A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study finds strict collection policies improve portfolio quality of microfinance banks.
Study shows how macroprudential policies affect credit growth in Israel, especially in housing and business sectors.
Examines how central bank policies affect stock markets and asset prices.
This paper analyzes how banking risks spread through sentiment and policy shocks.
Effective risk control must make a tradeoff between the microprudential risk of exogenous shocks to individual institutions and the macroprudential risks caused by their systemic interactions. We investigate a simple dynamical model for understanding this tradeoff, consisting of a bank with a leverage target and an unl…
The study classifies policy announcements' impact on stock market volatility.
Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.
We consider a model of contagion in financial networks recently introduced in the literature, and we characterize the effect of a few features empirically observed in real networks on the stability of the system. Notably, we consider the effect of heterogeneous degree distributions, heterogeneous balance sheet size and…
We present a broad agenda for meaningful banking regulation reform aiming the creation of evolutive competitive environment to maximize the effectiveness of international financial system through the introduction of fair competition process among the banks in free market capitalism. We assume that the international fin…
We extend in a minimal way the stylized model introduced in in "Tipping Points in Macroeconomic Agent Based Models" [JEDC 50, 29-61 (2015)], with the aim of investigating the role and efficacy of monetary policy of a `Central Bank' that sets the interest rate such as to steer the economy towards a prescribed inflation …
Unified framework deciphers global central bank communications.
Optimal bailout policies identified for financial institutions using AI.
We use a simple agent based model of value investors in financial markets to test three credit regulation policies. The first is the unregulated case, which only imposes limits on maximum leverage. The second is Basle II and the third is a hypothetical alternative in which banks perfectly hedge all of their leverage-in…
Central bank optimizes bailout cash injection to limit defaults.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
Optimizes bank capital structure under Basel III constraints, simplifying complex dynamics.
The paper discusses fairness in bank stress tests, comparing various methods to address institutional differences.
Central banks play a key role in promoting sustainable finance.
Italian banks use swaps to hedge against rising interest rates, offsetting losses on debt securities.
Reinforcement learning has become one of the best approach to train a computer game emulator capable of human level performance. In a reinforcement learning approach, an optimal value function is learned across a set of actions, or decisions, that leads to a set of states giving different rewards, with the objective to…
Agents buy and sell services. All services are of equal quality. Buyers choose sellers at random. Monetary and fiscal policies are imposed by a central bank and a central government. Credit is supplied by a commercial banking system. Propensities to buy, sell, and lend depend on account balances, interest rates, tax ra…
We consider a model of financial contagion in a bipartite network of assets and banks recently introduced in the literature, and we study the effect of power law distributions of degree and balance-sheet size on the stability of the system. Relative to the benchmark case of banks with homogeneous degrees and balance-sh…
The 2008 financial crisis revealed banking consolidation paradoxically increased systemic fragility and global financial contagion with negligible spatial decay.
Selecting the best policy to keep the balance between what a company holds in cash and what is placed in alternative investments is by no means straightforward. We here introduce PyCaMa, a Python module for multiobjective cash management based on linear programming that allows to derive optimal policies for cash manage…
Paper proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.
Study examines time-varying betas and their volatility in bank interest income and expense margins.
Study examines European banks' digital transformation strategies.
Tabular Q-learning outperforms advanced RL methods in monetary policy.
This survey explores causal inference in banking, finance, and insurance.
The paper discusses the role of monetary policy when potential output depends on the inflation rate. If the intention of the central bank is to maximize actual output growth, then it has to be credibly committed to a strict inflation targeting rule, and to take the MOGIR (the Maximizing Output Growth Inflation Rate) as…
We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The Value-at-Risk constraint implies that when perceived risk is low, leverage is high…
We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network connections. Credit interlinkages among agents are a source of bankruptcy diffusion…
Network analysis reveals distinct financial relationships among Euro Area banks.
Algorithmic stablecoins optimize monetary policy to balance price stability.
The financial crisis clearly illustrated the importance of characterizing the level of 'systemic' risk associated with an entire credit network, rather than with single institutions. However, the interplay between financial distress and topological changes is still poorly understood. Here we analyze the quarterly inter…
Model explains money creation under regulatory constraints.
We develop a model to price inflation and interest rates derivatives using continuous-time dynamics that have some links with macroeconomic monetary DSGE models equipped with a Taylor rule: in particular, the reaction function of the central bank, the bond market liquidity, inflation and growth expectations play an imp…
The thesis tackles two stochastic control problems in capital structure and portfolio choice.
Study predicts firm defaults using machine learning on Italian credit data.
We model the default contagion process in a large heterogeneous financial network under the interventions of a regulator (a central bank) with only partial information which is a more realistic setting than most current literature. We provide the analytical results for the asymptotic optimal intervention policies and t…
This study aims to identify the leading of inflation indicators of monetary policy in DRC. The results reveal that the most relevant inflation indicators usually come from the monetary origin than the real sector. Variance decomposition analyzes place in the foreground the rate of exchange, the money supply and the pub…
Study improves U.S. monetary policy forecasting by integrating text and data.
Develops a statistical model for SOFR term structure in incomplete markets.
We reverse engineer dynamics of financial contagion to find the scenario of smallest exogenous shock that, should it occur, would lead to a given final systemic loss. This reverse stress test can be used to identify the potential triggers of systemic events, and it removes the arbitrariness in the selection of shock sc…
We argue that a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) can be an effect tool for macroeconomic stabilization. We first discuss how implementing negative rates on reserves held at a central bank does not pose any theoretical difficulty, with a reduction in rates operating in exactly the same way when rates are positive or…
Financial contagion from liquidity shocks has being recently ascribed as a prominent driver of systemic risk in interbank lending markets. Building on standard compartment models used in epidemics, in this work we develop an EDB (Exposed-Distressed-Bankrupted) model for the dynamics of liquidity shocks reverberation be…
Optimizes loan recovery timing by forecasting cash flows.
TabNet improves fraud detection in bank transactions.