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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for base variable

The causal discovery of Bayesian networks is an active and important research area, and it is based upon searching the space of causal models for those which can best explain a pattern of probabilistic dependencies shown in the data. However, some of those dependencies are generated by causal structures involving varia…

2016-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new variable importance measure for DRFs detects broader impacts on output distributions.

problem Estimating full conditional distributions of multivariate outputs given inputs.
method Based on the drop and relearn principle and MMD distance.
result Consistent and high-performing variable importance measure for DRFs.

This work explores variably scaled kernels to improve non-stationary Gaussian processes.

problem Limited ability of stationary kernels to represent heterogeneous correlation structures.
method Introduces variably scaled kernels to modify correlation structures explicitly.
result Improved reconstruction accuracy and better uncertainty estimates for non-stationary data.

Proposes a new variable grouping approach to improve Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) performance.

problem Improving the predictive performance of BART by reducing nonlinear interactions.
method Variable grouping to identify and separate variables into groups with no nonlinear interactions.
result The proposed GBART method significantly outperforms classical approaches in synthetic and real data experiments.

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

The study examines how market trade randomness influences price and return volatility.

problem The accuracy of predicting market-based volatilities and macroeconomic variables is limited.
method Analyzes time series of trade values and volumes, and develops econometric methodologies for predicting volatilities.
result Current macroeconomic models underestimate the accuracy of predicting market-based volatilities and macroeconomic variables.

The paper shows how neural networks with less decision boundary variability generalize better.

problem Improving neural network generalizability by reducing decision boundary variability.
method Introduces new measures (algorithm DB variability and (ε,η)(ε, η)-data DB variability) to quantify decision boundary variability and proves theoretical bounds on generalizability.
result Neural networks with lower decision boundary variability have better generalizability, as shown by extensive experiments and theoretical bounds.

Proposes a gradient-based variable selection method for binary classification in RKHS.

problem Variable selection in high-dimensional data analysis.
method Gradient-based representation of large-margin classifier with group-lasso penalty.
result Selection consistency and risk bound of the estimated classifier.

MVRSM optimizes expensive functions with mixed variables, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

problem Minimizing expensive functions with mixed continuous and integer variables.
method Mixed-Variable ReLU-based Surrogate Modelling (MVRSM) using rectified linear units.
result MVRSM outperforms state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real-life benchmarks.

RI-based variable ranking and selection outperforms lasso in high-dimensional datasets.

problem Challenges in variable selection and model creation with correlated predictors.
method RI measures for feature ranking and selection, including CRI.Z.
result RI-based methods outperform lasso in high-dimensional datasets, especially with correlated predictors.

Model-based clustering is a popular approach for clustering multivariate data which has seen applications in numerous fields. Nowadays, high-dimensional data are more and more common and the model-based clustering approach has adapted to deal with the increasing dimensionality. In particular, the development of variabl…

2017-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore some variables that are poor in prediction but are critical for decision-making…

2014-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Shapley Value method for better model interpretation.

problem Misunderstanding and incorrect interpretation of Shapley Values in machine learning models.
method Identification of null and active coalitions, coalitional Shapley Value computation.
result Correct computation and inference of important variables using Shapley Values.

In this paper, we propose a variable selection method for general nonparametric kernel-based estimation. The proposed method consists of two-stage estimation: (1) construct a consistent estimator of the target function, (2) approximate the estimator using a few variables by l1-type penalized estimation. We see that the…

2018-06-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for variable selection in model-based clustering with missing data.

problem Challenges in identifying relevant variables and handling missing data in model-based clustering.
method Unified framework incorporating a data-driven penalty matrix and a mechanism for missingness modeling.
result Achieves both asymptotic consistency and selection consistency in the presence of missing data.

Deep Bayesian neural networks effectively select variables with rigorous uncertainty quantification.

problem High-dimensional variable selection with uncertainty.
method Developed new Bayesian non-parametric theorems for deep BNNs.
result BNNs can learn variable importance effectively in high dimensions and rigorously quantify uncertainty.

SADCBO optimizes contextual variables by balancing relevance and cost.

problem Optimizing contextual variables with varying costs and unknown relevance.
method Adaptive selection of relevant contextual variables using sensitivity analysis and early stopping.
result Consistent improvement in optimization across various examples.

VC-PCR improves prediction by clustering correlated variables.

problem Decreased prediction accuracy due to cluster structure in predictor variables.
method Supervised variable selection and clustering to integrate cluster information into a sparse modeling process.
result VC-PCR achieves better prediction, variable selection, and clustering performance.

Random forests can be slow or inconsistent in certain models.

problem Performance issues of random forests in specific data-generating models.
method Intuitive arguments and numerical experiments, combined with variable use and importance statistics.
result Simple methods can create a better predictor using a forced random forest.

ABM automates feature engineering and variable selection for loss-based models.

problem Improving model performance through better feature engineering and variable selection.
method ABM uses group and fused lasso regularization to automatically select cutting points and variables.
result ABM integrates feature engineering, variable selection, and model training.

New method reduces high-dimensional data to key features.

problem Challenges of high-dimensional data analysis and interpretability.
method Randomized search to produce subspaces, ensemble of models for variable selection.
result Outperforms existing methods in prediction and variable selection.

We propose a method that performs anomaly detection and localisation within heterogeneous data using a pairwise undirected mixed graphical model. The data are a mixture of categorical and quantitative variables, and the model is learned over a dataset that is supposed not to contain any anomaly. We then use the model o…

2016-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose multi-variable LSTM capable of accurate forecasting and variable importance interpretation for time series with exogenous variables. Current attention mechanism in recurrent neural networks mostly focuses on the temporal aspect of data and falls short of characterizing variable importance. To …

2018-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a new method for decision trees using categorical variable structure.

problem Lack of structure in treating categorical variables as predictors.
method Introduces a mathematical framework to represent categorical structure and generalizes decision trees to utilize this structure.
result Improves prediction accuracy on weather data using the new method.

Two Bayesian optimization methods tackle dynamic design spaces with mixed variables.

problem Optimizing complex systems with varying numbers and types of variables and constraints.
method Two Bayesian optimization approaches: budget allocation and kernel function.
result Both methods converge faster and more consistently than standard approaches.

Study on NNs for forecasting time series with novel control variable combinations.

problem Forecast future time series with novel combinations of control variables.
method Modular NN architecture with inductive bias for independence of control variables.
result Modular NN architecture improves forecasting of dependent variables up to large horizons.

New gradient estimators for discrete variables improve model training.

problem Training models with discrete latent variables is challenging due to high gradient variance.
method Introduced novel gradient estimators based on importance sampling and statistical couplings, extending to categorical variables.
result Proposed gradient estimators outperform previous methods in systematic experiments.

Proposes SVI for covariate-shift generalization with sparse variable independence.

problem Covariate-shift generalization with limited data and unstable variables.
method Introduces sparsity constraint and combines reweighting and selection in an iterative way.
result Improves covariate-shift generalization performance on synthetic and real-world datasets.

DualIV simplifies non-linear IV regression via dual formulation.

problem Non-linear instrumental variable regression with potential first-stage regression bottleneck.
method Dual formulation of non-linear IV regression as a convex-concave saddle-point problem, leading to a kernel-based algorithm with analytic solution.
result Empirical results show competitive performance compared to existing algorithms.

Proposes a non-convex optimization method for a parsimonious weighted naive Bayes classifier.

problem Improving naïve Bayes classifier performance with a large number of input variables.
method Sparse regularization of model log-likelihood for direct estimation of variable weights.
result Optimization-based weighted naïve Bayes classifiers achieve equivalent performance to averaging-based classifiers.