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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4579131,3701,826 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for binary general causal models

Paper constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.

problem Unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
method Constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
result Examples of unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.

AnomalyCD discovers anomaly causes in large systems with binary flags, reducing computational burden.

problem Learning graphical causal models from large-scale binary anomaly data is computationally expensive.
method AnomalyCD uses anomaly data-aware causality testing, sparse data compression, and edge pruning.
result AnomalyCD reduces computation overhead and improves accuracy on binary anomaly datasets.

Discovering causal relations among observed variables in a given data set is a major objective in studies of statistics and artificial intelligence. Recently, some techniques to discover a unique causal model have been explored based on non-Gaussianity of the observed data distribution. However, most of these are limit…

2014-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces regret in combinatorial causal bandits without graph structure.

problem Minimizing regret in combinatorial causal bandits without graph structure.
method Design of algorithms for binary general causal models and BGLMs without graph skeleton.
result Achieves O(TlnT)O(\sqrt{T}\ln T) expected regret for causal models and O(T23lnT)O(T^{\frac{2}{3}}\ln T) for BGLMs.

Algorithm BGLM-OFU minimizes regret in combinatorial causal bandits with binary models.

problem Minimizing expected regret in combinatorial causal bandits with binary generalized linear models.
method BGLM-OFU algorithm based on maximum likelihood estimation for Markovian BGLMs, and causal inference techniques for linear models with hidden variables.
result Achieves O(TlogT)O(\sqrt{T}\log T) regret for binary generalized linear models.

Study identifies conditions for proxy adjustment in confounded binary treatment outcomes.

problem Average causal effect estimation with a non-differentially mismeasured binary confounder.
method Identifies conditions for proxy adjustment in the presence of a non-differentially mismeasured binary confounder.
result Adjusting for a non-differentially mismeasured binary proxy can improve estimation of the average causal effect.

CausalEGM estimates causal effects by encoding confounders, improving performance in high-dimensional settings.

problem Challenges in estimating causal effects with high-dimensional confounders.
method CausalEGM framework using generative modeling to decouple confounders and estimate causal effects.
result CausalEGM outperforms existing methods in binary and continuous treatment settings, especially with large sample sizes and high-dimensional confounders.

Study estimates heterogeneous principal causal effects with binary treatments and intermediate variables.

problem Estimating subgroup effects within strata defined by potential values of an intermediate variable.
method Proposes a framework for estimating and forming confidence intervals for heterogeneous principal causal effects under principal ignorability assumption. Develops several estimators with varying robustness properties.
result Established large-sample theory and analyzed bias contributions of each approach.

Paper proposes Bayesian TMLE methods for causal effect uncertainty quantification.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in causal effect estimation.
method Three Bayesian TMLE approaches for binary and continuous outcomes.
result BN-TMLE outperforms classical implementations in small data regimes.

This paper studies the problem of learning causal structures from observational data. We reformulate the Structural Equation Model (SEM) with additive noises in a form parameterized by binary graph adjacency matrix and show that, if the original SEM is identifiable, then the binary adjacency matrix can be identified up…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian method models binary response and covariates for two groups, estimating causal relationships.

problem Estimating causal relationships between binary response and covariates in observational data.
method Gaussian DAG-probit model with MCMC sampling for posterior distribution estimation.
result Validated method on simulated and real datasets, showing value of grouping variable in causality.

Study develops method for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.

problem Lack of methods for estimating causal effects in continuous variables.
method Develops a method independent of data generating models for continuous variable interventions.
result Preserves identifiability of data and applies to any generating models.

NeuralCSA uses neural networks to analyze causal effects under unobserved confounding.

problem Challenges in causal inference from observational data due to unobserved confounding.
method Proposes a neural framework (NeuralCSA) for generalized causal sensitivity analysis.
result Demonstrates theoretical and empirical validity of NeuralCSA for causal inference.

The paper investigates causal relationships in heart failure prediction using machine learning.

problem Understanding the causal relationships between clinical variables and heart failure.
method Proposes a new computational framework for causal structure discovery (CSD) of mixed-type clinical variables for binary disease outcomes.
result Feature importance from nonlinear classifiers strongly correlates with causal strength of variables, but not differentiating cause and effect.

Quantum oracles help identify counterfactuals better than classical ones.

problem Identifying unknown causal parameters in causal models.
method Using quantum oracles to query and identify all causal parameters and counterfactuals.
result Quantum oracles enable identification of all two-way joint counterfactuals and tighter bounds on higher-order counterfactuals.

