K1+K expert interactions for DAG recovery.

Paper develops a method to learn causal networks with non-invertible functions.

problem Identifying causal relationships from observational data with non-invertible functional relationships.
method Proposes a test for non-invertible bivariate causal models and develops a method to incorporate this test in structure learning of DAGs.
result Our algorithms outperform existing DAG learning methods in identifying causal graphical structures.

New method infers causal relationships from nonstationary time series data.

problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from nonstationary time series data.
method Proposes a new class of restricted SCM with time-varying filters and stationary noise, leveraging asymmetry from nonstationarity.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed methodology on various synthetic and real datasets.

A method to approximate causal models using information theory.

problem Inferring causal direction and effect between discrete variables.
method Embedding distributions into a higher dimensional space and solving a linear optimization problem.
result Information-theoretic approximation (IACM) can be used for causal discovery in bivariate, discrete cases.

EML-CD discovers causal mechanisms from neural networks in a structured way.

problem Extracting causal mechanisms from neural network weights is ill-posed.
method Integrates EML operator into causal structure learning, representing each edge mechanism as a gated EML binary tree.
result Achieves SHD=11.2 +/- 0.4 on real data, matching or outperforming existing methods.

DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.

problem Inferring causal direction between continuous and discrete variables from observational data.
method Density Ratio-based Causal Discovery (DRCD) method.
result DRCD identifies causal direction between continuous and discrete variables using density ratio monotonicity.

LxCIM metric improves binary classification performance evaluation.

problem Evaluation metrics for binary classification are often not invariant to local class exchange.
method Proposes LxCIM, a rank-based metric invariant to local class exchange.
result LxCIM addresses limitations of existing metrics like AUROC.

Differentiable causal discovery methods perform robustly under model violations.

problem Causal discovery algorithms struggle with real-world data due to unverifiable causal assumptions.
method Benchmarked differentiable causal discovery methods under eight model assumption violations.
result Differentiable causal discovery methods exhibit robust performance under Structural Hamming Distance and Structural Intervention Distance metrics.

KEEL improves causal discovery with fuzzy knowledge and complex data.

problem Challenges in causal discovery due to prior knowledge, domain inconsistencies, and small sample sizes.
method Weakly-supervised fuzzy knowledge and data co-driven causal discovery method (KEEL).
result KEEL outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy, robustness, and computational efficiency.

Paper presents a new dataset for testing causal discovery methods in industrial systems.

problem Lack of real-world datasets for evaluating causal discovery methods on time series data.
method Develops a dataset from an industrial system and its known causal graph.
result Provides a benchmark for evaluating causal discovery methods in complex systems.

L2D-CD learns to defer expert recommendations in causal discovery.

problem Combining expert knowledge with data-driven results in causal discovery when expert recommendations may contradict data.
method Adapting learning-to-defer algorithms for pairwise causal discovery, L2D-CD learns a deferral function to select between expert recommendations and data-driven methods.
result L2D-CD outperforms both causal discovery methods and the expert used in isolation, identifying domains where the expert's performance is strong or weak.

This work integrates domain knowledge into A*-based causal discovery methods.

problem Efficiently incorporating domain knowledge into A*-based causal discovery methods.
method Integrates various types of domain knowledge into A*-based causal discovery methods, reducing the graph search space and improving computational gains.
result Small amounts of domain knowledge can dramatically speed up A*-based causal discovery and improve its performance and practicality.

Amortized Causal Discovery learns to infer causal graphs from time-series data, improving performance.

problem Inference of causal graphs from time-series data is inefficient due to fitting new models for each sample.
method Proposes Amortized Causal Discovery, a variational model that leverages shared dynamics across samples with different causal graphs.
result Significant improvements in causal discovery performance demonstrated experimentally.

Develops a new method to discover causal relationships from nonstationary time series data.

problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from observational data, especially for nonstationary time series.
method State-Dependent Causal Inference (SDCI) for conditionally stationary time series.
result SDCI can recover underlying causal dependencies with provable identifiability for state-dependent causal structures.

The paper examines how timing of observations affects causal discovery methods.

problem The sensitivity of causal discovery methods to mismatched observation timing.
method Empirical and theoretical analysis of classical and recent causal discovery methods.
result Causal discovery methods are sensitive to sampling rate and window length.

Cluster-DAGs improve causal discovery with prior knowledge.

problem Finding cause-effect relationships from high-dimensional data.
method Cluster-DAGs as prior knowledge framework, modified constraint-based algorithms Cluster-PC and Cluster-FCI.
result Cluster-PC and Cluster-FCI outperform baselines without prior knowledge.

Dagma-DCE improves causal discovery with interpretable measures and open-source code.

problem Arbitrary proxy measures of causal strength in non-parametric causal discovery.
method Uses weighted adjacency matrices based on an interpretable measure of causal strength.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in simulated datasets.