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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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4998146195 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for binary questions

Minimal triangulations of circle bundles linked to circular permutations.

problem Which circle bundles can be triangulated over a given base triangulation?
method Minimal triangulations encoded by local systems of circular permutations of vertices.
result Classical Huntington transitivity axiom for cyclic orders expressed as a binary Chern cocycle.

Optimal ability estimation in adaptive testing with binary responses.

problem Estimating a continuous ability parameter from sequential binary responses.
method Adaptive selection of questions to maximize Fisher information, updating estimate using method-of-moments, and deciding accuracy with a test statistic.
result Fisher-tracking strategy achieves optimal performance in fixed-confidence and fixed-budget regimes.

This paper optimizes how many samples are needed to estimate a population's binary responses.

problem Estimating a distribution from incomplete or corrupted samples.
method The approach involves computing the empirical mean of a certain function, pre-solving a linear program, and using complex-analytic methods.
result Optimal sample complexity for population recovery is determined, showing phase transitions and sensitivity to dimension.

Paper tackles training binary classifiers from unlabeled data with minimal supervision.

problem Training arbitrary binary classifiers from only unlabeled data is impossible without supervision.
method Proposes an ERM-based learning method from two sets of unlabeled data with different class priors.
result The proposed method is consistent and outperforms state-of-the-art methods.

The paper analyzes binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.

problem Analyzing binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.
method Derive and analyze a continuous model of binary option markets with exogenous information, using Filippov surfaces and general assumptions on purchasing rules.
result Price always converges when exogenous information is constant, and price sensitivity affects price lag vs. information.

We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determ…

2009-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Elicit performance metrics from classifier comparisons.

problem Discover the performance metric a practitioner prefers for binary classification.
method Formalize and exploit geometric properties of confusion matrices for efficient metric elicitation.
result Provably efficient algorithms for eliciting linear and linear-fractional metrics from pairwise feedback.

Robo-advisors estimate clients' risk aversion using interactive questionnaires.

problem Estimating risk aversion of non-expert clients using adaptive questionnaires.
method Model risk aversion with cost functions and spectral risk measures. Use inverse reinforcement learning to design questions maximizing distinguishing power.
result Designing questions by maximizing distinguishing power achieves satisfactory accuracy in learning risk aversion with fewer than 50 questions.

New binary classification techniques help multiclass classification by aggregating proper learners.

problem Multiclass classification faces a properness barrier that prevents optimal learning by proper learners.
method Aggregations of proper binary learners, generalized to multiclass settings, achieve optimal sample complexity.
result Optimal binary learners can achieve sample complexity $O\left(\frac{d_G + \ln(1 / δ)}ε ight)$ for classes with finite Graph dimension dGd_G.

Paper shows similarity learning can lead to strong binary classification performance.

problem How similarity learning can lead to good classification performance.
method Product-type formulation of similarity learning is connected to binary classification through an excess risk bound.
result Similarity learning can directly elicit a decision boundary for binary classification.

New research shows that binary classification can be done with noisy data, but only if there are clean samples available.

problem Learning binary classification with instance and label dependent label noise.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical risk minimization.
result Empirical risk minimization achieves the optimal excess risk bound without additional assumptions.

The paper examines the stability of binary choice models using Gini index and scoring indicators.

problem Stability and discriminatory power of binary choice models.
method Derives the real Gini index and incorporates PSI and KS statistics into the model.
result The real Gini index should be less than the calculated Gini index when the population distribution changes.

New metric reduces arbitrariness in fair binary classification predictions.

problem Variance in predictions leads to arbitrary decisions in fair classification.
method Developed a self-consistency metric and an abstention algorithm.
result Fair binary classification is often close to fair due to variance, not interventions.

This work proves DP learnability implies online learnability for general classification tasks.

problem Link between differential privacy and online learning for general classification tasks.
method Establishes Ramsey-type theorems for trees to prove DP learnability implies online learnability.
result DP learnability implies online learnability for general classification tasks.

