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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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143286429572 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for bias effects

We quantify causal bias in continuous treatment settings.

problem Identifying and quantifying causal bias in continuous treatment scenarios.
method Developed a novel characterization of causal bias in structural causal models, proving conditions for zero bias and efficient estimation.
result Causal bias can be estimated efficiently under certain structural equation restrictions, allowing for causal regularization of predictive models.

This paper tackles selection bias in recommender systems by considering the neighborhood effect.

problem Selection bias in recommender systems due to filtering and user selection.
method Formalizes neighborhood effect as interference problem, introduces treatment representation, and proposes ideal loss.
result Proposed methods achieve unbiased learning when both selection bias and neighborhood effect are present.

New research shows the bandwagon effect doesn't cause bias but can make estimators inconsistent.

problem The bandwagon effect in recommender systems makes estimators inconsistent.
method Theoretical analysis investigating conditions for inconsistency and proposing mitigation approaches.
result The bandwagon effect can make estimators inconsistent, not just cause bias.

New method reduces bias in estimating causal effects from discretized variables.

problem Bias in estimating causal effects from discretized continuous variables.
method Proposes a bias-reduced functional that evaluates outcome regression at within-bin conditional means.
result Demonstrates substantial bias reduction and near-nominal confidence interval coverage.

UBM transfers bias mitigation from upstream to downstream tasks efficiently.

problem Bias in fine-tuned language models across various tasks.
method Apply bias mitigation to an upstream model, then fine-tune a downstream model on this mitigated model.
result UBM effects transfer to new downstream tasks, creating less biased models.

TCFimt forecasts causal effects of multiple interventions from individual data.

problem Estimating causal effects of temporal multi-interventions from individual data.
method TCFimt uses adversarial tasks in seq2seq framework to alleviate bias and contrastive learning to decouple effects.
result TCFimt outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting future outcomes and choosing optimal treatments.

Estimates causal effects with selection bias and confounding using regression.

problem Estimating causal effects in presence of selection bias and confounding.
method Two-step regression estimator (TSR) that corrects for selection bias and accounts for confounding.
result TSR estimator reduces variance and is validated in simulations.

We consider large-scale studies in which it is of interest to test a very large number of hypotheses, and then to estimate the effect sizes corresponding to the rejected hypotheses. For instance, this setting arises in the analysis of gene expression or DNA sequencing data. However, naive estimates of the effect sizes …

2014-05-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework reduces simplicity bias in NNs, improving OOD generalization and robustness.

problem Simplicity bias in deep learning models leads to biased predictions and poor OOD generalization.
method Proposes a framework that regularizes conditional mutual information to encourage use of diverse features.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in various settings, enhancing OOD generalization and robustness.

We discovered secular trend bias in a drug effectiveness study for a recently approved drug. We compared treatment outcomes between patients who received the newly approved drug and patients exposed to the standard treatment. All patients diagnosed after the new drug's approval date were considered. We built a machine …

2018-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

SSMs have a built-in bias towards low-frequency components, which can be adjusted.

problem Frequency bias in SSMs affects their performance on long-range sequences.
method Proposed two mechanisms to tune frequency bias: scaling initialization or applying a Sobolev-norm-based filter.
result Tuning frequency bias improves SSMs' performance on long-range sequence learning tasks.

A new estimator reduces bias and improves efficiency for staggered adoption studies.

problem Bias in difference-in-differences estimates for staggered adoption studies.
method Fused Extended Two-Way Fixed Effects (FETWFE) estimator with automatic parameter selection.
result FETWFE identifies correct restrictions with probability tending to one, improving efficiency.

Machine learning models predict brain age with systematic bias, corrected in this study.

problem Systematic bias in machine learning regression models for brain age prediction.
method General constrained optimization approach to correct bias.
result Our method effectively eliminates the bias from brain age predictions.

New theory shows how learning algorithms can create a bias towards negative outcomes.

problem Negativity bias in adaptive learning algorithms.
method Generalization of the Hot Stove Effect to settings with negative estimates leading to smaller sample sizes.
result Negativity bias persists even when negative estimates do not lead to avoidance.

New method removes interference bias in causal models.

problem Interference bias impedes causal effect identification in real-world settings.
method Novel definition of causal models with local interference, semi-parametric assumptions.
result True Average Causal Effect can be identified in certain semi-parametric models with local interference.

Confounding bias, missing data, and selection bias are three common obstacles to valid causal inference in the data sciences. Covariate adjustment is the most pervasive technique for recovering casual effects from confounding bias. In this paper, we introduce a covariate adjustment formulation for controlling confoundi…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

A neural framework corrects bias in estimating individual treatment effects.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data.
method An anchored neural architecture and precision-corrected intersection-bound inference.
result Corrected bias and maintained nominal coverage in high-dimensional settings.

