Paper proposes a new autoencoder metric for balanced learning in imbalanced tabular datasets.
problem Challenges of imbalanced self-supervised learning in tabular data.
method Developed a Multi-Supervised Balanced MSE metric to balance learning.
result The new metric outperforms standard MSE in imbalanced datasets.
We study the problem of off-policy policy evaluation (OPPE) in RL. In contrast to prior work, we consider how to estimate both the individual policy value and average policy value accurately. We draw inspiration from recent work in causal reasoning, and propose a new finite sample generalization error bound for value e…
Enhances random forest performance with exogenous randomness.
problem Improving random forest performance through exogenous randomness.
method Developed non-asymptotic MSE expansions for individual trees and forests, identified two types of randomness, and conducted simulations.
result Exogenous randomness, particularly feature subsampling, reduces both bias and variance of random forests.
Unified formula for training dynamics of linear networks combining lazy and balanced regimes.
problem Training dynamics of linear networks in two distinct setups: lazy and balanced/active.
method Unified formula for the evolution of the learned matrix, combining lazy and balanced regimes.
result Unified formula allows for rapid convergence and low rank bias, proving a complete phase diagram.
Deep linear networks exhibit collapsing features and classifiers across datasets.
problem Understanding the collapse of features and classifiers in deep linear networks.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of deep linear networks with MSE and CE losses.
result Deep linear networks exhibit NC properties, collapsing features and classifiers to orthogonal vectors.
Study shows MSE with sigmoid can match SCE in classification tasks, especially with noisy data.
problem Inconsistent errors in neural network classification tasks.
method Introduced Output Reset algorithm to use MSE with sigmoid activation.
result MSE with sigmoid activation achieves comparable accuracy and convergence rates to Softmax Cross-Entropy, especially in noisy data scenarios.
This article presents valuation of Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds) on Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) and empirical test of duration, modified duration and convexity of the T-bonds at MSE in order to determine sensitivity of bonds prices on interest rate changes. The main goal of this study is to determine how standard valuat…
Deep nets trained with MSE loss exhibit Neural Collapse, collapsing features and classifiers to class means.
problem Understanding Neural Collapse in MSE-trained deep nets.
method Developed a new MSE loss decomposition and introduced the central path concept.
result Exact dynamics of Neural Collapse along the central path can be predicted.
We derive the mapping between two of the most pervasive utility functions, the mean square error (MSE) and the concordance correlation coefficient (CCC, ρc). Despite its drawbacks, MSE is one of the most popular performance metrics (and a loss function); along with lately ρc in many of the sequence prediction…
Gaussian surrogates improve Poisson imaging performance at low doses.
problem Improving Poisson imaging performance at low doses.
method Analysis of Poisson and Gaussian surrogate reconstruction objectives under Poisson noise.
result Gaussian surrogates can achieve MSE comparable to Poisson MAP at low doses.
SA-BCP combines long-term and local evidence for efficient, adaptive online prediction.
problem Balancing fast adaptation and stable coverage in online prediction.
method State-Adaptive Bayesian Conformal Prediction (SA-BCP) using gated convex combination of temporal inertia and spatial evidence.
result SA-BCP achieves at-or-above-nominal coverage with substantially sharper intervals compared to discounted Bayesian CP.
Improved financial predictions with OHLC data and timestamps.
problem Improving VWAP predictions in financial markets.
method Investigated the impact of timing features on machine learning models for VWAP prediction.
result Incorporating timing features consistently improves predictive performance across multiple ML architectures.
This work justifies neural collapse under MSE loss and analyzes the optimization landscape.
problem Understanding neural collapse in deep neural networks under MSE loss.
method Global landscape analysis of vanilla nonconvex MSE loss.
result The only global minimizers are neural collapse solutions.
In this manuscript we propose two objective terms for neural image compression: a compression objective and a cycle loss. These terms are applied on the encoder output of an autoencoder and are used in combination with reconstruction losses. The compression objective encourages sparsity and low entropy in the activatio…
New estimators outperform maximum likelihood without hyper-parameter estimation.
problem Improving system identification performance without hyper-parameter estimation.
method Developed generalized Bayes and closed-form biased estimators using excess MSE.
result New estimators have comparable performance to empirical-Bayes-based regularized estimator.
Deep learning detects microsleep episodes in EEG data.
problem Automatic detection of microsleep episodes (MSEs) in EEG data.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and LSTM networks were implemented to analyze MWT data.
result Deep learning algorithms showed good performance close to human experts in detecting MSEs.
