Proposes MELODIC family for simultaneous binary logistic regression.
problem Simultaneous analysis of multiple binary response variables.
method Defines models in a reduced Euclidean space using a distance rule.
result Improves predictive accuracy through model interdependence.
Optimizes binary regression models with gradient ascent-descent methods.
problem Regression problems with binary weights in quantized learning and digital communication.
method Maximin optimization using gradient ascent-descent methods.
result The approach is optimal in linear regression with low noise and robust regression with few outliers.
Probit regression was first proposed by Bliss in 1934 to study mortality rates of insects. Since then, an extensive body of work has analyzed and used probit or related binary regression methods (such as logistic regression) in numerous applications and fields. This paper provides a fresh angle to such well-established…
Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.
problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.
Efficiently private regression for unbounded data.
problem Privacy constraints in regression settings with unbounded covariates.
method Differential privacy techniques on mean and covariance estimation extended to sub-gaussian regime.
result Unbiased estimate of true regression vector learned up to a scaling factor.
New algorithm learns sparse GLMs for binary outcomes efficiently.
problem Sparse modeling of binary outcomes in high-dimensional data.
method Iterative hard thresholding algorithm (BIHT) for sparse GLMs.
result BIHT achieves statistical optimality for logistic regression.
New tests for binary classification regression functions without distribution assumptions.
problem Testing regression functions in binary classification without distributional assumptions.
method Conditional kernel mean embeddings and resampling-based framework.
result Distribution-free hypothesis tests with exact type I error control.
Study extends learnability equivalence to multi-class and regression, overcoming binary classification limits.
problem Equivalence of online and private learnability in multi-class and regression settings.
method Introduced a novel Littlestone dimension variant and threshold functions for multi-class classification.
result Online learnability implies private learnability in multi-class classification but not in regression.
Adaptive algorithm for multi-objective optimization with binary constraints.
problem Optimization of black-box problems with binary constraints.
method Bayesian optimization using regression and classification models.
result Significantly faster expected hypervolume calculation.
Study binary choice with asymmetric loss, offering simple solutions.
problem Binary choice with asymmetric loss in data-rich environments.
method Loss-based reweighting of logistic regression or machine learning techniques.
result Valid decisions on binary outcomes with general loss functions.
This paper applies deep learning to ordinal regression, modeling it as a binary search.
problem Ordinal regression with deep learning models.
method Formulated ordinal regression as a binary search problem, using recurrent neural networks.
result Deep learning model shows comparable or better predictive power compared to traditional methods.
Probit Monotone BART estimates binary outcomes using monotonic functions.
problem Estimating conditional mean functions for binary outcomes with monotonicity constraints.
method Proposes a new BART variant that incorporates monotonicity constraints for binary outcomes.
result Allows for more precise estimation of monotonic functions in binary outcome models.
Ridge regression shows different behaviors in binary classification with noisy labels.
problem Binary classification with noisy labels and anisotropic cluster distributions.
method Investigation of ridge regression behavior in overparameterized settings with label noise.
result Ridge regression exhibits qualitatively different behavior based on the scale of cluster mean vectors and covariance matrices.
Reduces multiclass and regression compression schemes to binary ones.
problem Developing efficient learning algorithms for multiclass and regression problems.
method Reduces sample compression schemes for binary classes to multiclass and regression settings.
result Establishes new compression schemes for multiclass and regression problems.
Regularized linear regression improves binary classification performance, especially with ridge and ℓ1 regularization.
problem Improving binary classification accuracy with noisy labels.
method Systematic study of regularization strengths on linear classifiers trained on noisy binary classification data.
result Ridge regression consistently improves classification error, while ℓ1 regularization can induce sparsity and ℓ∞ regularization can concentrate weights to two values. Data labeling is currently a time-consuming task that often requires expert knowledge. In research settings, the availability of correctly labeled data is crucial to ensure that model predictions are accurate and useful. We propose relatively simple machine learning-based models that achieve high performance metrics in…
A new framework for sparse regression models with slow variations.
problem Parameter estimation for sparse regression models with slow variations.
method Formulated as a mixed-integer optimization problem, then reformulated as a binary convex optimization problem with a novel relaxation technique.
result Efficiently solves the problem to provable optimality using a cutting plane-type algorithm.
