Analyzes stock trends and e-commerce user behavior using Twitter data.
problem Understanding the relationship between stock prices, stock news, and e-commerce user behavior.
method Cross-domain analysis using Hadoop, Hive, and Tableau on three datasets.
result Identified correlations between stock sentiment, stock trends, and e-commerce user behavior.
LISBET automates social behavior analysis using machine learning.
problem Manual annotation of social behaviors is time-consuming, biased, and misses subtle interactions.
method Self-supervised learning on body tracking data.
result Automated detection and segmentation of social interactions.
The paper analyzes how behavioral investors make portfolio decisions using Markowitz Stochastic Dominance criteria.
problem Understanding how behavioral investors make portfolio decisions.
method Developed stochastic optimization problems and MILP models to capture subjective decision weights and probability weighting functions.
result The developed models can be used to formulate computationally tractable portfolio analysis problems.
First ABAW 2020 Competition analyzes affective behavior tasks.
problem Automatic analysis of valence-arousal, basic expressions, and action units in real-world scenarios.
method Provided Aff-Wild2 database, described Challenges, evaluation metrics, and top-performing systems.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of automatic affective behavior analysis in real-world settings.
COHORTNEY groups web users based on activity patterns.
problem Lack of academic discussion on cohort analysis for user behavior.
method Unsupervised non-parametric machine learning approach.
result COHORTNEY outperforms traditional methods in cohort analysis.
Study explores factors influencing saving behavior among Dhaka employees.
problem Factors influencing saving behavior among Dhaka employees.
method Quantitative approach with cross-sectional survey design, structured questionnaire, descriptive statistics, reliability analysis, regression analysis.
result Only financial management practices had a significant positive relationship with saving behavior.
Young investors, especially students, dominate Indonesian stock exchanges.
problem Investment behavior of young and rookie investors in the stock market.
method Qualitative approach with descriptive analysis and interviews.
result Perception of behavioral control influences investment decisions.
Empirical study shows carriers ignore past shippers' behavior, focusing only on current actions.
problem Opportunistic behavior by shippers and carriers in dynamic freight markets.
method Empirical analysis of carrier reciprocity in US truckload transportation sector.
result Carriers do not remember shippers' past behaviors but respond to current actions.
Over the last few years, traffic data has been exploding and the transportation discipline has entered the era of big data. It brings out new opportunities for doing data-driven analysis, but it also challenges traditional analytic methods. This paper proposes a new Divide and Combine based approach to do K means clust…
Gold prices show seasonal behavior, with January and July having opposite returns.
problem Seasonal behavior in gold prices during the turn of the year.
method Statistical analysis and decomposition techniques.
result Gold prices exhibit strong cyclical behavior during the turn-of-the-year period, with January showing the highest return and July showing significant negative returns.
New method learns behavioral representations from mobility data.
problem Analyzing behavioral similarity of moving individuals from CDR trajectories.
method mob2vec framework combining segmentation, generalization, and unsupervised learning.
result Mob2vec generates low-dimensional vector representations preserving mobility behavior similarities.
A new oscillator measures trending behavior of financial instruments.
problem Detecting underlying deterministic components in financial market prices.
method Financial market geometry and tube oscillator derived from past history.
result Simple trading strategy based on tube oscillator leads to consistent positive returns.
This paper presents a stochastic behavior analysis of a kernel-based stochastic restricted-gradient descent method. The restricted gradient gives a steepest ascent direction within the so-called dictionary subspace. The analysis provides the transient and steady state performance in the mean squared error criterion. It…
HA-SME models SGD dynamics with Hessian info for better escaping behaviors.
problem Capturing the escaping behaviors of SGD from stationary points.
method HA-SME, a novel SDE with Hessian info in drift and diffusion.
result HA-SME achieves best approximation error and recovers SGD dynamics for quadratics.
New framework analyzes pre-stock jump trading behaviors using multivariate time series analysis.
problem Understanding micro-trading behaviors before stock price jumps.
method Multivariate time series analysis considering temporal information.
result Identifies highly informative attributes for predicting price jumps.
Herd behavior is an important economic phenomenon, especially in the context of the recent financial crises. In this paper, herd behavior in global stock markets is investigated with a focus on intercontinental comparison. Since most existing herd behavior indices do not provide a comparative method, we propose a new h…
Paper uses RL for high-level character control in 3D environments.
problem Creating intelligent characters with generalizable behavior.
method Combines traditional animations, heuristics, and reinforcement learning.
result Demonstrates learning of complex behaviors in a 3D environment.