Paper proposes HIDAM model to improve MSE default risk assessment using heterogeneous information networks.
problem Default risk assessment for MSEs due to lack of credit information and diverse financial activities.
method HIDAM model incorporating heterogeneous information networks with multi-typed nodes and links, extracting interactive information through meta-paths, and using a hierarchical attention mechanism.
result HIDAM model outperforms state-of-the-art competitors on real-world banking data.
Noise in imputed values corrects biases in machine learning models.
problem Systematic biases in imputed values affect downstream analyses.
method Introducing noise to imputed values to correct biases.
result Noise-corrected imputation methods produce unbiased estimates.
We study the problem of sampling a bandlimited graph signal in the presence of noise, where the objective is to select a node subset of prescribed cardinality that minimizes the signal reconstruction mean squared error (MSE). To that end, we formulate the task at hand as the minimization of MSE subject to binary constr…
This paper solves hedging in incomplete markets using neural networks.
problem Hedging in incomplete markets with risk factor, illiquidity, and discrete transaction dates.
method Proposes a jump-diffusion model and uses RNN, LSTM, and Mogrifier-LSTM neural networks for hedging strategies.
result Mogrifier-LSTM is the fastest and most effective model for hedging.
The paper optimizes spatial experimental designs to improve causal effect estimation.
problem Optimizing spatial experimental designs to enhance causal effect estimation accuracy.
method Proposes a surrogate function for MSE and uses graph cut algorithms to learn optimal designs.
result The method accommodates spatial interference and covariance, is computationally efficient, and validated by theoretical and numerical experiments.
CAEL-MIPS learns embeddings to improve MIPS for better OPE in contextual bandits.
problem High variance in IPS weighting for OPE in large action spaces.
method Context-Action Embedding Learning (CAEL) for MIPS to minimize MSE.
result CAEL-MIPS outperforms baselines in MSE for OPE in contextual bandits.
The paper explains why estimating a history-dependent policy can reduce MSE in reinforcement learning.
problem Understanding why history-dependent policies can improve MSE in off-policy evaluation.
method The paper derives a bias-variance decomposition of MSE for various OPE estimators, showing how history-dependent policies can decrease variance and increase bias.
result History-dependent policies can decrease the variance of importance sampling estimators, leading to lower MSE.
A new KF handles outliers without MSE loss.
problem Outliers degrade Kalman filter performance.
method NUV priors, EM and AM for variance estimation.
result Outlier-insensitive KF outperforms existing methods.
Replacing MSE with f-divergence in diffusion models improves robustness under data contamination.
problem Improving robustness of diffusion models under data contamination.
method Replacing MSE with f-divergence in diffusion models.
result Empirical improvement in performance under data contamination.
The paper explores MAE as a loss function for DNN vector-to-vector regression, proving its advantages over MSE.
problem Improving loss function for deep neural network based vector-to-vector regression.
method Presenting performance bounds and new properties of MAE, deriving generalized upper bounds, and interpreting MAE as a Laplacian distribution.
result MAE is a more suitable loss function than MSE for DNN based vector-to-vector regression, especially when errors follow a Laplacian distribution.
Study on LMMSE estimation with model mismatch, quantifying MSE trade-offs.
problem Model mismatch in LMMSE estimation with undermodeling.
method Analyzing the average MSE of LMMSE estimation with random regressors.
result Performance improvement depends on sufficient samples and model complexity.
Improves group fairness in tensor completion by augmenting tensors with balanced entities.
problem Preventing discrimination in tensor decomposition based on social grounds.
method STAFF (Sparse Tensor Augmentation For Fairness) which augments tensors with balanced entities to mitigate imbalance and bias.
result Consistently shows the best trade-off between completion error and group fairness, reducing errors by 36% and 59% respectively.
In this paper, we derive Hybrid, Bayesian and Marginalized Cramér-Rao lower bounds (HCRB, BCRB and MCRB) for the single and multiple measurement vector Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) problem of estimating compressible vectors and their prior distribution parameters. We assume the unknown vector to be drawn from a compr…
Improved covariance matrix estimation for multiple classes with limited data.
problem Estimating covariance matrices for multiple classes with scarce data.
method Coupled regularized sample covariance matrix estimator (RSCM) that combines pooled SCM and scaled identity matrix for regularization.
result The coupled RSCM estimators outperform cross-validation in classification tasks with comparable accuracy but faster computation.
Enhances ENet's prediction accuracy while maintaining uncertainty estimation.
problem Gradient shrinkage problem in ENet's loss function.
method Proposes a multi-task learning framework with a modified MSE loss function.
result Improves ENet's prediction accuracy without losing uncertainty estimation.
