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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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108215323430 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for beta process

Proposes logistic-beta process for modeling dependent probabilities with beta marginals.

problem Limited work on flexible and computationally convenient stochastic process extensions for dependent random probabilities.
method Introduces logistic-beta process with logistic transformation and beta marginals, capable of modeling dependence in discrete and continuous domains.
result Logistic-beta processes enable effective posterior inference and design of computationally tractable dependent Bayesian nonparametric models.

The beta-Bernoulli process provides a Bayesian nonparametric prior for models involving collections of binary-valued features. A draw from the beta process yields an infinite collection of probabilities in the unit interval, and a draw from the Bernoulli process turns these into binary-valued features. Recent work has …

2011-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A beta-negative binomial (BNB) process is proposed, leading to a beta-gamma-Poisson process, which may be viewed as a "multi-scoop" generalization of the beta-Bernoulli process. The BNB process is augmented into a beta-gamma-gamma-Poisson hierarchical structure, and applied as a nonparametric Bayesian prior for an infi…

2011-12-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We characterize the combinatorial structure of conditionally-i.i.d. sequences of negative binomial processes with a common beta process base measure. In Bayesian nonparametric applications, such processes have served as models for latent multisets of features underlying data. Analogously, random subsets arise from cond…

2013-12-31abs ↗pdf ↗

BKP R package models spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.

problem Modeling spatially varying binomial probabilities efficiently.
method Beta Kernel Process (BKP) combining localized kernel-weighted likelihoods with conjugate beta priors.
result Closed-form posterior inference without requiring latent variables or intensive MCMC sampling.

We develop a Bayesian nonparametric approach to a general family of latent class problems in which individuals can belong simultaneously to multiple classes and where each class can be exhibited multiple times by an individual. We introduce a combinatorial stochastic process known as the negative binomial process (NBP)…

2011-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to the problem of jointly modeling multiple related time series. Our approach is based on the discovery of a set of latent, shared dynamical behaviors. Using a beta process prior, the size of the set and the sharing pattern are both inferred from data. We develop efficient M…

2011-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The seemingly disjoint problems of count and mixture modeling are united under the negative binomial (NB) process. A gamma process is employed to model the rate measure of a Poisson process, whose normalization provides a random probability measure for mixture modeling and whose marginalization leads to an NB process f…

2012-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

While most Bayesian nonparametric models in machine learning have focused on the Dirichlet process, the beta process, or their variants, the gamma process has recently emerged as a useful nonparametric prior in its own right. Current inference schemes for models involving the gamma process are restricted to MCMC-based …

2014-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently models categorical data with low to medium class overlap, improving accuracy over standard distributions.

problem Poor parameter estimates and accuracy in multinomial and Dirichlet multinomial distributions when assumptions are violated.
method Introduces Beta-Liouville multinomial distribution and efficient estimation methods.
result Beta-Liouville multinomial outperforms standard distributions on two out of four datasets.

The paper improves conformal prediction by analyzing the beta law of conditional coverage.

problem Improving finite-sample marginal coverage guarantees for non-i.i.d. data.
method The method uses Wasserstein distances to quantify deviations from the beta law of conditional coverage.
result The framework provides direct bounds on marginal coverage gaps and bad-calibration probabilities.

We define the beta diffusion tree, a random tree structure with a set of leaves that defines a collection of overlapping subsets of objects, known as a feature allocation. A generative process for the tree structure is defined in terms of particles (representing the objects) diffusing in some continuous space, analogou…

2014-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines time-varying betas and their volatility in bank interest income and expense margins.

problem Understanding the variability of bank betas and their impact on net interest margins.
method Used state-space methods to estimate time-varying betas and conditional volatility.
result Substantial variation in interest income and expense betas, leading to varying net interest margin coefficients.