Study evaluates five LLMs for financial report analysis, revealing performance differences and variability.
problem Lack of understanding in reliability, consistency, and transparency of LLMs in financial analysis.
method Human evaluation, automated similarity metrics, and behavioral diagnostics applied to five transformer-based LLMs over U.S. 10-K filings.
result No single LLM consistently dominates across all evaluation perspectives, highlighting variability and need for interpretability.
This study uses Twitter to analyze traveler behavior in Manhattan.
problem Analyzing traveler behavior using social media data.
method Systematic method to extract displacement information from geo-tagged tweets.
result Twitter reveals unique demographics and travel behavior patterns.
This study investigates the potential effects of different Dynamic Message Signs (DMSs) on driver behavior using a full-scale high-fidelity driving simulator. Different DMSs are categorized by their content, structure, and type of messages. A random forest algorithm is used for three separate behavioral analyses; a rou…
We analyze the Bombay stock exchange (BSE) price index over the period of last 12 years. Keeping in mind the large fluctuations in last few years, we carefully find out the transient, non-statistical and locally structured variations. For that purpose, we make use of Daubechies wavelet and characterize the fractal beha…
Study uses contrastive learning to analyze market order behavior.
problem Understanding diverse market order behaviors.
method Self-supervised learning with triplet loss for order representation.
result Identified distinct behavior types using K-means clustering.
We discuss social network analysis from the perspective of economics. We organize the presentaion around the theme of externalities: the effects that one's behavior has on others' well-being. Externalities underlie the interdependencies that make networks interesting. We discuss network formation, as well as interactio…
Most multi-class classifiers make their prediction for a test sample by scoring the classes and selecting the one with the highest score. Analyzing these prediction scores is useful to understand the classifier behavior and to assess its reliability. We present an interactive visualization that facilitates per-class an…
Theoretical analysis improves understanding of Deep Q-Learning's behavior.
problem Lack of formal guarantees and gaps between theory and practice of Deep Q-Learning.
method Dynamical systems perspective, focusing on realistic assumptions.
result Proves convergence of Deep Q-Learning under specific conditions.
Empirical analysis serves as an important complement to theoretical analysis for studying practical Bayesian optimization. Often empirical insights expose strengths and weaknesses inaccessible to theoretical analysis. We define two metrics for comparing the performance of Bayesian optimization methods and propose a ran…
We use a generalization of the Gibbons-Hawking ansatz to study the behavior of certain non-compact Calabi-Yau manifolds in the large complex structure limit. This analysis provides an intermediate step toward proving the metric collapse conjecture for toric hypersurfaces and complete intersections.
We consider a novel application of inverse reinforcement learning with behavioral economics constraints to model, learn and predict the commenting behavior of YouTube viewers. Each group of users is modeled as a rationally inattentive Bayesian agent which solves a contextual bandit problem. Our methodology integrates t…
We perform a rescaling analysis to analyze the future behavior of a class of T2-symmetric vacuum spacetimes. We show that on the universal cover, there is C0-convergence to a spatially homogeneous spacetime that does not satisfy the vacuum Einstein equations.
In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties and cyclical behavior of the three types of stock market indexes (SMI) time series: data belonging to stock markets of developed economies, emerging economies, and of the underdeveloped or transitional economies. We have used two techniques of data analysis to obtain an…
Multimodal analysis assesses job interview performance and provides feedback.
problem Assessing candidate performance in interviews for professional roles.
method Multimodal analytical framework using video, audio, and text data.
result The proposed methodology achieved promising results in predicting behavioral cues.
This paper uses SDEs to analyze GANs training and long-run behavior.
problem Understanding the training process and long-run behavior of GANs.
method Established SDE approximations for GANs training and analyzed long-run behavior via invariant measures.
result The long-run behavior of GANs training can be studied via the invariant measures of its SDE approximations.