Study compares cloud ML services for binary classification tasks.

problem Evaluate performance of major cloud ML services on binary classification.
method Constructed benchmark using Kaggle datasets; compared Azure and Amazon services.
result Identifies strengths and weaknesses of current cloud ML services.

AdvReg improves VQA models but introduces instability and bias issues.

problem VQA models over-rely on linguistic biases, ignoring visual context.
method Adversarial regularization to encourage bias-free question representations.
result AdvReg yields side-effects like unstable gradients and reduced performance on in-domain examples.

We develop a new model and algorithms for machine learning-based learning analytics, which estimate a learner's knowledge of the concepts underlying a domain, and content analytics, which estimate the relationships among a collection of questions and those concepts. Our model represents the probability that a learner p…

2013-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This work refines Cover's theory for binary classification on low-dimensional data.

problem The challenge of analyzing how low-dimensional data structures affect classification models.
method Refines Cover's function-counting theory to account for low-dimensional data structure.
result Derives dichotomy counts and analyzes the impact of data structure on classification models.

Combines cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms for better binary classification.

problem Asymmetric binary classification problems with unequal error severities.
method Develops TUBE-CS algorithm to bridge cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms.
result High-probability control of population type I error.

This paper optimizes retraining models using their own predictions and noisy labels.

problem Improving model performance through optimal retraining of noisy labels.
method Developed a principled framework based on approximate message passing (AMP) to analyze iterative retraining procedures.
result Derivation of the Bayes optimal aggregator function to minimize prediction error.

New method turns optimization algorithms into uniformly stable learning algorithms for non-Euclidean norms.

problem Non-Euclidean norms in binary classification problems.
method Black-box reduction method using uniformly convex regularizers.
result Achieves optimal statistical risk bounds on excess risk for non-Euclidean norms.

The recently proposed SPARse Factor Analysis (SPARFA) framework for personalized learning performs factor analysis on ordinal or binary-valued (e.g., correct/incorrect) graded learner responses to questions. The underlying factors are termed "concepts" (or knowledge components) and are used for learning analytics (LA),…

2014-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum oracles help identify counterfactuals better than classical ones.

problem Identifying unknown causal parameters in causal models.
method Using quantum oracles to query and identify all causal parameters and counterfactuals.
result Quantum oracles enable identification of all two-way joint counterfactuals and tighter bounds on higher-order counterfactuals.

We propose SPARFA-Trace, a new machine learning-based framework for time-varying learning and content analytics for education applications. We develop a novel message passing-based, blind, approximate Kalman filter for sparse factor analysis (SPARFA), that jointly (i) traces learner concept knowledge over time, (ii) an…

2013-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Characterizes uncertainty in low-rank matrix completion with noisy data.

problem Uncertainty quantification in low-rank matrix completion with heterogeneous sub-exponential noise.
method Characterizes the distribution of estimated matrix entries under low-rank estimators with heterogeneous sub-exponential noise.
result Explicit formulas for the distribution of estimated matrix entries under Poisson and Binary noise.

Paper proposes using blockchain for trustable machine learning with streaming layer and synthetic data.

problem Machine learning results are not fully trusted due to mutable data and difficulty in automation.
method Blockchain technology for immutable data storage and smart contracts for automation. Server, streaming, and smart contract implementations.
result A compact binary model format for streaming layer and synthetic data generation for limited training data.

Paper proves SCNNs and BNNs have universal approximation property and similar energy consumption.

problem Accuracy and applicability of SCNNs and BNNs in hardware implementations.
method Proof of universal approximation property using strong law of large numbers and SCNNs as a bridge.
result SCNNs and BNNs have the same asymptotic energy consumption.

In various situations one is given only the predictions of multiple classifiers over a large unlabeled test data. This scenario raises the following questions: Without any labeled data and without any a-priori knowledge about the reliability of these different classifiers, is it possible to consistently and computation…

2014-07-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores how machine learning models can be learnable despite label shifts.

problem Learnability of binary classification models in the presence of label shifts.
method Developed a performative empirical risk function that is an unbiased estimate of the true risk on the shifted distribution.
result PAC-learnable hypothesis spaces remain PAC-learnable for performative scenarios.