This paper investigates two mechanisms of financial contagion that are, firstly, the correlated exposure of banks to the same source of risk, and secondly the direct exposure of banks in the interbank market. It will consider a random network of banks which are connected through the inter-bank market and will discuss t…
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48 results for “bank connectivity”
Modeling financial contagion through bank networks, revealing solvency correlations.
problem Understanding how financial shocks propagate through interconnected banks.
method Simulated financial network of 100 banks, randomly generated with varying link probabilities, and shocks applied to 15 banks.
result Ranges of probability values and banks' solvency are positively correlated.
An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of the following three representative topologies of an interbank loan network betwee…
We consider a model of contagion in financial networks recently introduced in the literature, and we characterize the effect of a few features empirically observed in real networks on the stability of the system. Notably, we consider the effect of heterogeneous degree distributions, heterogeneous balance sheet size and…
We report a study of a stylized banking cascade model investigating systemic risk caused by counter party failure using liabilities and assets to define banks' balance sheet. In our stylized system, banks can be in two states: normally operating or distressed and the state of a bank changes from normally operating to d…
Study connects bank default models using dynamic contagion.
problem Understanding default contagion in heterogeneous interbank systems.
method Proposes a dynamic default contagion model with endogenous early defaults for a finite set of banks, reformulating as a stochastic particle system.
result Existence of clearing systems and continuity of the system response for the mean-field problem.
Criticality in a model of banking crisescond-mat.dis-nn
An interbank market lets participants pool the risk arising from the combination of illiquid investments and random withdrawals by depositors. But it also creates the potential for one bank's failure to trigger off avalanches of further failures. We simulate a model of interbank lending to study the interplay of these …
Swapping debt contracts can mitigate risk in financial networks.
problem Mitigating risk in financial networks through debt swaps.
method Analysis of debt swapping operations in financial networks under various conditions.
result Positive debt swaps can exist in worst-case shock models to minimize losses.
Designed to compete with fiat currencies, bitcoin proposes it is a crypto-currency alternative. Bitcoin makes a number of false claims, including: solving the double-spending problem is a good thing; bitcoin can be a reserve currency for banking; hoarding equals saving, and that we should believe bitcoin can expand by …
New method relaxes spatial invariance in locally connected layers, improving accuracy.
problem Improving classification accuracy with locally connected layers.
method Designing a low-rank locally connected layer with varying spatially varying combining weights.
result Relaxing spatial invariance improves classification accuracy over convolution and locally connected layers.
We introduce a probabilistic framework that represents stylized banking networks with the aim of predicting the size of contagion events. Most previous work on random financial networks assumes independent connections between banks, whereas our framework explicitly allows for (dis)assortative edge probabilities (e.g., …
We consider a dynamical model of distress propagation on complex networks, which we apply to the study of financial contagion in networks of banks connected to each other by direct exposures. The model that we consider is an extension of the DebtRank algorithm, recently introduced in the literature. The mechanics of di…
In the wake of the ongoing global financial crisis, interdependencies among banks have come into focus in trying to assess systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tapping into financial discuss…
EWS-GCN improves credit scoring by analyzing money transfer connections.
problem Improving credit scoring in transactional banking data.
method Edge Weight-Shared Graph Convolutional Network (EWS-GCN) combining graph and recurrent neural networks.
result EWS-GCN outperforms state-of-the-art models in credit scoring.
The paper uses RMT to analyze global banking network changes since 2000.
problem Analyzing changes in global banking network structure.
method Random Matrix Theory applied to cross-border lending network.
result Network became denser, connectivity improved, and participation of modes increased.
We model a network economy with three sectors: downstream firms, upstream firms, and banks. Agents are linked by productive and credit relationships so that the behavior of one agent influences the behavior of the others through network connections. Credit interlinkages among agents are a source of bankruptcy diffusion…
High-value transactions between Australian banks are settled in the Reserve Bank Information and Transfer System (RITS) administered by the Reserve Bank of Australia. RITS operates on a real-time gross settlement (RTGS) basis and settles payments sourced from the SWIFT, the Austraclear, and the interbank transactions e…
Hyperbolic geometry reveals financial network structure and systemic importance.
problem Understanding the structure and importance of financial networks.
method Data from European banking stress tests, hyperbolic geometry analysis.
result Latent dimensions of `popularity' and `similarity' are strongly associated with systemic importance.
The financial crisis clearly illustrated the importance of characterizing the level of 'systemic' risk associated with an entire credit network, rather than with single institutions. However, the interplay between financial distress and topological changes is still poorly understood. Here we analyze the quarterly inter…
Study on sequential defaulting in financial networks, analyzing stability and optimal timing.
problem Understanding which banks default and how much they can fulfill in a sequential financial network.
method Sequential model of financial networks, analyzing stability and optimal timing of defaults.
result Stabilization time can heavily depend on the ordering of announcements, and finding the best time for default is NP-hard.
A probabilistic framework is introduced that represents stylized banking networks and aims to predict the size of contagion events. In contrast to previous work on random financial networks, which assumes independent connections between banks, the possibility of disassortative edge probabilities (an above average tende…
The study compares profitability of conventional and Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
problem Evaluating profitability of commercial banks in Bangladesh.
method Examined bank-specific, industry-specific, and banking system factors on profitability.
result Islamic banks consistently outperform conventional banks in profitability.