In manifold learning, algorithms based on graph Laplacians constructed from data have received considerable attention both in practical applications and theoretical analysis. In particular, the convergence of graph Laplacians obtained from sampled data to certain continuous operators has become an active research topic…
This paper investigates asymptotic behaviors of gradient descent algorithms (particularly accelerated gradient descent and stochastic gradient descent) in the context of stochastic optimization arising in statistics and machine learning where objective functions are estimated from available data. We show that these alg…
Empirical time series of inter-event or waiting times are investigated using a modified Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis operating on fluctuations of mean detrended dynamics. The core of the extended multifractal analysis is the non-monotonic behavior of the generalized Hurst exponent h(q) -- the fundament…
The paper analyzes optimal execution strategies for traders with inventory processes influenced by Brownian motion.
problem Optimal execution strategies for traders with inventory processes influenced by Brownian motion.
method Statistical tests and empirical analysis of intra-day data from the Toronto Stock Exchange.
result Empirical evidence supports the presence of a non-zero Brownian motion component in inventories and wealth processes.
Improved probabilistic forecasts using behavioral transformations.
problem Improving accuracy and consistency of probabilistic asset price forecasts.
method Behavioral transformation of fundamental expectations to disentangle sentiment-induced biases.
result Substantial forecast gains across various models and risk-preferences.
Stochastic stability is a popular solution concept for stochastic learning dynamics in games. However, a critical limitation of this solution concept is its inability to distinguish between different learning rules that lead to the same steady-state behavior. We address this limitation for the first time and develop a …
Paper develops a framework for learning interpretable representations of sequential decision behavior.
problem Obtaining a transparent description of existing behavior.
method Inverse decision modeling framework, formalizing both forward and inverse problems.
result Learning interpretable representations of behavior, including suboptimal actions, biased beliefs, and imperfect knowledge.
In this paper we have analyzed scaling properties of time series of stock market indices (SMIs) of developing economies of Western Balkans, and have compared the results we have obtained with the results from more developed economies. We have used three different techniques of data analysis to obtain and verify our fin…
We develop a framework for analyzing extreme values in correlated financial data.
problem Quantifying and mitigating risk in complex financial systems.
method Developed a practical framework for handling finite, multivariate, and correlated time series in finance.
result We successfully analyze high-frequency stock returns using univariate extreme value tools.
Paper finds significant impact of stock market swings on equity risk premium predictability.
problem Predicting equity risk premium based on stock market behavior changes.
method Introduced Bullish Index and used FDMAA for returns analysis; considered 28 indicators.
result Positive shocks in Bullish Index correlate with strong equity risk premium predictability for up to six months, while negative shocks correlate for up to nine months.
The paper provides theoretical guarantees for behavior cloning using generative models.
problem Behavior cloning of complex expert demonstrations using generative models.
method The paper proposes a theoretical framework invoking low-level controllers to stabilize imitation around expert demonstrations. It shows that with suitable low-level stability guarantees and powerful generative models, pure supervised behavior cloning can match expert trajectories.
result The paper proves that with a suitable low-level stability guarantee and a powerful enough generative model, pure supervised behavior cloning can generate trajectories matching the per-time step distribution of essentially arbitrary expert trajectories in an optimal transport cost.
Two-stream model recognizes affect from audio and video.
problem Human affect recognition in real-world settings.
method Two-stream aural-visual analysis model with separate audio and visual processing.
result Model achieves promising results on Aff-Wild2 database.
Study examines how balancing methods affect model behavior in imbalanced classification problems.
problem Impact of balancing methods on model behavior in imbalanced classification problems.
method Used Explainable Artificial Intelligence tools (variable importance method, partial dependence profile, accumulated local effects) to compare model behavior before and after balancing.
result Significant changes in model behavior due to balancing methods, leading to biased models.
Study evaluates clustering methods for Google Trends data.
problem Clustering high-dimensional, noisy time series data.
method Symbolic Aggregate Approximation (SAX), Enhanced SAX (eSAX), and Topological Data Analysis (TDA).
result TDA provides more balanced and meaningful groupings than SAX and eSAX.
MLDS dataset reveals hidden model behavior via weight-space analysis.
problem Neural networks' opacity makes them hard to evaluate.
method Presented MLDS dataset of trained neural networks.
result Weight-space analysis reveals meaningful divergence with small changes in training data.
The 1/3 Financial Rule helps prevent household bankruptcy through balanced spending, savings, and debt repayment.
problem Reducing household bankruptcy risk through effective financial planning.
method Mathematical modeling, game theory, behavioral finance, and technological analysis.
result The 1/3 Financial Rule emerges as a robust solution for supporting household financial stability.