A new approach to risk allocation balances asset and factor risks.
problem Challenges in estimating expected returns for portfolio optimization.
method Risk Budgeting framework that allocates risk at the factor level.
result Effective portfolios can be constructed by balancing asset and factor risks.
CBDA improves active learning for semantic segmentation, especially with imbalanced classes.
problem Class imbalance degrades performance in domain adaptive active learning.
method Class Balanced Dynamic Acquisition (CBDA) selects more balanced labels for active learning.
result CBDA increases minority class performance and outperforms baselines by 0.6-2.4 mIoU.
This paper proposes BAT to balance accuracy and robustness in adversarial training.
problem Balancing accuracy and robustness in adversarial training models.
method Blind adversarial training (BAT) uses a cutoff-scale strategy to adaptively estimate a nonuniform budget for AEs.
result BAT improves the overall robustness of adversarial training models.
BNRE improves simulation-based inference by producing more conservative posteriors.
problem Overconfident posteriors from current simulation-based inference algorithms risk false inferences.
method Balanced Neural Ratio Estimation (BNRE) that produces more conservative posterior approximations.
result BNRE produces more conservative posterior surrogates on all tested benchmarks and simulation budgets.
New method balances performance and cost in identifying best arm.
problem Identifying the best arm in multi-armed bandit models.
method Minimizes a risk functional that balances performance and cost.
result Proposes DBCARE algorithm that matches theoretical lower bounds.
Budgeted hyper-parameter tuning algorithm improves performance.
problem Optimizing hyper-parameters with resource constraints.
method Sequential decision making, Bayesian model, action-value function.
result Superior performance across various budgets.
Quantum computing optimizes ESG portfolios efficiently.
problem Optimizing investment portfolios with risk, return, and ESG considerations.
method Formulated discrete Markowitz portfolio theory (DMPT) for quantum annealers, incorporating ESG ratings.
result Discrete portfolios converge to continuous solutions as budgets increase, outperforming traditional methods.
C3T-Budget optimizes drug efficacy in dose-finding trials with budget and safety constraints.
problem Heterogeneous patient populations and budget constraints make dose-finding clinical trials challenging.
method Contextual constrained clinical trial algorithm that maximizes drug efficacy while learning subgroup responses.
result Demonstrates efficient budget usage and balanced learning-treatment trade-off in simulated trials.
This paper introduces blind adversarial pruning to balance accuracy, efficiency, and robustness in neural networks.
problem Balancing accuracy, efficiency, and robustness in neural networks with limited resources.
method Adversarial pruning with a cutoff-scale strategy to dynamically adjust the strength of adversarial examples.
result Blind adversarial pruning improves the overall AER of pruned models compared to adversarial pruning.
The paper tackles budget allocation for multiple campaigns using a novel combinatorial bandit approach.
problem Maximizing cumulative returns with limited budgets across various ad lines.
method Formulated as a multi-task combinatorial bandit problem, integrates Bayesian hierarchical models, and uses Thompson sampling.
result Demonstrates robustness and adaptability in maximizing overall cumulative returns.
The paper improves PCS approximation for ranking and selection under limited simulation budgets.
problem Improving finite sample performance in Ranking and Selection.
method Develops a Bahadur-Rao type expansion for PCS, proposes a novel FCBA policy.
result FCBA policy achieves superior PCS performance compared to traditional methods.
Automates phased release strategy to balance risk and speed.
problem Balancing risk and speed in phased product releases.
method Formalizes as constrained batched bandit problem, uses adaptive Bayesian approach.
result Proposes algorithm that determines optimal release percentages.
Synthetic tabular data synthesis models balance utility and risk.
problem Generating synthetic tabular data for regulated domains.
method Latent flow models with various learning targets, paths, and sampling methods.
result Velocity and posterior matching objectives yield higher utility, while score and noise matching achieve lower risk.
A new framework for fair unemployment benefits using game theory.
problem Designing fair and sustainable unemployment benefits.
method Cooperative game theory and real-time fiscal policy.
result A fair, debt-free, and asymptotically risk-free payroll tax rule.
Study exact community recovery in noisy SBM with limited queries.
problem Community recovery in noisy stochastic block models with limited queries.
method Balanced uniform querying, two-stage adaptive strategy, sublinear queries, subsampled graph.
result Adaptive querying can improve exact recovery limits in noisy SBM.
Budgeted deferral framework reduces expert query costs in machine learning.
problem High cost of querying all experts in deferral algorithms.
method Introduces budgeted deferral framework for selective expert querying.
result Empirical results show substantial reduction in training costs without sacrificing accuracy.
