A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
ALCNN predicts bike demand patterns in new cities using multi-source geographic data.
Paper improves bike-sharing demand prediction by adapting to changing patterns.
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
This study proposes a novel Graph Convolutional Neural Network with Data-driven Graph Filter (GCNN-DDGF) model that can learn hidden heterogeneous pairwise correlations between stations to predict station-level hourly demand in a large-scale bike-sharing network. Two architectures of the GCNN-DDGF model are explored; G…
Proposes a new model for more accurate demand forecasting considering dynamic contextual information.
Proposes AtCoR for predicting bike station usage, improving station network reconfiguration.
The paper proposes a new model to better estimate demand from censored data.
Dockless bike sharing systems need effective bike flow prediction models.
This study analyzes how weather impacts bike sharing usage in Washington D.C.
One fundamental issue in managing bike sharing systems is the bike flow prediction. Due to the hardness of predicting the flow for a single station, recent research works often predict the bike flow at cluster-level. While such studies gain satisfactory prediction accuracy, they cannot directly guide some fine-grained …
Bike usage in Smart Cities becomes paramount for sustainable urban development. Cycling provides tremendous opportunities for a more healthy lifestyle, lower energy consumption and carbon emissions as well as reduction of traffic jams. While the number of cyclists increase along with the expansion of bike sharing initi…
MCD automates counterfactual design searches for multi-modal tasks.
Sub-Riemannian geometry connects bike paths to mathematical curves.
The design of personalized incentives or recommendations to improve user engagement is gaining prominence as digital platform providers continually emerge. We propose a multi-armed bandit framework for matching incentives to users, whose preferences are unknown a priori and evolving dynamically in time, in a resource c…
In urban environments, supply resources have to be constantly matched to the "right" locations (where customer demand is present) so as to improve quality of life. For instance, ambulances have to be matched to base stations regularly so as to reduce response time for emergency incidents in EMS (Emergency Management Sy…
CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.
Dataset of 4500 bicycle designs aids in design analysis and synthesis.
Paper tackles learning win-win solutions in aggregation systems.
Efficient sequential matching of supply and demand is a problem of interest in many online to offline services. For instance, Uber, Lyft, Grab for matching taxis to customers; Ubereats, Deliveroo, FoodPanda etc for matching restaurants to customers. In these online to offline service problems, individuals who are respo…
We utilize Wi-Fi communications from smartphones to predict their mobility mode, i.e. walking, biking and driving. Wi-Fi sensors were deployed at four strategic locations in a closed loop on streets in downtown Toronto. Deep neural network (Multilayer Perceptron) along with three decision tree based classifiers (Decisi…
The paper optimizes sensor selection for network time series data.
Assessment of mental workload in real-world conditions is key to ensure the performance of workers executing tasks that demand sustained attention. Previous literature has employed electroencephalography (EEG) to this end despite having observed that EEG correlates of mental workload vary across subjects and physical s…
Identifying the distribution of users' transportation modes is an essential part of travel demand analysis and transportation planning. With the advent of ubiquitous GPS-enabled devices (e.g., a smartphone), a cost-effective approach for inferring commuters' mobility mode(s) is to leverage their GPS trajectories. A maj…
Estimator improves prediction with missing data in multi-environment settings.
Paper presents LSTMMDN for hourly bike flow estimation in Copenhagen.
Demand variance can result in a mismatch between planned supply and actual demand. Demand shaping strategies such as pricing can be used to shift elastic demand to reduce the imbalance. In this work, we propose to consider elastic demand in the forecasting phase. We present a method to reallocate the historical elastic…
Modeling shared mobility demand considering supply limitations.
This master thesis focuses on practical application of Convolutional Neural Network models on the task of road labeling with bike attractivity score. We start with an abstraction of real world locations into nodes and scored edges in partially annotated dataset. We enhance information available about each edge with pho…
Demand functions for goods are generally cyclical in nature with characteristics such as trend or stochasticity. Most existing demand forecasting techniques in literature are designed to manage and forecast this type of demand functions. However, if the demand function is lumpy in nature, then the general demand foreca…
A new metric optimizes forecasts for lumpy, intermittent demand.
Paper develops deep models for forecasting intermittent demand.
Statistical arbitrageurs have inelastic demand, contrary to classical models.
Implementing a set of microeconomic criteria, we develop price dynamics equations using a function of demand/supply with key symmetry properties. The function of demand/supply can be linear or nonlinear. The type of function determines the nature of the tail of the distribution based on the randomness in the supply and…
Recommending the right products is the central problem in recommender systems, but the right products should also be recommended at the right time to meet the demands of users, so as to maximize their values. Users' demands, implying strong purchase intents, can be the most useful way to promote products sales if well …
Novel probabilistic models forecast residential heating and electricity demand at hourly resolution.
Two neural network models analyze bus system efficiency and demand.
Heat demand prediction is a prominent research topic in the area of intelligent energy networks. It has been well recognized that periodicity is one of the important characteristics of heat demand. Seasonal-trend decomposition based on LOESS (STL) algorithm can analyze the periodicity of a heat demand series, and decom…
The paper tackles ride-hailing fleet repositioning with a calibrated demand approach.
Taxi demand prediction has recently attracted increasing research interest due to its huge potential application in large-scale intelligent transportation systems. However, most of the previous methods only considered the taxi demand prediction in origin regions, but neglected the modeling of the specific situation of …
We consider a firm that sells products over periods without knowing the demand function. The firm sequentially sets prices to earn revenue and to learn the underlying demand function simultaneously. A natural heuristic for this problem, commonly used in practice, is greedy iterative least squares (GILS). At each ti…
Study on inventory control with changing demand, proposing adaptive algorithms.
Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.
Paper optimizes demand aggregation for low-level electricity markets.
MaxCOSD algorithm tackles non-i.i.d. demands and stateful dynamics in online inventory control.
Multi-step passenger demand forecasting is a crucial task in on-demand vehicle sharing services. However, predicting passenger demand over multiple time horizons is generally challenging due to the nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal dependencies. In this work, we propose to model multi-step citywide passenger deman…
The paper tackles revenue management with time-varying demand using posterior sampling.
Unified framework for intermittent demand forecasting using renewal processes.
Study shows how China's stock market reflects economic demand changes during COVID-19.