Bagging can significantly improve the generalization performance of unstable machine learning algorithms such as trees or neural networks. Though bagging is now widely used in practice and many empirical studies have explored its behavior, we still know little about the theoretical properties of bagged predictions. In …
Optimized AIS scheme reduces bias and MSE for general proposals.
problem Performing Monte Carlo integration with general proposals.
method Global optimization of χ²-divergence using stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics.
result Explicit theoretical guarantees for uniform-in-time MSE reduction.
Modern CATE models often fail to outperform a trivial zero-effect predictor, highlighting significant challenges.
problem Lack of robustness in CATE models when applied to real-world data.
method Large-scale benchmark study using diverse observational sampling strategies and novel statistics.
result 62% of CATE estimates have higher MSE than a trivial zero-effect predictor, indicating poor performance.
The paper analyzes a simple neural network model with algebraic methods.
problem Finding minima of a ridge-regularized mean squared error for ReLU perceptrons.
method Developed a Divide-Enumerate-Merge strategy using computational algebra.
result Identifies both isolated and connected minima of the RR-MSE.
While the objective in traditional multi-armed bandit problems is to find the arm with the highest mean, in many settings, finding an arm that best captures information about other arms is of interest. This objective, however, requires learning the underlying correlation structure and not just the means of the arms. Se…
BASIS improves LLM reasoning by sharing batchwise rollout info, reducing MSE by 69%.
problem Improving large language model reasoning with limited rollouts and batch information.
method BASIS samples only one rollout per prompt but uses batch information to improve value function estimation.
result BASIS reduces MSE in value function estimation by 69% compared to REINFORCE++.
New analysis reveals optimal regularization for ESNs, avoiding double descent.
problem Characterizing and optimizing Echo State Networks (ESNs) for precise bias-variance.
method Random matrix theory applied to ESNs in a teacher-student setting.
result ESNs achieve lower MSE with limited training samples and teacher memory.
New estimator GMIPS reduces variance in ranking policy evaluation.
problem High variance in off-policy evaluation for ranking policies.
method GMIPS estimator with user behavior model on ranking embedding spaces.
result GMIPS achieves lowest MSE and balances bias-variance trade-off.
We consider the problem of learning a dictionary matrix from a number of observed signals, which are assumed to be generated via a linear model with a common underlying dictionary. In particular, we derive lower bounds on the minimum achievable worst case mean squared error (MSE), regardless of computational complexity…
Paper introduces a new cost function to improve deep learning model generalization.
problem Overfitting and poor extrapolation of deep learning models.
method Introduces a 'whitening' cost function based on the Ljung-Box statistic.
result Significant improvement in generalization for RNNs and image autoencoders.
Proposes an efficient shrinkage path for ridge regression.
problem Ill-conditioned data in linear models.
method A new generalized ridge regression shrinkage path that minimizes MSE risk.
result The path is as short as possible while maintaining optimal trade-off.
With the recent advancement in the deep learning technologies such as CNNs and GANs, there is significant improvement in the quality of the images reconstructed by deep learning based super-resolution (SR) techniques. In this work, we propose a robust loss function based on the preservation of edges obtained by the Can…
Most of existing manifold learning methods rely on Mean Squared Error (MSE) or ℓ2 norm. However, for the problem of image quality assessment, these are not promising measure. In this paper, we introduce the concept of an image structure manifold which captures image structure features and discriminates image dist…
In this paper, we continue our previous work on the Dirichlet mixture model (DMM)-based VQ to derive the performance bound of the LSF VQ. The LSF parameters are transformed into the ΔLSF domain and the underlying distribution of the ΔLSF parameters are modelled by a DMM with finite number of mixture components. The…
The study establishes risk bounds for distributional regression estimators.
problem Estimating distributional regression models with nonparametric methods.
method Theoretical bounds for CRPS and MSE are derived for convex and non-convex constraints.
result Theoretical risk bounds are validated through experiments on simulated and real data.
The paper analyzes convergence rates of Gaussian process approximations for scalable regression.
problem Characterizing convergence rates of Gaussian process approximations for scalable regression.
method Analysis of kernel functions and dataset-size n for isotropic kernels like Matérn and squared-exponential. result Upper and lower bounds on predictive MSE and calibration metric convergence rates are derived.
This work introduces a new loss function to improve the efficiency of optimization-based PDE solvers.
problem Optimization-based PDE solvers converge slowly and are inefficient compared to classical iterative solvers.
method Proposes a novel Stabilized Gradient Residual (SGR) loss function to modulate the condition number.
result The SGR loss achieves orders-of-magnitude faster convergence than the MSE loss in both ODIL and PINNs frameworks.