Estimates model performance based on compute budget and evaluates stability over time.
problem Understanding how model performance evolves with compute budget and stability over time.
method Large-scale observational evaluations, prescriptive scaling laws, smoothed quantile regression, I-optimal sampling algorithm.
result Estimates attainable accuracies and stability of model performance over time.
Fair active learning selects data points to balance model accuracy and fairness.
problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models used in high-stakes applications.
method Designing algorithms for fair active learning that select data points to balance model accuracy and fairness.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness and efficiency of fair active learning algorithms over benchmark datasets.
Fair active learning selects data points to balance model accuracy and fairness.
problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models used in high-stakes applications.
method Designing algorithms for fair active learning that select data points to balance model accuracy and fairness, focusing on demographic parity.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed fair active learning approach over benchmark datasets.
Proposes a new OAL algorithm for imbalanced data with limited labels.
problem Handling imbalanced unlabeled datastream with limited query budget.
method Integrates asymmetric losses and queries strategies, uses second-order optimization, and applies sketching technique.
result Demonstrates improved performance and efficiency in class imbalance.
A two-phase algorithm identifies the best arm in sparse linear bandits with fixed budget.
problem Best arm identification in sparse linear bandits with limited budget.
method Lasso and Optimal-Design (Lasso-OD) based linear best-arm identification.
result Lasso-OD achieves significant performance improvement for sparse and high-dimensional linear bandits.
We explore the sequential decision making problem where the goal is to estimate uniformly well a number of linear models, given a shared budget of random contexts independently sampled from a known distribution. The decision maker must query one of the linear models for each incoming context, and receives an observatio…
TOPPO improves PPO for MTRL by balancing critic gradients, outperforming SAC.
problem Critic-side gradient ill-conditioning in PPO for MTRL.
method Critic Balancing modules to improve gradient conditioning and balance task updates.
result TOPPO achieves stronger mean and tail-task performance than SAC-family and ARS-family baselines.
Flashback Learning balances model stability and plasticity in continual learning.
problem Balancing model stability and plasticity in continual learning.
method Flashback Learning (FL) uses a bidirectional regularization approach to balance stability and plasticity.
result FL improves model accuracy by up to 4.91% in Class-Incremental and 3.51% in Task-Incremental settings.
Improves privacy guarantees by analyzing randomness in privacy-preserving mechanisms.
problem Balancing user privacy and business constraints in privacy-preserving mechanisms.
method Analyzes explicit and implicit randomness in privacy mechanisms and proposes a probabilistic calibration method.
result Proposes privacy at risk, providing stronger privacy guarantees with quantifiable risks.
Automated Budget Constrained Training optimizes model training under time constraints.
problem Balancing model quality and computational cost in constrained time.
method Developed a hyperparameter optimisation algorithm that learns the relationship between hyperparameters, model quality, and computational cost.
result The algorithm optimally decides whether to terminate or continue training, and what hyperparameters to use.
Study wSAA for contextual decisions, improving uncertainty quantification under computational constraints.
problem Uncertainty quantification limitations in wSAA for contextual stochastic optimization.
method Establish central limit theorems and asymptotic-normality-based confidence intervals for optimal costs.
result Over-optimizing can mitigate misspecification and preserve asymptotic normality, albeit at a slower convergence rate.
Novel Bayesian optimization framework improves portfolio management stability and efficiency.
problem Stable and sample-efficient optimization for black-box portfolio models under limited observation budgets.
method TPE-AS framework with adaptive scheduling and importance sampling.
result Demonstrated effectiveness across four backtest settings with three distinct models.
Paper proposes a new uncertainty measure for active learning in neural networks.
problem Efficiently selecting informative data points in limited labeled data scenarios.
method BalEntAcq, a new uncertainty measure based on balanced entropy, approximated by Beta distributions.
result BalEntAcq outperforms existing uncertainty measures in active learning.
This paper identifies drift Lipschitz budget K as key to diffusion policy expressivity and statistical trade-offs.
problem Understanding and maximizing the expressivity of diffusion policies while managing statistical limitations.
method Identifying drift Lipschitz budget K as central, quantifying expressivity and statistical behavior, proving lower bounds, and providing practical implementation guidelines.
result Balancing expressivity and statistical complexity yields a finite-sample performance gap, with rates depending on sample size and drift type.
New algorithm tackles high-dimensional contextual bandits without sparsity.
problem High-dimensional linear contextual bandit problem with large feature space.
method Proposes explore-then-commit (EtC) and adaptive explore-then-commit (AEtC) algorithms.
result Derives optimal rate for ETC algorithm and shows adaptive AEtC achieves it.