We propose a Monte Carlo simulation method to generate stress tests by VaR scenarios under Solvency II for dependent risks on the basis of observed data. This is of particular interest for the construction of Internal Models and requirements on evaluation processes formulated in the Commission Delegated Regulation. The…

2018-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop constructions for exchangeable sequences of point processes that are rendered conditionally-i.i.d. negative binomial processes by a (possibly unknown) random measure called the base measure. Negative binomial processes are useful in Bayesian nonparametrics as models for random multisets, and in applications …

2019-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explores portfolio management strategies to maximize alpha and minimize beta.

problem Maximizing returns while minimizing risk in investment portfolios.
method Examines asset allocation, diversification, active management, and risk management strategies.
result Combining these strategies optimizes portfolio performance.

We introduce the stochastic multiplicative point process modelling trading activity of financial markets. Such a model system exhibits power-law spectral density S(f) ~ 1/f**beta, scaled as power of frequency for various values of beta between 0.5 and 2. Furthermore, we analyze the relation between the power-law autoco…

2004-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes GPCA module for channel attention in CNNs using Gaussian processes.

problem Improving performance in visual tasks through effective channel selection.
method Integrates Gaussian processes into channel attention mechanisms for probabilistic modeling of channel correlations.
result Demonstrates improved performance of GPCA module in end-to-end CNN training.

Machine learning improves beta forecasts, enhancing equity valuation and portfolio performance.

problem Improving beta forecasts for better equity valuation and portfolio performance.
method Using machine learning on a large cross-section of US stocks with various firm characteristics.
result Machine learning improves out-of-sample performance of asymmetric beta measures.

In this paper, the geometric meaning of (alpha,beta)-norms is made clear. On this basis, we introduce a new class of Finsler metrics called general (alpha,beta)-metrics, which are defined by a Riemannian metric and an 1-form. These metrics not only generalize original (alpha,beta)-metrics naturally, but also include so…

2012-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Beta-SOD detects and corrects noisy object re-identification using cosine similarity and Beta mixtures.

problem Noisy object re-identification in image datasets.
method Reframed Re-ID as a similarity task, using Siamese networks and Beta mixture models.
result Superior performance in noisy conditions compared to state-of-the-art methods.

We present a reactive beta model that includes the leverage effect to allow hedge fund managers to target a near-zero beta for market neutral strategies. For this purpose, we derive a metric of correlation with leverage effect to identify the relation between the market beta and volatility changes. An empirical test ba…

2019-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This is a short description of graphic lambda calculus, with special emphasis on a duality suggested by the two different appearances of knot diagrams, in lambda calculus and emergent algebra sectors of the graphic lambda calculus respectively. This duality leads to the introduction of the dual of the graphic beta move…

2013-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.

problem Interim decisions based on current dose data may overlook signals from neighboring doses.
method Bayesian model-assisted design using Beta kernel process with kernel-weighted pseudo-counts.
result Significant improvements in identifying maximum tolerated dose and safety.

Bayesian Beta regression for proportions in high dimensions with theoretical guarantees.

problem Modeling bounded continuous responses in high-dimensional settings with theoretical guarantees.
method Proposes a Bayesian approach using a tempered posterior with Horseshoe prior for shrinkage and variable selection.
result Demonstrates improved estimation accuracy and model interpretability in high-dimensional scenarios.

We describe the underlying probabilistic interpretation of alpha and beta divergences. We first show that beta divergences are inherently tied to Tweedie distributions, a particular type of exponential family, known as exponential dispersion models. Starting from the variance function of a Tweedie model, we outline how…

2012-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study explores geometric structure and prior for beta-logistic distribution.

problem Understanding the geometric structure and prior distributions of the beta-logistic distribution.
method Exploring dual geometric structure and uncovering α\alpha-parallel prior.
result The beta-logistic distribution admits an α\alpha-parallel prior for any real number α\alpha.

Unified framework for scale-invariant representation learning using MAPCA.

problem Learning invariant representations in data.
method Metric-Aware Principal Component Analysis (MAPCA) based on generalized eigenproblem.
result MAPCA provides a unified geometric language for various self-supervised learning objectives.