The paper develops methods for constructing confidence regions for regression functions in binary classification.
problem Building distribution-free confidence regions for regression functions in binary classification.
method Resampling test and empirical risk minimization approach for model classes with finite pseudo-dimensions and inverse Lipschitz parameterizations.
result Strong uniform consistency and exponential probably approximately correct bounds on the L2 sizes of the regions. SplitWise enhances stepwise regression by adaptively encoding numeric predictors into binary features.
problem Capturing nonlinear relationships in regression models without sacrificing interpretability.
method Adaptive encoding of numeric predictors into binary features using shallow decision trees, assessed by AIC or BIC.
result Consistently produces more parsimonious and generalizable models than traditional techniques.
The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal classifier, moreover, besides providing optimal predictions, it can also assess t…
The choice of normalization affects the coefficients in regularized regression models.
problem The impact of normalization on the coefficients of regularized regression models.
method Investigated lasso, ridge, and elastic net regression with different normalization methods for binary and mixed features.
result Normalization affects the coefficients of regularized regression models, and specific scaling methods can mitigate this effect.
Proposes GBBHE for efficient large-scale regression.
problem Large-scale regression problems.
method Gradient Boosting with binary histogram partition and ensemble learning.
result Improves computational efficiency and performance on large datasets.
Learning accurate probabilistic models from data is crucial in many practical tasks in data mining. In this paper we present a new non-parametric calibration method called \textit{ensemble of near isotonic regression} (ENIR). The method can be considered as an extension of BBQ, a recently proposed calibration method, a…
Study fairness in ordinal regression using threshold models.
problem Fairness in ordinal regression predictions.
method Adapted fairness notions from fair ranking; use threshold model with scoring function and thresholds; apply binary classification for scoring function and local search for thresholds.
result Generalization guarantees on predictor error and fairness violation; effectiveness demonstrated in experiments.
Introduces Soft-SVM for binary classification bridging logistic and SVM.
problem Data separability issues in binary classification.
method Soft-SVM regression using convex relaxation of hinge loss with softness and class-separation parameters.
result Soft-SVM performs well in classification and prediction errors.
New approach improves classification guarantees by focusing on direction rather than regression risk.
problem Improving classification guarantees in binary classification problems.
method Establishing a geometric distinction between classification and regression, leveraging scale invariance.
result Improved guarantees for classification risk compared to regression risk.
Cubic predicts stock market indices by fusing stock latent embeddings and converting to binary classification.
problem Challenges in predicting stock market indices due to isolated time series treatment and simple regression.
method Fusion of stock latent embeddings, binary encoding classification, and confidence-guided prediction.
result Cubic outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in stock index prediction tasks.
Multi-task learning has shown to significantly enhance the performance of multiple related learning tasks in a variety of situations. We present the fused logistic regression, a sparse multi-task learning approach for binary classification. Specifically, we introduce sparsity inducing penalties over parameter differenc…
Parity calibration aims to predict increase-decrease events, not values.
problem Forecasting future increase-decrease events rather than exact values.
method Online binary calibration method to achieve parity calibration.
result Online binary calibration achieves parity calibration effectively.
The goal of Ordinal Regression is to find a rule that ranks items from a given set. Several learning algorithms to solve this prediction problem build an ensemble of binary classifiers. Ranking by Projecting uses interdependent binary perceptrons. These perceptrons share the same direction vector, but use different bia…
We characterize and study variable importance (VIMP) and pairwise variable associations in binary regression trees. A key component involves the node mean squared error for a quantity we refer to as a maximal subtree. The theory naturally extends from single trees to ensembles of trees and applies to methods like rando…
Efficiently identifies important variables in binary outcomes using variational Bayes.
problem Bayesian variable selection for binary outcomes with computational challenges.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approximation with closed-form updates and efficient inference algorithm.
result Successfully identifies important variables and is orders of magnitude faster than MCMC.
To model categorical response variables given their covariates, we propose a permuted and augmented stick-breaking (paSB) construction that one-to-one maps the observed categories to randomly permuted latent sticks. This new construction transforms multinomial regression into regression analysis of stick-specific binar…
Binary classification models get more efficient predictive probabilities.
problem Computing predictive probabilities in Bayesian probit models is computationally challenging.
method Use of expectation propagation (EP) to find a closed-form expression for predictive probabilities.
result Closed-form predictive probabilities improve over existing methods.