Invariant Causal Set Covering Machines avoid spurious associations.

problem Learning algorithms for rule-based models are vulnerable to spurious associations.
method Building on invariant causal prediction, propose Invariant Causal Set Covering Machines for conjunctions/disjunctions of binary-valued rules.
result The method can identify causal parents of a variable of interest in polynomial time.

We pose causal inference as the problem of learning to classify probability distributions. In particular, we assume access to a collection {(Si,li)}i=1n\{(S_i,l_i)\}_{i=1}^n, where each SiS_i is a sample drawn from the probability distribution of Xi×YiX_i \times Y_i, and lil_i is a binary label indicating whether "XiYiX_i \to Y_i" or …

2015-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

DCRL learns causal relationships from mixed-type discrete data.

problem Challenges in learning causal relationships from discrete, mixed-type data.
method Generative framework modeling directed acyclic graph and sparse bipartite graph, flexible measurement models for different types of data.
result Consistent recovery of latent causal structure from observed data distribution.

Paper relaxes identifiability conditions for causal models with latent variables.

problem Challenges in identifying causal graphical models with latent variables.
method Proposes a double triangular graphical condition for nonparametric measurement models with binary latent variables.
result Guarantees identifiability of the entire causal graphical model under relaxed conditions.

Symmetric observations don't necessarily imply symmetric causal explanations.

problem Inferring causal models from observed correlations is challenging and computationally intensive.
method An explicit example using a tripartite probability distribution over binary events.
result Symmetries in observations cannot be used to reduce the hypothesis space of causal models.

New method identifies common cause in causal insufficiency, revealing complex phase transitions.

problem Identifying common cause in causal insufficiency with observed joint probability.
method Generalized maximum likelihood method, closely related to maximum entropy principle.
result Identifies consistent common cause that aligns with the common cause principle.

CausalMix generates synthetic data with causal controls for mixed-type tables.

problem Synthetic data for causal inference with mixed-type and multimodal tabular data.
method CausalMix combines Gaussian latent priors with data-type-specific decoders for control over overlap, confounding, and treatment effect heterogeneity.
result CausalMix achieves state-of-the-art distributional metrics and stable causal control.

LxCIM metric improves binary classification performance evaluation.

problem Evaluation metrics for binary classification are often not invariant to local class exchange.
method Proposes LxCIM, a rank-based metric invariant to local class exchange.
result LxCIM addresses limitations of existing metrics like AUROC.

TRAM-DAG models bridge interpretability and flexibility in causal modeling.

problem Modeling causal relationships in diverse data types while maintaining interpretability.
method Using transformation models (TRAMs) within structural causal models (SCMs) to handle various data types and maintain interpretability.
result TRAM-DAG models achieve equal or superior performance in causal queries across different levels of the causal hierarchy.

EML-CD discovers causal mechanisms from neural networks in a structured way.

problem Extracting causal mechanisms from neural network weights is ill-posed.
method Integrates EML operator into causal structure learning, representing each edge mechanism as a gated EML binary tree.
result Achieves SHD=11.2 +/- 0.4 on real data, matching or outperforming existing methods.

While correlation measures are used to discern statistical relationships between observed variables in almost all branches of data-driven scientific inquiry, what we are really interested in is the existence of causal dependence. Designing an efficient causality test, that may be carried out in the absence of restricti…

2014-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Sensitivity analysis for individualized effects in OTRs with binary risk factors.

problem Addressing omitted confounding in individualized effects of OTRs.
method Simulation-based sensitivity analysis to simulate unmeasured confounders.
result Benchmarking the strength of omitted confounding for binary risk factors.

New method learns unbiased treatment representations from structured high-dimensional data.

problem Estimating causal effects from high-dimensional, structured treatments.
method Contrastive learning approach to learn unbiased treatment representations.
result The method identifies causal factors and discards non-causal ones, leading to unbiased causal effect estimates.

Proposes a differentiable structure learning framework for general binary data.

problem Limitations of existing methods in discrete data structure learning.
method Formulates a differentiable optimization task for arbitrary dependencies in general discrete models.
result Establishes identifiability of complete set of compatible parameters and structures under mild assumptions.

Developed a flexible Bayesian g-formula for causal survival analysis with time-dependent confounding.

problem Estimating causal survival curves in longitudinal observational studies with time-varying treatments and confounding.
method Incorporated Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) into the g-formula to model time-evolving generative components and mitigate bias due to model misspecification.
result Demonstrated improved empirical performance and practical utility of the proposed method through simulations and real-world data analysis.

We propose a method to infer causal structures containing both discrete and continuous variables. The idea is to select causal hypotheses for which the conditional density of every variable, given its causes, becomes smooth. We define a family of smooth densities and conditional densities by second order exponential mo…

2009-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