Noise affects the effectiveness of interpolating models, especially those with strong inductive biases.

problem The impact of noise on interpolating models with strong inductive biases.
method Analyzing linear and classification models with sparse ground truths, proving fast rates for interpolators.
result Strong inductive biases can lead to faster but noisier interpolators, contrary to intuition.

This paper addresses external validity bias in causal inference.

problem Estimating causal effects in a target population.
method Synthesis of approaches for generalizability and transportability, including tests for heterogeneity of treatment effects and differences between study and target populations.
result Framework for addressing external validity bias in causal inference.

Proposes bounds on bias from low-dimensional representations in CATE estimation.

problem Bias in CATE estimation due to low-dimensional representations.
method Proposes a refutation framework to estimate bounds on representation-induced confounding bias.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of refutation framework in practice.

CFR-Pro enhances treatment effect estimation by incorporating local proximity.

problem Treatment selection bias in HTE estimation from observational data.
method Proximity-enhanced CounterFactual Regression (CFR-Pro) with pair-wise proximity regularizer and subspace projector.
result Significantly outperforms competitors in HTE estimation accuracy.

BICauseTree improves causal effect estimation by identifying clusters and balancing treatment allocation.

problem Improving interpretability and transparency in causal effect models from observational data.
method Hierarchical bias-driven stratification using decision trees with a customized objective function.
result BICauseTree provides interpretable causal effect estimation and is comparable to existing methods.

New framework minimizes interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.

problem Interference and selection bias in network A/B testing.
method Proposes a principled framework that jointly minimizes interference and selection bias using edge spillover probability and cluster matching.
result Significantly lower error in causal effect estimation compared to existing solutions.

Study measures gender bias in machine translation using multiple reference points.

problem Measuring and identifying gender bias in machine translation.
method Used an optimal non-biased translator, reference points from occupational statistics and survey.
result Found bias against both genders, but more against women, and found occupations have a greater effect than adjectives.

Study data biases to predict algorithmic discrimination, developing a Data Bias Profile.

problem Data biases contribute to algorithmic discrimination, but their impact is understudied.
method Analyzed three common data biases across various datasets and models, developing a Data Bias Profile.
result Combination of proxies and label bias can lead to more significant discrimination than underrepresentation alone.

With recent advances in high throughput technology, researchers often find themselves running a large number of hypothesis tests (thousands+) and esti- mating a large number of effect-sizes. Generally there is particular interest in those effects estimated to be most extreme. Unfortunately naive estimates of these effe…

2013-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Anonymizing company names in financial news improves trading performance, contrary to initial expectations.

problem Look-ahead and distraction biases in sentiment analysis of financial news.
method Investigated trading strategies based on original and anonymized headlines, comparing performance.
result Anonymized headlines outperform original in-sample, suggesting distraction effect is stronger.

Over the past two decades, the notion of implicit bias has come to serve as an important component in our understanding of discrimination in activities such as hiring, promotion, and school admissions. Research on implicit bias posits that when people evaluate others -- for example, in a hiring context -- their unconsc…

2018-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

VTD uses deep embeddings to estimate treatment effects from longitudinal data without unconfoundedness assumption.

problem Challenges in estimating individualized treatment effects from longitudinal observational data due to confounding bias.
method Leverages deep variational embeddings and observed proxies to learn hidden confounders.
result Effective in estimating treatment effects when hidden confounding is the leading bias.

Heteroskedasticity biases uplift model rankings, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.

problem Bias in uplift model rankings due to heteroskedasticity.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation on real-world data.
result Heteroskedasticity can cause individuals with high treatment effects to be ranked at the bottom, leading to inefficient treatment allocation.

Paper tackles exposure bias in recommender systems using contrastive learning.

problem Exposure bias in large-scale recommender systems.
method Contrastive learning to reduce exposure bias via inverse propensity weighting.
result Contrastive learning effectively reduces exposure bias in recommender systems.

Paper analyzes how present-bias affects carbon emissions and proposes a method to mitigate it.

problem Present-bias impacts carbon emission patterns towards a net zero target.
method Stochastic control techniques adapted from insurance risk theory.
result Higher present-bias leads to excess emissions, and carbon taxes can reduce emissions but beyond a certain point have diminishing returns.

Study improves unbiased recommender learning by addressing missing-reward bias.

problem Data bias caused by missing-reward observations in recommender systems.
method Proposes a novel estimator using propensity scores to mitigate both position and reward bias.
result The proposed estimator outperforms other methods, even with increased reward observation bias.

A new method corrects weight values to improve treatment effect estimation.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in high-dimensional data with sample selection bias.
method Differentiable Pareto-Smoothed Weighting (DPSW) framework.
result Our method outperforms existing methods in treatment effect estimation.

Boundary effects inflate variance in Gaussian processes, leading to acquisition bias.

problem Boundary-induced acquisition bias in Gaussian processes.
method Traced root cause to geometric mechanism of kernel truncation at domain boundaries.
result Boundary effects create distortion that worsens with dimensionality, affecting acquisition behavior.