A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study estimates personalized effects of maternal PM2.5 exposure on birth weight.
We consider probabilistic programming for birth-death models of evolution and introduce a new widely-applicable inference method that combines an extension of the alive particle filter (APF) with automatic Rao-Blackwellization via delayed sampling. Birth-death models of evolution are an important family of phylogenetic…
Quantile regression is a tool for learning conditional distributions. In this paper we study quantile regression in the setting where a protected attribute is unavailable when fitting the model. This can lead to "unfair'' quantile estimators for which the effective quantiles are very different for the subpopulations de…
In this paper, we study curvature dimension conditions on birth-death processes which correspond to linear graphs, i.e., weighted graphs supported on the infinite line or the half line. We give a combinatorial characterization of Bakry and Émery's condition for linear graphs and prove the triviality of edge w…
This is a survey article on recent progress of comparison geometry and geometric analysis on Finsler manifolds of weighted Ricci curvature bounded below. Our purpose is two-fold: Give a concise and geometric review on the birth of weighted Ricci curvature and its applications; Explain recent results from a nonlinear an…
New RL algorithm reduces regret in birth-death queueing problems.
We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain closed-form expressions. We apply the method to the three selected birth-death …
We describe an application of machine learning to the problem of predicting preterm birth. We conduct a secondary analysis on a clinical trial dataset collected by the National In- stitute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD) while focusing our attention on predicting different classes of preterm birth. We com…
Study birth-death dynamics for sampling Gibbs measures with nonconvex potentials.
We consider models of the population or opinion dynamics which result in the non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) exhibiting the spurious long-range memory. In this context, the correspondence between the description of the birth-death processes as the continuous-time Markov chains and the continuous SDE…
Near a birth-death critical point in a one-parameter family of gradient flows, there are precisely two Morse critical points of index difference one on the birth side. This paper gives a self-contained proof of the folklore theorem that these two critical points are joined by a unique gradient trajectory up to time-shi…
Bayesian method estimates QTEs from observational data.
A fundamental problem in Bayesian inference and statistical machine learning is to efficiently sample from multimodal distributions. Due to metastability, multimodal distributions are difficult to sample using standard Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We propose a new sampling algorithm based on a birth-death mechanis…
Preterm births occur at an alarming rate of 10-15%. Preemies have a higher risk of infant mortality, developmental retardation and long-term disabilities. Predicting preterm birth is difficult, even for the most experienced clinicians. The most well-designed clinical study thus far reaches a modest sensitivity of 18.2-…
New method uses birth-death process and exploration component to accelerate sampling from multimodal distributions.
New method speeds up uncertainty estimation for large datasets in causal inference.
Bayesian networks (BNs) are graphical models that are useful for representing high-dimensional probability distributions. There has been a great deal of interest in recent years in the NP-hard problem of learning the structure of a BN from observed data. Typically, one assigns a score to various structures and the sear…
Kernel methods identify treatment effects with unobserved confounding using negative controls.
FS&P uses birth-death process to ensure global convergence of stochastic conic particle gradient descent.
Classifies and analyzes the stability of black hole event horizon birth points using contact geometry.
Every year, 3 million newborns die within the first month of life. Birth asphyxia and other breathing-related conditions are a leading cause of mortality during the neonatal phase. Current diagnostic methods are too sophisticated in terms of equipment, required expertise, and general logistics. Consequently, early dete…
In this paper, we focus on online representation learning in non-stationary environments which may require continuous adaptation of model architecture. We propose a novel online dictionary-learning (sparse-coding) framework which incorporates the addition and deletion of hidden units (dictionary elements), and is inspi…
Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree models according to their posterior probabilities. The critical component of such an …
Paper disproves conjecture about log-Sobolev constants.
Preterm birth is the most common cause of neonatal death. Current diagnostic methods that assess the risk of preterm birth involve the collection of maternal characteristics and transvaginal ultrasound imaging conducted in the first and second trimester of pregnancy. Analysis of the ultrasound data is based on visual i…
USD algorithm transports distributions with or without mass conservation.
Paper uses AI to improve medical diagnosis accuracy.
New metrics and coordinates for barcode space using group theory.
Large language models based on transformers have achieved great empirical successes. However, as they are deployed more widely, there is a growing need to better understand their internal mechanisms in order to make them more reliable. These models appear to store vast amounts of knowledge from their training data, and…
The Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) is the number of infants per 1000 that do not survive until their first birthday. It is an important metric providing information about infant health but it also measures the society's general health status. Despite the high level of prosperity in the U.S.A., the country's IMR is higher …
No regularization needed for InLDL, achieving efficient and effective model.
Paper proposes scalable method for analyzing multi-omic data.
Neural networks with a large number of parameters admit a mean-field description, which has recently served as a theoretical explanation for the favorable training properties of "overparameterized" models. In this regime, gradient descent obeys a deterministic partial differential equation (PDE) that converges to a glo…
In this paper we are interested in the prediction of preterm birth based on diagnosis codes from longitudinal EHR. We formulate the prediction problem as a supervised classification with noisy labels. Our base classifier is a Recurrent Neural Network with an attention mechanism. We assume the availability of a data sub…
Recent advances in Reinforcement Learning, grounded on combining classical theoretical results with Deep Learning paradigm, led to breakthroughs in many artificial intelligence tasks and gave birth to Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) as a field of research. In this work latest DRL algorithms are reviewed with a focus …
The increasing popularity of internet, wireless technologies and mobile devices has led to the birth of mass connectivity and online interaction through Online Social Networks (OSNs) and similar environments. OSN reflects a social structure consist of a set of individuals and different types of ties like connections, r…
Paper introduces a Bayesian nonparametric approach for tracking multiple objects with spawning events.
Topic models have proven to be a useful tool for discovering latent structures in document collections. However, most document collections often come as temporal streams and thus several aspects of the latent structure such as the number of topics, the topics' distribution and popularity are time-evolving. Several mode…
Thirty years after the birth of foliations in the 1950's, André Haefliger has introduced a special property satisfied by holonomy pseudogroups of foliations on compact manifolds, called compact generation. Up to now, this is the only general property known about holonomy on compact manifolds. In this article, we give a…
Enhances early risk assessments for pediatric outcomes using contrastive learning.
Explains the history and challenges of minimal surfaces.
Flow Matching for count data improves sample quality and efficiency.
The surgery technique of Gromov and Lawson may be used to construct families of positive scalar curvature metrics which are parameterised by Morse functions. This has played an important role in the study of the space of metrics of positive scalar curvature on a smooth manifold and its corresponding moduli spaces. In t…
Valid causal inference with unobserved confounding in high-dimensional settings.
Stein transport improves Bayesian inference with faster convergence and reduced variance.
We propose a new Bayesian tracking and parameter learning algorithm for non-linear non-Gaussian multiple target tracking (MTT) models. We design a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution of the target states, birth and death times, and association of observations to targets, …
Understanding human fetal neurodevelopment is of great clinical importance as abnormal development is linked to adverse neuropsychiatric outcomes after birth. Recent advances in functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) have provided new insight into development of the human brain before birth, but these studies hav…
It was shown by Fock, Goncharov and Fomin, Shapiro, Thurston that some cluster algebras arise from triangulated orientable suraces. Subsequently Dupont and Palesi generalised this construction to include unpunctured non-orientable surfaces, giving birth to quasi-cluster algebras. Previously we linked this framework to …