StatLoRA uses statistical inference to allocate ranks in LoRA fine-tuning, improving performance.
problem Balancing efficiency, expressiveness, and generalization in LoRA rank allocation.
method Formulates LoRA rank allocation as a statistical hypothesis testing problem, using estimated p-values to determine component retention or pruning.
result StatLoRA achieves comparable or better performance than existing methods under matched rank budgets.
This study analyzes public debts and deficits between European countries. The statistical evidence here seems in general to reveal that sovereign debts and government deficits of countries within European Monetary Unification-in average- are getting worse than countries outside European Monetary Unification, in particu…
The paper analyzes regret in bilateral trade mechanisms without prior valuations.
problem Designing efficient trade mechanisms without prior knowledge of valuations.
method Regret minimization framework over rounds of interactions with no prior knowledge of valuations.
result Characterization of regret bounds for different feedback models and valuations.
Reference class forecasting is a method to remove optimism bias and strategic misrepresentation in infrastructure projects and programmes. In 2012 the Hong Kong government's Development Bureau commissioned a feasibility study on reference class forecasting in Hong Kong - a first for the Asia-Pacific region. This study …
New method for efficient probabilistic deep state-space models.
problem Efficient inference for probabilistic deep state-space models.
method Deterministic inference algorithm for ProDSSM with neural network weights.
result Superior balance between predictive performance and computational budget.
DiffATD efficiently discovers targets in partially observable environments using diffusion dynamics.
problem Efficiently discovering targets in partially observable environments with limited sampling.
method DiffATD uses diffusion dynamics to maintain a belief distribution over unobserved states, balancing exploration and exploitation.
result DiffATD outperforms baselines and supervised methods in diverse domains.
In the first section, this report analyses Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs) in the context of megaprojects, explaining why they are often delivered over budget and late. In the second section, the report discusses how Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) might address these issues. Megaprojects are extremely risky and often implem…
A new method for active learning works well across all label budgets.
problem Active learning methods perform poorly in both low and high label budgets.
method Uncertainty Herding: a simple, computationally fast method that optimizes uncertainty coverage.
result Uncertainty Herding nearly optimizes distribution-level coverage and performs well across various active learning tasks.
Georgia needs a new budget code to manage fiscal policies effectively.
problem Weak and incomplete law on Budget System hinders fiscal policy implementation.
method Develop and adopt a new Budget Code with equal force as the Tax Code.
result Effective correlation between state, regional, and local budgets is crucial for social-economic development.
We present a dual subspace ascent algorithm for support vector machine training that respects a budget constraint limiting the number of support vectors. Budget methods are effective for reducing the training time of kernel SVM while retaining high accuracy. To date, budget training is available only for primal (SGD-ba…
Efficiently simulates risk budgeting portfolios using novel algorithms.
problem Estimating risk contributions in portfolios efficiently.
method Cutting planes algorithm, specialised SGD for Expected Shortfall, numerical simulations.
result Outperforms standard convex optimisation solvers in estimating risk budgeting portfolios.
Bridges uplift modeling and sequential decision-making with online budget allocation.
problem Treatment allocation under budget constraints in digital advertising.
method Budget-Constrained Causal Bandits (BCCB) integrates learning, exploration, and budget pacing.
result Data-efficiency crossover: BCCB operates effectively from the first user, 3-5x lower performance variance.
The paper tackles online optimization with DR-submodular functions and linear budgets.
problem Optimizing points over time with long-term budget constraints and DR-submodular objectives.
method Proposes OSPHG algorithm to achieve sub-linear regret and budget violation bounds.
result Achieves sub-linear bounds for both regret and total budget violation under certain window lengths.
Proposes an algorithm for semi-supervised learning with budget constraints.
problem Learning classifiers within test-time budget constraints with limited labeled data.
method Leverages unlabeled data through Laplace smoothing and gradient boosted regression trees.
result First algorithm for semi-supervised budgeted learning.
DSA efficiently allocates sparsity across layers for budgeted pruning.
problem Efficiently distributing resources (sparsity) across layers in pruning under resource constraints.
method DSA uses differentiable pruning to find continuous layer-wise pruning ratios via gradient-based optimization.
result DSA achieves superior performance and significantly reduces the time cost of pruning.
sGPO optimizes RLVR training by balancing inference FLOPs and training efficiency.
problem RLVR training allocates rollout budget without considering query difficulty.
method sGPO trades inference FLOPs for reduced training FLOPs.
result sGPO matches or exceeds baseline performance while reducing training compute by a factor of three.
MPC outperforms reactive budgeting in non-stationary return environments.
problem Optimizing budget allocation under non-stationary returns.
method Receding-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) compared to reactive policies.
result MPC consistently outperforms reactive budgeting when return dynamics are predictable.