A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Central bank influence in Wikipedia analyzed by largest world banks.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
Study examines large banks' role in interbank markets using game theory.
Study on electronic banking satisfaction in Nigeria.
We present a new approach to understanding credit relationships between commercial banks and quoted firms, and with this approach, examine the temporal change in the structure of the Japanese credit network from 1980 to 2005. At each year, the credit network is regarded as a weighted bipartite graph where edges corresp…
Model predicts internal fraud in retail banking is cyclical and influenced by corruption.
We report a study of a stylized banking cascade model investigating systemic risk caused by counter party failure using liabilities and assets to define banks' balance sheet. In our stylized system, banks can be in two states: normally operating or distressed and the state of a bank changes from normally operating to d…
Central banks play a key role in promoting sustainable finance.
Framework analyzes stock price co-movement with fundamentals using big data.
This paper considers mutual obligations in the interconnected bank system and analyzes their influence on joint and marginal survival probabilities as well as CDS and FTD prices for the individual banks. To make the role of mutual obligations more transparent, a simple structural default model with banks' assets driven…
Model estimates foreign exchange reserve compositions of undisclosed central banks.
We consider a banking network represented by a system of stochastic differential equations coupled by their drift. We assume a core-periphery structure, and that the banks in the core hold a bubbly asset. The banks in the periphery have not direct access to the bubble, but can take initially advantage from its increase…
Study models systemic risks in BRICS banks under geopolitical shocks.
This paper presents two cases of random banking data generators based on migration matrices and scoring rules. The banking data generator is a new hope in researches of finding the proving method of comparisons of various credit scoring techniques. There is analyzed the influence of one cyclic macro--economic variable …
Analyzes incentives and strategies in financial networks.
We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network connections. Credit interlinkages among agents are a source of bankruptcy diffusion…
Threadneedle is a multi-agent simulation framework, based on a full double entry book keeping implementation of the banking system's fundamental transactions. It is designed to serve as an experimental test bed for economic simulations that can explore the banking system's influence on the macro-economy under varying a…
Study analyzes factors affecting capital adequacy in Bangladesh's banks.
We report on time-varying network connectedness within three banking systems: North America, the EU, and ASEAN. The original method by Diebold and Yilmaz is improved by using exponentially weighted daily returns and ridge regularization on vector autoregression (VAR) and forecast error variance decomposition (FEVD). We…
Study examines how mergers and acquisitions affect Indian banks' financial performance and capital structure.
Study predicts customer data sharing in Open Banking and explains key factors.
Enhances systemic risk analysis by incorporating debt valuation factors.
Research predicts money market volume based on capital market and bank rates ratio.
We analyze cascades of defaults in an interbank loan market. The novel feature of this study is that the network structure and the size distribution of banks are derived from empirical data. We find that the ability of a defaulted institution to start a cascade depends on an interplay of shock size and connectivity. Fu…
The scope of financial systemic risk research encompasses a wide range of interbank channels and effects, including asset correlation shocks, default contagion, illiquidity contagion, and asset fire sales. This paper introduces a financial network model that combines the default and liquidity stress mechanisms into a "…
GAICF proposes a framework for governing generative AI in banking.
GAICF proposes a framework for managing generative AI risks in banking.
Optimizes loan recovery timing by forecasting cash flows.
An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of the following three representative topologies of an interbank loan network betwee…
Study uses XAI and transformers for stock price prediction of top 100 BIST banks.
The study compares profitability of conventional and Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
The interest rates (or nominal yields) can be negative, this is an unavoidable fact which has already been visible during the Great Depression (1929-39). Nowadays we can find negative rates easily by e.g. auditing. Several theoretical and practical ideas how to model and eventually overcome empirical negative rates can…
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer simulation model to analyze the risk of insolvency of banks and defaults in a bank credit…
The role of Network Theory in the study of the financial crisis has been widely spotted in the latest years. It has been shown how the network topology and the dynamics running on top of it can trigger the outbreak of large systemic crisis. Following this methodological perspective we introduce here the Accounting Netw…
Model analyzes systemic risk in banking systems using stochastic differential equations.
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
This study uses high-frequency data to identify early warning signals for bank crises.
According to the Loss Distribution Approach, the operational risk of a bank is determined as 99.9% quantile of the respective loss distribution, covering unexpected severe events. The 99.9% quantile can be considered a tail event. As supported by the Pickands-Balkema-de Haan Theorem, tail events exceeding some high thr…
Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
Study evaluates profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh using ROA, ROE, and ROD.
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
Research examines how Islamic banking principles spread among managers and scholars.
Modeling financial contagion through bank networks, revealing solvency correlations.
In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tappin…
The paper discusses fairness in bank stress tests, comparing various methods to address institutional differences.
Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.