Prognostic scores improve logistic regression analysis in RCTs with binary outcomes.
problem Non-collapsibility in logistic regression analysis of RCTs with binary endpoints.
method Prognostic score adjustment using AI predictions to address non-collapsibility.
result Prognostic score adjustment increases power or reduces sample size for estimating conditional odds ratios.
This paper improves binary classification methods beyond accuracy, especially in imbalanced datasets.
problem Binary classification performance metrics often fail to reflect real-world consequences, especially in imbalanced datasets.
method Derives a generalized Bayes-optimal classifier from accuracy to any performance metric, removing assumptions and providing finite-sample statistical guarantees.
result Optimal classification performance depends on class imbalance properties, providing new insights and guarantees.
New split rules improve subpopulation targeting in policy-making.
problem Improving binary classification for subpopulation targeting in policy-making.
method MDFS, PFS, wEFS for maximizing distance and penalizing final splits.
result Proposed methods target more vulnerable subpopulations than classic CART/KD-CART.
In many real-world prediction tasks, class labels include information about the relative ordering between labels, which is not captured by commonly-used loss functions such as multi-category cross-entropy. Recently, the deep learning community adopted ordinal regression frameworks to take such ordering information into…
Ensemble of regression trees have become popular statistical tools for the estimation of conditional mean given a set of predictors. However, quantile regression trees and their ensembles have not yet garnered much attention despite the increasing popularity of the linear quantile regression model. This work proposes a…
We investigate whether the bid/ask queue imbalance in a limit order book (LOB) provides significant predictive power for the direction of the next mid-price movement. We consider this question both in the context of a simple binary classifier, which seeks to predict the direction of the next mid-price movement, and a p…
Kriging is an efficient machine-learning tool, which allows to obtain an approximate response of an investigated phenomenon on the whole parametric space. Adaptive schemes provide a the ability to guide the experiment yielding new sample point positions to enrich the metamodel. Herein a novel adaptive scheme called Mon…
New algorithm recovers sparse binary vectors from generalized linear measurements efficiently.
problem Recovering sparse binary vectors from generalized linear measurements.
method Linear estimation algorithm and information theoretic lower bounds.
result Optimal sample complexity of O((k+σ2)logn) for noisy one bit quantized linear measurements. New method for efficient maximum likelihood estimation of p-generalized probit regression.
problem Efficient estimation of p-generalized probit regression models. method Combining sketching techniques with importance subsampling to obtain a coreset.
result Maximum likelihood estimator can be approximated efficiently up to a factor of (1+ε) on large data. Estimates binary labels from dependent data using Markov Random Fields.
problem Statistical estimation from dependent data across spatial, temporal, and social domains.
method Modeling dependencies as Markov Random Fields and providing efficient estimation algorithms.
result Statistically efficient estimation rates for Ising models from a single sample.
Machine learning struggles to predict binary options movements due to randomness.
problem Predicting binary options movements using machine learning.
method Tested multiple machine learning models (RF, LR, GB, kNN) and neural networks (MLP, LSTM) on EUR/USD currency pairs.
result None of the models surpassed the ZeroR baseline accuracy, indicating randomness in binary options.
We consider selection of random predictors for high-dimensional regression problem with binary response for a general loss function. Important special case is when the binary model is semiparametric and the response function is misspecified under parametric model fit. Selection for such a scenario aims at recovering th…
The pseudo-likelihood method is one of the most popular algorithms for learning sparse binary pairwise Markov networks. In this paper, we formulate the L1 regularized pseudo-likelihood problem as a sparse multiple logistic regression problem. In this way, many insights and optimization procedures for sparse logistic…
Binary PheNorm extends phenotype labeling for EHRs using binary silver labels.
problem Lack of gold-standard phenotype labels in EHR studies.
method Proposes Binary PheNorm, an extension that uses binary silver labels directly in phenotype scoring.
result Binary PheNorm achieved strong discrimination using binary labels alone and improved performance when combined with count labels.