Study on electronic banking satisfaction in Nigeria.
problem Limited research on factors enhancing end users' satisfaction in electronic banking.
method Empirical analysis of factors influencing electronic banking user satisfaction.
result Factors influencing electronic banking user satisfaction and their relationship with satisfaction.
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
problem Analyzing efficiency and profitability of Chinese banks over time.
method Used Data envelopment analysis (Super-SBM-UND-VRS based DEA) model considering non-performing loans as undesired output.
result State-owned banks and Rural/City Commercial Banks have better profitability super-efficiency than Joint-stock Banks.
The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer simulation model to analyze the risk of insolvency of banks and defaults in a bank credit…
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
problem SVB failure and its contagion effects on bank stocks.
method Analyzed bank-specific vulnerabilities and stock performance.
result Uninsured deposits and unrealized losses were key factors in SVB's impact.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the difference between assets and liabilities of the bank. A bank is solvent when its capit…
Unveiling Early Warning Signals of Systemic Risks in Banks: A Recurrence Network-Based Approachq-fin.RM
This study uses high-frequency data to identify early warning signals for bank crises.
problem Identifying early warning signals for impending bank crises.
method Constructing multiple recurrence networks (MRNs) based on high-frequency stock returns to monitor nonlinear dynamics.
result Key indicators of MRNs, particularly average mutual information, provide valuable insights into periods of extreme volatility.
Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.
problem Determining factors for deposit run risk management before a regional banking crisis.
method Cross-sectional analysis of interest rate and equity use by banks.
result No evidence of banks managing deposit run risk via their balance sheet.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
problem Lack of creditworthiness makes SMEs difficult to finance by banks.
method Descriptive research design, census of 43 banks, secondary data analysis.
result Bank size and liquidity significantly influence lending to SMEs, while credit risk and interest rates do not.
We investigate default-free bond markets where the standard relationship between a possibly existing bank account process and the term structure of bond prices is broken, i.e. the bank account process is not a valid numéraire. We argue that this feature is not the exception but rather the rule in bond markets when star…
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
problem Weak asset quality, inadequate provisioning, and negative capitalization of state-owned banks.
method Two phases of reforms: private ownership promotion and gradual deregulation.
result Significant improvements in asset quality and capitalization, but challenges persist.
Study evaluates profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh using ROA, ROE, and ROD.
problem Evaluating profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
method Used ROA, ROE, and ROD as measures, analyzed relationships with AU and OE.
result ROD significantly associated with ROA, but not with OE and AU.
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
Research examines how Islamic banking principles spread among managers and scholars.
problem Diffusion of Islamic banking principles among managers and scholars.
method Literature review focusing on knowledge diffusion and Islamic banking governance principles.
result Emergence of common Islamic banking governance principles from diverse knowledge streams.
We analyze the influence and interactions of 60 largest world banks for 195 world countries using the reduced Google matrix algorithm for the English Wikipedia network with 5 416 537 articles. While the top asset rank positions are taken by the banks of China, with China Industrial and Commercial Bank of China at the f…
In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tappin…
The paper discusses fairness in bank stress tests, comparing various methods to address institutional differences.
problem Fair aggregation of bank-specific stress test models into a common model.
method Comparing various notions of regression fairness, including estimating and discarding centered bank fixed effects.
result The method of estimating and discarding centered bank fixed effects is preferable for linear models, improving forecast accuracy and equal treatment.
Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.
problem The impact of international oil prices on Russian public banks' financial stability.
method Data from 17 Russian public banks (2008-2016), Pool Mean Group (PMG) estimator.
result An increase in international oil prices and price to book value ratio positively affects Russian public banks' stability in the long run, while negative shocks have the opposite effect.
Contagion Flow Through Banking Networkscond-mat.other
Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes in variables like interest rates, exchange rates, etc. We demonstrate that the sy…
Structured factor copulas for modeling the systemic risk of European and United States banksq-fin.ST
The paper models systemic risk in European and U.S. banks using factor copulas.
problem Modeling the joint and conditional distress probabilities of banks across Europe and the U.S.
method Employing Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and factor copulas, the paper proposes multi-factor, structured factor, and factor-vine models.
result Systematic contagion channel drives distress probabilities in the banking system as a whole, while regional factors are important within each region.
Bailouts in financial networks are hard to optimize due to NP-hardness.
problem Optimizing bailouts in a network of insolvent banks.
method Modeling bailouts as an optimization problem, proving NP-hardness and inapproximability.
result Banks can strategically alter debt contracts to increase their market value in the event of a bailout.
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.
We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based on the leverage ratio dependence between each pair of banks, and find results th…
Study assesses the impact of Basel III reforms on Bangladeshi banks.
problem Impact of Basel III liquidity and capital requirements on Bangladeshi banks.
method Panel data analysis with fixed effects, including macroeconomic variables.
result Higher capital and liquidity requirements negatively affect banks' profitability but positively impact interest rates and private sector lending.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
Commercial banks and other depository institutions in some countries are required to hold in reserve against deposits made by their customers at their Central Bank or Federal Reserve. Although some countries have been eliminated it, this requirement is useful as one of many Central Bank's regulation made to control rat…
The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a method to evaluate and allocate the systemic risk to different countries/regions…